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Towards the attainment of sustainable development goal 7: what determines clean energy accessibility in sub-Saharan Africa? 实现可持续发展目标7:是什么决定了撒哈拉以南非洲的清洁能源可及性?
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2021014
P. Kwakwa, Frank Adusah-Poku, K. Adjei‐Mantey
Access to clean energy is necessary for environmental cleanliness and poverty reduction. That notwithstanding, many in developing countries especially those in sub-Saharan Africa region lack clean energy for their routine domestic activities. This study sought to unravel the factors that influence clean energy accessibility in sub-Saharan Africa region. Clean energy accessibility, specifically access to electricity, and access to clean cooking fuels and technologies, were modeled as a function of income, foreign direct investment, inflation, employment and political regime for a panel of 31 sub-Saharan countries for the period 2000–2015. Regression analysis from fixed effect, random effect and Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares show that access to clean energy is influenced positively by income, foreign direct investment, political regime and employment while inflation has some negative effect on its accessibility. The policy implications from the findings among other things include that expansion in GDP per capita in the sub-region shall be helpful in increasing accessibility to clean energy. Moreover, strengthening the democratic institutions of countries in the region shall enhance the citizens' accessibility to clean energy. Ensuring sustainable jobs for the citizens is necessary for access clean energy.
获得清洁能源是清洁环境和减少贫困的必要条件。尽管如此,许多发展中国家,特别是撒哈拉以南非洲地区的发展中国家缺乏清洁能源用于其日常国内活动。本研究旨在揭示影响撒哈拉以南非洲地区清洁能源可及性的因素。一个由31个撒哈拉以南国家组成的小组在2000-2015年期间对清洁能源的可获得性,特别是电力的可获得性,以及清洁烹饪燃料和技术的可获得性进行了建模,作为收入、外国直接投资、通货膨胀、就业和政治制度的函数。固定效应、随机效应和完全修正普通最小二乘回归分析表明,收入、外国直接投资、政治制度和就业对清洁能源可及性有正向影响,通货膨胀对清洁能源可及性有一定的负向影响。调查结果的政策影响除其他外包括,该分区域人均国内生产总值的扩大将有助于增加获得清洁能源的机会。此外,加强该地区国家的民主制度将提高公民获得清洁能源的机会。确保为公民提供可持续的就业机会是获得清洁能源的必要条件。
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引用次数: 9
Nexus between crude oil prices, clean energy investments, technology companies and energy democracy 原油价格、清洁能源投资、科技公司和能源民主之间的关系
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2021017
Caner Özdurak
In this study, we examine the nexus between crude oil prices, clean energy investments, technology companies, and energy democracy. Our dataset incorporates four variables which are S & P Global Clean Energy Index (SPClean), Brent crude oil futures (Brent), CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), and NASDAQ 100 Technology Sector (DXNT) daily prices between 2009 and 2021. The novelty of our study is that we included technology development and market fear as important factors and assess their impact on clean energy investments. DCC-GARCH models are utilized to analyze the spillover impact of market fear, oil prices, and technology company stock returns to clean energy investments. According to our findings when oil prices decrease, the volatility index usually responds by increasing which means that the market is afraid of oil price surges. Renewable investments also tend to decrease in that period following the oil price trend. Moreover, a positive relationship between technology stocks and renewable energy stock returns also exists.
