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WeMO effects on the amount and the chemistry of winter precipitation in the north-eastern Iberian Peninsula WeMO对伊比利亚半岛东北部冬季降水数量和化学的影响
IF 1.5 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3369/TETHYS.2013.10.05
Rebeca Izquierdo Miguel, M. Jordán, A. Á. I. Castells
The cluster classification of provenances at a site in the NE Iberian Peninsula indicated that in the period of extended winter (December to March, DJFM) fast Atlantic air flows correspond to positive WeMO index (WeMOi), while negative WeMOi are associated to Mediterranean circulations. The amount of winter precipitation was inversely correlated with winter WeMOi. Wet deposition fluxes of marine-derived (Na + , Mg 2+ and Cl ) and anthropogenic-derived (NO3 and K + ) ions were significantly (and negatively) related to winter WeMOi. The negative phase of WeMO causes the entry of air masses from the Mediterranean into the Iberian Peninsula, that are enriched with marine ions. For NO3 this result suggests the advection over the Mediterranean of polluted air masses from southern Europe and the scavenging and deposition of this pollution by rain during WeMO negative phases. This will carry long-range pollutants to the NE Iberian Peninsula, but local pollutants may also contribute, as precipitation events from the Mediterranean (associated to negative WeMOi) may incorporate local anthropogenic emissions that build up during the winter anticyclonic episodes typical of the region.
对伊比利亚半岛东北部某地点物源的聚类分类表明,在冬季延长期(12月至3月,DJFM),大西洋快速气流与WeMO指数(WeMOi)呈正相关,而负的WeMOi与地中海环流相关。冬季降水量与冬季WeMOi呈负相关。海源离子(Na +、Mg 2+和Cl)和人为离子(NO3和K +)的湿沉降通量与冬季WeMOi呈显著负相关。WeMO负相导致地中海气团进入伊比利亚半岛,这些气团富含海洋离子。对于NO3,这一结果表明在WeMO负相期间,来自南欧的污染气团对地中海的平流以及雨水对这种污染的清除和沉积。这将把远距离污染物带到伊比利亚半岛东北部,但当地污染物也可能起作用,因为来自地中海的降水事件(与负WeMOi有关)可能包含当地在该地区典型的冬季反气旋事件期间积累的人为排放。
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引用次数: 5
Determination of wind speed and associated loads over the sports facility collapsed during the severe windstorm of 24 January 2009 in Sant Boi de Llobregat (Barcelona) 2009年1月24日在Sant Boi de Llobregat(巴塞罗那)的剧烈风暴中倒塌的体育设施的风速和相关荷载的测定
IF 1.5 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2011-06-23 DOI: 10.3369/TETHYS.2011.8.07
Jordi Mazón Bueso, Daniel Crespo Artiaga, D. González
he severe windstorm of 24 January 2009, caused by an explosive cyclogenesis, affected coastaland precoastal areas of the northeast of the Iberian Peninsula, where damages were numerousand significant, both in urban areas and in forests. One of the most important effects was thecollapse of a sports facility in Sant Boi de Llobregat (10 km southwest of Barcelona), killingfour children. The objective of this study is to estimate the wind speed over the sports facilityand calculate the suction of the wind on the roof of the building, and the consequent collapse ofthe walls. To get a first approximation, a simulation of the episode around the time of maximumwind gust was inspected using the mesoscale model MM5. In the second part, the damage aroundthe collapsed facility was analyzed, with which we note the fact that a truck was dragged andknocked over by the wind. This analysis allows for the conclusion that, in conjunction with themaximum wind gust, there was a sudden and very local shift in the wind, which caused the gustto hit the building head on. Based on this observation, the wind speed on surface and at 7 m(roof of the building) was estimated, and the suction of the wind was calculated.
