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Higher-than-present Medieval pine (Pinus sylvestris) treeline along the Swedish Scandes 比现在高的中世纪松(Pinus sylvestris)沿着瑞典的斯堪德斯山脉的林木线
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2015-05-20 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201542
L. Kullman
The upper treeline of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) is renowned as a sensitive indicator of climate change and variability. By use of megafossil tree remains, preserved exposed on the ground surface, treeline shift over the past millennium was investigated at multiple sites along the Scandes in northern Sweden. Difference in thermal level between the present and the Medieval period, about AD 1000-1200, is a central, although controversial, aspect concerning the detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate warming. Radiocarbon-dated megafossil pines revealed that the treeline was consistently positioned as much as 115 m higher during the Medieval period than today (AD 2000-2010), after a century of warming and substantial treeline upshift. Drawing on the last-mentioned figure, and a lapse rate of 0.6 °C/100 m, it may be inferred that Medieval summer temperatures were about 0.7 °C warmer than much of the past 100 years. Extensive pine mortality and treeline descent after the Medieval warming peak reflect substantially depressed temperatures during the Little Ice Age. Warmer-than-present conditions during the Medieval period concur with temperature reconstructions from different parts of northern Fennoscandia, northwestern Russia and Greenland. Modern warming has not been sufficient to restore Medieval treelines. Against this background, there is little reason to view further modest warming as unnatural.
苏格兰松(Pinus sylvestris L.)的上树线被认为是气候变化和变异的敏感指标。通过使用暴露在地面上的巨型树木化石遗骸,在瑞典北部的斯坎德斯山脉沿线的多个地点调查了过去一千年来树木线的变化。现代和中世纪(约公元1000-1200年)之间的热水平差异是人类气候变暖的探测和归因方面的一个核心,尽管存在争议。放射性碳年代测定的巨型松树化石显示,在经历了一个世纪的变暖和大量的树线上升之后,中世纪时期的树线始终比今天(公元2000-2010年)高出115米。根据最后提到的数字和0.6°C/100米的递减率,可以推断中世纪夏季的温度比过去100年的大部分时间要高0.7°C左右。中世纪变暖高峰后松树大量死亡和树线下降反映了小冰河期气温的大幅下降。中世纪时期比现在更温暖的条件与芬诺斯坎迪亚北部、俄罗斯西北部和格陵兰岛不同地区的温度重建相一致。现代的变暖还不足以恢复中世纪的树线。在这种背景下,没有理由认为进一步的温和变暖是不自然的。
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引用次数: 17
The appreciation of nature and landscape by tourism service providers and visitors in the Ore Mountains (Germany) 旅游服务提供者和游客对奥尔山自然和景观的欣赏(德国)
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2015-04-17 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201541
O. Bastian, C. Stein, Gerd Lupp, Jan Behrens, C. Renner, K. Grunewald
The paper presents empirical studies on the appreciation of nature and landscape in the Eastern Ore Mountains (Saxony, Germany) by tourism service providers (TSP) and visitors. Attractive landscape and experience of nature are the most important reasons to visit this region and to spend leisure time there. Particularly mountain meadows, raised bogs and mixed forests are highly appreciated. Deforestation, industrial development and the decline of biodiversity would reduce attractiveness for visitors. We also assessed whether the tourism sector is prepared to contribute to the funding of nature conservation and landscape management. Use of general tax revenues is favoured, but other modes would also be accepted, e.g. a nature tax. Willingness to pay (WTP) is ranging between €0.75 and €1.36 per guest per night by TSP, or between €1.06 and €2.73 per day by visitors. With respect to landscape preference and WTP we found in some cases significant differences among visitors, depending on region of residence, age and education level. A major part of the annual costs for nature conservation and landscape could be covered by public funds (taxes), if the results of the WTP approach were understood as a sign of societal demand and a call to action.