在本研究中,我们考察了原油价格、清洁能源投资、科技公司和能源民主之间的关系。我们的数据集包含四个变量,分别是标准普尔全球清洁能源指数(SPClean)、布伦特原油期货(Brent)、芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)和纳斯达克100科技板块(DXNT) 2009年至2021年间的每日价格。本研究的新颖之处在于,我们将技术发展和市场恐惧作为重要因素,并评估了它们对清洁能源投资的影响。利用DCC-GARCH模型分析了市场恐惧、油价和科技公司股票回报对清洁能源投资的溢出影响。根据我们的研究结果,当油价下跌时,波动率指数通常以上升为反应,这意味着市场害怕油价飙升。在此期间,随着油价走势,可再生能源投资也趋于减少。此外,科技股与可再生能源股收益之间也存在正相关关系。
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引用次数: 13
Modelling electricity consumption in Ghana: the role of financial development indicators 加纳电力消费建模:金融发展指标的作用
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2022003
Peter Ansu-Mensah, P. Kwakwa
Access to electricity is touted as one of the ways of reducing poverty and improving the livelihoods of people. However, an increased consumption may also contribute to higher carbon dioxide emissions. While many studies have therefore assessed the determinants of electricity consumption for developing countries that have a lower electricity consumption and inadequate supply to meet demand, the effect of financial development on electricity consumption has been mixed. Consequently, this study models electricity consumption in Ghana with special attention on the effect of financial development. The results show that price reduces electricity consumption while income and population density increase consumption of electricity. When financial development is represented by domestic credit to private sector, domestic credit to private sector by banks and broad money supply, the effect is negative on electricity consumption. However, the effect is positive when financial development is represented by foreign direct investment. A financial index constructed from the four indicators shows financial development reduces electricity consumption in Ghana. Among other things the policy implication includes the need to formulate appropriate policy based on a specific indicator for financial development.
获得电力被吹捧为减少贫困和改善人民生计的途径之一。然而,消费的增加也可能导致二氧化碳排放的增加。因此,虽然许多研究评估了电力消耗较低且供应不足以满足需求的发展中国家电力消耗的决定因素,但金融发展对电力消耗的影响好坏参半。因此,本研究对加纳的电力消费进行建模,特别关注金融发展的影响。结果表明,电价降低了用电量,而收入和人口密度增加了用电量。当金融发展以国内对私营部门的信贷、银行对私营部门的国内信贷和广义货币供应为代表时,对电力消费的影响是负面的。然而,当金融发展以外国直接投资为代表时,效果是积极的。根据这四个指标构建的金融指数显示,金融发展降低了加纳的用电量。除其他事项外,政策影响包括需要根据具体的金融发展指标制定适当的政策。
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引用次数: 6
How vulnerable is the fiscal posture in Turkey? 土耳其的财政状况有多脆弱?
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2021016
Cansın Kemal Can
This study gauges the degree of fiscal vulnerability in Turkey by calculating the debt stabilising primary balance level and evaluates how this variable measures up against the actual primary balance levels for the 1978–2019 period. Based on this comparison, we build up a fiscal fragility index using the methodology described in Stoian (2012). In addition, the Toda-Yamamoto causality test is carried out to detect the direction of causality among these two variables. The index-based analysis reveals that the fiscal performance of Turkey was chiefly satisfactory for the estimation period. Also, the Toda-Yamamoto causality test results imply a unidirectional causality from the required primary balance to real primary balance, suggesting that the government uses the primary balance to stabilise fiscal imbalances, which is an affirmative effort by the government to restore fiscal sustainability. Nevertheless, notwithstanding the implementation of corrective fiscal actions to preserve stability, the index value is steadily moving up in recent years, indicating a mounting fiscal vulnerability risk. Back-loading fiscal adjustments involving spending cuts, full-fledged tax reform, proper scrutiny of public expenses, etc., are among the prominent policy options available to the government to alter the ongoing unfavourable trend in the fiscal vulnerability index.
本研究通过计算债务稳定基本平衡水平来衡量土耳其的财政脆弱性程度,并评估这一变量与1978-2019年期间实际基本平衡水平的对比。基于这种比较,我们使用Stoian(2012)中描述的方法建立了财政脆弱性指数。此外,还进行了Toda-Yamamoto因果检验来检测这两个变量之间的因果关系方向。基于指数的分析显示,土耳其的财政表现在估计期间基本上是令人满意的。此外,Toda-Yamamoto因果检验结果暗示了从所需基本平衡到实际基本平衡的单向因果关系,表明政府利用基本平衡来稳定财政失衡,这是政府为恢复财政可持续性所做的积极努力。然而,尽管实施了纠正性财政行动以保持稳定,该指数值近年来仍在稳步上升,表明财政脆弱性风险日益增加。包括削减开支、全面税制改革、对公共开支进行适当审查等在内的反向财政调整,都是政府可以采取的重要政策选择,以改变财政脆弱性指数目前的不利趋势。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of COVID-19 on energy prices and main macroeconomic indicators—evidence from China's energy market 新冠肺炎疫情对能源价格和主要宏观经济指标的影响——来自中国能源市场的证据
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2021019
Yilin Wu, Shiyu Ma
With the COVID-19 pandemic sweeping the world, the development of China's energy industry has been hampered. Although previous studies have shown the global influence of COVID-19 on energy prices and macroeconomic indicators, very few of them examined the impact on China independently, considering the special role of China in this pandemic and economy. In this study, we investigate the impact of the pandemic on several major China energy prices using the ARIMA-GARCH model. Combined with the Value-at-Risk (VaR) theory, we further explore the market risk, which indicates an increase in the tail risk of energy price volatility and the dramatic turbulence in energy markets. In addition, a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model is developed to analyze how the main macroeconomic indicators are affected when energy prices fluctuate. According to the model results, energy price fluctuations caused by the COVID-19 have a negative impact on economic growth and inflation, with a higher contribution to the latter changes. Based on the modeling analysis results, this paper makes constructive suggestions on how to stabilize energy prices and recover the economic development in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.
