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Forecast Rounding, Forecast Uncertainty, Managers’ Language, and Investors’ Judgments 预测舍入、预测不确定性、经理人语言与投资者判断
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-08-08 DOI: 10.2308/jfr-2020-002
Jessica L. Buchanan, M. D. Piercey
We investigate how rounded (e.g., 10 percent) versus unrounded (e.g., 9.73 percent, 10.00 percent, or 10.27 percent) sales growth forecasts impact investor judgment. We hypothesize that investors are more willing to invest in a company when the degree of rounding matches the amount of forecast uncertainty (i.e., rounded forecasts in more uncertain environments and unrounded forecasts in less uncertain environments). We also hypothesize that managers can offset the negative impact of a mismatch between forecast rounding and forecast uncertainty by using more immediate language in their forecasts. In a first experiment using M.B.A. students as investors, we find a combination of support and partial support for our hypotheses. However, in a second experiment using online workers and a third experiment using M.B.A. students, we fail to find support for our hypotheses. Overall, we fail to find replicable effects of forecast rounding, forecast uncertainty, and language immediacy on investors’ judgments.
我们调查了四舍五入(例如,10%)与非四舍五入(例如,9.73%,10.00%或10.27%)的销售增长预测如何影响投资者的判断。我们假设,当舍入程度与预测的不确定性相匹配时,投资者更愿意投资一家公司(即,在更不确定的环境中进行舍入预测,在更不确定的环境中进行非舍入预测)。我们还假设管理者可以通过在预测中使用更直接的语言来抵消预测舍入和预测不确定性之间不匹配的负面影响。在第一个以mba学生为投资者的实验中,我们发现对我们的假设既有支持,也有部分支持。然而,在第二个使用在线工作者的实验和第三个使用mba学生的实验中,我们没有找到支持我们假设的证据。总体而言,我们没有发现预测舍入、预测不确定性和语言即时性对投资者判断的可复制影响。
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引用次数: 0
Free Cash Flow Disclosure in Earnings Announcements 盈余公告中的自由现金流量披露
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.2308/jfr-2020-010
Katharine Adame, Jennifer L. Koski, Katie Lem, Sarah E. McVay
More companies are disclosing free cash flow in their earnings announcements. Companies choose a range of definitions, almost none of which correspond to the theoretical finance definition. The most common definition (in 40 percent of free cash flow disclosures) is operating cash flow minus gross capital expenditures. From discussions with managers, this definition is chosen largely to keep things simple, especially given the lack of time to explain subtle complexities to investors. There is evidence of both opportunistic and information motives in the choice to disclose. Information variables, such as capital intensity and low-quality earnings, explain at least as much of the disclosure decision as opportunism variables in all estimations. Opportunism is relatively more evident within initial disclosures, which are more likely when earnings decline and free cash flow is positive or increasing.
越来越多的公司在财报中披露自由现金流。公司选择了一系列的定义,几乎没有一个与理论金融定义相对应。最常见的定义(在40%的自由现金流披露中)是经营现金流减去总资本支出。从与管理人员的讨论来看,选择这个定义主要是为了使事情简单,特别是考虑到没有时间向投资者解释微妙的复杂性。有证据表明,选择披露既有机会主义动机,也有信息动机。在所有估计中,资本密集度和低质量收益等信息变量对披露决策的解释至少与机会主义变量一样多。在初次披露中,机会主义相对更为明显,在盈利下降、自由现金流为正或增加时,机会主义更有可能出现。
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引用次数: 0
Control Variables in Interactive Models 交互模型中的控制变量
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.2308/jfr-2021-023
E. dehaan, James R. Moon, Jonathan E. Shipman, Quinn T. Swanquist, Robert L. Whited
Accounting studies often examine whether the relation between X and Y varies with a moderating variable, M, by including an interactive term, X × M, in a regression. We provide plain-English guidance on why, how, and when to use control variables, Z, in interaction tests. A simulation and simple descriptions demonstrate how interacted controls affect coefficient estimates and interpretations. In particular, we demonstrate how controlling for Z without an accompanying interaction of X × Z and/or M × Z generally does not eliminate the confounding effect of Z on X × M. We conclude with guidance for future research. Data Availability: Stata code to produce the simulations in this paper is available, as linked in the text. JEL Classifications: M40; M41; C01; C18.
