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The Design and Welfare Implications of Mandatory Pension Plans 强制性退休金计划的设计及福利影响
Pub Date : 2020-10-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3415132
L. S. Larsen, Claus Munk
In a rich, calibrated life-cycle model, we show that well-designed mandatory pension plans significantly improve the welfare of individuals procrastinating on savings or not investing in stocks, and even improve rational individuals' welfare through a return tax advantage and fair annuitization. For a group of heterogeneous savers, in terms of preferences and sophistication, the best plan has contributions of 9% of income from age 30, a glidepath investment strategy, payouts following a variable lifelong annuity, and options to choose a different investment strategy and to de-select the annuitization feature. This plan generates an average welfare gain of $233,000 per individual.
在一个丰富的、校准的生命周期模型中,我们表明,设计良好的强制性养老金计划显著提高了拖延储蓄或不投资股票的个人的福利,甚至通过回报税收优势和公平的年金化提高了理性个人的福利。就偏好和复杂程度而言,对于一群形形色色的储蓄者来说,最好的计划是从30岁起缴纳9%的收入,采用滑梯投资策略,按照可变终身年金支付,以及选择不同投资策略和取消年金化功能的选项。该计划为每个人带来了平均23.3万美元的福利收益。
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引用次数: 1
State-Sponsored Pensions for Private Sector Workers: The Case for Pooled Annuities and Tontines 私营部门工人的国家资助养老金:集中年金和Tontines的案例
Pub Date : 2020-07-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3660125
Richard K. Fullmer, J. Forman
This paper explains how state governments could create new low-cost lifetime assurance funds to help provide retirement income security for millions of private-sector workers who currently lack pension coverage. Basically, an assurance fund operates like a mutual fund held within a defined contribution plan, but with the added features of mortality pooling and fully-funded lifetime payouts. As we envision them, assurance funds would be offered as annuity-like investment options on the new investment platforms being created by states like Oregon, California, and Maryland that offer their citizens the opportunity to participate in state-sponsored retirement savings plans. Adding an assurance fund could effectively turn these retirement savings plans into lifetime pensions. To ensure their sustainability, assurance funds would operate under a strict budget constraint and be organized as either tontines or pooled annuities.
本文解释了州政府如何创建新的低成本终身保险基金,以帮助为数百万目前缺乏养老金保险的私营部门工人提供退休收入保障。基本上,保险基金就像固定缴款计划中的共同基金一样运作,但增加了死亡率汇集和终身全额支付的特点。正如我们所设想的那样,保险基金将在俄勒冈州、加利福尼亚州和马里兰州等州正在创建的新投资平台上作为类似年金的投资选择提供,这些投资平台为其公民提供了参与国家资助的退休储蓄计划的机会。增加保险基金可以有效地将这些退休储蓄计划转变为终身养老金。为了确保其可持续性,保证基金将在严格的预算限制下运作,并将其组织为定期年金或汇集年金。
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引用次数: 4
What if OregonSaves Went National: A Look at the Impact on Retirement Income Adequacy 如果俄勒冈储蓄走向全国:看看对退休收入充足性的影响
Pub Date : 2019-11-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3484394
Jack L. VanDerhei
The OregonSaves program began in July 2017 to provide defined contribution (DC) plan coverage for those workers in the state of Oregon who are not currently eligible for an employer-sponsored DC plan. The program requires employers to automatically enroll workers into a post-tax individual retirement account (IRA). The program’s default contribution rate is 5 percent; contributions automatically increase by 1 percent each year until they reach 10 percent (unless the employee opts out of automatic increases). Employees can opt out of the program or choose a savings rate of as little as 1 percent and as much as 100 percent of gross pay, up to annual Roth IRA contribution limits. With more than a year of experience with the OregonSaves plan, the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) asked the question: What if OregonSaves were a national program? How would that impact the retirement security of American workers? We further asked how a national version of OregonSaves would compare with nationwide implementation of 401(k) safe harbor plans among employers who do not currently offer a defined benefit (DB) or DC plan. We examined both using EBRI’s Retirement Security Projection Model® (RSPM). The incremental benefit of including a full auto portability system in addition to these changes was also simulated. We found that the “national” OregonSaves plan would provide a 16.3 percent reduction in retirement deficits (as measured by the average retirement savings shortfalls (RSS)) for the youngest age cohort simulated (those currently ages 35–39). The reduction would be smaller for those closer to age 65, with the reduction being only 3.1 percent for those currently ages 60–64. Overall, this would reduce the simulated retirement deficits by $456 billion, or 12 percent of the $3.83 trillion under the baseline assumptions. In contrast, the 401(k) safe harbor plan expansion would reduce the retirement deficits for the youngest cohort by an additional 8.8 percentage points (for an overall reduction of 25.2 percent). The additional reduction for those ages 40–44 would be slightly higher (9.2 percentage points), but by ages 60–64 the additional reduction would only be 2.5 percentage points. Overall, this scenario would reduce the simulated retirement deficits by $645 billion, or 17 percent of the $3.83 trillion under the baseline assumptions. Finally, we added a full auto portability scenario to both of the access expansion scenarios. Under the “national” OregonSaves plan with a full auto portability scenario, simulated retirement deficits would be reduced by $759 billion, or 20 percent of the $3.83 trillion under the baseline assumptions. Under the 401(k) safe harbor plan expansion with a full auto portability scenario, simulated retirement deficits would be reduced by $1,031 billion, or 27 percent of the $3.83 trillion under the baseline assumptions.