随着新冠肺炎疫情席卷全球,中国能源产业发展受到阻碍。虽然之前的研究显示了COVID-19对能源价格和宏观经济指标的全球影响,但考虑到中国在这场大流行和经济中的特殊作用,很少有研究独立研究对中国的影响。在本研究中,我们使用ARIMA-GARCH模型研究了疫情对中国几种主要能源价格的影响。结合风险价值(VaR)理论,我们进一步探讨了市场风险,表明能源价格波动和能源市场剧烈动荡的尾部风险增加。此外,还建立了一个向量自回归(VAR)模型来分析能源价格波动对主要宏观经济指标的影响。模型结果显示,新冠肺炎引发的能源价格波动对经济增长和通货膨胀产生负面影响,对后者的贡献更大。基于模型分析结果,本文对新冠肺炎大流行背景下如何稳定能源价格、恢复经济发展提出了建设性建议。
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引用次数: 8
The role of ESG in acquirers' performance change after M&A deals ESG在并购后收购方绩效变化中的作用
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2021015
Xuan Feng
This research aims to study the impact of the target's ESG score on the acquirer's ROA and stock price changes after M&A deals by regressing the percentage change of acquirer's performance change against the target's ESG score and a set of control variables. This research contributes to the current literature by exploring whether this impact is influenced by the acquirer's pre-M&A ESG level through two methods—expressing the coefficient of the target's ESG as s linear function of the acquirer's ESG and dividing the deals into two groups according to the acquirer's ESG level. The result of shows that the impact of the target's ESG score on the acquirer's ROA change is significant at 95% confidence level and varies for low-ESG and high-ESG acquirer groups. Although most acquirers suffer ROA declines one year after the deals, the ROA decline is aggravated for low-ESG acquirers but is relieved for high-ESG acquirers. This discrepancy can be attributed to the temporary integration costs that are higher for low-ESG acquirers than for high-ESG peers if the target's ESG level increases. Besides, this research concludes that the impact of the target's ESG score does not have a significant impact on the acquirer's stock price change before and after an M&A deal.
本研究旨在通过对并购目标公司的ESG得分和一组控制变量,回归并购目标公司绩效变化的百分比,研究并购后收购目标公司的ESG得分对并购后收购目标公司ROA和股价变化的影响。本研究通过两种方法——将目标公司的ESG系数表示为收购方ESG的线性函数,并根据收购方的ESG水平将交易分为两组——来探索这种影响是否受到并购前收购方ESG水平的影响,从而对现有文献做出了贡献。结果表明,在95%的置信水平下,目标公司ESG得分对收购方净资产收益率变化的影响显著,且在低ESG和高ESG收购方群体中存在差异。虽然大多数收购者在交易后一年的总资产回报率都会下降,但低esg收购者的总资产回报率下降会加剧,而高esg收购者的总资产回报率下降会有所缓解。这种差异可以归因于,如果目标公司的ESG水平提高,低ESG收购者的临时整合成本要高于高ESG收购者。此外,本研究得出的结论是,目标公司ESG得分的影响对并购前后收购方的股价变化没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 4
The role of financial resources in SMEs' financial and environmental performance; the mediating role of green innovation 金融资源在中小企业财务和环境绩效中的作用;绿色创新的中介作用
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2022002
R. Khan, H. Arif, Noor E. Sahar, A. Ali, M. Abbasi
The current study investigates the influence of financial resources on environmental and financial performance with the mediating role of green practices (innovation) in manufacturing firms of the emerging economy, Pakistan. The research model and its proposed hypothesis was using 294 manufacturing firms' samples, for fruitful insights, the hypothesis was tested through a structured equation model using Smart PLS 3. Our results exhibited a positive and significant impact of financial resources on financial performance but not on environmental performance. However, green innovation fully mediates the relationship between financial resources and financial performance, while partially mediate the relationship between financial resources and environmental performance. Considering our insight, we suggest to the government that financially support the SMEs sector because they have a lack of tangible and intangible resources due to small size, and to easily adapt the green practices.
