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BSDEs and log-utility maximization for Lévy processes lsamvy过程的bsde和日志效用最大化
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2019-12-17 DOI: 10.15559/19-VMSTA144
P. D. Tella, H. Engelbert
In this paper we establish the existence and the uniqueness of the solution of a special class of BSDEs for L'{e}vy processes in the case of a Lipschitz generator of sublinear growth. We then study a related problem of logarithmic utility maximization of the terminal wealth in the filtration generated by an arbitrary L'{e}vy process.
在次线性增长Lipschitz生成器的情况下,我们建立了一类特殊的L'{e}vy过程的BSDEs解的存在唯一性。然后,我们研究了由任意L {e}vy过程产生的过滤中终端财富的对数效用最大化的相关问题。
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引用次数: 0
Jackknife covariance matrix estimation for observations from mixture 混合观测值的刀切协方差矩阵估计
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2019-12-17 DOI: 10.15559/19-VMSTA145
R. Maiboroda, O. Sugakova
A general jackknife estimator for the asymptotic covariance of moment estimators is considered in the case when the sample is taken from a mixture with varying concentrations of components. Consistency of the estimator is demonstrated. A fast algorithm for its calculation is described. The estimator is applied to construction of confidence sets for regression parameters in the linear regression with errors in variables. An application to sociological data analysis is considered.
当样本取自具有不同成分浓度的混合物时,考虑了矩估计量渐近协方差的一般折刀估计量。证明了估计量的相合性。给出了一种快速计算算法。将该估计量应用于变量存在误差的线性回归中回归参数置信集的构造。考虑了社会学数据分析的应用。
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引用次数: 6
On occupation time for on-off processes with multiple off-states 具有多个关闭状态的开关进程的占用时间
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2019-09-29 DOI: 10.15559/22-vmsta210
Chaoran Hu, V. Pozdnyakov, Jun Yan
The need to model a Markov renewal on-off process with multiple off-states arise in many applications such as economics, physics, and engineering. Characterization of the occupation time of one specific off-state marginally or two off-states jointly is crucial to understand such processes. The exact marginal and joint distributions of the off-state occupation times are derived. The theoretical results are confirmed numerically in a simulation study. A special case when all holding times have Lévy distribution is considered for the possibility of simplification of the formulas.
在经济学、物理学和工程学等许多应用中,都需要对具有多个非状态的马尔可夫更新开关过程进行建模。表征一个特定的非稳态边缘或两个非稳态联合的占用时间对于理解这些过程至关重要。导出了非状态占用时间的精确边际分布和联合分布。理论结果在数值模拟研究中得到了验证。为了简化公式的可能性,考虑了所有保持时间均为lsamvy分布的特殊情况。
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引用次数: 0
Maximum likelihood estimation in the non-ergodic fractional Vasicek model 非遍历分数Vasicek模型的极大似然估计
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2019-09-23 DOI: 10.15559/19-VMSTA140
S. Lohvinenko, K. Ralchenko
We investigate the fractional Vasicek model described by the stochastic differential equation $dX_t=(alpha -beta X_t),dt+gamma ,dB^H_t$, $X_0=x_0$, driven by the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with the known Hurst parameter $Hin (1/2,1)$. We study the maximum likelihood estimators for unknown parameters $alpha$ and $beta$ in the non-ergodic case (when $beta <0$) for arbitrary $x_0in mathbb{R}$, generalizing the result of Tanaka, Xiao and Yu (2019) for particular $x_0=alpha /beta$, derive their asymptotic distributions and prove their asymptotic independence.
我们研究了由随机微分方程$dX_t=(alpha -beta X_t),dt+gamma ,dB^H_t$, $X_0=x_0$描述的分数阶Vasicek模型,该模型由已知Hurst参数$Hin (1/2,1)$的分数阶布朗运动$B^H$驱动。我们研究了任意$x_0in mathbb{R}$的非遍历情况下未知参数$alpha$和$beta$的极大似然估计量(当$beta <0$时),推广了特定$x_0=alpha /beta$的Tanaka, Xiao和Yu(2019)的结果,推导了它们的渐近分布并证明了它们的渐近独立性。
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引用次数: 6
The asymptotic error of chaos expansion approximations for stochastic differential equations 随机微分方程混沌展开近似的渐近误差
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2019-06-04 DOI: 10.15559/19-VMSTA133
T. Huschto, M. Podolskij, S. Sager
In this paper we present a numerical scheme for stochastic differential equations based upon the Wiener chaos expansion. The approximation of a square integrable stochastic differential equation is obtained by cutting off the infinite chaos expansion in chaos order and in number of basis elements. We derive an explicit upper bound for the $L^2$ approximation error associated with our method. The proofs are based upon an application of Malliavin calculus.
本文提出了一种基于维纳混沌展开的随机微分方程的数值格式。通过对混沌序和基元数的无限混沌展开进行截断,得到了一个平方可积随机微分方程的近似解。我们为与我们的方法相关的$L^2$近似误差导出了一个显式的上界。这些证明是基于马氏微积分的一个应用。
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引用次数: 2
A copula-based bivariate integer-valued autoregressive process with application 基于copula的二元整值自回归过程及其应用
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2019-03-12 DOI: 10.15559/19-VMSTA130
A. Buteikis, R. Leipus
A bivariate integer-valued autoregressive process of order 1 (BINAR(1)) with copula-joint innovations is studied. Different parameter estimation methods are analyzed and compared via Monte Carlo simulations with emphasis on estimation of the copula dependence parameter. An empirical application on defaulted and non-defaulted loan data is carried out using different combinations of copula functions and marginal distribution functions covering the cases where both marginal distributions are from the same family, as well as the case where they are from different distribution families.