本文对旅游服务商(TSP)和游客对德国萨克森东部矿石山(Eastern Ore Mountains, Saxony)自然景观的欣赏进行了实证研究。迷人的风景和对自然的体验是参观这个地区和在那里度过闲暇时光的最重要的原因。特别是山地草地、沼泽和混交林非常受欢迎。森林砍伐、工业发展和生物多样性下降将降低对游客的吸引力。我们亦评估了旅游业是否准备为自然保育和景观管理提供资金。使用一般税收是可取的,但也可以接受其他方式,例如征收自然税。根据TSP,每位客人每晚的意愿支付(WTP)在0.75欧元至1.36欧元之间,或者游客每天的意愿支付(WTP)在1.06欧元至2.73欧元之间。在景观偏好和WTP方面,我们发现在某些情况下,根据居住地区、年龄和教育水平,游客之间存在显著差异。如果将WTP方法的结果理解为社会需求和行动呼吁的标志,那么自然保护和景观的年度成本的主要部分可以由公共资金(税收)支付。
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引用次数: 30
Sustainable landscape development and value rigidity: the Pirsig‘s monkey trap 可持续景观开发和价值刚性:波西格的猴子陷阱
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2015-03-16 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201540
G. Zurlini, I. Petrosillo, A. Bozsik, John Cloud, Roberta Aretano, N. Lincoln
New broader, adaptable and accommodating sets of themes have been proposed to help to identify, understand and solve sustainability problems. However, how this knowledge will foster decisions that lead to more desirable outcomes and analyses necessary to transition to sustainability remains a critical theoretical and empirical question for basic and applied research. We argue that we are still underestimating the tendency to lock into certain patterns that come at the cost of the ability to adjust to new situations. This rigidity limits the ability of persons, groups, and companies to respond to new problems, and can make it hard to learn new facts because we pre-select facts as important, or not, in line with our established values. Changing circumstances demand to reappraise values like in the case of Pirsig's monkey and its rice. There is an urgent need to go beyond such local, static and short-term conceptions, where landscape sustainability has been incorrectly envisioned as a durable, stable condition that, once achieved, could persist for generations. We argue that to manage a global transition toward more environmentally efficient and, therefore, more sustainable land-use we have to reappraise societal values at the root of overregulation and rigidity.
提出了新的更广泛、适应性强和可容纳性强的主题,以帮助确定、理解和解决可持续性问题。然而,对于基础研究和应用研究而言,这些知识将如何促进产生更理想结果的决策和向可持续性过渡所需的分析,仍然是一个关键的理论和实证问题。我们认为,我们仍然低估了锁定某些模式的倾向,这种倾向是以牺牲适应新情况的能力为代价的。这种僵化限制了个人、团体和公司对新问题作出反应的能力,并可能使我们很难了解新的事实,因为我们预先选择的事实是重要的,或不重要的,符合我们既定的价值观。不断变化的环境要求我们重新评估价值观,就像普西格的猴子和它的大米一样。迫切需要超越这种地方性、静态和短期的观念,在这种观念中,景观可持续性被错误地设想为一种持久、稳定的条件,一旦实现,就可以持续几代人。我们认为,为了管理全球向更环保和更可持续的土地利用过渡,我们必须重新评估过度监管和僵化的社会价值观。
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引用次数: 7
Urban-rural gradients of ecosystem services and the linkages with socioeconomics. 生态系统服务功能的城乡梯度及其与社会经济的联系。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2015-02-28 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201539
Ying Hou, F. Müller, Bo Li, F. Kroll
The principle of urban-rural gradients can reveal the spatial variations of ecosystem services and socioeconomic dimensions. The interrelations between ecosystem services and socioeconomics have scarcely been considered in the context of urban-rural areas. We investigated the spatial gradients and the mutual linkages of several ecosystem services and socioeconomic variables in the urban-rural areas of Leipzig, Germany, and Kunming, China. The results showed some regularities in the spatial patterns of ecosystem services and socioeconomic dimensions in both study areas. Habitat quality and f-evapotranspiration of Leipzig and habitat quality of Kunming demonstrated apparent increasing trends along all gradient patterns. However, the other ecosystem services presented divergent spatial variabilities in different gradient patterns. Road density, urban fabric and population density showed identical declining trends in both case study areas. Differently, household size, housing area as well as unemployment rate in Leipzig presented inconsistent spatial dynamics with considerable fluctuations. With regard to the gradient interrelations, road density, urban fabric and population density were strongly correlated with most ecosystem services in both case study areas. In contrast, the gradients of household size, housing area and unemployment rate of Leipzig showed inconsistent correlations with the ecosystem services gradients. Our study provides evidence to the argument that typical patterns of ecosystem service gradients do not exist in different urban-rural areas.
