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2015 International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS)最新文献

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A sequential barrier-based model to evaluate human reliability in maritime accident process 基于顺序障碍的船舶事故过程中人的可靠性评估模型
Pub Date : 2015-09-03 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232184
Bing Wu, Yang Wang, C. Guedes Soares, Xin-ping Yan, Di Zhan
Human reliability is considered as the predominant causation factor in maritime accidents. The previous researches on human reliability analysis are reviewed in this paper, although these works have benefited us a lot in accident prevention, few researches focused on the human reliability in the developing stages of maritime accident process. This paper first thoroughly reviews the existing sequential accident process models, including the Swiss cheese model, accident causation model, risk-scenario based model, then the strengths and weakness of these models are compared with each other. To make a feasible and reasonable assessment on the human reliability, a sequential safety barrier-based model which includes four safety barriers are proposed by incorporating the safety barrier (SB) and risk scenario together. Moreover, the failure modes of different safety barriers, which consider the difficulty of these barriers' implementation, are also presented to further analyze the human reliability. The developing states, including initiating state (IE), mid states (MS), and end state (ES), and accident scenario of different types of accidents are also proposed under the framework of sequential safety barriers. Finally, this proposed model is introduced to investigate 97 maritime accident reports issued by Maritime Safety Administration (MSA) of China from 2000 to 2010. The result reveals that majority of the maritime accidents can be analyzed by the proposed accident process model (91.8%, N=97). It also demonstrates that different measures in terms of developing stages should be adopted to enhance the human reliability in the maritime accident process. Moreover, multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) reveals that human error is closely related with the catastrophic accident; moreover, it also demonstrates that majority of the accidents can be prevented or even avoided in the earlier stages.
人的可靠性被认为是海上事故的主要原因。本文综述了前人在人为可靠性分析方面的研究成果,尽管这些研究成果在事故预防方面给我们带来了很大的帮助,但对海上事故过程发展阶段的人为可靠性研究较少。本文首先全面回顾了现有的顺序事故过程模型,包括瑞士奶酪模型、事故原因模型和基于风险情景的模型,然后对这些模型的优缺点进行了比较。为了对人的可靠性进行可行、合理的评估,将安全屏障与风险情景相结合,提出了一个包含4个安全屏障的顺序安全屏障模型。此外,还考虑了安全屏障的实施难度,给出了不同安全屏障的失效模式,进一步分析了安全屏障的人为可靠性。在顺序安全屏障的框架下,提出了初始状态(IE)、中间状态(MS)和最终状态(ES)的发展状态,以及不同类型事故的事故情景。最后,以中国海事局2000年至2010年发布的97份海上事故报告为例进行了实证研究。结果表明,绝大多数海上事故可以用本文提出的事故过程模型进行分析(91.8%,N=97)。研究还表明,在海上事故过程中,应根据发展阶段采取不同的措施来提高人的可靠性。此外,多重对应分析(MCA)表明,人为失误与灾难性事故密切相关;此外,这也表明,大多数事故在早期阶段是可以预防甚至避免的。
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引用次数: 0
Risk evaluation index system of navigation environment of Qiongzhou Strait based on FAHP 基于FAHP的琼州海峡通航环境风险评价指标体系
Pub Date : 2015-09-03 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232176
Yanfei Tian, Xuecheng Sun
In order to systematically master the navigation environment risk characteristics of Qiongzhou Strait in a quantitative way, evaluation index system was structured scientifically through literature review and expert investigation, relative weight of each index was calculate via Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process(FAHP). The research process and result can provide theoretical reference for improving navigation safety management, which excavated the collected expert knowledge mathematically, quantified weight of each evaluation index subjectively.
为系统定量地掌握琼州海峡通航环境风险特征,通过文献综述和专家调查,科学构建评价指标体系,采用模糊层次分析法计算各指标的相对权重。通过对收集到的专家知识进行数学挖掘,主观量化各评价指标的权重,研究过程和结果可为提高航海安全管理水平提供理论参考。
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引用次数: 3
An inexact bus departure frequency model for traffic pollution control 交通污染控制的非精确公交发车频率模型
Pub Date : 2015-09-03 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232195
Ma Xiaofeng, Chen Peng, Gao Jianhua, W. Chaozhong
This study presents an interval bus departure frequency programming model for traffic system pollution control through odd-even restrictions on private vehicles policy under uncertainties. The restriction policy results in enormous cost of the public transportation system especially in peak hours. The developed model can effectively quantify the relationship among system cost, execution time of the restriction policy and traffic environment by considering the uncertainties of traffic system. The uncertainties presented as interval numbers in the public transportation system can be quantified with the interval programming. The developed model is applied to Wuhan city, China. The results indicate that the efficiency of the program is significantly influenced by automobile ownership, the execution time of the policy and the level of emission. Besides, the program can easily be extended to all bus routes for vehicle emissions management.
