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Results of a pilot project of microbial therapy management at the children’s hospital 儿童医院微生物治疗管理试点项目的结果
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-397-402
Anna V. Vlasova, Elena V. Smirnova, Nadezda N. Volkova, Liliya V. Dymnova, Andrey E. Angel, Yulia V. Romanova, Antonina A. Rakhalina, Anastasia A. Sharshakova, Valerii V. Gorev, Marina V. Zhuravleva
Introduction. In multidisciplinary pediatric hospitals in Russia, the prerequisite for the formation of principles of antimicrobial therapy management as a medical technology, implemented with the participation of a clinical pharmacologist became possible on the basis of updated clinical and pharmacological tools proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2019. Purpose. The project goal is to show the possibilities of control of antimicrobial therapy, as a medical technology in multidisciplinary children’s hospitals to improve adherence to domestic clinical recommendations in the actual clinical practice of implementing antibiotic therapy management programs in children on the profile of «Pediatrics». Material and methods. The pilot scheme was implemented from 2019 to 2021 on the basis of the Morozov Children’s Clinical Hospital by methods of WHO AWaRe and points estimation of prevalence of antibiotic use according to WHO tool checklist in dynamics. Regulatory documents of medical organization (MO) were formed, which ensured transition from traditional to new approaches within 3 years from 2019 to 2021 to maintain clinical practice of antibiotic use based on clinical guidelines. Results. A comparative study of clinical antibiotic use in children “before” the project in 2019 and “after” in 2021 showed a 2.7-fold decrease in antibiotic use by absolute DDDs from 65.99 in 2019 to 24.34 in 2021. DDDs per 100 p/d. By WHO AWaRe method for absolute values of antibiotics in the “Tolerance” category, a 2-fold decrease in consumption and a 5-fold decrease in consumption for absolute values of antibiotics in the “Control” category: in 2019. — 41.13% (abs. 27.55 PDT per 100 p/d) and in 2021. — 60.1% (abs. 4.64 PDT per 100 p/d). Consumption of “Reserve” category antibiotics by absolute values has not changed. Limitations. This publication describes one medical institution in which this project was implemented, which somewhat reduces the value of the results obtained. Conclusion. As a result of the implementation of the principles of managing antimicrobial therapy, this pilot project was able to reduce the irrational use of antibiotics in the pediatric hospital.
介绍。在俄罗斯的多学科儿科医院,根据世界卫生组织(世卫组织)于2019年提出的最新临床和药理学工具,在临床药理学家的参与下,形成抗菌治疗管理原则作为一项医疗技术的先决条件成为可能。& # x0D;目的。该项目的目标是展示控制抗菌药物治疗的可能性,作为多学科儿童医院的一项医疗技术,以提高对国内临床建议的依从性,在«儿科学»的儿童中实施抗生素治疗管理方案的实际临床实践。& # x0D;材料和方法。该试点计划于2019年至2021年在莫罗佐夫儿童临床医院的基础上,采用世卫组织AWaRe和根据世卫组织动态工具清单对抗生素使用流行率进行积分估计的方法实施。形成医疗机构规范性文件,确保2019 - 2021年3年内从传统方法向新方法过渡,以临床指南为基础,保持抗生素使用的临床实践。& # x0D;结果。对2019年“项目前”和2021年“项目后”儿童临床抗生素使用情况的比较研究显示,按绝对DDDs计算,抗生素使用从2019年的65.99下降到2021年的24.34,下降了2.7倍。每100p /d的DDDs。按照世卫组织“耐受”类抗生素绝对值的AWaRe方法,2019年“控制”类抗生素绝对值消费量将减少2倍,消费量将减少5倍。- 41.13% (abs. 27.55 PDT / 100 p/d)和2021年。- 60.1% (abs. 4.64 PDT / 100 p/d)。“储备”类抗生素的消费量绝对值没有变化。 的局限性。本出版物描述了实施该项目的一家医疗机构,这在一定程度上降低了所获得结果的价值。结论。由于执行了管理抗菌素治疗的原则,这个试点项目能够减少儿科医院不合理使用抗生素的情况。
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 Purpose. The project goal is to show the possibilities of control of antimicrobial therapy, as a medical technology in multidisciplinary children’s hospitals to improve adherence to domestic clinical recommendations in the actual clinical practice of implementing antibiotic therapy management programs in children on the profile of «Pediatrics». 
 Material and methods. The pilot scheme was implemented from 2019 to 2021 on the basis of the Morozov Children’s Clinical Hospital by methods of WHO AWaRe and points estimation of prevalence of antibiotic use according to WHO tool checklist in dynamics. Regulatory documents of medical organization (MO) were formed, which ensured transition from traditional to new approaches within 3 years from 2019 to 2021 to maintain clinical practice of antibiotic use based on clinical guidelines. 
 Results. A comparative study of clinical antibiotic use in children “before” the project in 2019 and “after” in 2021 showed a 2.7-fold decrease in antibiotic use by absolute DDDs from 65.99 in 2019 to 24.34 in 2021. DDDs per 100 p/d. By WHO AWaRe method for absolute values of antibiotics in the “Tolerance” category, a 2-fold decrease in consumption and a 5-fold decrease in consumption for absolute values of antibiotics in the “Control” category: in 2019. — 41.13% (abs. 27.55 PDT per 100 p/d) and in 2021. — 60.1% (abs. 4.64 PDT per 100 p/d). Consumption of “Reserve” category antibiotics by absolute values has not changed.
 Limitations. This publication describes one medical institution in which this project was implemented, which somewhat reduces the value of the results obtained.