会计研究经常通过在回归中包含一个交互项X × M来检验X和Y之间的关系是否随调节变量M而变化。我们提供了简单的英语指导,说明为什么、如何以及何时在交互测试中使用控制变量Z。仿真和简单描述演示了交互控制如何影响系数估计和解释。特别是,我们证明了在没有伴随的X × Z和/或M × Z相互作用的情况下控制Z通常不能消除Z对X × M的混杂效应。我们的结论为未来的研究提供了指导。数据可用性:本文中生成模拟的Stata代码是可用的,如文本中的链接。JEL分类:M40;M41;C01;C18。
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引用次数: 1
Equity Crowdfunding and Offering Page Disclosure 股权众筹和发售页面披露
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.2308/jfr-2021-011
John M. Aland
This paper provides descriptive evidence about how startup firms communicate with investors on their Regulation Crowdfunding offering page. I find evidence, consistent with prior theory about processing costs and information salience, that a firm’s prior revenues relate strongly to the discussion of financial information on its offering page. This runs counter to indications from Reg CF founders that they think financial information is of less importance to these investors than other information about the company. Consistent with founder beliefs that investors place little weight on firm financials, I find no consistent relation between financial disclosure and a firm meeting its offering goal. Offering success appears more closely related to other elements of disclosure that tell the “story” of the company. The results of this paper can help inform future research in the crowdfunding space, as well as contribute to the literature on how investors process information and disclosure. Data Availability: Publicly available from Regulation Crowdfunding filings on SEC Edgar. JEL Classifications: G23; G24; M13; M41.
本文提供了关于创业公司如何在其监管众筹发行页面上与投资者沟通的描述性证据。我发现,与先前关于处理成本和信息显著性的理论一致的证据表明,一家公司的先前收入与其上市页面上的财务信息讨论密切相关。这与Reg CF创始人的说法背道而驰,他们认为财务信息对这些投资者来说不如公司的其他信息重要。与创始人认为投资者不太重视公司财务状况的观点一致,我发现财务披露与公司实现其发行目标之间没有一致的关系。提供成功似乎与披露公司“故事”的其他要素更密切相关。本文的研究结果可以为未来众筹领域的研究提供参考,也有助于研究投资者如何处理信息和披露的文献。数据可用性:可从SEC Edgar的众筹监管文件中公开获取。JEL分类:G23;G24;M13;M41。
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引用次数: 0
Managing cyber risk in the financial sector: Insights from a case study 管理金融部门的网络风险:来自案例研究的见解
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.3280/fr2023-001004
Chiara Crovini, Pier Luigi Marchini
Purpose: This article focuses on cyber risk as an emerging issue within the risk management process and the internal control system in the financial sector. It in-vestigates whether cyber risk management (CRM) is (dis)integrated into traditional enterprise risk management (ERM) and analyzes the external dynamics affecting the CRM design. Design/methodology/approach: This article draws upon institutional theory and the concept of boundary objects. The research examines a listed Italian bank and gathers the data from semi-structured interviews, direct observations, meet-ings, and archival sources. Findings: The findings underline that cyber risk rationale plays a crucial role in the CRM process. The interplay between institutional complexity and the need to manage cyber risk is critical for a bank to have a stable and flexible infrastructure. The knowledge boundaries related to the cyber risk culture require further cyber risk talk. Originality/value: This research furthers the understanding of cyber risk and CRM as an integral part of the ERM and internal control systems in the financial sector, in which there is a shortage of case studies. The financial sector is highly regulated, and managing cyber risk has become crucial as banks usually deal with enormous amounts of personal and sensitive data stored on networks and in the cloud. Practical implications: This case study emphasizes the crucial role of CRM in the identification and reporting of cyber risk information in annual reports.