研究了一类具有共轭创新的1阶双变量整值自回归过程(BINAR(1))。通过蒙特卡罗仿真对不同的参数估计方法进行了分析和比较,重点讨论了copula相关参数的估计。对违约和非违约贷款数据进行了实证应用,使用copula函数和边际分布函数的不同组合,涵盖了两种边际分布来自同一族的情况,以及它们来自不同分布族的情况。
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引用次数: 4
Fractional Cox–Ingersoll–Ross process with small Hurst indices 具有小Hurst指数的分数阶Cox-Ingersoll-Ross过程
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-12-21 DOI: 10.15559/18-VMSTA126
Y. Mishura, Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko
In this paper the fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process on $mathbb{R}_+$ for $H 0}}+varepsilon}-a Y_{varepsilon}(t))dt+sigma dB^H(t)$, as $varepsilondownarrow0$. Properties of such limit process are considered. SDE for both the limit process and the fractional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process are obtained.
本文对$mathbb{R}_+$上的分数阶Cox-Ingersoll-Ross过程求解$H 0}}+varepsilon}-a Y_{varepsilon}(t))dt+sigma dB^H(t)$,如$varepsilondownarrow0$。考虑了这种极限过程的性质。得到了极限过程和分数阶Cox-Ingersoll-Ross过程的SDE。
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引用次数: 15
Probability distributions for the run-and-tumble models with variable speed and tumbling rate 随速度和翻滚率变化的跑滚模型的概率分布
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-12-21 DOI: 10.15559/18-VMSTA127
L. Angelani, R. Garra
In this paper we consider a telegraph equation with time-dependent coefficients, governing the persistent random walk of a particle moving on the line with a time-varying velocity $c(t)$ and changing direction at instants distributed according to a non-stationary Poisson distribution with rate $lambda(t)$. We show that, under suitable assumptions, we are able to find the exact form of the probability distribution. We also consider the space-fractional counterpart of this model, finding the characteristic function of the related process. A conclusive discussion is devoted to the potential applications to run-and-tumble models.
本文考虑一个具有时变系数的电报方程,它控制一个粒子以时变速度$c(t)$在直线上运动并在速率$ λ (t)$的非平稳泊松分布的瞬间改变方向的持续随机游走。我们证明,在适当的假设下,我们能够找到概率分布的确切形式。我们还考虑了该模型的空间分数对应物,找到了相关过程的特征函数。结论性的讨论致力于对奔跑和翻滚模型的潜在应用。
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引用次数: 6
Existence and uniqueness of mild solution to fractional stochastic heat equation 分数阶随机热方程温和解的存在唯一性
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-11-29 DOI: 10.15559/18-VMSTA122
K. Ralchenko, G. Shevchenko
For a class of non-autonomous parabolic stochastic partial differential equations defined on a bounded open subset $Dsubset mathbb {R}^d$ and driven by an $L^2(D)$-valued fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H>1/2$, a new result on existence and uniqueness of a mild solution is established. Compared to the existing results, the uniqueness in a fully nonlinear case is shown, not assuming the coefficient in front of the noise to be affine. Additionally, the existence of moments for the solution is established.
对于定义在有界开子集$D子集mathbb {R}^ D $上的一类非自治抛物型随机偏微分方程,由具有Hurst指标$H>1/2$的$L^2(D)$值分数阶布朗运动驱动,得到了一类温和解的存在唯一性的新结果。与已有结果相比,在不假设噪声前系数为仿射的情况下,证明了完全非线性情况下的唯一性。此外,还证明了解的矩的存在性。
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引用次数: 5
Option pricing in time-changed Lévy models with compound Poisson jumps 具有复合泊松跳变lsamvy模型的期权定价
IF 0.4 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2018-11-27 DOI: 10.15559/18-VMSTA124
R. Ivanov, K. Ano
The problem of European-style option pricing in time-changed L'{e}vy models in the presence of compound Poisson jumps is considered. These jumps relate to sudden large drops in stock prices induced by political or economical hits. As the time-changed L'{e}vy models, the variance-gamma and the normal-inverse Gaussian models are discussed. Exact formulas are given for the price of digital asset-or-nothing call option on extra asset in foreign currency. The prices of simpler options can be derived as corollaries of our results and examples are presented. Various types of dependencies between stock prices are mentioned.
研究了存在复合泊松跳的时变L {e}vy模型中的欧式期权定价问题。这些跳涨与政治或经济打击导致的股价突然大幅下跌有关。作为时变的L {e}vy模型,我们讨论了方差- γ和正态-逆高斯模型。给出了外币额外资产的数字“有或无”看涨期权价格的精确公式。简单期权的价格可以作为我们的结果的推论而推导出来,并给出了例子。提到了股票价格之间的各种类型的依赖关系。
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引用次数: 1
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Modern Stochastics-Theory and Applications
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