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Relating Sustainable Development Goals in a Conceptual Integrated Model of Growth and Welfare 在增长和福利的概念综合模型中关联可持续发展目标
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i3.477
K. S. Sass, Tomás Lopes Cavalheiro Ponce Dentinho
The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) is one of the most relevant efforts aiming at the promotion of sustainable development around the world. Many indicators serve as a guide to evaluate the actual level of development and to identify the issues that need more attention. What is not clear yet is the association between the goals and their indicators. This can limit the information on effective political tools to reduce inequalities at the national and local levels. Based on that, the paper aims to explore the connections between SDGs. Its approach involves i) the proposal of a conceptual integrated model of sustainable development rooted in the literature and connectable with the SDGs; ii) based on World Bank (2019) data on sustainable indicators over two decades, the test of a two-stage econometric model, one to explain product per capita and a second one to explain lack of happiness, assessed by the suicide rate. From the results, it is possible to identify the factors that influence the level of wealth and happiness while integrating Sustainable Development Goals.
联合国可持续发展目标(SDG)是旨在促进全球可持续发展的最相关努力之一。许多指标可作为评价实际发展水平和确定需要更多注意的问题的指南。目前尚不清楚的是这些目标与其指标之间的联系。这可能限制关于在国家和地方两级减少不平等现象的有效政治工具的信息。在此基础上,本文旨在探讨可持续发展目标之间的联系。其方法包括:(1)提出一个植根于文献并与可持续发展目标相关的可持续发展概念性综合模型;ii)基于世界银行(2019)二十年来可持续指标的数据,对两阶段计量经济模型进行测试,一阶段解释人均产品,第二阶段解释缺乏幸福感,以自杀率进行评估。从结果中,可以在整合可持续发展目标的同时确定影响财富和幸福水平的因素。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 Morbidity and Mortality Factors COVID-19发病率和死亡率因素
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i3.455
Yuval Arbel, Chaim Fialkoff, A. Kerner, M. Kerner
This study investigates the scope of morbidity and mortality from SARS-COV2 virus at a country-wide level based on three central risk factors: population density, median age, and per capita hospital beds. Given that the relative weight following a change in equal units of measurement has not been examined on a country-wide level, we use empirical models with standardized coefficients. Information for this study was obtained from the World Health Organization (WHO) data base, which encompasses 162 countries, and spans five continents from January 22, 2020, to January 21, 2022. Referring to projected COVID-19 infection and mortality rates, and following a one standard deviation increase, the influence of these independent variables may be ranked as follows: Infection -- 1) the median age of the country's population; 2) number of hospital beds per thousand persons; 3) population density. Mortality -- 1) the median age of the country's population; 2) population density; 3) number of hospital beds per thousand persons. Findings may be of assistance to public policy planners. Given the dominance of the age variable in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, on the one hand, the allocation of resources for future pandemics should grow in countries with older population profiles (European countries). On the other hand, the emphasis in countries with younger populations (African countries) should be on better medical infrastructure in sparser regions.
本研究基于人口密度、年龄中位数和人均医院床位三个主要危险因素,调查了全国范围内SARS-COV2病毒的发病率和死亡率范围。鉴于没有在全国范围内检查相等计量单位变化后的相对权重,我们使用具有标准化系数的经验模型。这项研究的信息来自世界卫生组织(世卫组织)数据库,该数据库涵盖162个国家,涵盖五大洲,时间为2020年1月22日至2022年1月21日。参考预计的COVID-19感染率和死亡率,在增加一个标准差后,这些自变量的影响可以排序如下:感染——1)该国人口的年龄中位数;2)每千人医院床位数;3)人口密度。死亡率——1)该国人口的年龄中位数;2)人口密度;(3)每千人医院床位数。调查结果可能对公共政策规划者有所帮助。鉴于年龄变量在2019冠状病毒病大流行背景下占主导地位,一方面,人口结构较老的国家(欧洲国家)应增加对未来大流行的资源分配。另一方面,人口较年轻的国家(非洲国家)的重点应放在较稀疏地区更好的医疗基础设施上。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial Economics and Totalitarian Temptations 空间经济学和极权主义的诱惑
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i3.490
Gunnar Take
Among the German spatial economists August Lösch is arguably the one who has had the biggest lasting influence on international academic literature. After his death in May 1945, a legend was created according to which he was a fierce opponent to national socialism. This was part of the attempts of his former colleagues and of the German economics community at large to disguise the extent of their own involvement and their agency in advising economic and social policies of the Nazi regime. The political context of spatial planning during the Second World War was particularly damning as it in many cases presupposed genocides on nations such as Poles and Russians and on religious groups such as Jews. It was precisely with regards to Eastern Europe that Lösch’s theoretical contributions were deemed to be particularly valuable. However, the legend of his supposed opposition contained a grain of truth as he was indeed appalled by central aspects of Nazi ideology. Yet, the ability of a totalitarian regime such as the “Third Reich” to integrate the contributions of a brilliant mind and somebody who saw himself as an independent and unpolitical scholar into its decentralized and collaborative spatial research apparatus is what makes Lösch’s biography particularly interesting and relevant today.