目的:本文关注网络风险作为金融行业风险管理过程和内部控制制度中的一个新兴问题。研究了网络风险管理(CRM)是否与传统的企业风险管理(ERM)整合,并分析了影响CRM设计的外部动态因素。设计/方法论/方法:本文借鉴了制度理论和边界对象的概念。该研究考察了一家意大利上市银行,并从半结构化访谈、直接观察、会议和档案来源中收集数据。研究结果:研究结果强调,网络风险理论在客户关系管理过程中起着至关重要的作用。机构复杂性与管理网络风险的需求之间的相互作用,对于银行拥有稳定而灵活的基础设施至关重要。与网络风险文化相关的知识边界需要进一步的网络风险讨论。独创性/价值:本研究进一步加深了对网络风险和客户关系管理作为金融部门ERM和内部控制系统的组成部分的理解,这方面缺乏案例研究。金融行业受到严格监管,管理网络风险变得至关重要,因为银行通常要处理存储在网络和云中的大量个人和敏感数据。实际意义:本案例研究强调了客户关系管理在年度报告中识别和报告网络风险信息方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
CSR disclosure in banking: A qualitative literature review 银行业社会责任披露:质性文献回顾
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.3280/fr2023-001001
P. de Andres, Salvatore Polizzi, Enzo Scannella, Nuria Suárez
Purpose: This paper reviews the literature on corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure in banking to identify the most relevant aspects analyzed to date and avenues for future research. The CSR concept is key in the banking industry and banks are pushed to improve their social and environmental performance, and to disclose information about CSR in their financial and non-financial reports. Design/methodology/approach: This paper adopts a mixed literature review approach, based on a qualitative analysis of the literature and complemented by some structured systematic analyses. The theoretical frameworks employed in the literature, the time and geographical distribution of the samples analyzed, and the main findings of the studies indexed in Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and EBSCOhost are also examined. Findings: The findings show that (i) there is a significant gap between the liter-ature focusing on the financial dimension of bank disclosure and that exploring the CSR dimension; (ii) the time horizons analyzed in the empirical literature are concentrated around the 2008-2009 global financial crisis; (iii) the empirical litera-ture mainly focuses on the most developed European, North American and Asian countries. Originality/value: This study contributes to extant literature by describing the state of the art on CSR disclosure in banking and paving the way for future re-search on this topic. A call for research is raised on corruption-related disclosure and the relationship between national economic development and bank transpar-ency, with specific reference to CSR disclosure.
目的:本文回顾了有关银行企业社会责任(CSR)披露的文献,以确定迄今为止分析的最相关的方面和未来研究的途径。企业社会责任概念在银行业是关键,银行被要求提高其社会和环境绩效,并在其财务和非财务报告中披露有关企业社会责任的信息。设计/方法论/方法:本文采用混合文献综述法,以文献定性分析为基础,辅以一些结构化的系统分析。本文还分析了文献中采用的理论框架、样本的时间和地理分布,以及在Scopus、Web of Science、Google Scholar和EBSCOhost中检索的主要研究结果。研究结果表明:(1)关注银行信息披露财务维度的文献与探索企业社会责任维度的文献存在显著差距;(2)实证文献分析的时间范围主要集中在2008-2009年全球金融危机前后;(3)实证文献主要集中在最发达的欧洲、北美和亚洲国家。原创性/价值:本研究通过描述银行业社会责任披露的最新状况,为现有文献做出贡献,并为该主题的未来研究铺平道路。呼吁对腐败相关信息披露以及国家经济发展与银行透明度的关系进行研究,并特别提到企业社会责任信息披露。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the accounting community perspective on the "Consultation Paper on Sustainability Reporting" 探讨会计界对《可持续发展报告谘询文件》的看法
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.3280/fr2023-001003
Cristian Carini, Laura Rocca, Monica Veneziani, Claudio Teodori
The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) in January 2020 is-sued "Classification of Liabilities as Current or Non-current", which amended IAS 1 Presentation of Financial Statements. The main purpose of the amend-ments regards the classification of financial liabilities and how to classify them under particular circumstances. The amendments are proposed to be effective for annual reporting periods beginning on or after 1 January 2023, with earlier application permitted. Due to feedback received and enquiries about the classification of financial liabilities with financial covenants, in December 2020 the IFRS Interpretations Committee (IFRIC) published a tentative agenda decision in response to such feedback. Subsequently, in