目前的研究调查了金融资源对环境和财务绩效的影响,以及新兴经济体巴基斯坦制造业企业绿色实践(创新)的中介作用。研究模型及其提出的假设是使用294个制造企业的样本,为富有成效的见解,假设是通过使用智能PLS的结构化方程模型进行测试。我们的研究结果显示,财务资源对财务绩效有显著的正向影响,但对环境绩效没有显著影响。绿色创新在财务资源与财务绩效之间具有完全中介作用,在财务资源与环境绩效之间具有部分中介作用。考虑到我们的见解,我们建议政府对中小企业提供资金支持,因为中小企业规模小,缺乏有形和无形的资源,并且容易适应绿色实践。
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引用次数: 11
Mobile banking during COVID-19 pandemic in Bangladesh: A novel mechanism to change and accelerate people's financial access 孟加拉国2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的移动银行:一种改变和加速人们金融获取的新机制
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2021013
M. N. Khatun, Sandip Mitra, Md Nazirul Islam Sarker
Limited access to financial services is considered as a vital bottleneck for curbing poverty in Bangladesh. Digital technology such as mobile banking can contribute to accelerate people's access to finance but did not receive proper attention before COVID-19. This study intends to explore the use of mobile banking services to accelerate people's financial access in Bangladesh due to the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic by using secondary data. Mainly documentation techniques and descriptive statistical methods are used to collect and analyze the data. The study reveals that the number of registered mobile banking customers has escalated during the COVID-19 era. Mainly government policies regarding different mobile banking transactions such as cash in, cash out, person to person (P2P) transaction, salary and utility bill payments etc., have significantly contributed to rise the people's digital financial access during this pandemic. People's changing habit towards digital transactions has also contributed to increasing their financial access. The government should provide a convenient financial access platform to create a cashless society in the country.
获得金融服务的机会有限被认为是孟加拉国遏制贫困的一个重要瓶颈。移动银行等数字技术有助于加速人们获得金融服务,但在2019冠状病毒病之前并未得到应有的重视。本研究旨在通过使用二手数据,探索在COVID-19大流行出现的情况下,孟加拉国使用移动银行服务来加速人们的金融获取。主要使用文献技术和描述性统计方法来收集和分析数据。研究显示,在新冠肺炎疫情期间,手机银行的注册客户数量有所增加。此次疫情期间,政府针对各种移动银行交易(如现金入、现金出、个人对个人(P2P)交易、工资和水电费支付等)的政策,极大地促进了人们对数字金融的获取。人们对数字交易习惯的改变也有助于增加他们的金融渠道。政府应该提供一个便利的金融接入平台,在该国创建一个无现金社会。
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引用次数: 22
Decent Work and Economic Growth in the European Union. A partial order analysis of Eurostat SDG 8 data 欧盟的体面工作与经济增长。欧盟统计局SDG 8数据的偏序分析
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2021022
L. Carlsen
Decent work and economic growth are regarded as essential elements for the sustainable development of countries. Thus, the Sustainable Development Goal No. 8 (SDG 8) is specifically devoted to this. The present paper reports on partial ordering-based analyses of the main indicators for the 27 European member states for their complying with SDG 8. The analyses are based on five main indicators, real GDP (GDP), investment share of GDP by institutional sectors (INV), young people neither in employment nor in education and training (NEET), employment rate (EmpR) and long-term unemployment rate (LtUR). The analyses comprise 1) an overall analysis taken all five indicators simultaneously into account, 2) the investment profiles of the countries applying investment from business, government of households as indicators and 3) the employment situation in the single countries with the NEET, EmpR and LtUR as indicators, specifically looking at differences between males and females. The data gives rather clear-cut pictures of the general situation in the European Union as well on the investment profiles and employment situation. In all cases the countries are mutually ranked and compared to the population averaged values for the Union (EU27).