 Conclusion. As a result of the implementation of the principles of managing antimicrobial therapy, this pilot project was able to reduce the irrational use of antibiotics in the pediatric hospital.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 14","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874217","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Approaches to improve management of patients with multiple chronic non-communicable diseases (literature review) 改善多种慢性非传染性疾病患者管理的方法(文献综述)
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-417-422
Natalya N. Kamynina, Dmitry A. Andreev, Mariam D. Pakhuridze, Grigory G. Sizov
A large fraction of adult patients has two or more chronic diseases (multiple chronic diseases, MCD). There are often questions about the quality and availability of medical care for patients with MCD, which could drastically be improved using information technologies (IT). The purpose of this work was to study medical care management for MCD patients abroad using IT. This study was carried out by searching the Google system and PubMed. MCD patients are characterized by a high heterogeneity. Effective processing of the flow of medical information (electronic patient registers, digital medical records, scientific knowledge, etc.) is usually feasible with the help of artificial intelligence technologies and supercomputers. To improve health care delivery to adult MCD patients there are described three dimensions for the IT development including 1) development the algorithms to support clinical decision making; 2) coordination of medical care delivery; and 3) attainment of patient self-management. The presented results confirm the important role of IT in medical care. The number of scientific reports devoted to this issue is growing. The use of IT in medicine demonstrates the promise of the principles of automated analysis and the provision of additional information directly at the point of care delivery. This can improve medical processes and, to some extent, clinical outcomes, including indicators of patients’ quality of life. Conclusion. Additional studies based on data from real-life clinical settings are required to make a comprehensive assessment of the areas of IT applicability.
很大一部分成年患者患有两种或两种以上的慢性疾病(多重慢性疾病,MCD)。对于MCD患者的医疗服务质量和可获得性经常存在疑问,使用信息技术(IT)可以大大改善这些问题。& # x0D;本研究的目的是研究国外MCD患者的医疗护理管理。& # x0D;本研究通过搜索Google系统和PubMed进行。& # x0D;MCD患者的特点是高度异质性。在人工智能技术和超级计算机的帮助下,有效处理医疗信息流(电子病历、数字病历、科学知识等)通常是可行的。为了改善对成年MCD患者的医疗服务,IT的发展包括三个方面:1)开发支持临床决策的算法;2)医疗服务的协调;3)患者自我管理的实现。& # x0D;本研究结果证实了信息技术在医疗保健中的重要作用。关于这个问题的科学报告越来越多。信息技术在医学中的应用表明了自动化分析原理的前景,并在护理交付点直接提供额外的信息。这可以改善医疗过程,并在一定程度上改善临床结果,包括患者生活质量指标。结论。需要基于真实临床环境数据的额外研究来做出 对IT应用领域的全面评估。
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 The purpose of this work was to study medical care management for MCD patients abroad using IT. 
 This study was carried out by searching the Google system and PubMed. 
 MCD patients are characterized by a high heterogeneity. Effective processing of the flow of medical information (electronic patient registers, digital medical records, scientific knowledge, etc.) is usually feasible with the help of artificial intelligence technologies and supercomputers. To improve health care delivery to adult MCD patients there are described three dimensions for the IT development including 1) development the algorithms to support clinical decision making; 2) coordination of medical care delivery; and 3) attainment of patient self-management. 
 The presented results confirm the important role of IT in medical care. The number of scientific reports devoted to this issue is growing. The use of IT in medicine demonstrates the promise of the principles of automated analysis and the provision of additional information directly at the point of care delivery. This can improve medical processes and, to some extent, clinical outcomes, including indicators of patients’ quality of life.
 Conclusion. Additional studies based on data from real-life clinical settings are required to make 
 a comprehensive assessment of the areas of IT applicability.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 11","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874082","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modern age-specific pattern of mortality from cardiovascular diseases and its Moscow-specific features 心血管疾病的现代年龄特异性死亡模式及其莫斯科特异性特征
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-444-452
Victoria G. Semyonova, Andrey A. Grigorov, Aleksandr V. Zubko
Background. Mortality from acute cardio-vascular diseases (CVD) remain a global challenge. Age-specific profiles of chronic and acute CVD deaths remain topical: is there any principal difference between the two? The purpose of the study is to analyze age-specific profiles of acute and chronic CVD deaths in Russia and identify Moscow-specific features. Material and methods. The study analyzed Rosstat data on mortality from leading CVD in Russia and Moscow in 2019. Results. The internal structure of acute CVD is characterized by age-specific vectors, more pronounced in Russia. Myocardial infraction makes the highest contribution accounting for 27.9% and 26.1% in ages of 70–74 years. The share of other acute IHD is over 20% in males and 15% in females under 60, increasing with age. Mortality from stroke unsurprisingly increases with age with the maximum of about ⅔ over senile ages. Sudden cardiac deaths are rather high among the Russian youth, while in Moscow they remain minimum throughout all ages. Limitations. An analysis was made of data on mortality from major cardiovascular pathologies in Russia and Moscow only in 2019. Conclusion. Age-specific profile of chronic and acute CVD are characterized by similar patterns: increase in age-specific indicators with the maximum in senile ages. Age profile of the Moscow mortality is characterized by high mortality from unspecified cardiomyopathy, many-fold exceeding the Russian indicator. Acute cardiac deaths require a further analysis to identify nosological criteria to evaluate death rates.