2009年1月24日由爆炸性气旋形成引起的强风暴影响了伊比利亚半岛东北部沿海和沿海前地区,在城市地区和森林都造成了重大破坏。其中最重要的影响之一是在Sant Boi de Llobregat(巴塞罗那西南10公里)的一个体育设施倒塌,造成4名儿童死亡。本研究的目的是估计运动设施的风速,并计算建筑物屋顶上的风吸力,以及随之而来的墙壁倒塌。为了获得初步近似,使用中尺度模式MM5对最大阵风时间前后的情景进行了模拟。在第二部分中,我们分析了倒塌设施周围的损坏情况,并注意到一辆卡车被风拖拽并撞倒的事实。这一分析得出的结论是,与最大阵风相结合,有一个突然的、非常局部的风向转变,这导致阵风正面击中了建筑物。在此基础上,估算了建筑物表面和7 m处(屋顶)的风速,并计算了风的吸力。
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引用次数: 0
Involving human forecasters in numerical prediction systems 在数值预报系统中涉及人类预报员
IF 1.5 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2006-01-01 DOI: 10.3369/TETHYS.2006.3.08
D. Stensrud, Illes Balears
Human forecasters routinely improve upon the output from numerical weather prediction models and often have keen insight to model biases and shortcomings. This wealth of knowledge about model performance is largely untapped, however, as it is used only at the end point in the forecast process to interpret the model-predicted fields. Yet there is no reason why human forecasters cannot intervene at other earlier times in the numerical weather prediction process, especially when an ensemble forecasting system is in use. Human intervention in ensemble creation may be particularly helpful for rare events, such as severe weather events, that are not predicted well by numerical models. The USA/NOAA SPC/NSSL Spring Program 2003 tested an ensemble generation method in which human forecasters were involved in the ensemble creation process. The forecaster highlighted structures of interest and, using an adjoint model, a set of perturbations were obtained and used to generate a 32-member ensemble. The results show that this experimental ensemble improves upon the operational numerical forecasts of severe weather. The human-generated ensemble is able to provide improved guidance on high-impact weather events, but lacks global dispersion and produces unreliable forecasts for non-hazardous weather events. Further results from an ensemble constructed by combining the operational ensemble perturbations with the human-generated perturbations shows promising skill for the forecast of severe weather while avoiding the problem of limited global dispersion. The value of human beings in the creation of ensembles designed to target specific high- impact weather events is potentially large. Further investigation of the value of forecasters being part of the ensemble creation process is strongly recommended. There remains a lot to learn about how to create ensembles for short-range forecasts of severe weather, and we need to make better use of the skill and experience of human forecasters in this learning process.
人类预报员通常会改进数值天气预报模型的输出,并且通常对模型的偏差和缺点有敏锐的洞察力。然而,这种关于模型性能的丰富知识在很大程度上是未开发的,因为它仅在预测过程的终点用于解释模型预测的字段。然而,人类预报员没有理由不能在数值天气预报过程的其他早期时间进行干预,特别是在使用集合预报系统时。对于数值模式不能很好地预测的罕见事件,如恶劣天气事件,人工干预在集合形成过程中可能特别有帮助。美国/NOAA SPC/NSSL 2003年春季计划测试了一种集合生成方法,其中人类预报员参与了集合创建过程。预报员强调了感兴趣的结构,并使用伴随模型,获得了一组扰动,并用于生成32个成员的系综。结果表明,该实验集合较实际的灾害性天气数值预报有较好的改进。人工生成的集合能够对高影响天气事件提供改进的指导,但缺乏全球分散,对非危险天气事件的预报不可靠。将操作集合扰动与人为扰动相结合构建的集合的进一步结果显示,在避免有限全球离散问题的同时,对恶劣天气的预报具有良好的技能。人类在创造针对特定高影响天气事件的综合系统方面的价值是巨大的。强烈建议进一步研究作为集合创建过程一部分的预报员的价值。关于如何为恶劣天气的短期预报创建集合,还有很多需要学习的地方,我们需要在这个学习过程中更好地利用人类预报员的技能和经验。
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引用次数: 0
Wave height incidence on Mediterranean Short Sea Shipping routes 地中海近海航线的浪高发生率
IF 1.5 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2006-01-01 DOI: 10.3369/tethys.2006.3.01
F. X. M. D. Osés, M. Sanabra
Keeping in mind the close date for publishing the list of ports included in the MoS network we are going to analyse what type of vessel is going to fit best in some of the proposed ports, for ensuring a real modal shift. Once understood the sea transport importance, the sea conditions and specifically the wave highness analysis, is the topic to be dealt in this paper, as a contribution to recommend the ship better fit on a route, keeping in mind her sensitivity to sea and waves.
考虑到MoS网络中包含的港口列表的发布截止日期,我们将分析哪种类型的船只最适合一些拟议的港口,以确保真正的模式转变。一旦了解了海上运输的重要性,海况,特别是浪高分析,是本文要讨论的主题,作为推荐船舶更适合的路线,记住她对海洋和波浪的敏感性。
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引用次数: 3
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Tethys-Journal of Mediterranean Meteorology & Climatology
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