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The Temporal Constitution of Democracies 民主国家的临时宪法
Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190862084.013.2
Andreas Schäfer, W. Merkel
The specific institutionalization of time is a major defining element of democracies and a vulnerable condition of their stability and legitimacy. The first part of the chapter covers the regular temporal routines of democratic systems. In the synchronic dimension, it considers the time requirements of democratic practices and examines the timed relationship between different levels and actors of the democratic system. In the diachronic dimension, the chapter asks for the time horizons that temporal constitutions of democracies create for political actors—related to future expectations and to past experiences. The second part of the chapter turns to time challenges democracies face today. First, it addresses the issue of social acceleration that goes along with potential vulnerabilities and adaptabilities of democratic systems. Second, the chapter discusses problems created by situations of crisis in states of emergency and in democratic transitions. Based on that, the chapter draws some conclusions for future research.
时间的具体制度化是民主的一个主要决定性因素,也是其稳定性和合法性的一个脆弱条件。本章的第一部分涵盖了民主制度的常规时间惯例。在共时性方面,它考虑了民主实践的时间要求,并考察了民主制度的不同层次和行动者之间的时间关系。在历时方面,本章要求了解民主国家的时代性宪法为政治行为者创造的时间范围——与未来的期望和过去的经验有关。本章的第二部分涉及民主国家今天面临的时间挑战。首先,它解决了伴随民主制度潜在的脆弱性和适应性而来的社会加速问题。第二,本章讨论紧急状态和民主过渡中的危机局势所造成的问题。在此基础上,本章对今后的研究进行了总结。
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引用次数: 0
Staggered Terms in Majoritarian and Nonmajoritarian Institutions 多数主义和非多数主义机构的交错任期
Pub Date : 2021-02-10 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190862084.013.25
David M. Willumsen
Staggered terms, that is, the partial renewal of terms of office, are widespread in both majoritarian and nonmajoritarian institutions, but they are little studied or understood. While the goals of staggered terms are to lengthen the time horizons of individual and institutions and to lead to more stable policy outcomes, this may not occur, as members often have the ability to influence their chances of obtaining additional terms of office and may alter their behavior in the pursuit of this. This chapter discusses the different forms staggered terms can take and the wide range of institutions where staggered terms are found. It then discusses the literature on the effects of staggered terms on behavior and outcomes, as well as how staggered terms have been used as a research design. Finally, the chapter sets out potential future research avenues.
交错任期,即部分续任,在多数和非多数机构中都很普遍,但很少有人研究或理解。虽然交错任期的目标是延长个人和机构的时间范围,并导致更稳定的政策结果,但这可能不会发生,因为成员往往有能力影响他们获得额外任期的机会,并可能在追求这一目标的过程中改变他们的行为。本章讨论了交错条款可以采取的不同形式以及发现交错条款的广泛机构。然后讨论了交错条款对行为和结果的影响的文献,以及交错条款如何被用作研究设计。最后,本章提出了未来可能的研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Temporality of Authoritarian Regimes 专制政权的暂时性
Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190862084.013.29
A. Libman
The chapter surveys the existing research in political science and other social science disciplines investigating the temporal dynamics of authoritarian regimes. The chapter’s primary focus is on the incremental changes occurring in autocracies between their emergence and collapse, which has received relatively little attention in the scholarly literature so far. The chapter looks, in particular, at the evolution of authoritarian regimes toward individual or collective rule; at the regime cycles, caused, for example, by authoritarian elections; and at succession crises associated with death or resignation of leaders. Furthermore, it addresses the question of whether authoritarian regimes are better able to implement long-term and future-oriented policies than democracies. The chapter identifies a number of gaps in the literature on authoritarian dynamics relevant to future research.