背景。急性心血管疾病(CVD)的死亡率仍然是一个全球性的挑战。慢性和急性心血管疾病死亡的年龄特异性概况仍然是热门话题:两者之间是否存在主要差异? 该研究的目的是分析俄罗斯急性和慢性心血管疾病死亡的年龄特征,并确定莫斯科特有的特征。材料和方法。该研究分析了俄罗斯统计局关于2019年俄罗斯和莫斯科主要心血管疾病死亡率的数据。结果。急性心血管疾病的内部结构以年龄特异性载体为特征,在俄罗斯更为明显。70 ~ 74岁心肌梗死占比最高,分别为27.9%和26.1%。其他急性IHD的比例在男性中超过20%,在60岁以下女性中超过15%,随着年龄的增长而增加。不出所料,中风死亡率随着年龄的增长而增加,在老年阶段最高约为三分之二。 心脏性猝死在俄罗斯年轻人中相当高,而在莫斯科,所有年龄段的心脏性猝死都是最低的。的局限性。仅对2019年俄罗斯和莫斯科主要心血管疾病的死亡率数据进行了分析。结论。慢性和急性心血管疾病的年龄特异性特征具有相似的模式:年龄特异性指标增加,在老年最大。 莫斯科死亡率的年龄特征是未指明的心肌病死亡率高,超过俄罗斯指标的许多倍。 急性心脏性死亡需要进一步分析,以确定评估死亡率的分类学标准。
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 The purpose of the study is to analyze age-specific profiles of acute and chronic CVD deaths in Russia and identify Moscow-specific features.
 Material and methods. The study analyzed Rosstat data on mortality from leading CVD in Russia and Moscow in 2019.
 Results. The internal structure of acute CVD is characterized by age-specific vectors, more pronounced in Russia. Myocardial infraction makes the highest contribution accounting for 27.9% and 26.1% in ages of 70–74 years. The share of other acute IHD is over 20% in males and 15% in females under 60, increasing with age. Mortality from stroke unsurprisingly increases with age with the maximum of about ⅔ over senile ages.
 Sudden cardiac deaths are rather high among the Russian youth, while in Moscow they remain minimum throughout all ages.
 Limitations. An analysis was made of data on mortality from major cardiovascular pathologies in Russia and Moscow only in 2019.
 Conclusion. Age-specific profile of chronic and acute CVD are characterized by similar patterns: increase in age-specific indicators with the maximum in senile ages.
 Age profile of the Moscow mortality is characterized by high mortality from unspecified cardiomyopathy, many-fold exceeding the Russian indicator.
 Acute cardiac deaths require a further analysis to identify nosological criteria to evaluate death rates.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 17","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Features of maladaptive forms and guilt types in medical workers over the post-COVID period 新冠肺炎疫情后医务人员适应不良形态和内疚感特征
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-430-435
Olga B. Polyakova, Tatyana I. Bonkalo
Introduction. The performance of professional duties in stressful conditions leads to the emergence of low-adaptive forms of guilt in medical workers. Purpose of the study is to identify the features of low-adaptive forms and guilt types in medical workers in the post-COVID period. Material and methods. Eight hundred sixteen selected medical workers with pronounced maladaptive forms and guilt types participated in the study using questionnaires for measuring maladaptive forms and guilt types. Results. Above average levels of guilt of comprehensive responsibility, survivor’s guilt, low-adaptive forms of guilt in general, moral norms were revealed. The average level of guilt in general, the guilt of self-hated, the guilt of separation, the guilt of the state, the guilt of the trait. There was established a high correlation between moral norms and the guilt of the survivor, the guilt of comprehensive responsibility and the general indicator of low-adaptive forms of guilt; noticeable connection: guilt of comprehensive responsibility and guilt-state, guilt-feature and general indicator of guilt; survivor’s guilt, guilt-feature and overall guilt score. Limitations. The results of the study cannot be extrapolated to the professional profiles of all medical workers, since forms and types of guilt may be associated with other symptoms of post-traumatic stress. Conclusion. The results of the study will allow healthcare managersorganizers to systematically monitor stressful working conditions in order to prevent and level them, as well as to implement the prevention of low-adaptive forms and types of guilt in medical workers to maintain and strengthen their professional health.
介绍。在压力条件下履行职业职责导致医务工作者低适应性内疚感的出现。 本研究的目的是识别医务工作者低适应形式和内疚类型的特征 在后疫情时期。 材料和方法。采用适应不良形式和内疚类型的问卷测量方法,选择具有明显适应不良形式和内疚类型的816名医务工作者参与研究。 结果。高于平均水平的综合责任内疚感、幸存者内疚感、低适应形式的一般内疚感、道德规范。一般的罪恶感的平均水平,自我憎恨的罪恶感,分离的罪恶感,国家的罪恶感,性格的罪恶感。道德规范与幸存者内疚感、综合责任内疚感和低适应性内疚感一般指标之间存在高度相关;注意联系:综合责任罪与犯罪状态、犯罪特征与犯罪一般指标;幸存者内疚感、内疚感特征和总体内疚感得分。 的局限性。这项研究的结果不能外推到所有医务工作者的专业概况,因为内疚的形式和类型可能与创伤后应激障碍的其他症状有关。结论。研究结果将使医疗保健管理者和组织者能够系统地监测压力工作条件,以预防和消除压力,并实施预防低适应形式和类型的医务工作者的内疚感,以保持和加强他们的职业健康。
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 Purpose of the study is to identify the features of low-adaptive forms and guilt types in medical workers 
 in the post-COVID period.
 Material and methods. Eight hundred sixteen selected medical workers with pronounced maladaptive forms and guilt types participated in the study using questionnaires for measuring maladaptive forms and guilt types.