俄勒冈储蓄计划于2017年7月开始,为俄勒冈州目前没有资格参加雇主赞助的固定缴款计划的工人提供固定缴款计划。该计划要求雇主自动为员工登记一个税后个人退休账户(IRA)。该计划的默认缴费率为5%;供款每年自动增加1%,直到达到10%(除非员工选择不自动增加)。员工可以选择退出该计划,也可以选择最低1%、最高100%的储蓄利率,最高可达罗斯个人退休账户的年度缴款限额。雇员福利研究所(EBRI)对俄勒冈储蓄计划有一年多的经验,提出了这样一个问题:如果俄勒冈储蓄是一个全国性的计划会怎么样?这将如何影响美国工人的退休保障?我们进一步询问,在全国范围内实施401(k)安全港计划的雇主中,目前没有提供固定收益(DB)或固定缴款(DC)计划,而俄勒冈储蓄计划的全国版本将如何与之比较。我们使用EBRI的退休安全预测模型®(RSPM)对两者进行了检验。除了这些变化之外,还模拟了包括一个完整的汽车可移植性系统的增量效益。我们发现,“全国”俄勒冈储蓄计划将为模拟的最年轻年龄组(目前年龄在35-39岁之间)提供16.3%的退休赤字减少(以平均退休储蓄缺口(RSS)衡量)。对于那些接近65岁的人来说,减少的幅度较小,目前60-64岁的人只减少3.1%。总的来说,这将减少4560亿美元的模拟退休赤字,或基线假设下3.83万亿美元的12%。相比之下,401(k)安全港计划的扩展将使最年轻群体的退休赤字额外减少8.8个百分点(总体减少25.2%)。40-44岁人群的额外减免额将略高(9.2个百分点),但60-64岁人群的额外减免额仅为2.5个百分点。总体而言,这一方案将使模拟退休赤字减少6450亿美元,即基线假设下3.83万亿美元赤字的17%。最后,我们在两个访问扩展场景中添加了一个完全自动可移植性场景。在“全国”OregonSaves计划中,模拟退休赤字将减少7590亿美元,即基线假设下3.83万亿美元的20%。在401(k)安全港计划扩展到完全汽车可移植性的情况下,模拟退休赤字将减少1,0310亿美元,或基线假设下3.83万亿美元的27%。
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引用次数: 1
The Quest for Sustainability in Contingent Pension Plans 对应急养老金计划可持续性的追求
Pub Date : 2019-09-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3460784
Barry Gros, Barbara Sanders
The types of pension plans offered to Canadian employees are changing. As membership in traditional defined-benefit pension plans declines, plans in which benefits are contingent on the financial status of the plan are becoming more common. Rather than placing all the risk on sponsors to deliver guaranteed benefits to members, these contingent pension plans require members to take on at least some of the risk that benefits may or may not meet expectations. At the same time, the term “sustainability” has risen to the fore of pension discussions. But what does it mean in the new context for pensions? How can it be achieved? What are the implications for regulatory policy? We explored these questions in interviews with 30 key experts on the front lines of this pension evolution and provide a summary of their insights in this Commentary. We then draw conclusions about how regulatory policy can best adapt to the emerging paradigm. While the term sustainability has become widely used, many respondents reported using it without having an official definition. When probed for their own definitions and interpretations, their responses varied but usually contained elements such as: long horizon, affordability, and a commitment to members’ financial wellness in terms of providing a meaningful benefit. Many view sustainability as a balancing act between the needs of the present and the needs of the future. In fact, there is a strong intergenerational equity component that appears to be tied up in the definition of sustainability, and this is emerging more and more in discussions of contingent pension plans. When asked about what needs to be in place for a plan to be, or to become, sustainable, respondents surprised us by identifying a wide range of other factors in addition to financial measures, including the design and nature of the plan, governance, and communication with stakeholders. Contingent pension plans will likely play an increasingly important role in delivering retirement benefits in the future. They offer a different promise than traditional defined-benefit plans and the contract with plan members is different. This needs to be reflected in how they are managed, communicated and regulated. The parties involved in setting pension policy and standards should spend more time understanding in-depth the existing practices of well-managed plans and seriously consider our recommendation that prescriptive standards focus on aspects such as governance and member communication, leaving financing-related standards to be principles-based.
