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McKean SDEs with singular coefficients 具有奇异系数的McKean SDEs
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-07-30 DOI: 10.1214/22-aihp1293
Elena Issoglio, F. Russo
The paper investigates existence and uniqueness for a stochastic differential equation (SDE) with distributional drift depending on the law density of the solution. Those equations are known as McKean SDEs. The McKean SDE is interpreted in the sense of a suitable singular martingale problem. A key tool used in the investigation is the study of the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation.
研究了一类随解律密度分布漂移的随机微分方程的存在唯一性。这些方程被称为麦基恩方程。McKean SDE被解释为一个合适的奇异鞅问题。研究中使用的一个关键工具是研究相应的福克-普朗克方程。
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引用次数: 4
On consistent and rate optimal estimation of the missing mass 缺失质量的一致性和速率最优估计
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-07-22 DOI: 10.1214/20-AIHP1126
Fadhel Ayed, M. Battiston, F. Camerlenghi, S. Favaro
. Given n samples from a population of individuals belonging to different types with unknown proportions, how do we estimate the probability of discovering a new type at the ( n + 1)-th draw? This is a classical problem in statistics, commonly referred to as the missing mass estimation problem. Recent results have shown: i) the impossibility of estimating the missing mass without imposing further assumptions on type’s proportions; ii) the consistency of the Good-Turing estimator of the missing mass under the assumption that the tail of type’s proportions decays to zero as a regularly varying function with parameter α ∈ (0 , 1); ii) the rate of convergence n − α/ 2 for the Good-Turing estimator under the class of α ∈ (0 , 1) regularly varying P . In this paper we introduce an alternative, and remarkably shorter, proof of the impossibility of a distribution-free estimation of the missing mass. Beside being of independent interest, our alternative proof suggests a natural approach to strengthen, and expand, the recent results on the rate of convergence of the Good-Turing estimator under α ∈ (0 , 1) regularly varying type’s proportions. In particular, we show that the convergence rate n − α/ 2 is the best rate that any estimator can achieve, up to a slowly varying function. Furthermore, we prove that a lower bound to the minimax estimation risk must scale at least as n − α/ 2 , which leads to conjecture that the Good-Turing estimator is a rate optimal minimax estimator under regularly varying type proportions.
. 给定n个样本,这些样本属于不同类型的个体,比例未知,我们如何估计在第(n + 1)次抽取时发现新类型的概率?这是统计学中的一个经典问题,通常被称为缺失质量估计问题。最近的结果表明:i)如果不对类型的比例施加进一步的假设,估计缺失质量是不可能的;ii)假设类型比例的尾部作为参数α∈(0,1)的正则变函数衰减为零,缺失质量的Good-Turing估计量的相合性;ii)在α∈(0,1)有规则变化P的类下,Good-Turing估计量的收敛速率n−α/ 2。在本文中,我们引入了另一种证明,而且非常简短,证明了不可能对缺失质量进行无分布估计。除了具有独立的兴趣之外,我们的替代证明提出了一种自然的方法来加强和扩展最近关于α∈(0,1)规则变化类型比例下Good-Turing估计的收敛率的结果。特别是,我们证明了收敛速率n−α/ 2是任何估计器可以达到的最佳速率,直到缓慢变化的函数。此外,我们证明了极大极小估计风险的下界必须至少缩放为n - α/ 2,从而推测在规则变化的类型比例下,Good-Turing估计量是一个速率最优极大极小估计量。
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引用次数: 8
Spike and slab Pólya tree posterior densities: Adaptive inference 穗和板Pólya树后密度:自适应推断
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-07-22 DOI: 10.1214/20-AIHP1132
I. Castillo, Romain Mismer
Abstract: In the density estimation model, the question of adaptive inference using Pólya tree–type prior distributions is considered. A class of prior densities having a tree structure, called spike–and–slab Pólya trees, is introduced. For this class, two types of results are obtained: first, the Bayesian posterior distribution is shown to converge at the minimax rate for the supremum norm in an adaptive way, for any Hölder regularity of the true density between 0 and 1, thereby providing adaptive counterparts to the results for classical Pólya trees in [5]. Second, the question of uncertainty quantification is considered. An adaptive nonparametric Bernstein– von Mises theorem is derived. Next, it is shown that, under a self-similarity condition on the true density, certain credible sets from the posterior distribution are adaptive confidence bands, having prescribed coverage level and with a diameter shrinking at optimal rate in the minimax sense.