城乡梯度原理可以揭示生态系统服务功能和社会经济维度的空间变化。生态系统服务与社会经济学之间的相互关系很少在城乡地区的背景下被考虑。研究了德国莱比锡和中国昆明城乡地区生态系统服务和社会经济变量的空间梯度及其相互联系。结果表明,两个研究区生态系统服务空间格局和社会经济维度具有一定的规律性。在各梯度模式下,莱比锡和昆明的生境质量和蒸散量均呈现明显的增加趋势。而其他生态系统服务功能在不同的梯度格局下呈现出不同的空间变异性。在这两个案例研究区域,道路密度、城市结构和人口密度呈现相同的下降趋势。不同的是,莱比锡的家庭规模、住房面积和失业率呈现不一致的空间动态,波动较大。在梯度相互关系方面,道路密度、城市结构和人口密度与两个案例研究区的大多数生态系统服务密切相关。相比之下,莱比锡的家庭规模、住房面积和失业率梯度与生态系统服务梯度的相关性不一致。本文的研究为不同城乡区域不存在典型的生态系统服务梯度模式提供了证据。
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引用次数: 28
Competing Wind Energy Discourses, Contested Landscapes 竞争的风能话语,竞争的景观
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2014-10-13 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201438
Markus Leibenath, A. Otto
The impairment of landscapes is a concern constantly raised against wind energy developments in Germany as in other countries. Often, landscapes or landscape types are treated in the literature as essentialist or at least as uncontested categories. We analyse two examples of local controversies about wind energy, in which “landscape” is employed by supporters and opponents alike, from a poststructuralist and discourse theoretical angle. The aim is to identify and compare landscape constructs produced in the micro discourses of wind energy objectors and proponents at local level (a) within each case, (b) between the two cases and (c) with landscape constructs that were previously found in macro discourses. One major finding is that several different landscapes can exist at one and the same place. Furthermore there seems to be a relatively stable set of competing landscape concepts which is reproduced in specific controversies. The paper concludes by highlighting  practical consequences and by identifying promising avenues of further research.
在德国和其他国家,对风能开发的损害是一个不断引起关注的问题。通常,景观或景观类型在文献中被视为本质主义或至少是无可争议的类别。我们从后结构主义和话语理论的角度分析了两个关于风能的地方争议的例子,其中“景观”被支持者和反对者同样使用。目的是识别和比较风能反对者和支持者在地方层面的微观话语中产生的景观结构(a)在每个案例中,(b)在两个案例之间,(c)与之前在宏观话语中发现的景观结构。一个主要的发现是,几个不同的景观可以存在于同一个地方。此外,似乎存在一套相对稳定的竞争景观概念,这些概念在具体的争议中得到了再现。论文最后强调了实际结果,并确定了进一步研究的有希望的途径。
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引用次数: 29
Do you have 5 minutes to spare? -The challenges of stakeholder processes in ecosystem services studies 你有5分钟的空闲时间吗?-生态系统服务研究中利益相关者过程的挑战
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2014-10-02 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201437
Lars Koschke, S. Meulen, S. Frank, Anna Schneidergruber, M. Kruse, C. Fürst, Esther Neubert, Bettina Ohnesorge, Claudia Schröder, F. Müller, O. Bastian
Operationalization of the ecosystem services (ES) concept for improved natural resource management and decision support cannot, thus far, be rated as satisfactory. Participation of stakeholders is still a major methodical and conceptual challenge for implementing ES. Therefore, we conducted an online survey and a literature analysis to identify benefits and challenges of the application of ES in participatory processes. The results show that the purpose of stakeholder engagement is very diverse as a result of varying objectives, spatial scales and institutional levels of analysis. The complexity, terminology and (lacking) coherent classification of ES are pivotal aspects that should be accounted for in the design of studies to improve stakeholder participation. Although limitations of time and financial resources are bigger challenges than ES related ones, tailoring communication strategies and information for different stakeholder groups are of major importance for the success of ES studies. Results support the view that the potential benefits of applying ES, e.g., consensus finding, and development of integrated solutions, cannot be realized consistently across the different spatial scales and decision-making levels. Focusing on stakeholder processes represents a means to increase the relevance, reliability and impact of study results and to move participation in ES research from theory to reality.