针对不确定条件下私家车奇偶限制政策下的交通系统污染控制问题,提出了区间公交发车频率规划模型。这一限制政策给公共交通系统带来了巨大的成本,尤其是在高峰时段。该模型考虑了交通系统的不确定性,能够有效地量化系统成本、限制政策执行时间与交通环境之间的关系。公共交通系统中以区间数表示的不确定性可以用区间规划来量化。该模型以武汉市为例进行了应用。结果表明,该方案的效率受到汽车保有量、政策执行时间和排放水平的显著影响。此外,该计划可以很容易地扩展到所有公交路线,以进行车辆排放管理。
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引用次数: 2
The synergistic effect of drag reduction and antifouling of bionic jet surface 仿生射流表面减阻防污的协同效应
Pub Date : 2015-06-25 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232103
Yifeng Fu, C. Yuan, Xiuqin Bai
Antifouling and drag reduction of ships are two critical issues in the shipping industry, which significantly affect the efficiency, safety, reliability of ships. Drag reduction by the bionic jet surface is an effective approach for reducing the energy consumption of ships. However, complicated by the impact of marine biofouling, it is invalid to consider the isolated effect of drag reduction of jet surface. Inspired by jet function of shark gills, which have the synergistic effect of antifouling and drag reduction, bionic jet structure model similar to the jet characteristic of shark gills was established. The antifouling function of bionic jet is analyzed, and the ability of drag reduction is also studied with the methods of theoretical analysis and numerical simulation. The jet diameter and velocity of bionic jet surface are analyzed, and numerical simulation is used with SST k-ω turbulent model. The results reveal coupling of appropriate jet diameter and jet velocity was feasible to realize the synergistic effect of drag reduction and antifouling of bionic jet surface.
船舶的防污和减阻是航运业的两个关键问题,对船舶的效率、安全性和可靠性有着重要的影响。仿生射流表面减阻是降低船舶能耗的有效途径。然而,由于海洋生物污染的复杂影响,单独考虑射流表面减阻效应是不合理的。借鉴鲨鱼鳃具有防污减阻协同作用的射流功能,建立了与鲨鱼鳃射流特性相似的仿生射流结构模型。分析了仿生射流的防污功能,并采用理论分析和数值模拟的方法研究了仿生射流的减阻能力。分析了仿生射流表面的射流直径和射流速度,并采用SST k-ω湍流模型进行了数值模拟。结果表明,适当的射流直径和射流速度耦合是实现仿生射流表面减阻和防污协同效应的可行方法。
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引用次数: 1
The application of access management in residential areas of Beijing 北京市住宅小区门禁管理的应用
Pub Date : 2015-06-25 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232198
Lin Wenzhao, Yang Xiaokuan
This paper investigates the impact of the existing design and layout of driveways located at residential areas on the traffic performances of urban roadways. Conflicts and facilities surrounding these areas are also analyzed. The main problems in the investigation are as follows: 1. Accesses located too close to nearby signalized intersections, 2. Control level of access is not enough, 3. Poor design of facilities around access, 4. The visibility is inadequate for drivers to safely make turning movement from driveways. The ultimate objective of this study is to use access management technologies to come up with the design principles and guidelines for residential areas to improve safety and operational efficiency of roadways, including removal of access from intersection, enhancing the control level, set facilities around access like non-traversable medians, provide adequate visibility for drivers by no-parking at the side of frontage roadway and the limitation of the plants height of the median. In addition, formula to standardize the access design for the residential areas is established based on the related criteria. The results from this study show that it is workable and feasible to exercise access management strategies for residential areas in Beijing to better off the traffic operation and improve living environment.