本章概述了政治科学和其他社会科学学科对威权政权时间动态的现有研究。本章主要关注的是专制政体从出现到崩溃之间发生的渐进式变化,到目前为止,这在学术文献中得到的关注相对较少。这一章特别关注专制政权向个人或集体统治的演变;在政权周期中,例如,由威权选举引起的;以及与领导人死亡或辞职有关的继任危机。此外,它还解决了专制政权是否比民主政权更有能力实施长期和面向未来的政策的问题。本章确定了与未来研究相关的权威动力学文献中的一些空白。
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引用次数: 0
Intergenerational Justice and Institutions for the Long Term 代际正义和长期制度
Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190862084.013.24
Iñigo González‐Ricoy
Institutions to address short-termism in public policymaking and to more suitably discharge our duties toward future generations have elicited much recent normative research, which this chapter surveys. It focuses on two prominent institutions: insulating devices, which seek to mitigate short-termist electoral pressures by transferring authority away to independent bodies, and constraining devices, which seek to bind elected officials to intergenerationally fair rules from which deviation is costly. The chapter first discusses sufficientarian, egalitarian, and prioritarian theories of our duties toward future generations, and how an excessive focus on the short term in policymaking may hinder that such duties be suitably fulfilled. It then surveys constraining and insulating devices, and inspects their effectiveness to address the epistemic, motivational, and institutional drivers of political short-termism as well as their intra- and intergenerational legitimacy.
解决公共政策制定中的短期主义问题以及更恰当地履行我们对后代的责任的制度引发了最近的许多规范研究,本章对此进行了调查。它侧重于两个突出的制度:绝缘机制,寻求通过将权力转移给独立机构来减轻短期的选举压力;约束机制,寻求将当选官员约束在代际公平的规则中,偏离规则将付出高昂的代价。本章首先讨论了关于我们对后代的义务的充分主义、平等主义和优先主义理论,以及在决策过程中过度关注短期如何阻碍这些义务的适当履行。然后调查约束和隔离装置,并检查其有效性,以解决政治短期主义的认识,动机和制度驱动因素,以及他们的内部和代际合法性。
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引用次数: 0
Endogenous and Exogenous Election Timing 内生和外生选举时机
Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190862084.013.3
Petra Schleiter
This chapter examines the rules that govern election timing in democracies. It begins by distinguishing between constitutionally fixed (exogenous) and constitutionally flexible (endogenous) election timing, reviews which political actors can call early elections when endogenous election timing is permitted, and notes that early elections are heterogeneous and can be of two distinct types—either triggered by government failure or called for partisan advantage. Next, the chapter summarizes the current understanding of the consequences of election timing rules for four important political outcomes: gridlock resolution, the electoral performance of incumbents, the bargaining power of various political actors in negotiating governments and policy, and the rhythm of policy cycles. Together the findings reviewed in this chapter show that election timing rules are highly consequential: they shape election outcomes, accountability, and policy, with significant implications for governance and voter welfare.
本章考察了民主国家选举时间安排的规则。首先,它区分了宪法上固定的(外生的)和宪法上灵活的(内生的)选举时间,回顾了在允许内生选举时间的情况下,哪些政治行为者可以要求提前选举,并指出提前选举是异质的,可以有两种不同的类型——要么是由政府失败引发的,要么是为了党派利益。接下来,本章总结了目前对选举时间规则对四个重要政治结果的影响的理解:僵局解决、现任者的选举表现、各种政治行为者在谈判政府和政策方面的议价能力,以及政策周期的节奏。本章回顾的研究结果表明,选举时间规则具有重要意义:它们影响选举结果、问责制和政策,对治理和选民福利具有重大影响。
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引用次数: 1
Temporality and the Analysis of Policy Processes 临时性和政策过程分析
Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190862084.013.7
Michael Howlett
This chapter discusses the “historical turn” in the policy sciences and why it has occurred. It evaluates four general models of historical change processes that are commonly applied in policy analyses: stochastic, historical narrative, path dependency, and process sequencing. The chapter sets out the origins and elements of each model and assesses the merits and evidence for each in the analysis of public policymaking. The chapter suggests more work needs to be done examining the assumptions and presuppositions of each model before it can be concluded that any represents the general case for all policy processes. Neither the irreversible linear reality assumed by narrative models, nor the random and chaotic world assumed by stochastic models, nor the contingent turning points and irreversible trajectories required of the path dependency model are found very often in policymaking. Hence, the chapter agues these models are likely to be less significant than process-sequencing ones in describing the overall pattern of policy dynamics and temporality.