迄今为止,改善自然资源管理和决策支持的生态系统服务概念的实施还不能令人满意。利益相关者的参与仍然是实施ES的主要方法和概念挑战。因此,我们进行了一项在线调查和文献分析,以确定在参与式过程中应用ES的好处和挑战。研究结果表明,利益相关者参与的目的由于分析的目标、空间尺度和制度层次的不同而非常多样化。ES的复杂性、术语和(缺乏)连贯分类是研究设计中应该考虑的关键方面,以提高利益相关者的参与。虽然时间和财政资源的限制比ES相关的挑战更大,但为不同的利益相关者群体量身定制沟通策略和信息对于ES研究的成功至关重要。研究结果表明,在不同的空间尺度和决策层面,应用生态系统的潜在效益(如共识发现和综合解决方案的开发)并不能一致地实现。关注利益相关者过程是提高研究结果的相关性、可靠性和影响的一种手段,并将参与ES研究从理论转向现实。
{"title":"Do you have 5 minutes to spare? -The challenges of stakeholder processes in ecosystem services studies","authors":"Lars Koschke, S. Meulen, S. Frank, Anna Schneidergruber, M. Kruse, C. Fürst, Esther Neubert, Bettina Ohnesorge, Claudia Schröder, F. Müller, O. Bastian","doi":"10.3097/LO.201437","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3097/LO.201437","url":null,"abstract":"Operationalization of the ecosystem services (ES) concept for improved natural resource management and decision support cannot, thus far, be rated as satisfactory. Participation of stakeholders is still a major methodical and conceptual challenge for implementing ES. Therefore, we conducted an online survey and a literature analysis to identify benefits and challenges of the application of ES in participatory processes. The results show that the purpose of stakeholder engagement is very diverse as a result of varying objectives, spatial scales and institutional levels of analysis. The complexity, terminology and (lacking) coherent classification of ES are pivotal aspects that should be accounted for in the design of studies to improve stakeholder participation. Although limitations of time and financial resources are bigger challenges than ES related ones, tailoring communication strategies and information for different stakeholder groups are of major importance for the success of ES studies. Results support the view that the potential benefits of applying ES, e.g., consensus finding, and development of integrated solutions, cannot be realized consistently across the different spatial scales and decision-making levels. Focusing on stakeholder processes represents a means to increase the relevance, reliability and impact of study results and to move participation in ES research from theory to reality.","PeriodicalId":38803,"journal":{"name":"Landscape Online","volume":"37 1","pages":"1-25"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69300770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 30
Sustainable noise abatement along motorways in Germany – an empirical study in the municipality Frasdorf (Bavaria) 德国高速公路沿线可持续噪声消减——在弗拉斯多夫市(巴伐利亚州)的实证研究
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2014-09-21 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201436
M. Artmann, J. Breuste
As part of the planned expansion work of the motorway A8 between Rosenheim and Salzburg and the associated legal opportunity to develop new traffic noise protection measures, this study investigated properties of sustainable noise abatement in a community next to the A8. A two-stage empirical survey was conducted integrating a citizen and an expert Delphi survey. The results show that the noise from the motorway heavily affects the quality of life in health, economic and ecological respects. Sustainable noise abatement should take into consideration ecological and social aspects like landscape integration and contribution to local development due to the unique location of the municipality. Enclosed motorway canopies are particularly beneficial to meet these criteria. The costs for sustainable noise abatement measures should be weighted as less important; however, financial costs are crucial for the federal government due to the requirements of the Federal Pollution Control Act. Hence, residents and experts assume that noise barriers as the cheaper noise abatement measures will be implemented. However, the results of the study and the latest developments in the expansion plans suggest that the implementation of enclosed motorway canopies, which go beyond the legal requirements, is feasible through extensive citizen participation and community-specific planning.
