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Neoclassical Cosmological Tests 新古典宇宙学测试
Pub Date : 2020-09-15 DOI: 10.2307/j.ctvxrpxvb.17
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引用次数: 0
Alternative Cosmologies 替代宇宙论
Pub Date : 2020-09-15 DOI: 10.2307/j.ctvxrpxvb.11
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引用次数: 1
Inflation 通货膨胀
Pub Date : 2020-03-15 DOI: 10.1787/425641477864
José Serrano Jiménez
El presente trabajo tiene como objetivo estimar un modelo de regresión que analice el incremento generalizado de los precios de los bienes y servicios de la economía mexicana. En este propósito, los coeficientes serán calculados con el método de Mínimos Cuadrados Ordinarios a fin de validar, mediante diversas pruebas estadísticas, el cumplimiento de los supuestos y propiedades de los estimadores obtenidos, de manera tal que se aplique la metodología del análisis de regresión a los postulados teóricos de la inflación.
本文旨在估算一个回归模型,分析墨西哥经济中商品和服务价格的普遍上涨情况。为此,将采用普通最小二乘法计算系数,以便通过若干统计检验来验证所获得的估计值是否符合假设和特性,从而将回归分析方法应用于通货膨胀的理论假设。
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引用次数: 0
7. Alternative Cosmologies 7. 替代宇宙论
Pub Date : 2017-01-31 DOI: 10.1515/9781400887101-008
T. Rothman
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引用次数: 0
Lessons and Issues 教训和问题
Pub Date : 2012-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/J.1741-5705.2012.03944.X
P. Quirk
In these closing remarks, I will refrain from recapitulating in detail and allow the important articles in this special issue to speak mainly for themselves. For the most part, I will offer some reflections about what we have learned and about issues for future research that go beyond the articles or are not fully explicit in them. Since I am hardly an expert in all of the areas treated by the articles, I will discuss the issues quite informally and venture some judgments, admittedly, speculatively. If nothing else, I hope to provoke thought about some new directions in presidency research. Policy Focus Most of the articles presented here differ from the preponderance of the literature on presidential economic policy making in one or both of two ways: first, they deal with how the most recent presidents have dealt with or contributed to causing the post-2008 financial and economic crisis; or second, they concern the president's role in the long-term development of the economy--in particular, with respect to financial regulation, taxation, and the distribution of income and wealth. Only one article (Comiskey and Marsh) maintains the more standard emphasis on the use of fiscal and monetary policy for short-term stabilization or, more specifically, on the economic results. The first lesson of this special issue is surely that this broader focus is warranted and urgent. If anything, the issues of long-term development are probably the more important ones for economic well-being. As Knott points out, the deregulation of financial services--a long series of long-term changes--played a central role in the devastation of the financial crisis. Hacker and Pierson show that presidents' choices between increasing employment and controlling inflation are far less important than decisions on tax structure, financial regulation, labor relations, and other long-term issues in accounting for the extraordinary levels of economic equality in the contemporary United States. There has been an understandable methodological bias toward studying decisions that are made repeatedly; on substantive grounds, however, decisions that have effect indefinitely will often be more important. Comparing Presidents Short-term macroeconomic management is still enormously important. I believe that the literature should now move beyond the focus of party effects. This approach has produced and will continue to produce extremely interesting findings. Nevertheless, the focus on party offers an overly simple conception of the differences between presidents in this context. In particular, Presidents Dwight D. Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Gerald Ford, and George H. W. Bush differed considerably from Presidents Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush in their attitudes toward taxation and deficit spending--differences that may be comparable in importance to those between Democratic presidents and either group of Republicans. There may be other important differences within parties as well. On analytic
在这些结束语中,我将不作详细的概括,让本期特刊中的重要文章主要为自己说话。在大多数情况下,我将提供一些关于我们所学到的东西和未来研究的问题的思考,这些问题超出了文章的范围或在文章中没有完全明确。由于我几乎不是文章所涉及的所有领域的专家,我将非常非正式地讨论这些问题,并大胆地做出一些判断,诚然,是推测性的。如果没有别的,我希望能激发人们对总统职位研究的一些新方向的思考。这里提出的大多数文章在以下两个方面与总统经济政策制定方面的优势文献有所不同:首先,它们讨论了最近几任总统如何应对或促成了2008年后的金融和经济危机;其次,它们关系到总统在经济长期发展中的作用——特别是在金融监管、税收以及收入和财富分配方面。只有一篇文章(Comiskey和Marsh)坚持更标准地强调使用财政和货币政策来实现短期稳定,或者更具体地说,强调经济结果。这个特别问题的第一个教训肯定是,这种更广泛的关注是必要和紧迫的。如果说有什么不同的话,那就是长期发展的问题可能是对经济福祉更为重要的问题。正如诺特所指出的,金融服务的放松管制——一系列长期变化——在金融危机的破坏中发挥了核心作用。Hacker和Pierson表明,在解释当代美国经济平等的非凡水平时,总统在增加就业和控制通货膨胀之间的选择远不如在税收结构、金融监管、劳资关系和其他长期问题上的决定重要。对于研究反复做出的决定,存在一种可以理解的方法论偏见;然而,从实质性的理由来看,具有无限期效力的决定往往更为重要。比较两位总统的短期宏观经济管理仍然非常重要。我认为,现在的文献应该超越对党派效应的关注。这种方法已经并将继续产生非常有趣的发现。然而,在这种情况下,对党派的关注过于简单地说明了总统之间的差异。特别是,德怀特·d·艾森豪威尔总统、理查德·尼克松总统、杰拉尔德·福特总统和乔治·h·w·布什总统与罗纳德·里根总统和乔治·w·布什总统在税收和赤字支出问题上的态度有很大的不同——这种差异的重要性可以与民主党总统和共和党总统之间的差异相媲美。政党内部也可能存在其他重要的分歧。从分析的角度来看,学者们有必要探讨总统之间更广泛的差异。例如,如果强硬派减税者与其他共和党人分开,党派对比会发生什么?另一方面,在我看来,宏观经济政策的研究也不应该把经济表现的指标——比如收入增长、就业或收入分配——作为主要的因变量进行分析。这些措施当然是最终激发分析的公众结果。但无论是总统还是整个政府都不能精确地确定短期表现。经济表现的很大一部分是由政府控制之外的条件和事件决定的。举几个明显的例子,比尔•克林顿(Bill Clinton)执政期间的长期繁荣通常被归因于“技术繁荣”。吉米•卡特(Jimmy Carter)任内的灾难性表现主要是能源价格大幅上涨的结果。…
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引用次数: 1
Dark Matter 暗物质
Pub Date : 2009-07-29 DOI: 10.2307/j.ctvxrpxvb.22
R. Ferland
Dark matter (DM) is a structure that materializes, reflects satisfaction in normal matter (NM), and its motivation is to maximize that satisfaction. It thus works against the background of the normal matter (NM) we observed and, whenever possible, it acts on this matter in order to increase satisfaction. Dark matter is nothing mysterious, occurring only against the background of astronomical systems. It has as many levels and forms as we observe and to a certain level we know in NM. E.g. in a democratic society it is parliament, in animals it is cerebrospinal fluid. DM is a system function performed by various group.
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引用次数: 0
5. The Expanding Universe 5. 膨胀的宇宙
Pub Date : 2008-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/actrade/9780199234349.003.0006
J. Gribbin
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引用次数: 0
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Principles of Physical Cosmology
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