 Results. Above average levels of guilt of comprehensive responsibility, survivor’s guilt, low-adaptive forms of guilt in general, moral norms were revealed. The average level of guilt in general, the guilt of self-hated, the guilt of separation, the guilt of the state, the guilt of the trait. There was established a high correlation between moral norms and the guilt of the survivor, the guilt of comprehensive responsibility and the general indicator of low-adaptive forms of guilt; noticeable connection: guilt of comprehensive responsibility and guilt-state, guilt-feature and general indicator of guilt; survivor’s guilt, guilt-feature and overall guilt score.
 Limitations. The results of the study cannot be extrapolated to the professional profiles of all medical workers, since forms and types of guilt may be associated with other symptoms of post-traumatic stress.
 Conclusion. The results of the study will allow healthcare managersorganizers to systematically monitor stressful working conditions in order to prevent and level them, as well as to implement the prevention of low-adaptive forms and types of guilt in medical workers to maintain and strengthen their professional health.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 13","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874218","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of publication activity and priority subject areas of research in medicine in the Russian Federation 对俄罗斯联邦出版活动和医学研究优先主题领域的分析
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-374-381
Elena I. Aksenova, Kirill Yu. Tarkhov
Introduction. Scientometric analysis is one of the progressive methods and key tools for quantitative and qualitative study of science, identification of priorities and trends of its development. The purpose of the study is a scientometric study of Russia’s report activity in the field of medicine and determination of the priority subject issues of research in this area. Material and methods. The study was conducted using SciVal, according to scientometric indicators characterizing the number of publications in various categories and their citation for a three-year period (2019–2021) for the Russian Federation with the reference values for the world. Results. The main scientometric indicators (in number and share) characterizing the dynamics in Russia’s publication activity in medical sciences in 2019–2021 are considered and analyzed. A comparative analysis of the TOP five subject areas for 4 scientometric indicators for the world and the Russian Federation is carried out. Limitations. The research materials are limited to the results of the data uploading as of a specific date, as well as the selected time period. Conclusion. In the field of medicine, Russia is characterized by a steady growth and positive trend in the majority of the selected scientometric indicators. The leading subject areas of the Russian research are general medicine, public health, surgery, oncology, cardiology, immunology and allergology, clinical neurology. The scientometric analysis fully confirms the subject areas of the Russian scientific medical research to fully correspond to both domestic priority areas of medical science development specified in various regulatory documents and the world trends.
介绍。科学计量学分析是科学定量和定性研究、确定科学发展重点和趋势的先进方法和关键工具之一。& # x0D;该研究的目的是对俄罗斯在医学领域的报告活动进行科学计量研究,并确定该领域研究的优先主题问题。 材料和方法。该研究使用SciVal进行,根据科学计量指标表征了俄罗斯联邦三年内(2019-2021年)各类出版物的数量及其被引用情况,并具有世界参考价值。结果。考虑和分析了表征2019-2021年俄罗斯医学科学出版活动动态的主要科学计量指标(数量和份额)。对世界和俄罗斯联邦4项科学计量指标的前5个学科领域进行了比较分析。 的局限性。研究资料仅限于在特定日期上传数据的结果,以及选定的时间段。 结论。在医学领域,俄罗斯在大多数选定的科学计量指标中表现出稳定增长和积极趋势。俄罗斯研究的主要学科领域是普通医学、公共卫生、外科学、肿瘤学、心脏病学、免疫学和过敏症学、临床神经病学。科学计量分析充分证实了俄罗斯科学医学研究的主题领域完全符合各种规范性文件中规定的国内医学科学发展优先领域和世界趋势。
{"title":"Analysis of publication activity and priority subject areas of research in medicine in the Russian Federation","authors":"Elena I. Aksenova, Kirill Yu. Tarkhov","doi":"10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-374-381","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-374-381","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. Scientometric analysis is one of the progressive methods and key tools for quantitative and qualitative study of science, identification of priorities and trends of its development. \u0000The purpose of the study is a scientometric study of Russia’s report activity in the field of medicine and determination of the priority subject issues of research in this area. \u0000Material and methods. The study was conducted using SciVal, according to scientometric indicators characterizing the number of publications in various categories and their citation for a three-year period (2019–2021) for the Russian Federation with the reference values for the world. \u0000Results. The main scientometric indicators (in number and share) characterizing the dynamics in Russia’s publication activity in medical sciences in 2019–2021 are considered and analyzed. A comparative analysis of the TOP five subject areas for 4 scientometric indicators for the world and the Russian Federation is carried out. \u0000Limitations. The research materials are limited to the results of the data uploading as of a specific date, as well as the selected time period. \u0000Conclusion. In the field of medicine, Russia is characterized by a steady growth and positive trend in the majority of the selected scientometric indicators. The leading subject areas of the Russian research are general medicine, public health, surgery, oncology, cardiology, immunology and allergology, clinical neurology. The scientometric analysis fully confirms the subject areas of the Russian scientific medical research to fully correspond to both domestic priority areas of medical science development specified in various regulatory documents and the world trends.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 16","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mortality from circulatory diseases as a reflection of demographic aging 循环系统疾病死亡率是人口老龄化的反映
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-436-443
Tamara P. Sabgayda, Galina N. Evdokushkina, Alla E. Ivanova
Introduction. Even a decade ago, an increase in mortality from circulatory diseases (CVD) in Russia until 2050 was predicted, in parallel with an increase in number of people older than working age. The forecast did not materialize. The purpose is to identify the relationship between the level and structure of mortality from CVD and the proportion of elderly people. Materials and methods. Official Rosstat data on mortality in Moscow and the Russian Federation for period 1975–2019 were used. There was made a comparison of age patterns of mortality from CVD at the beginning and end of the analysed period in the country and in the capital separately for men and women. For simplicity of calculations, the trend in the gain in mortality with increasing age was approximated by an exponential function in the Microsoft Excel Software. Results. Since 2003 to 2019 in the Russian Federation, mortality from CVD was found to decline among men and women by 2.0 and 2.2 times. In Moscow, with a 2.3- and 2.2-fold decrease in mortality from CVD. During this period losses fell as a result of premature death from CVD by 1.8 and 1.9 times in men and women, as well as in Moscow. Limitations. The quality of analysed data is limited by quality of coding of the causes of death in different regions and by accuracy of estimate of age structure of the population in period between population censuses. Conclusions. Demographic aging does not lead to an increase in the contribution of CVD to the mortality of the population. The decrease in mortality from CVD significantly contributes to the growth of life expectancy and is accompanied by an increase in the proportion of elderly people. Only during periods of increased mortality, the contribution of CVD to it is directly proportional to proportion of elderly people. Age structure of mortality from CVD indicates the need to strengthen measures to prevent mortality.