本章讨论政策科学中的“历史转折”及其发生的原因。它评估了四种通常应用于政策分析的历史变化过程的一般模型:随机、历史叙事、路径依赖和过程排序。本章列出了每个模型的起源和要素,并在公共决策分析中评估了每个模型的优点和证据。本章建议,需要做更多的工作来检验每个模型的假设和前提,然后才能得出结论,认为任何一个模型都代表了所有政策过程的一般情况。无论是叙事模型所假设的不可逆的线性现实,还是随机模型所假设的随机和混沌世界,抑或是路径依赖模型所要求的偶然转折点和不可逆轨迹,在政策制定中都很少发现。因此,本章认为,在描述政策动态和时间性的总体格局方面,这些模型可能不如过程顺序模型重要。
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引用次数: 1
Time in International Relations Theory 国际关系理论中的时间
Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190862084.013.11
Andrew R. Hom
Temporal phenomena like power shifts, wars, and confounding events characterize international politics. Yet for decades academic international relations (IR) did not consider time worthy of research or reflection. Recently things have changed, especially in critical IR, where scholars developed numerous arguments about time’s political importance. However, none of that work pursued a synoptic account of time in IR theory. This chapter does so, using an ideal typology of closed and open time to understand realism, liberalism, constructivism, English School, feminism, Marxism, and critical theory. In each, tensions between open and closed time distinguish the theory from its competitors but also animate explanatory and normative debates among its proponents. The historically overlooked issue of time—our assumptions about it, visions of it, and claims about how it impacts politics—drives theoretical development across and within IR theories, which we can understand as attempts to time international political life.
权力转移、战争和混乱事件等暂时现象是国际政治的特征。然而,几十年来,学术界的国际关系(IR)并不认为时间值得研究或反思。最近情况发生了变化,尤其是在关键的国际关系领域,学者们对时间的政治重要性提出了许多争论。然而,这些工作都没有在红外理论中追求时间的概要描述。本章运用封闭和开放时间的理想类型学来理解现实主义、自由主义、建构主义、英国学派、女权主义、马克思主义和批判理论。在每一种情况下,开放时间和封闭时间之间的紧张关系将理论与其竞争对手区分开来,但也激发了其支持者之间的解释性和规范性辩论。历史上被忽视的时间问题——我们对时间的假设,对时间的看法,以及它如何影响政治的主张——推动了国际关系理论的理论发展,我们可以将其理解为为国际政治生活计时的尝试。
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引用次数: 0
Time and Regime Change 时间和制度的改变
Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190862084.013.18
M. Wilson
This chapter summarizes conclusions about the timing of regime change and focuses on transitions from authoritarian rule. After discussing the ways in which legislatures and parties are thought to extend the life of nondemocratic regimes, it argues that scholars have paid insufficient attention to the specific role of legislatures in authoritarian regimes in historical context. Conceptualizing regimes by combining information on electoral practices and legislatures, it explores temporal aspects of regime change and demonstrates the staying power of legislative authoritarian regimes. Contributions include providing an overview of the ways in which scholars have described temporal processes involving regime change and expanding our knowledge of the complementarity of political institutions in autocracies.