October 2022 the International Accounting Stand-ards Board (IASB) published a document titled "Non-current Liabilities with Covenants (Amendments to IAS 1)". The purpose of this document is to clarify the conditions with which an entity must comply within twelve months after the reporting period affect the classification of a liability. The amendments are ef-fective for reporting periods beginning on or after 1 January 2024. The classification of financial liabilities as current or non-current is an im-portant consideration for financial reporting purposes, as it can have a significant impact on a company's financial statements and financial ratios. Current liabili-ties are those that are expected to be settled within one year, while non-current liabilities are those that are expected to be settled beyond that time frame. The purpose of the following review is to analyse the main impacts of the amendments on the classification of the financial liabilities with covenants and the project's history and timeline.
国际会计准则理事会(IASB)于2020年1月发布了《流动或非流动负债分类》,修订了《国际会计准则第1号财务报表列报》。此次修订的主要目的是对金融负债的分类以及在特定情况下如何对金融负债进行分类。建议修订对自2023年1月1日或之后开始的年度报告期间生效,允许提前申请。由于收到的反馈意见和对金融负债与金融契约分类的询问,国际财务报告准则解释委员会(IFRIC)于2020年12月发布了一项暂定议程决定,以回应这些反馈意见。随后,在2022年10月,国际会计准则理事会(IASB)发布了一份题为“带有契约的非流动负债(对IAS 1的修订)”的文件。本文件旨在澄清企业在影响负债分类的报告期后12个月内必须遵守的条件。该修订对自2024年1月1日或之后日期开始的报告期间生效。将金融负债分类为流动或非流动是财务报告目的的一个重要考虑因素,因为它可能对公司的财务报表和财务比率产生重大影响。流动负债是那些预计将在一年内结算的负债,而非流动负债是那些预计将在一年内结算的负债。以下审查的目的是分析修订对带有契约的金融负债的分类以及项目的历史和时间表的主要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Book Review. Luca Menicacci, Book-Tax Conformity in the IFRS era. Evidence from Italian Listed Companies 书评。Luca Menicacci,《国际财务报告准则时代的账面税收一致性》。来自意大利上市公司的证据
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.3280/fr2023-001006
G. Greco
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引用次数: 0
Dialogue with standard setters. Amendments to IAS 1 regarding non-current liabilities with covenants 与标准制定者对话。《国际会计准则第1号》关于含契约的非流动负债的修订
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.3280/fr2023-001005
Stefano Bianchi
The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) in January 2020 is-sued "Classification of Liabilities as Current or Non-current", which amended IAS 1 Presentation of Financial Statements. The main purpose of the amend-ments regards the classification of financial liabilities and how to classify them under particular circumstances. The amendments are proposed to be effective for annual reporting periods beginning on or after 1 January 2023, with earlier application permitted. Due to feedback received and enquiries about the classification of financial liabilities with financial covenants, in December 2020 the IFRS Interpretations Committee (IFRIC) published a tentative agenda decision in response to such feedback. Subsequently, in October 2022 the International Accounting Stand-ards Board (IASB) published a document titled "Non-current Liabilities with Covenants (Amendments to IAS 1)". The purpose of this document is to clarify the conditions with which an entity must comply within twelve months after the reporting period affect the classification of a liability. The amendments are ef-fective for reporting periods beginning on or after 1 January 2024. The classification of financial liabilities as current or non-current is an im-portant consideration for financial reporting purposes, as it can have a significant impact on a company's financial statements and financial ratios. Current liabili-ties are those that are expected to be settled within one year, while non-current liabilities are those that are expected to be settled beyond that time frame. The purpose of the following review is to analyse the main impacts of the amendments on the classification of the financial liabilities with covenants and the project's history and timeline.