介绍。甚至在十年前,就有人预测,到2050年,俄罗斯循环系统疾病(CVD)死亡率将上升,与此同时,超过工作年龄的人口数量将增加。预报没有实现。 目的是确定心血管疾病死亡率的水平和结构与老年人比例之间的关系。 材料和方法。使用了1975年至2019年期间莫斯科和俄罗斯联邦的俄罗斯国家统计局官方死亡率数据。在全国和首都分别对男性和女性在分析期开始和结束时心血管疾病死亡率的年龄模式进行了比较。为计算简便,死亡率随年龄增长的趋势用Microsoft Excel Software中的指数函数近似表示。 结果。自2003年至2019年,俄罗斯联邦男性和女性心血管疾病死亡率分别下降了2.0倍和2.2倍。在莫斯科,心血管疾病死亡率分别下降了2.3倍和2.2倍。在此期间,由于心血管疾病导致的过早死亡,男性和女性以及莫斯科的损失分别下降了1.8倍和1.9倍。的局限性。所分析数据的质量受到不同地区死亡原因编码的质量和两次人口普查期间人口年龄结构估计的准确性的限制。结论。人口老龄化不会导致心血管疾病对人口死亡率的贡献增加。心血管疾病死亡率的下降大大促进了预期寿命的增长,并伴随着老年人比例的增加。只有在死亡率增加的时期,心血管疾病对死亡率的贡献才与老年人的比例成正比。心血管疾病死亡率的年龄结构表明需要加强预防死亡的措施。
{"title":"Mortality from circulatory diseases as a reflection of demographic aging","authors":"Tamara P. Sabgayda, Galina N. Evdokushkina, Alla E. Ivanova","doi":"10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-436-443","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-436-443","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. Even a decade ago, an increase in mortality from circulatory diseases (CVD) in Russia until 2050 was predicted, in parallel with an increase in number of people older than working age. The forecast did not materialize.
 The purpose is to identify the relationship between the level and structure of mortality from CVD and the proportion of elderly people.
 Materials and methods. Official Rosstat data on mortality in Moscow and the Russian Federation for period 1975–2019 were used. There was made a comparison of age patterns of mortality from CVD at the beginning and end of the analysed period in the country and in the capital separately for men and women. For simplicity of calculations, the trend in the gain in mortality with increasing age was approximated by an exponential function in the Microsoft Excel Software.
 Results. Since 2003 to 2019 in the Russian Federation, mortality from CVD was found to decline among men and women by 2.0 and 2.2 times. In Moscow, with a 2.3- and 2.2-fold decrease in mortality from CVD. During this period losses fell as a result of premature death from CVD by 1.8 and 1.9 times in men and women, as well as in Moscow.
 Limitations. The quality of analysed data is limited by quality of coding of the causes of death in different regions and by accuracy of estimate of age structure of the population in period between population censuses.
 Conclusions. Demographic aging does not lead to an increase in the contribution of CVD to the mortality of the population. The decrease in mortality from CVD significantly contributes to the growth of life expectancy and is accompanied by an increase in the proportion of elderly people. Only during periods of increased mortality, the contribution of CVD to it is directly proportional to proportion of elderly people. Age structure of mortality from CVD indicates the need to strengthen measures to prevent mortality.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 9","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874084","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prevalence of behavioural and biological risk factors for non-communicable diseases among the population of Moscow 莫斯科人口中非传染性疾病的行为和生物风险因素的流行情况
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-423-429
Ignat V. Bogdan, Maxim D. Gornostalev, Andrey P. Khlynin, Daria P. Chistyakova, Elena I. Aksenova
Introduction. High mortality from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in Russia and worldwide, as well as the need to assess effectiveness of the government initiatives aimed at preventing the NCD spread, substantiate monitoring of the dynamics in prevalence of the NCD main risk factors in the region. The purpose was to study the prevalence of risk factors in the Moscow residents over seventeen years. Material and methods. 805 Moscow residents over seventeen years participated in a telephone survey (2022). Mobile and landline phone numbers were selected using a random, systematic, stratified, dual-frame sampling method applied according to the main module of the STEPS questionnaire, with some questions from the expanded module. Results. The monitoring results allowed identifying prevalence of the NCD behavioural and biological risk factors among Muscovites associated with the use of nicotine-containing products, alcohol, vegetables/fruits, and salt consumption, adherence to physical activity, high blood pressure, high glucose and cholesterol levels, a history of cardiovascular diseases, cervical cancer screening, and the use of certain medications and alternative medicine. Specifically, 29% of those surveyed consumed tobacco products, 13% had excessive alcohol use in the past month, 14% were regular salt users, 53% did not consume enough fruits and vegetables, and 20% did not meet WHO standards for physical activity. Health care providers had ever told 44% of those surveyed that they had high blood pressure, 16% that they had high sugar, and 32% that they had high cholesterol level. Limitations. The study was conducted as a telephone survey, so we were unable to obtain physical/biochemical data or investigate the impact of visual presentation on respondents. Conclusion. The information obtained can make a contribution to the existing public health programs and can be useful as a basis for future strategies aimed at combating NCDs.
