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The application of chaos theory in COVID-19 data analysis 混沌理论在COVID-19数据分析中的应用
Nurul Umirah Mohd Fauzi, Muhammad Al-Aniq Abu Bakar, Nurul Hidayah Zolkply, Siti Hidayah Muhad Saleh, M. L. Sapini, N. M. Yusof
This research presents a study on the existence of chaotic behaviour in COVID-19 time series data using the Largest Lyapunov Exponent (LLE) and forecasts the outcome of the new daily cases of infected people until 2023 by chaos indicators tools, Logistic Map. The study also chooses another mathematical model, Linear Regression, to verify the accuracy of the Logistic Map by comparing both methods. The comparison between these methods is analyzed by using Mean Square Error (MSE). The data was collected from the end of January until early December 2020 involving Malaysia, China, Singapore, the USA and Italy. The result shows the countries tested have the existence of chaotic behaviour. Meanwhile, forecasting depicts some countries whose cases are declining and some are increasing. © 2022 Author(s).
本研究利用最大李雅普诺夫指数(LLE)对COVID-19时间序列数据中存在的混沌行为进行了研究,并利用混沌指标工具Logistic Map预测了2023年之前每日新增感染病例的结果。本研究还选择了另一种数学模型线性回归,通过比较两种方法来验证Logistic Map的准确性。采用均方误差(Mean Square Error, MSE)对两种方法进行比较分析。这些数据是从2020年1月底到12月初收集的,涉及马来西亚、中国、新加坡、美国和意大利。结果表明,被测国家存在混沌行为。与此同时,预测显示有些国家的病例正在减少,有些国家的病例正在增加。©2022作者。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation on capital financing for corporations and its credit exposure 企业融资与信用风险模拟
S. R. Hamzah, Umul Ain'syah Sha'ari, Karmila Hanim Kamil
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引用次数: 0
Fuzzy preference relation and weighting algorithm for ranking and allocating proportion of asset funds 资产基金排序与分配比例的模糊偏好关系及加权算法
Afnan Aizzat Adnan, A. M. Yaakob, R. I. Alaudin
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引用次数: 0
The interrelationships of perceived quality and brand loyalty in brand evangelism development 品牌传福音发展中感知品质与品牌忠诚度的相互关系
J. Shabbir, N. Suki
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引用次数: 0
The vagueness and transparency of information in large scale group decision making with hesitant fuzzy network and social network analysis 基于犹豫模糊网络和社会网络分析的大规模群体决策中信息的模糊性和透明性
Shahira Shafie, A. M. Yaakob
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引用次数: 0
Phase space quantum mechanics via frame quantization on finite groups 有限群上框架量子化的相空间量子力学
F. D. Delloro, Job A. Nable
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引用次数: 0
New analytical solutions for two physical applications by the modified (G′/G2)-expansion method 用改进的(G′/G2)展开法求解两种物理应用的新解析解
N. Aljahdaly, Amjad F. Alyoubi, Reham G. Aloufi
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引用次数: 0
Multiclass classification scheme for diagnosis of diabetes mellitus based on type-1 fuzzy systems 基于1型模糊系统的糖尿病多分类诊断方案
Siti Fatimah Abdul Rahman, Nur Sabrina Mohd Rafiee, A. M. Yaakob, Shahira Shafie, Izleen Ibrahim
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引用次数: 2
Evaluating heart failure predictors using quantitative approaches 使用定量方法评估心力衰竭预测因子
Rainianti Daman, S. A. Kamaruddin
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引用次数: 0
A bibliometric analysis of insurance literacy using bibliometrix an R package 使用bibliometrix和R软件包对保险素养进行文献计量学分析
Siti Nurasyikin Shamsuddin, N. Ismail, N. F. Roslan
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引用次数: 1
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The 5th Innovation and Analytics Conference & Exhibition (IACE 2021)
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