提供给加拿大雇员的养老金计划类型正在发生变化。随着传统的固定收益养老金计划的成员人数减少,福利取决于计划财务状况的计划正变得越来越普遍。这些或有养老金计划不是把所有的风险都放在保荐人身上,让他们向会员提供有保证的福利,而是要求会员至少承担一些福利可能达到或达不到预期的风险。与此同时,“可持续性”一词已经上升到养老金讨论的前沿。但在养老金的新背景下,这意味着什么?怎样才能实现呢?这对监管政策有什么影响?我们采访了30位在养老金改革前沿的重要专家,对这些问题进行了探讨,并在本文中总结了他们的见解。然后,我们得出关于监管政策如何最好地适应新兴范式的结论。虽然“可持续性”一词已经被广泛使用,但许多受访者表示,他们在使用这个词时并没有一个官方的定义。当被问及他们自己的定义和解释时,他们的回答各不相同,但通常包含以下因素:长远的眼光、负担能力,以及在提供有意义的利益方面对成员财务健康的承诺。许多人认为可持续发展是在当前需求和未来需求之间的平衡。事实上,在可持续性的定义中似乎有很强的代际公平成分,这在关于或有养老金计划的讨论中越来越多地出现。当被问及一个计划需要具备什么条件才能成为或成为可持续发展的计划时,除了财务措施之外,受访者还指出了一系列其他因素,包括计划的设计和性质、治理以及与利益相关者的沟通,这让我们感到惊讶。未来,应急养老金计划可能会在提供退休福利方面发挥越来越重要的作用。它们提供的承诺与传统的固定收益计划不同,与计划成员签订的合同也不同。这需要反映在它们的管理、沟通和监管方式上。参与制定养老金政策和标准的各方应花更多时间深入了解管理良好的计划的现有做法,并认真考虑我们的建议,即规范性标准应侧重于治理和成员沟通等方面,而将与融资相关的标准保留为基于原则的标准。
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引用次数: 9
Poverty Reduction Among Older People Through Pensions: A Comparative Analysis 通过养老金减少老年人贫困:一个比较分析
Pub Date : 2019-09-25 DOI: 10.4324/9780429058103-29
Olaf van Vliet, K. Caminada, K. Goudswaard, Jinxian Wang
Given the ageing of the populations in many Western countries, older people constitute an important group in the analysis of poverty. In this chapter, we examine the poverty incidence among older people across LIS countries, relying on data from the Luxembourg Income Study. The data show that poverty rates are substantially reduced by redistribution via tax/benefit systems (mainly via pension benefits). Furthermore, the data show that old-age poverty rates and the antipoverty effect of pensions vary substantially across countries. Finally, in almost all countries, the poverty rates based on disposable income declined between 1985 and 2013. The reason for this reduction in old-age poverty is the increase of the poverty reducing effect of pension benefits). Interestingly, the trend in the poverty rates of the working age population differs from that of older people; in most countries of our sample, the poverty incidence increased for the working age population. However, it should be noted that in most Western countries, poverty rates for older people are still at a higher level than for the working age population.