在德国空间经济学家中,August Lösch可以说是对国际学术文献影响最大的一位。1945年5月他去世后,坊间流传着他是国家社会主义的强烈反对者的传说。这是他的前同事和整个德国经济界企图掩盖他们自己参与纳粹政权经济和社会政策建议的程度的一部分。第二次世界大战期间空间规划的政治背景尤其恶劣,因为在许多情况下,它预设了对波兰人和俄罗斯人等民族以及犹太人等宗教团体的种族灭绝。正是在东欧方面,Lösch的理论贡献被认为特别有价值。然而,他所谓的反对的传说包含了一点事实,因为他确实对纳粹意识形态的核心方面感到震惊。然而,像“第三帝国”这样的极权主义政权能够将一个聪明的头脑和一个认为自己是独立和非政治学者的人的贡献整合到其分散和协作的空间研究机构中,这使得Lösch的传记在今天特别有趣和相关。
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引用次数: 0
Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries 选定非洲国家的信贷市场发展和农业生产
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i3.417
Z. Shikur
This study aimed to examine the long and short-run relationships between credit market development and agricultural production using the Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) Bounds test for cointegration, as well as the direction of causality by using the Granger causality test. The results of the ARDL Bounds test revealed that institutional credit development had a significant long-run effect on agricultural production in all countries under examination, except for Tunisia; that is: Benin, Kenya, and Nigeria. In the short run, credit market development had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in Nigeria. By contrast, the effect of credit market development on agricultural production was negative in the short-run in Benin, Kenya, and Tunisia. The result of granger causality test revealed the existence of significant bi-directional causal links between institutional credit development and agricultural production in Benin, Kenya and Nigeria, no significant interdependence was found between the two variables in Tunisia. Capital formation had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries. Climate change was negatively associated with agricultural production in all countries except for Nigeria. The exchange rates and real interest rates had a negative effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries.
本研究采用协整的自回归分布滞后(ARDL)检验检验信贷市场发展与农业生产之间的长期和短期关系,并采用格兰杰因果检验检验因果关系的方向。ARDL界限检验的结果显示,机构信贷发展对除突尼斯以外的所有受调查国家的农业生产都有重大的长期影响;即贝宁、肯尼亚和尼日利亚。在短期内,信贷市场的发展对尼日利亚的农业生产产生了显著的积极影响。相比之下,在贝宁、肯尼亚和突尼斯,信贷市场发展对农业生产的短期影响是负面的。格兰杰因果检验结果显示,贝宁、肯尼亚和尼日利亚的机构信贷发展与农业生产之间存在显著的双向因果关系,突尼斯的机构信贷发展与农业生产之间不存在显著的相互依存关系。资本形成对各国农业生产的长期和短期都有显著的积极影响。除尼日利亚外,气候变化与所有国家的农业生产呈负相关。汇率和实际利率对所有国家的长期和短期农业生产都有负面影响。
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引用次数: 1
Financial Development and Human Development in Nigeria 尼日利亚的金融发展和人类发展
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i1.422
Mutiu Adeniyi Afolabi, B. Akanbi, Onifade Emmanuel Olayinka
This study examines the relationship between financial development indicators and human development in Nigeria from 1990-2019. It investigates the effect of broad money supply/Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Human development; it examines the impact of credit supply/GDP on human development and assesses the link between market capitalization and human development. The study employs expo-facto research design and Autoregressive Distributed Lag to examine the relationship between Financial Development and Human Development. Previous studies in Nigeria had focused on financial development and economic growth, financial deepening and economic growth. Therefore, this study is a response to the dearth of relevant empirical studies on financial development and human development in Nigeria. From the results, the long run net effect of broad money supply/GDP on human development is negligible and positive. M2/GDP in Nigeria only account for the extent of monetization rather than financial intermediation. The long run net effect of credit supply/GDP on human development is negligible and positive. The long-run effect of M2/GDP, CPS/GDP are statistically significant but has no power to substantially influence human development in Nigeria. The study suggests that banks should effectively perform their intermediation roles and effort should be made by the policy makers to widen/broaden the Nigeria capital market activity. Policy makers should concentrate on financial system and their roles for effective money supply and credit supply while implementing economic policies.