本文研究了住宅小区现有车道设计和布局对城市道路交通性能的影响。并分析了这些地区的冲突和设施。调查中存在的主要问题有:1。2.通道离附近的信号交叉口太近。3.访问控制级别不够;3、通道周边设施设计不良;能见度不足,司机无法安全地从车道上转弯。本研究的最终目的是利用通道管理技术提出住宅区的设计原则和指导方针,以提高道路的安全性和运行效率,包括从十字路口移除通道,提高控制水平,在通道周围设置设施,如不可穿越的中间,通过在临街道路一侧禁止停车,为驾驶员提供足够的能见度,限制中间的植物高度。此外,根据相关标准,建立规范居住区通道设计的公式。研究结果表明,在北京市居住区实施通道管理策略以改善交通运行,改善居住环境是可行的。
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引用次数: 0
Mechanical behaviors of the thin-walled SHCC pipes under compression 薄壁SHCC管材压缩力学行为研究
Pub Date : 2015-06-25 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232082
Min Wang, Ming-qing Sun, Xiaoyu Zhang, Ying-jun Wang, Jun Li
The buried concrete pipelines often suffer from breakage or burst due to the heavy traffic load on the pavement or earthquake. The resistance of brittle failure of concrete pipes can be improved by using strain hardening cement-based composites (SHCC), a kind of a high performance ductile composite with a tensile strain capacity exceeding 4%. In this paper, PVA fiber reinforced concrete is used to prepare SHCC and thin-walled pipes. By means of direct tension test, it is shown that the material has high ductility and high tension strength. Under three point compression test, SHCC pipe has higher loading capacity than the ordinary concrete pipe. The deformation process of SHCC pipes can be divided into three phases, that is, the elastic phase, cracking phase and the strain-hardening phase. In the latter two phases, there are multiple narrow cracks happened on the inner side of the top and bottom pipe, and the outer side of the central part of the pipe. However, the load applied on the pipe can be sustained. Under compression, the load is in good linear relationship with deflection, ring stiffness decreases with increasing load.
由于路面交通荷载过大或地震等原因,埋地混凝土管道经常发生断裂或爆裂。应变硬化水泥基复合材料(SHCC)是一种拉伸应变容量超过4%的高性能延性复合材料,可提高混凝土管道的抗脆性破坏能力。本文采用PVA纤维增强混凝土制备SHCC和薄壁管材。直接拉伸试验表明,该材料具有较高的延展性和抗拉强度。在三点压缩试验中,SHCC管比普通混凝土管具有更高的承载能力。SHCC管的变形过程可分为三个阶段,即弹性阶段、开裂阶段和应变硬化阶段。后两阶段,顶、底管内侧和管中部外侧均出现多处狭窄裂缝。然而,施加在管道上的载荷是可以持续的。压缩时,载荷与挠度呈良好的线性关系,环的刚度随载荷的增大而减小。
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引用次数: 4
Price leverage based optimization of anchorage resource allocation in upstream harbor district of Yangtze River 基于价格杠杆的长江上游港区锚地资源优化配置
Pub Date : 2015-06-25 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232150
Kangmin Wu, Yang Wang, Jiangbin Zhao, Lei Xie, Binzhen Wu
This paper investigates the allocation of anchorage resource in upstream harbour district of Yangtze River from the perspective of price leverage. Anchorage is often referred to the area for the vessel to anchor before loading/unloading operation at the dock. As a public resource, anchorage has a properties of "non-exclusive" and "non-compete". Traditional management methods of anchorage mainly rely on the maritime regulatory agencies, which often at lower efficiency. In this paper, it introduces an economical method for the process of anchorage allocation. The research on allocating the anchorage resource in terms of market mechanisms focus on resolving the management problem of anchorage resource by price leverage. Firstly we analyse the economic properties of anchorage resources as common resource; then the presented work explores the method to adjust the anchorage resources by market mechanism, especially the price leverage. By comparing the public administration and market approach in terms of efficiency, cost and flexibility, this paper proposed a scheme to set the pricing strategy for different anchorage areas with consideration of the distance, anchoring conditions and safety level. The study shows that using price leverage to regulate the allocation of anchorage resources is practically significant in upstream harbour district of Yangtze River.