鉴于许多西方国家人口的老龄化,老年人在贫穷分析中是一个重要的群体。在本章中,我们根据卢森堡收入研究的数据,研究了美国各国老年人的贫困发生率。数据显示,通过税收/福利制度(主要是通过养恤金福利)的再分配大大降低了贫困率。此外,数据显示,各国的老年贫困率和养老金的反贫困效果差异很大。最后,在几乎所有国家,基于可支配收入的贫困率在1985年至2013年间都有所下降。老年贫困减少的原因是养老金福利减贫效果的增强。有趣的是,工作年龄人口的贫困率趋势与老年人不同;在我们的样本中,大多数国家的劳动年龄人口的贫困率都有所上升。但是,应当指出,在大多数西方国家,老年人的贫困率仍然高于工作年龄人口的贫困率。
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引用次数: 0
Taxation, Pension Schemes and Stakeholder Wealth 税收、养老金计划和利益相关者财富
Pub Date : 2019-09-03 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3039364
Emmanouil Platanakis, C. Sutcliffe
Although tax relief on pensions is a controversial area of government expenditure, this is the first study of the tax effects for a real world defined benefit pension scheme. First, we estimate the tax and national insurance contribution (NIC) effects of the scheme’s change from final salary to career average revalued earnings (CARE) in 2011 on the gross and net wealth of the sponsor, government, and 16 age cohorts of members, deferred pensioners and pensioners. Second, we measure the size of the twelve income tax and NIC payments and reliefs for new members and the sponsor, before and after the rule changes. We find the total subsidy split is roughly 40% income tax subsidy; and 60% NIC subsidy. If lower tax rates in retirement and the risk premium effect of the exempt-exempt-taxed (EET) system are not viewed as a tax subsidy, the tax subsidy to members largely disappears. Any remaining subsidy drops, as a proportion of pension benefits, for high earners; as does that for NICs.
尽管养老金的税收减免是政府支出中一个有争议的领域,但这是对现实世界中固定收益养老金计划的税收影响的首次研究。首先,我们估计了2011年该计划从最终工资到职业平均重估收入(CARE)的变化对发起人、政府和16个年龄群成员、递延养老金领取者和养老金领取者的总财富和净财富的税收和国民保险缴款(NIC)影响。其次,我们衡量了新成员和赞助商在规则改变前后的12项所得税和NIC支付和减免的大小。我们发现,总的补贴比例大约是所得税补贴的40%;以及60%的NIC补贴。如果不把较低的退休税率和免-免税(EET)制度的风险溢价效应视为一种税收补贴,那么对成员的税收补贴基本上就消失了。对于高收入者来说,任何剩余的补贴(作为养老金福利的一部分)都会下降;nic也是如此。
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引用次数: 1
Can Risk Be Shared Across Investor Cohorts? Evidence from a Popular Savings Product 风险能否在投资者群体中分担?一个流行的储蓄产品的证据
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3420354
J. Hombert, V. Lyonnet
We study how retail savings products can share market risk across investor cohorts, thereby completing financial markets. Financial intermediaries smooth returns by varying reserves, which are passed on between successive investor cohorts, thereby redistributing wealth across cohorts. Using data on euro contracts sold by life insurers in France, we estimate this redistribution to be large: 0.8% of GDP. We develop and provide evidence for a model in which low investor sophistication, while leading to individually suboptimal decisions, improves risk sharing by allowing intercohort risk sharing.
我们研究零售储蓄产品如何在投资者群体中分担市场风险,从而完善金融市场。金融中介机构通过不同的准备金来平滑回报,这些准备金在连续的投资者群体之间传递,从而在不同群体之间重新分配财富。利用法国寿险公司出售的欧元合约的数据,我们估计这种再分配很大:占GDP的0.8%。我们开发并提供了一个模型的证据,在这个模型中,投资者的低成熟度虽然会导致个人的次优决策,但通过允许队列间风险分担来改善风险分担。
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引用次数: 7
Optimal Investment of DC Pension Plan Under Short-Selling Constraints and Portfolio Insurance 卖空约束和组合保险下DC养老金计划的最优投资
Pub Date : 2018-09-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3244153
Yinghui Dong, Harry Zheng
Abstract In this paper we investigate an optimal investment problem under short-selling and portfolio insurance constraints faced by a defined contribution pension fund manager who is loss averse. The financial market consists of a cash bond, an indexed bond and a stock. The manager aims to maximize the expected S-shaped utility of the terminal wealth exceeding a minimum guarantee. We apply the dual control method to solve the problem and derive the representations of the optimal wealth process and trading strategies in terms of the dual controlled process and the dual value function. We also perform some numerical tests and show how the S-shaped utility, the short-selling constraints and the portfolio insurance impact the optimal terminal wealth.