作为罗森海姆和萨尔茨堡之间的A8高速公路计划扩建工作的一部分,以及开发新的交通噪声保护措施的相关法律机会,本研究调查了A8附近社区可持续噪声减少的特性。采用两阶段的实证调查,结合市民调查和专家德尔菲调查。结果表明,高速公路噪声严重影响居民的健康、经济和生态生活质量。可持续的噪音减少应该考虑生态和社会方面,如景观整合和对当地发展的贡献,因为市政当局的独特位置。封闭的高速公路顶棚特别有利于满足这些标准。可持续噪音消减措施的成本应被视为不那么重要;然而,由于《联邦污染控制法》的要求,财政成本对联邦政府来说至关重要。因此,居民和专家们认为,作为最便宜的降噪措施,将会实施隔音屏障。然而,研究结果和扩建计划的最新发展表明,通过广泛的公民参与和社区具体规划,实施封闭的高速公路檐篷是可行的,这超出了法律要求。
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引用次数: 1
Detecting land use and land cover changes in Northern German agricultural landscapes to assess ecosystem service dynamics. 检测德国北部农业景观的土地利用和土地覆盖变化以评估生态系统服务动态。
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2014-06-15 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201435
Marion Kandziora, Katja Dörnhöfer, N. Oppelt, F. Müller
Land use and land cover (LULC) and their changes in share and number of classes can be documented by remote sensing techniques. Information on LULC is needed for the assessment of ecosystem services and is used as input data for mapping and modelling. This information is important for decision-making and management of ecosystems and landscapes. In this study, LULC were analysed in two agricultural areas in Northern Germany by means of a pixel-based maximum likelihood classification approach of 11 Landsat TM 5 scenes between 1987 and 2011 followed by a post-classification refinement using the tool IRSeL. In this time period, grassland declined by about 50 % in both case study areas. This loss in grassland area can be associated with changes in provisioning ecosystem services as the supply of fodder and crops and the number of livestock declined from 1987 to 2007. Furthermore, an on-going increase in maize cultivation area, which is nowadays more and more used as biomass for biogas production, documents the addition of another provisioning service, i.e., biomass for energy. Combining remote sensing and research on ecosystem services supports the assessment and monitoring of ecosystem services on different temporal, spatial, and semantic scales.
土地利用和土地覆盖(LULC)及其种类的份额和数量的变化可以通过遥感技术记录下来。生态系统服务评估需要关于土地利用和土地利用变化的信息,并将其用作制图和建模的输入数据。这些信息对生态系统和景观的决策和管理很重要。在本研究中,通过基于像素的最大似然分类方法对1987年至2011年间11个Landsat TM 5场景进行分析,并使用IRSeL工具进行分类后细化。在此期间,两个案例研究区的草地面积减少了约50%。草地面积的减少可能与生态系统服务供应的变化有关,因为饲料和作物的供应以及牲畜数量从1987年到2007年有所下降。此外,玉米种植面积的持续增加,现在越来越多地用作生产沼气的生物质,证明了另一种供应服务的增加,即用于能源的生物质。将遥感与生态系统服务研究相结合,支持在不同时间、空间和语义尺度上对生态系统服务进行评估和监测。
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引用次数: 28
Ecosystem service potentials, flows and demands-concepts for spatial localisation, indication and quantification 生态系统服务潜力、流量和需求——空间定位、指示和量化的概念
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2014-06-02 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201434
Benjamin Burkhard, Marion Kandziora, Ying Hou, F. Müller
The high variety of ecosystem service categorisation systems, assessment frameworks, indicators, quantification methods and spatial localisation approaches allows scientists and decision makers to harness experience, data, methods and tools. On the other hand, this variety of concepts and disagreements among scientists hamper an integration of ecosystem services into contemporary environmental management and decision making. In this article, the current state of the art of ecosystem service science regarding spatial localisation, indication and quantification of multiple ecosystem service supply and demand is reviewed and discussed. Concepts and tables for regulating, provisioning and cultural ecosystem service definitions, distinguishing between ecosystem service potential supply (stocks), flows (real supply) and demands as well as related indicators for quantification are provided. Furthermore, spatial concepts of service providing units, benefitting areas, spatial relations, rivalry, spatial and temporal scales are elaborated. Finally, matrices linking CORINE land cover types to ecosystem service potentials, flows, demands and budget estimates are provided. The matrices show that ecosystem service potentials of landscapes differ from flows, especially for provisioning ecosystem services.