国际会计准则理事会(IASB)于2020年1月发布了《流动或非流动负债分类》,修订了《国际会计准则第1号财务报表列报》。此次修订的主要目的是对金融负债的分类以及在特定情况下如何对金融负债进行分类。建议修订对自2023年1月1日或之后开始的年度报告期间生效,允许提前申请。由于收到的反馈意见和对金融负债与金融契约分类的询问,国际财务报告准则解释委员会(IFRIC)于2020年12月发布了一项暂定议程决定,以回应这些反馈意见。随后,在2022年10月,国际会计准则理事会(IASB)发布了一份题为“带有契约的非流动负债(对IAS 1的修订)”的文件。本文件旨在澄清企业在影响负债分类的报告期后12个月内必须遵守的条件。该修订对自2024年1月1日或之后日期开始的报告期间生效。将金融负债分类为流动或非流动是财务报告目的的一个重要考虑因素,因为它可能对公司的财务报表和财务比率产生重大影响。流动负债是那些预计将在一年内结算的负债,而非流动负债是那些预计将在一年内结算的负债。以下审查的目的是分析修订对带有契约的金融负债的分类以及项目的历史和时间表的主要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Intra-group Interlocking in European listed business groups 欧洲上市企业集团内部连锁的决定因素
IF 1.5 Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.3280/fr2023-001002
E. Di Carlo, L. Fattobene, Marco Caiffa
Purpose: The phenomenon of Interlocking Directorship within the same busi-ness group (the Intra-group Interlocks, IgI) has received little attention by scholars, especially when the interlocked affiliated-group companies are listed. Focusing on listed business groups, characterized by the presence of at least two affiliated-listed companies, and following the contingency perspective, this study aims to explore the determinants of IgI. Design/methodology/approach: The study analyses the controlling sharehold-er type (family, State, coalitions), the business ties, and the separation between ownership and control, focusing on 315 business groups listed in different Europe-an countries, i.e., Belgium, France, Greece, Italy, Spain, and Portugal. The social network analysis is applied to these groups, to compare the networks that originate from the corporate board of directors. Findings: In groups controlled by the State the density of social links is lower than in those controlled by families and coalitions. The strength of IgI is also relat-ed to the degree of correlation of firms' industries, even if this correlation is influ-enced by the separation between ownership and control and by the country regula-tion that protects minority shareholders. Overall, the results show that for listed groups the agency theory better explains the determinants of the IgI phenomenon. Originality/value: This study contributes to the understanding of why board members of listed parent companies sit (or do not sit) in the listed subsidiary boards. Relying on agency theory and resource dependence theory, it also propos-es a theoretical framework.
目的:同一企业集团内部董事互锁现象(Intra-group Interlocks, IgI)很少受到学者的关注,特别是当连锁关联集团公司上市时。本研究以至少有两家关联上市公司为特征的上市企业集团为研究对象,采用权变视角,探讨IgI的决定因素。设计/方法/途径:本研究以比利时、法国、希腊、意大利、西班牙和葡萄牙等欧洲国家315家企业集团为研究对象,分析了控股股东类型(家族、国家、联盟)、企业关系以及所有权和控制权的分离。将社会网络分析应用于这些群体,以比较来自公司董事会的网络。结果:在国家控制的群体中,社会联系的密度低于家庭和联盟控制的群体。IgI的强度也与公司行业的相关性程度有关,即使这种相关性受到所有权和控制权分离以及保护小股东的国家监管的影响。总体而言,结果表明,对于上市集团,代理理论更好地解释了IgI现象的决定因素。原创性/价值:本研究有助于理解上市母公司董事会成员为何担任(或不担任)上市子公司董事会成员。并以代理理论和资源依赖理论为基础,提出了一个理论框架。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Financial Reporting
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