摘要:在密度估计模型中,考虑了利用Pólya树型先验分布进行自适应推理的问题。介绍了一类具有树形结构的先验密度,称为spike-and-slab Pólya树。对于这一类,得到了两类结果:第一,对于0和1之间的任何Hölder真密度的正则性,贝叶斯后验分布以自适应的方式收敛于最大范数的极小极大率,从而提供了[5]中经典Pólya树的结果的自适应对应。其次,考虑了不确定度的量化问题。导出了一个自适应非参数Bernstein - von Mises定理。其次,在真密度的自相似条件下,来自后验分布的某些可信集是自适应置信带,具有规定的覆盖水平,直径在极小极大意义上以最优速率收缩。
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引用次数: 6
Uniform spanning forests on biased Euclidean lattices 在偏欧几里得格上均匀跨越森林
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-07-22 DOI: 10.1214/20-AIHP1119
Zhan Shi, V. Sidoravicius, He Song, Longmin Wang, Kainan Xiang
The uniform spanning forest measure (USF) on a locally finite, infinite connected graph with conductance c is defined as a weak limit of uniform spanning tree measure on finite subgraphs. Depending on the underlying graph and conductances, the corresponding USF is not necessarily concentrated on the set of spanning trees. Pemantle [20] showed that on Z, equipped with the unit conductance c = 1, USF is concentrated on spanning trees if and only if d ≤ 4. In this work we study the USF associated with conductances c(e) = λ−|e|, where |e| is the graph distance of the edge e from the origin, and λ ∈ (0, 1) is a fixed parameter. Our main result states that in this case USF consists of finitely many trees if and only if d = 2 or 3. More precisely, we prove that the uniform spanning forest has 2 trees if d = 2 or 3, and infinitely many trees if d ≥ 4. Our method relies on the analysis of the spectral radius and the speed of the λ-biased random walk on Z. AMS 2010 subject classifications. Primary 60J10, 60G50, 05C81; secondary 60C05, 05C63, 05C80.
将电导为c的局部有限无限连通图上的一致生成树测度(USF)定义为有限子图上一致生成树测度的弱极限。根据底层图和电导的不同,相应的USF不一定集中在生成树的集合上。Pemantle[20]表明,在单位电导c = 1的Z上,USF集中在生成树上当且仅当d≤4。本文研究电导c(e) = λ−|e|时的USF,其中|e|是边e到原点的图距离,λ∈(0,1)是一个固定参数。我们的主要结果表明,在这种情况下,当且仅当d = 2或3时,USF由有限多棵树组成。更准确地说,我们证明了当d = 2或3时一致生成森林有2棵树,当d≥4时一致生成森林有无穷多棵树。我们的方法依赖于对Z. AMS 2010主题分类的光谱半径和λ偏随机漫步速度的分析。初级60J10、60G50、055c81;二级60C05、055c63、055c80。
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引用次数: 1
Semiparametric estimation of McKean–Vlasov SDEs McKean-Vlasov SDEs的半参数估计
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.1214/22-aihp1261
D. Belomestny, Vytaut.e Pilipauskait.e, M. Podolskij
In this paper we study the problem of semiparametric estimation for a class of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. Our aim is to estimate the drift coefficient of a MV-SDE based on observations of the corresponding particle system. We propose a semiparametric estimation procedure and derive the rates of convergence for the resulting estimator. We further prove that the obtained rates are essentially optimal in the minimax sense.