体面的工作和经济增长被认为是各国可持续发展的基本要素。因此,可持续发展目标8 (SDG 8)专门针对这一问题。本文报告了27个欧洲成员国遵守可持续发展目标8的主要指标的部分排序分析。该分析基于五个主要指标:实际国内生产总值(GDP)、机构部门投资占国内生产总值的份额(INV)、既不就业也不接受教育和培训的年轻人(NEET)、就业率(EmpR)和长期失业率(LtUR)。这些分析包括:(1)同时考虑到所有五个指标的全面分析;(2)以企业、政府或家庭投资为指标的各国投资概况;(3)以NEET、EmpR和LtUR为指标的单一国家的就业情况,特别研究男女之间的差异。这些数据相当清楚地说明了欧洲联盟的总体情况以及投资概况和就业情况。在所有情况下,这些国家都相互排名,并与欧盟(欧盟27国)的人口平均值进行比较。
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引用次数: 5
State of the art in carbon taxes: a review of the global conclusions 碳税的现状:对全球结论的回顾
IF 8.6 Pub Date : 2020-11-20 DOI: 10.3934/gf.2020022
Tadhg O’Mahony
Carbon taxes have been advocated as a key economic measure for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. The basis of this proposition, is the economic theory that applying a tax on carbon dioxide emissions is the “optimal” solution to addressing the market failure of externalities. In moving from theory to practice, the evidence from comprehensive global assessments, over the last three decades, covering actual policy experience and empirical study of policy effects, requires evolution and refinement of the theory. Carbon taxes are not adopted at the scale, coverage or price level necessary to effectively reduce emissions in line with the Paris Agreement. A persistent “implementation gap” has arisen, largely due to the political and social challenges that accompany taxation. Assessments of policy experience in key sectors of built environment, transport and industry, highlight the critical role of regulation, standards and technology among broader policy programmes. While a carbon tax can provide simplicity and scope, it is not sufficient on its own. Consistent with this finding, recent modelling innovations show that taxes can be employed as part of a portfolio of best practice policies and measures, for deep reduction of emissions. Portfolios can facilitate application of a lower, more “moderate” carbon tax, which enhances the social acceptability and political feasibility of the tax itself. When designing a tax, revenue recycling can help with policy resistance, delivering the “double dividend” of economic and climate gains, and addressing distributional considerations. A carbon tax may be useful to complement the broader portfolio of policies and measures accepted as necessary for long-term transition and transformation. It can offer support and prevent rebounds, but is not a substitute for the fundamental systems change that is at the core of addressing urgent sustainability crises.
碳税一直被认为是减少温室气体排放的一项关键经济措施。这一命题的基础是一种经济理论,即对二氧化碳排放征税是解决外部性市场失灵的“最佳”解决方案。在从理论走向实践的过程中,过去三十年来综合全球评估的证据,涵盖了实际政策经验和政策效果的实证研究,需要对理论进行演变和完善。碳税的征收规模、覆盖范围和价格水平未能达到《巴黎协定》规定的有效减排所需水平。持续存在的“执行差距”已经出现,主要是由于税收带来的政治和社会挑战。对建筑环境、运输和工业等关键部门的政策经验的评估突出了在更广泛的政策方案中规章、标准和技术的关键作用。虽然碳税可以提供简单和范围,但它本身是不够的。与这一发现相一致的是,最近的模型创新表明,税收可以作为一系列最佳实践政策和措施的一部分,以大幅减少排放。投资组合可以促进实施更低、更“适度”的碳税,从而提高碳税本身的社会可接受性和政治可行性。在设计税收时,收入回收可以帮助消除政策阻力,实现经济和气候收益的“双重红利”,并解决分配问题。碳税可能有助于补充被认为是长期过渡和转型所必需的更广泛的政策和措施组合。它可以提供支持并防止反弹,但不能取代根本的制度变革,而制度变革是解决紧迫的可持续性危机的核心。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Green Finance
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