多种多样的生态系统服务分类系统、评估框架、指标、量化方法和空间定位方法使科学家和决策者能够利用经验、数据、方法和工具。另一方面,科学家之间的各种概念和分歧阻碍了生态系统服务与当代环境管理和决策的整合。本文回顾和讨论了生态系统服务科学在空间定位、多种生态系统服务供给和需求的指示和量化方面的最新进展。提供了调节、供应和文化生态系统服务定义的概念和表格,区分生态系统服务潜在供应(存量)、流量(实际供应)和需求,以及量化的相关指标。进一步阐述了服务单位、受益区域、空间关系、竞争关系、时空尺度等空间概念。最后,提供了将CORINE土地覆盖类型与生态系统服务潜力、流量、需求和预算估算联系起来的矩阵。结果表明,景观的生态系统服务潜力不同于流量,特别是在提供生态系统服务方面。
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引用次数: 544
Scenario Methodology for Modelling of Future Landscape Developments as Basis for Assessing Ecosystem Services 模拟未来景观发展的情景方法,作为评估生态系统服务的基础
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2014-04-26 DOI: 10.3097/LO.201433
Matthias Rosenberg, R. Syrbe, Juliane Vowinckel, U. Walz
The ecosystems of our intensively used European landscapes produce a variety of natural goods and services for the benefit of humankind, and secure the basics and quality of life. Because these ecosystems are still undergoing fundamental changes, the interest of the society is to know more about future developments and their ecological impacts. To describe and analyze these changes, scenarios can be developed and an assessment of the ecological changes can be carried out subsequently. In the project "Landscape Saxony 2050"; a methodology for the construction of exploratory scenarios was worked out. The presented methodology provides a possibility to identify the driving forces (socio-cultural, economic and ecological conditions) of the landscape development. It allows to indicate possible future paths which lead to a change of structures and processes in the landscape and can influence the capability to provide ecosystem services. One essential component of the applied technique is that an approach for the assessment of the effects of the landscape changes on ecosystem services is integrated into the developed scenario methodology. Another is, that the methodology is strong designed as participatory, i.e. stakeholders are integrated actively. The method is a seven phase model which provides the option for the integration of the stakeholders' participation at all levels of scenario development. The scenario framework was applied to the district of Gorlitz, an area of 2100 sq km located at the eastern border of Germany. The region is affected by strong demographic as well as economic changes. The core issue focused on the examination of landscape change in terms of biodiversity. Together with stakeholders, a trend scenario and two alternative scenarios were developed. The changes of the landscape structure are represented in story lines, maps and tables. On basis of the driving forces of the issue areas "cultural/social values" and "political control", three scenarios were developed up to the time horizons in 2030 and 2050. They are titled "Trend", "Tradition and Ecology" and "Technology and Energy". These scenarios differ markedly in the degree of the future lignite exploitation, in the use of renewable energy and in the environmental compatibility of the agricultural production. In total, the investigation shows that the integration of the ecosystem services approach into the scenario technology has brought new aspects. However, the procedure became more complex. For the development of the scenarios a precise definition of the driving forces turned out to be essential. The experiences of the project further show that only two or at most three key driving forces (KDF) can be distinguished really sensibly or can be looked at in their interactions. It could be shown that from these results itself concrete measures can be derived which support desirable developments or counteract against undesirable effects. By the integration of stakeholders in diff
我们密集使用的欧洲景观的生态系统为人类提供了各种自然产品和服务,并确保了基本生活和生活质量。由于这些生态系统仍在发生根本性的变化,社会的兴趣是更多地了解未来的发展及其对生态的影响。为了描述和分析这些变化,可以制定情景,并随后对生态变化进行评估。“萨克森州景观2050”项目;提出了一种构建探索性场景的方法。所提出的方法为确定景观发展的驱动力(社会文化、经济和生态条件)提供了一种可能性。它可以指出未来可能导致景观结构和过程变化的路径,并可以影响提供生态系统服务的能力。所应用技术的一个重要组成部分是将一种评估景观变化对生态系统服务的影响的方法纳入已开发的情景方法。另一个是,该方法具有很强的参与性,即利益相关者是积极整合的。该方法是一个七阶段模型,它提供了在场景开发的所有层次上整合利益相关者参与的选项。该情景框架应用于位于德国东部边界的2100平方公里的Gorlitz地区。该地区受到强烈的人口和经济变化的影响。核心问题集中在从生物多样性的角度考察景观变化。与利益相关者一起,开发了一个趋势情景和两个备选情景。景观结构的变化以故事线、地图和表格的形式表现出来。根据“文化/社会价值”和“政治控制”这两个问题领域的驱动力,我们发展了三种情景,直至2030年和2050年。它们的题目分别是“趋势”、“传统与生态”和“技术与能源”。这些设想在未来褐煤开采的程度、可再生能源的使用和农业生产的环境相容性方面有很大的不同。综上所述,将生态系统服务方法与情景技术相结合带来了新的方面。然而,这个过程变得更加复杂。对于这些情景的发展,对驱动力的精确定义是必不可少的。该项目的经验进一步表明,只有两个或最多三个关键驱动力(KDF)可以真正明智地加以区分,或者可以在它们的相互作用中加以观察。可以表明,从这些结果本身可以推导出支持理想发展或抵消不良影响的具体措施。通过将利益相关者整合到不同的工作步骤中,这些情景有助于提高对一个地区未来问题和机会的敏感性和更好的感知。
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引用次数: 22
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