本文研究了一类McKean-Vlasov随机微分方程的半参数估计问题。我们的目的是在观测相应粒子系统的基础上估计MV-SDE的漂移系数。我们提出了一种半参数估计方法,并推导了估计量的收敛速率。进一步证明了所得速率在极大极小意义上是最优的。
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引用次数: 9
2-LC triangulated manifolds are exponentially many 2-LC三角流形是指数型的
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-06-23 DOI: 10.4171/aihpd/170
Bruno Benedetti, Marta Pavelka
We introduce"$t$-LC triangulated manifolds"as those triangulations obtainable from a tree of $d$-simplices by recursively identifying two boundary $(d-1)$-faces whose intersection has dimension at least $d-t-1$. The $t$-LC notion interpolates between the class of LC manifolds introduced by Durhuus--Jonsson (corresponding to the case $t=1$), and the class of all manifolds (case $t=d$). Benedetti--Ziegler proved that there are at most $2^{d^2 , N}$ triangulated $1$-LC $d$-manifolds with $N$ facets. Here we prove that there are at most $2^{frac{d^3}{2}N}$ triangulated $2$-LC $d$-manifolds with $N$ facets. This extends to all dimensions an intuition by Mogami for $d=3$. We also introduce"$t$-constructible complexes", interpolating between constructible complexes (the case $t=1$) and all complexes (case $t=d$). We show that all $t$-constructible pseudomanifolds are $t$-LC, and that all $t$-constructible complexes have (homotopical) depth larger than $d-t$. This extends the famous result by Hochster that constructible complexes are (homotopy) Cohen--Macaulay.
我们引入“$t$-LC三角流形”作为由$d$-简单树通过递归识别两个边界$(d-1)$面而得到的三角化,其相交至少具有$d-t-1$维数。$t$-LC概念插入到Durhuus- Jonsson引入的LC流形类(对应于$t=1$的情况)和所有流形类($t=d$的情况)之间。Benedetti—Ziegler证明了最多有$2^{d^2 , N}$三角化的$1$-LC $d$流形具有$N$个面。本文证明了具有$N$面的$2^{frac{d^3}{2}N}$三角化的$2$-LC $d$流形。这可以推广到所有维度这是Mogami对d=3的直觉。我们还引入了“$t$可构造复合体”,在可构造复合体(情况$t=1$)和所有复合体(情况$t=d$)之间进行插值。我们证明了所有$t$可构造伪流形都是$t$-LC,并且所有$t$可构造配合物的(同局部)深度大于$d-t$。这扩展了Hochster关于可构造复合体是(同伦)Cohen- Macaulay的著名结论。
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引用次数: 0
Weak convergence of directed polymers to deterministic KPZ at high temperature 定向聚合物在高温下向确定KPZ的弱收敛
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-05-12 DOI: 10.1214/22-aihp1287
S. Chatterjee
It is shown that when $dge 3$, the growing random surface generated by the $(d+1)$-dimensional directed polymer model at sufficiently high temperature, after being smoothed by taking microscopic local averages, converges to a solution of the deterministic KPZ equation in a suitable scaling limit.
结果表明,当(d+1)维定向聚合物模型在足够高的温度下生成的生长随机表面,在取微观局部平均平滑后,收敛于确定性KPZ方程在合适尺度极限下的解。
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引用次数: 6
Wasserstein perturbations of Markovian transition semigroups 马尔可夫跃迁半群的Wasserstein摄动
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-05-12 DOI: 10.1214/22-aihp1270
Sven Fuhrmann, M. Kupper, M. Nendel
In this paper, we deal with a class of time-homogeneous continuous-time Markov processes with transition probabilities bearing a nonparametric uncertainty. The uncertainty is modeled by considering perturbations of the transition probabilities within a proximity in Wasserstein distance. As a limit over progressively finer time periods, on which the level of uncertainty scales proportionally, we obtain a convex semigroup satisfying a nonlinear PDE in a viscosity sense. A remarkable observation is that, in standard situations, the nonlinear transition operators arising from nonparametric uncertainty coincide with the ones related to parametric drift uncertainty. On the level of the generator, the uncertainty is reflected as an additive perturbation in terms of a convex functional of first order derivatives. We additionally provide sensitivity bounds for the convex semigroup relative to the reference model. The results are illustrated with Wasserstein perturbations of L'evy processes, infinite-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, geometric Brownian motions, and Koopman semigroups.