介绍。俄罗斯和全世界非传染性疾病的高死亡率,以及评估旨在防止非传染性疾病传播的政府举措的有效性的必要性,证实了对该区域非传染性疾病主要风险因素流行动态的监测。 目的是研究莫斯科17岁以上居民危险因素的流行情况。材料和方法。805名17岁以上的莫斯科居民参加了电话调查(2022年)。移动电话和固定电话号码采用随机、系统、分层、双框抽样方法,按照STEPS问卷主模块进行抽样,部分问题来自扩展模块。 结果。监测结果确定了与使用含尼古丁产品、酒精、蔬菜/水果和盐消费、坚持体育活动、高血压、高血糖和高胆固醇水平、心血管疾病史、宫颈癌筛查以及使用某些药物和替代药物有关的非传染性疾病行为和生物风险因素在莫斯科人中的流行情况。具体而言,29%的受访者在过去一个月里消费烟草制品,13%过度饮酒,14%经常食用盐,53%没有摄入足够的水果和蔬菜,20%没有达到世卫组织的身体活动标准。卫生保健提供者曾经告诉44%的受访者他们有高血压,16%的人他们有高糖,32%的人他们有高胆固醇。的局限性。这项研究是通过电话调查进行的,因此我们无法获得物理/生化数据,也无法调查视觉呈现对受访者的影响。 结论。所获得的信息可对现有的公共卫生方案作出贡献,并可作为旨在防治非传染性疾病的未来战略的有用基础。
{"title":"Prevalence of behavioural and biological risk factors for non-communicable diseases among the population of Moscow","authors":"Ignat V. Bogdan, Maxim D. Gornostalev, Andrey P. Khlynin, Daria P. Chistyakova, Elena I. Aksenova","doi":"10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-423-429","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-423-429","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. High mortality from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in Russia and worldwide, as well as the need to assess effectiveness of the government initiatives aimed at preventing the NCD spread, substantiate monitoring of the dynamics in prevalence of the NCD main risk factors in the region.
 The purpose was to study the prevalence of risk factors in the Moscow residents over seventeen years.
 Material and methods. 805 Moscow residents over seventeen years participated in a telephone survey (2022). Mobile and landline phone numbers were selected using a random, systematic, stratified, dual-frame sampling method applied according to the main module of the STEPS questionnaire, with some questions from the expanded module.
 Results. The monitoring results allowed identifying prevalence of the NCD behavioural and biological risk factors among Muscovites associated with the use of nicotine-containing products, alcohol, vegetables/fruits, and salt consumption, adherence to physical activity, high blood pressure, high glucose and cholesterol levels, a history of cardiovascular diseases, cervical cancer screening, and the use of certain medications and alternative medicine. Specifically, 29% of those surveyed consumed tobacco products, 13% had excessive alcohol use in the past month, 14% were regular salt users, 53% did not consume enough fruits and vegetables, and 20% did not meet WHO standards for physical activity. Health care providers had ever told 44% of those surveyed that they had high blood pressure, 16% that they had high sugar, and 32% that they had high cholesterol level.
 Limitations. The study was conducted as a telephone survey, so we were unable to obtain physical/biochemical data or investigate the impact of visual presentation on respondents.
 Conclusion. The information obtained can make a contribution to the existing public health programs and can be useful as a basis for future strategies aimed at combating NCDs.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 15","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874216","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Chatbots is the modern reality of consulting in medicine 聊天机器人是医学咨询的现代现实
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-403-410
Elena I. Aksenova, Elena I. Medvedeva, Sergey V. Kroshilin
Introduction. Modern digital innovations and artificial intelligence technologies are being actively introduced in Medicine. Now chatbots are able to provide consulting services and make appointments for patients, make a diagnosis. Chatbots can significantly improve the efficiency and accuracy of symptom detection, assist in remote biomonitoring. Goal. To study the possibilities of development and directions of implementation of chatbots based on artificial intelligence technologies in medicine and to assess the potential of their application. Material and methods. The study is prospective, includes analysis of secondary information and conducting an expert interview on issues related to the development, application practice, and distribution of chatbots. Results. The survey showed most experts already to see the need to introduce chatbots in Medicine. The main advantages are: getting an “instant” response and saving patients’ time. The disadvantages of using chatbots may be: “incorrect interpretation” of both user requests and interpretation by patients. Experts see risks in the “erroneous” diagnosis and in the “measure of responsibility”. Limitations of research. The research materials are limited by the results of an expert survey conducted in 2023 and the quantitative and qualitative characteristics of the respondents who met the requirements for experts. Conclusions. Chatbots in the field of healthcare have already become a reality in consulting and providing the necessary medical information. Thanks to the development of information technologies, chatbots are able to process significant amounts of data received from patients, quickly and accurately find answers, provide information support, and establish a preliminary diagnosis. Such solutions can reduce the burden on medical professionals and increase patient satisfaction.