本章总结了有关政权更迭时机的结论,并着重于威权统治的过渡。在讨论了立法机构和政党被认为延长非民主政权寿命的方式后,认为学者们对专制政权中立法机构在历史背景下的具体作用关注不够。通过结合选举实践和立法机构的信息来概念化政权,它探讨了政权更迭的时间方面,并展示了立法专制政权的持久力。本书的贡献包括概述了学者们描述涉及政权更迭的时间过程的方式,并扩展了我们对专制国家政治制度互补性的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Objective and Subjective Time in Comparative Politics 比较政治学中的客观时间与主观时间
Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190862084.013.16
S. Hanson
There has been a marked resurgence of interest in the study of time and temporality in the political science discipline. Scholars working within the tradition of comparative historical analysis have explored what might be termed “objective” temporal processes, tracing causal relationships that unfold slowly through long periods of time and analyzing “critical historical junctures” with enduring social effects. Meanwhile, scholars influenced by developments in behavioral economics and social psychology have devoted increasing attention to the problem of “subjective” time: how time is perceived differently by actors with varying psychological profiles and risk appetites. To date, these two literatures have developed largely in isolation from one another. Thus there has been comparatively little attention paid to the problem of explaining the origin and persistence of collective interpretations of political time. In this context, returning to the study of political ideology can help link the objective and subjective approaches to political temporality.
在政治科学学科中,对时间和时间性研究的兴趣有了明显的复苏。在比较历史分析传统中工作的学者们探索了所谓的“客观”时间过程,追踪了在长时间内缓慢展开的因果关系,并分析了具有持久社会影响的“关键历史时刻”。同时,受行为经济学和社会心理学发展的影响,学者们越来越关注“主观”时间问题:具有不同心理特征和风险偏好的行为者如何以不同的方式感知时间。迄今为止,这两种文献在很大程度上是相互孤立的。因此,对于解释政治时间的集体解释的起源和持续的问题,人们相对较少关注。在此背景下,回归政治意识形态的研究有助于将政治时代性的客观和主观方法联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Time in International Organizations and International Organizations in Time 国际组织中的时间与国际组织中的时间
Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190862084.013.12
Eugénia C. Heldt
Time plays a central role in international organizations (IOs). Interactions among actors are embedded in a temporal dimension, and actors use formal and informal time rules, time discourses, and time pressure to obtain concessions from their counterparts. By the same token, legacies and innovations within and outside IOs can be examined as a dynamic process evolving over time. Against this background, this chapter has a twofold aim. First, it examines how actors use time in IOs with a particular focus on multilateral negotiations to justify their actions. Drawing on international relations studies and negotiation analysis, this piece explores six different dimensions of time in the multilateral system: time pressure, time discourse, time rules, time costs, time horizons, and time as a resource. Second, this chapter delineates the evolution of IOs over time with the focus on innovations that emerge to adapt their institutional system to new political and economic circumstances. This piece looks particularly at endogenous and exogenous changes in IOs, recurring to central concepts used by historical institutionalism, including path dependence, critical junctures, and sequencing. This allows us to map patterns of incremental change, such as displacement, conversion, drift, and layering.
时间在国际组织中发挥着核心作用。行动者之间的互动嵌入在时间维度中,行动者使用正式和非正式的时间规则、时间话语和时间压力来获得对方的让步。同样的道理,IOs内外的遗产和创新也可以看作是一个不断演变的动态过程。在此背景下,本章有双重目的。首先,它考察了参与者如何利用时间,特别是多边谈判,以证明他们的行动是合理的。本文以国际关系研究和谈判分析为基础,探讨了多边体系中时间的六个不同维度:时间压力、时间话语、时间规则、时间成本、时间视野和时间作为资源。其次,本章描述了国际货币基金组织随着时间的推移而演变,重点是使其制度体系适应新的政治和经济环境而出现的创新。这篇文章特别关注IOs的内生和外生变化,重复使用历史制度主义的核心概念,包括路径依赖、关键节点和排序。这允许我们映射增量变化的模式,例如位移、转换、漂移和分层。
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引用次数: 1
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The Oxford Handbook of Time and Politics
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