本文研究了一类转移概率具有非参数不确定性的时间齐次连续马尔可夫过程。不确定性通过考虑Wasserstein距离内邻近的转移概率的扰动来建模。作为一个在越来越细的时间段上的极限,在这个时间段上,不确定性水平按比例缩放,我们得到了一个满足粘性意义上的非线性偏微分方程的凸半群。一个值得注意的观察是,在标准情况下,由非参数不确定性引起的非线性转移算子与与参数漂移不确定性有关的非线性转移算子重合。在生成器的层面上,不确定性反映为一阶导数的凸泛函形式的加性扰动。我们还提供了凸半群相对于参考模型的灵敏度界。结果用L′evy过程的Wasserstein摄动、无限维Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程、几何布朗运动和Koopman半群来说明。
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引用次数: 7
Recurrence and transience of random difference equations in the critical case 临界情况下随机差分方程的递归性和暂态性
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-05-11 DOI: 10.1214/22-aihp1274
G. Alsmeyer, A. Iksanov
For i.i.d. random vectors $(M_{1},Q_{1}),(M_{2},Q_{2}),ldots$ such that $M>0$ a.s., $Qgeq 0$ a.s. and $mathbb{P}(Q=0)<1$, the random difference equation $X_{n}=M_{n}X_{n-1}+Q_{n}$, $n=1,2,ldots$, is studied in the critical case when the random walk with increments $log M_{1},log M_{2}$ is oscillating. We provide conditions for the null-recurrence and transience of the Markov chain $(X_{n})_{nge 0}$ by inter alia drawing on techniques developed in the related article Alsmeyer et al (2017) for another case exhibiting the null-recurrence/transience dichotomy.
对于i.i.d随机向量$(M_{1},Q_{1}),(M_{2},Q_{2}),ldots$,如$M>0$ a.s., $Qgeq 0$ a.s.和$mathbb{P}(Q=0)<1$,研究了随机差分方程$X_{n}=M_{n}X_{n-1}+Q_{n}$, $n=1,2,ldots$,在具有增量$log M_{1},log M_{2}$的随机游走振荡的临界情况下。我们为马尔可夫链$(X_{n})_{nge 0}$的零递归和瞬态提供了条件,除其他外,我们还利用了相关文章Alsmeyer等(2017)中开发的技术,用于另一种显示零递归/瞬态二分法的情况。
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引用次数: 1
Cutoff for permuted Markov chains 置换马尔可夫链的截止
IF 1.5 Q2 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2021-04-08 DOI: 10.1214/22-aihp1248
Anna Ben-Hamou, Y. Peres
Let $P$ be a bistochastic matrix of size $n$, and let $Pi$ be a permutation matrix of size $n$. In this paper, we are interested in the mixing time of the Markov chain whose transition matrix is given by $Q=PPi$. In other words, the chain alternates between random steps governed by $P$ and deterministic steps governed by $Pi$. We show that if the permutation $Pi$ is chosen uniformly at random, then under mild assumptions on $P$, with high probability, the chain $Q$ exhibits cutoff at time $frac{log n}{mathbf{h}}$, where $mathbf{h}$ is the entropic rate of $P$. Moreover, for deterministic permutations, we improve the upper bound on the mixing time obtained by Chatterjee and Diaconis (2020).
设$P$为大小为$n$的双随机矩阵,设$Pi$为大小为$n$的置换矩阵。本文主要研究转移矩阵由$Q=PPi$给出的马尔可夫链的混合时间。换句话说,这个链在由$P$控制的随机步骤和由$Pi$控制的确定性步骤之间交替。我们证明,如果排列$Pi$是均匀随机选择的,那么在$P$的温和假设下,链$Q$有高概率在$frac{log n}{mathbf{h}}$时间表现出截断,其中$mathbf{h}$是$P$的熵率。此外,对于确定性排列,我们改进了Chatterjee和Diaconis(2020)获得的混合时间上界。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Annales de l Institut Henri Poincare D
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