介绍。现代数字创新和人工智能技术正在积极引入医学领域。现在聊天机器人能够提供咨询服务,为病人预约,做出诊断。聊天机器人可以显著提高症状检测的效率和准确性,辅助远程生物监测。& # x0D;的目标。研究基于人工智能技术的聊天机器人在医学领域的发展可能性和实现方向,评估其应用潜力。& # x0D;材料和方法。该研究是前瞻性的,包括对二手信息的分析,以及对与聊天机器人的开发、应用实践和分布相关的问题进行专家访谈。& # x0D;结果。调查显示,大多数专家已经看到了在医学领域引入聊天机器人的必要性。其主要优点是:获得“即时”反应,节省患者时间。使用聊天机器人的缺点可能是:对用户请求和患者解释的“错误解释”。专家们在“错误的”诊断和“责任的衡量”中看到了风险。研究的局限性。研究材料受限于2023年进行的专家调查结果以及符合专家要求的受访者的定量和定性特征。& # x0D;结论。医疗保健领域的聊天机器人在咨询和提供必要的医疗信息方面已经成为现实。由于信息技术的发展,聊天机器人能够处理从患者那里收到的大量数据,快速准确地找到答案,提供信息支持,并建立初步诊断。这样的解决方案可以减轻医疗专业人员的负担,提高患者的满意度。
{"title":"Chatbots is the modern reality of consulting in medicine","authors":"Elena I. Aksenova, Elena I. Medvedeva, Sergey V. Kroshilin","doi":"10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-403-410","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-403-410","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. Modern digital innovations and artificial intelligence technologies are being actively introduced in Medicine. Now chatbots are able to provide consulting services and make appointments for patients, make a diagnosis. Chatbots can significantly improve the efficiency and accuracy of symptom detection, assist in remote biomonitoring. 
 Goal. To study the possibilities of development and directions of implementation of chatbots based on artificial intelligence technologies in medicine and to assess the potential of their application. 
 Material and methods. The study is prospective, includes analysis of secondary information and conducting an expert interview on issues related to the development, application practice, and distribution of chatbots. 
 Results. The survey showed most experts already to see the need to introduce chatbots in Medicine. The main advantages are: getting an “instant” response and saving patients’ time. The disadvantages of using chatbots may be: “incorrect interpretation” of both user requests and interpretation by patients. Experts see risks in the “erroneous” diagnosis and in the “measure of responsibility”.
 Limitations of research. The research materials are limited by the results of an expert survey conducted in 2023 and the quantitative and qualitative characteristics of the respondents who met the requirements for experts. 
 Conclusions. Chatbots in the field of healthcare have already become a reality in consulting and providing the necessary medical information. Thanks to the development of information technologies, chatbots are able to process significant amounts of data received from patients, quickly and accurately find answers, provide information support, and establish a preliminary diagnosis. Such solutions can reduce the burden on medical professionals and increase patient satisfaction.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 10","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874083","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prerequisites and practice of introducing integrated systems of medical care in England 英国引入综合医疗体系的前提条件与实践
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-389-396
Sergey S. Budarin
The introduction of new conceptual approaches to public health protection is a trend of public health reform in Russia and European countries. The success of the implementation of public health policy in Russia depends both on the development of their own ideas and their implementation, on the study and use of the experience of foreign countries. For example, in England in the last decade, as part of the reform of the public health system, the idea of creating integrated medical care systems (ICS) has been actively developing and the experience of its implementation is of practical interest for Russian healthcare. Goal. To study the experience of England in implementing integrated medical care systems and analyze the possibility of using its individual elements in Russia. Materials and methods. The study was conducted on the basis of a comprehensive study of open reporting data of the Department of Health and Social Security of England, the National Health Service and the National Audit Office of England (NAO), as well as scientific reports on integrated public health management systems. Results. The development of integrated public health management systems being a trend in world practice, contributes to the improvement of public health indicators. The study of the experience of implementing ICS in England showed the presence of a number of risks during its implementation. Limitations. When conducting research, there were no restrictions that could influence the preparation of the article. Conclusions. Dissatisfaction with the level of management and financing of the healthcare system in England served as an impetus for the start of reforms that contribute to improving the management of medical care to the population, and the introduction of integrated medical care systems. The analysis of the NAO auditors revealed the main risks of the success of the ICS implementation. Studying the experience of implementing ICS is useful for use in the implementation of Russian national projects in the field of healthcare and demography.
引入新的公共卫生保护概念方法是俄罗斯和欧洲国家公共卫生改革的一个趋势。俄罗斯公共卫生政策的成功实施既取决于自身思想的发展和实施,也取决于对国外经验的研究和借鉴。例如,在过去十年中,在英国,作为公共卫生系统改革的一部分,创建综合医疗保健系统(ICS)的想法一直在积极发展,其实施经验对俄罗斯医疗保健具有实际意义。& # x0D;的目标。研究英国实施综合医疗体系的经验,分析其个别要素在俄罗斯借鉴的可能性。& # x0D;材料和方法。这项研究是在对英国卫生和社会保障部、英国国民健康服务和英国国家审计署(NAO)的公开报告数据以及综合公共卫生管理系统的科学报告进行综合研究的基础上进行的。& # x0D;结果。综合公共卫生管理系统的发展是世界实践的趋势,有助于改善公共卫生指标。对英国实施ICS的经验进行的研究表明,在实施过程中存在许多风险。的局限性。在进行研究时,没有任何可能影响文章制备的限制。 结论。对英格兰医疗保健系统的管理和融资水平的不满推动了改革的开始,这有助于改善对人口的医疗保健管理,并引入了综合医疗保健系统。审计署审计员的分析揭示了ICS成功实施的主要风险。研究实施综合信息系统的经验有助于实施俄罗斯在保健和人口领域的国家项目。
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 Goal. To study the experience of England in implementing integrated medical care systems and analyze the possibility of using its individual elements in Russia. 