摘要本文研究了损失厌恶型固定缴款型养老基金经理在卖空和组合保险约束下的最优投资问题。金融市场由现金债券、指数债券和股票组成。管理者的目标是最大化超过最低保证的终端财富的预期s型效用。应用对偶控制方法求解该问题,得到了对偶控制过程和对偶价值函数的最优财富过程和交易策略的表示。我们还进行了一些数值测试,并展示了s型效用、卖空约束和投资组合保险如何影响最优终端财富。
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引用次数: 28
The Swiss Occupational Pension System: A Governance View 瑞士职业养老金制度:治理视角
Pub Date : 2017-06-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2968951
Nadège Bregnard
This paper describes the current Swiss occupational pension system with a focus on its governance aspects by emphasizing on the minimum guarantees established by the law, the governance-related requirements, and the most recent supervision framework. It documents in details how the various and different Swiss pension funds are organised and identify six key structure characteristics to classify them. The major distinction with other country’s pension systems is that pure defined-contributions plans do not exist in Switzerland. Finally, the paper highlights the pending trust issue of Swiss people and its potential threat to the present pension system.
本文通过强调法律规定的最低保障、与治理相关的要求和最新的监督框架,描述了目前瑞士的职业养老金制度,重点关注其治理方面。它详细记录了各种不同的瑞士养老基金是如何组织的,并确定了六个关键的结构特征来对它们进行分类。瑞士与其他国家养老金制度的主要区别在于,瑞士不存在纯粹的固定缴款计划。最后,本文强调了瑞士人民悬而未决的信任问题及其对现行养老金制度的潜在威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Chapter 1: 'Introduction' 第一章:“引言”
Pub Date : 2016-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3618626
D. Blake
This Chapter is a scene-setter for the remainder of the Report. We begin by considering how pension schemes have traditionally been used and also how they are likely to be used in future following the introduction of the pension reforms announced in the 2014 Budget. These reforms furnish us with an opportunity to ask anew what a ‘good’ pension scheme should aim to achieve. There are also risks involved in the provision of pensions and we discuss the key ones. Unfortunately, widespread evidence shows that many if not most pension scheme members do not understand these risks and are unlikely ever to do so, however much guidance or education they receive. This will make it difficult for many of them to make informed choices about how they spend their retirement savings that takes these risks into account. This, in turn, raises the question about whether scheme members should be nudged (or even defaulted) into a well-designed decumulation product that has dealt with these risks in the most efficient and cost-effective ways possible – with the option to opt out, as in the case of auto-enrolment. We then consider the different types of pension member affected by the reforms. Finally, we discuss the attitudes of employers, consultants, providers, investment managers, and trade unions to the reforms.
本章是报告其余部分的铺垫。我们首先考虑养老金计划传统上是如何使用的,以及在2014年预算中宣布的养老金改革引入后,它们未来可能会如何使用。这些改革为我们提供了一个机会,让我们重新思考一个“好的”养老金计划应该以什么为目标。提供养老金也存在风险,我们将讨论其中的主要风险。不幸的是,广泛的证据表明,即使不是大多数养老金计划成员,也有许多人不了解这些风险,而且无论他们接受了多少指导或教育,也不太可能了解这些风险。这将使他们中的许多人很难在考虑到这些风险的情况下做出明智的选择,决定如何使用他们的退休储蓄。这反过来又提出了一个问题,即计划成员是否应该被推动(甚至被默认)进入一个设计良好的累积产品,这个产品以最有效和最具成本效益的方式处理了这些风险——可以选择退出,就像自动登记的情况一样。然后,我们考虑受改革影响的不同类型的养老金成员。最后,我们讨论了雇主、顾问、供应商、投资经理和工会对改革的态度。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
SIRN: Employment-Based Pensions (Topic)
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