本文从价格杠杆的角度对长江上游港区锚地资源配置进行了研究。锚地通常是指船舶在码头装卸作业前停泊的区域。锚地作为一种公共资源,具有“非排他性”和“非竞争性”的属性。传统的锚地管理方式主要依靠海事监管机构,往往效率较低。本文介绍了一种经济的锚地分配方法。市场机制下的锚地资源配置研究主要集中在通过价格杠杆来解决锚地资源的管理问题。首先分析了锚地资源作为公共资源的经济性;在此基础上,探讨了利用市场机制,特别是价格杠杆来调节锚定资源的方法。通过比较公共管理和市场方式在效率、成本和灵活性方面的差异,提出了考虑锚地距离、锚地条件和安全水平的不同锚地定价策略的方案。研究表明,利用价格杠杆调节长江上游港区锚地资源配置具有现实意义。
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引用次数: 0
Conflicts analysis for urban road intersection considering non-motor vehicles and pedestrians factor 考虑非机动车和行人因素的城市道路交叉口冲突分析
Pub Date : 2015-06-25 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232146
Dang Ning, J. Guo, Xu Zhou
The purpose of analysis of conflicts within the urban intersection is to determine the degree of different types of conflicts within the intersection. Currently, the analysis of conflicts within urban intersections considers in general simply the conflicts between motorized vehicles and the influence of non-motorized vehicles and pedestrians is usually ignored. This paper summarizes the research findings on the conflict analysis in urban intersections, with the state-of-the-art and main issues to be investigated identified. On this basis, a new method is proposed in this paper to analyze the conflicts of urban intersections, which considers the impacts of non-motorized vehicles and pedestrians. Using a real world urban intersection as the example, the proposed method is demonstrated. The result shows that the new method proposed in this paper is much more comprehensive and reasonable, and is more close to our country's actual traffic conditions that non-motorized vehicles and pedestrians are of large numbers.
城市交叉口内部冲突分析的目的是确定交叉口内不同类型冲突的程度。目前,对城市交叉口冲突的分析一般只考虑机动车之间的冲突,而忽略了非机动车和行人的影响。本文总结了城市交叉口冲突分析的研究成果,指出了交叉口冲突分析的研究现状和有待研究的主要问题。在此基础上,提出了一种考虑非机动车辆和行人影响的城市交叉口冲突分析新方法。以一个真实的城市十字路口为例,对该方法进行了验证。结果表明,本文提出的新方法更加全面合理,更接近我国非机动车辆和行人数量较多的实际交通状况。
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引用次数: 1
Research on optimization model of taxi-carpooling expenses based on the passengers' personalized demand 基于乘客个性化需求的出租车拼车费用优化模型研究
Pub Date : 2015-06-25 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232064
H. Feng, Yu Sengbin, He Ruichun, Wei Xiaoyao
Facing the widely popular mobile phone software for taxi and the increasingly rich passengers' personalized demand, the optimization model of Taxi-Carpooling expenses is established which based on the passengers' preference, taking both taxi-driver and passengers' benefits into fully consideration. Based on the degree of satisfaction that passengers would pay for their own share, the model is made with the objective function aiming at maximum degree of satisfaction and minimum consumption of money. In view of its features, the theoretical model is further developed comparing the expenses in theory with that under existing conditions. The results show that this model can meet the need of both passengers and taxi-driver.
面对手机打车软件的广泛普及和乘客日益丰富的个性化需求,在充分考虑出租车司机和乘客利益的基础上,建立了基于乘客偏好的出租车拼车费用优化模型。以乘客为自己的份额支付的满意程度为基础,以满意度最大、金钱消耗最小为目标函数建立模型。针对其特点,进一步发展理论模型,将理论费用与现有条件下的费用进行比较。结果表明,该模型能同时满足乘客和出租车司机的需求。
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引用次数: 4
The evaluation and test methods for power performance and fuel economy for articulated vehicle trains 铰接式车辆列车动力性能和燃油经济性评价与试验方法
Pub Date : 2015-06-25 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232191
Dong Jinsong, Z. Hongwei, Zong Cheng-qiang, Ou Chuanjin, Zhang Hao, Zhou Gang, Zhan Xueli
Articulated vehicle trains consists of a semitrailer tractor and a semitrailer. The power performance and the fuel economy are key indicators in practical cargo transportation, resulting from the matching performance in the transmission system, being relative and restricted to each other. The indicators on evaluation and test methods are put forward depending on the analyses on factors of power performance and fuel economy. The weights of factors are defined by analytic hierarchy process, and the model on power performance and fuel economy of articulated vehicle trains are established and verified by practicing on real road tests. The evaluation model is serving as an indicator on matching power performance and fuel economy of articulated vehicle trains and an important indicator in assembling articulated vehicle trains for road cargo transport enterprises.
铰接式车辆列车由半挂车牵引车和半挂车组成。动力性能和燃油经济性是实际货物运输中的关键指标,是传动系统性能匹配的结果,是相互联系、相互制约的。通过对动力性能和燃油经济性因素的分析,提出了评价指标和试验方法。采用层次分析法确定了各因素的权重,建立了铰接式车辆列车动力性能和燃油经济性模型,并通过实际道路试验进行了验证。该评价模型是评价铰接式车辆列车匹配动力性和燃油经济性的指标,也是道路货物运输企业装配铰接式车辆列车的重要指标。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
2015 International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS)
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