 Materials and methods. The study was conducted on the basis of a comprehensive study of open reporting data of the Department of Health and Social Security of England, the National Health Service and the National Audit Office of England (NAO), as well as scientific reports on integrated public health management systems. 
 Results. The development of integrated public health management systems being a trend in world practice, contributes to the improvement of public health indicators. The study of the experience of implementing ICS in England showed the presence of a number of risks during its implementation.
 Limitations. When conducting research, there were no restrictions that could influence the preparation of the article.
 Conclusions. Dissatisfaction with the level of management and financing of the healthcare system in England served as an impetus for the start of reforms that contribute to improving the management of medical care to the population, and the introduction of integrated medical care systems. The analysis of the NAO auditors revealed the main risks of the success of the ICS implementation. Studying the experience of implementing ICS is useful for use in the implementation of Russian national projects in the field of healthcare and demography.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 8","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874085","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of COVID-19 on the number and structure of medical specialists in Moscow COVID-19对莫斯科医疗专家数量和结构的影响
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.47470/0044-197x-2023-67-5-382-388
Anna A. Karnafel, Anastasia M. Podchernina
Introduction. Despite the presence of positive trends in the provision of medical specialties, there are currently a number of personnel problems in both Russian and world health care. The experience of fighting against coronavirus has proved the importance of solving personnel problems in healthcare, strengthening medical personnel in particular. Purpose. To assess the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the number and structure of medical personnel in Moscow; to predict the number of medical personnel for a short-term period. Material and methods. The methods of mathematical-statistical and empirical analyses are used. To analyze the composition of medical personnel, data from the forms of federal statistical observation No. 30 “Information about a medical institution” provided by medical institutions in Moscow for 2013–2022 were used. Changes in the structure were estimated using the Gatev coefficient, Salai and Ryabtsev indices. The quality of proposed one–factor model (t — time) for prediction is proven by Fisher’s F-test and Student’s t-test (95 CI%). Results. During the pandemic, there was an outflow and shortage of doctors of certain specialties, which led to a huge overload of the remaining staff. As a result, the proportion of specialists under the age of 36 increased by 17.4%, and the number of therapists increased by 13.6%. The provision of doctors to the population in Moscow has increased by almost 5% over five years. By the end of 2023, the number of doctors of all specialties is expected to increase by 1.6–2.9%. Limitations of the study. When studying the number and composition of medical personnel, data from 251 medical institution of Moscow during 2013–2022 was used which is a fairly informative sample. Conclusion. The analysis showed a significant impact of COVID-19 on both the number and structure of medical personnel. There is a tendency to increase the number of doctors, and the enlargement of medical personnel is expected by the end of 2023.
介绍。尽管在提供医学专业方面出现了积极的趋势,但目前在俄罗斯和世界卫生保健领域都存在一些人员问题。抗击新冠肺炎疫情的经验证明,解决卫生保健人员问题,特别是加强医务人员队伍建设的重要性。目的。评估冠状病毒大流行对莫斯科医务人员数量和结构的影响;预测短期内医务人员的数量。 材料和方法。本文采用数理统计和实证分析相结合的方法。为了分析医务人员的构成,使用了莫斯科医疗机构提供的2013-2022年联邦统计观察表第30号“医疗机构信息”中的数据。利用Gatev系数、Salai和Ryabtsev指数估计结构的变化。提出的单因素模型(t -时间)的预测质量通过Fisher 's f检验和Student 's t检验(95% CI%)证明。结果。大流行期间,某些专科的医生出现外流和短缺,导致剩余工作人员严重超负荷。因此,36岁以下的专科医生比例增加了17.4%,治疗师人数增加了13.6%。在过去的五年中,为莫斯科人口提供的医生数量增加了近5%。到2023年底,各专科医生数量预计将增长1.6-2.9%。 本研究的局限性。在研究医务人员的数量和构成时,使用了2013-2022年莫斯科251家医疗机构的数据,这是一个信息量相当大的样本。 结论。分析显示,新冠肺炎疫情对医护人员的数量和结构都产生了重大影响。医生人数有增加的趋势,预计到2023年底将增加医务人员。
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 Purpose. To assess the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the number and structure of medical personnel in Moscow; to predict the number of medical personnel for a short-term period.
 Material and methods. The methods of mathematical-statistical and empirical analyses are used. To analyze the composition of medical personnel, data from the forms of federal statistical observation No. 30 “Information about a medical institution” provided by medical institutions in Moscow for 2013–2022 were used. Changes in the structure were estimated using the Gatev coefficient, Salai and Ryabtsev indices. The quality of proposed one–factor model (t — time) for prediction is proven by Fisher’s F-test and Student’s t-test (95 CI%).
 Results. During the pandemic, there was an outflow and shortage of doctors of certain specialties, which led to a huge overload of the remaining staff. As a result, the proportion of specialists under the age of 36 increased by 17.4%, and the number of therapists increased by 13.6%. The provision of doctors to the population in Moscow has increased by almost 5% over five years. By the end of 2023, the number of doctors of all specialties is expected to increase by 1.6–2.9%.
 Limitations of the study. When studying the number and composition of medical personnel, data from 251 medical institution of Moscow during 2013–2022 was used which is a fairly informative sample.
 Conclusion. The analysis showed a significant impact of COVID-19 on both the number and structure of medical personnel. There is a tendency to increase the number of doctors, and the enlargement of medical personnel is expected by the end of 2023.","PeriodicalId":39241,"journal":{"name":"Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR","volume":"25 21","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135874211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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Zdravookhranenie Rossiiskoi Federatsii / Ministerstvo zdravookhraneniia RSFSR
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