本研究考察了1990-2019年尼日利亚金融发展指标与人类发展之间的关系。它研究了广义货币供应量/国内生产总值(GDP)对人类发展的影响;它审查信贷供应/国内生产总值对人力发展的影响,并评估市场资本和人力发展之间的联系。本研究采用实证研究设计和自回归分布滞后来检验金融发展与人的发展之间的关系。以往对尼日利亚的研究侧重于金融发展与经济增长、金融深化与经济增长。因此,本研究是针对尼日利亚金融发展与人的发展缺乏相关实证研究的回应。从结果来看,广义货币供应量/GDP对人类发展的长期净影响是可以忽略不计的,而且是积极的。M2/GDP在尼日利亚只反映货币化程度,而不是金融中介。信贷供给/GDP对人类发展的长期净影响可以忽略不计,而且是积极的。M2/GDP、CPS/GDP的长期影响在统计上是显著的,但对尼日利亚的人类发展没有实质性的影响。研究表明,银行应有效地发挥其中介作用,政策制定者应努力扩大/拓宽尼日利亚资本市场活动。决策者在实施经济政策时应关注金融体系及其在有效货币供给和信贷供给中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
The geographical dimension of income and consumption inequality 收入和消费不平等的地理维度
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i1.452
Y. Psycharis, Thomas Georgiadis, P. Nikolopoulos
This paper aims at examining interpersonal income and consumption inequality within the Attica Metropolitan Region, which includes Athens, the largest metropolis of Greece. It also aims to make comparisons between Attica and the rest of the country. The analysis is based on income and consumption microdata from Greek Household Budget Surveys (HBS) over the period 2008-2019, encapsulating the period from the commencement of the economic crisis until the year before the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Results indicate that income inequalities are systematically higher than consumption inequalities. From a spatial comparative perspective, the results show that the Attica Metropolitan Region exhibits a higher degree of income and consumption inequality relative to the rest of the country. Furthermore, the economic crisis increased income inequality in Athens and in the rest of the country, while consumption expenditure inequality increased in the Athens metropolitan area only. Finally, the distance between socio-economic groups, which stands as a measure of the degree of social polarization, increased during the economic crisis. However, this does not hold true for consumption inequality. Overall, the analysis demonstrates the sensitivity of inequality outcomes to the selection of the welfare indicator (income or consumption), as well as a number of noticeable differences in inequality outcomes between the Metropolitan region of Attica and the rest of the country. The paper unveils facets of inequality which necessitate the implementation of more people and place-targeted policies aimed at more inclusive and balanced welfare conditions in metropolitan regions and across the country.
本文旨在研究包括希腊最大的大都市雅典在内的阿提卡大都市区内的人际收入和消费不平等。它还旨在将阿提卡与该国其他地区进行比较。该分析基于希腊家庭预算调查(HBS) 2008-2019年期间的收入和消费微观数据,涵盖了从经济危机开始到2019冠状病毒病大流行开始前一年的这段时间。结果表明,收入不平等系统性地高于消费不平等。从空间比较的角度来看,研究结果表明,与全国其他地区相比,阿提卡大都市区表现出更高程度的收入和消费不平等。此外,经济危机加剧了雅典和全国其他地区的收入不平等,而消费支出不平等只在雅典大都市区加剧。最后,衡量社会两极化程度的社会经济群体之间的距离在经济危机期间有所增加。然而,这并不适用于消费不平等。总体而言,分析表明了不平等结果对福利指标(收入或消费)选择的敏感性,以及阿提卡大都市区与该国其他地区之间不平等结果的一些显著差异。本文揭示了不平等的各个方面,这些方面需要在大都市地区和全国范围内实施更多的人和有针对性的政策,旨在实现更具包容性和平衡的福利条件。
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引用次数: 1
Economy and creativity multiparametric clustering 经济与创意多参数聚类
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-31 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i1.382
S. Slava
This paper suggests a way to cluster Ukrainian regions by using economy and creativity-related multiparametric sets so as to reveal the main roles of players in cross-regional comparisons. Special attention was paid to an analysis of invaded regions since 2014 and 2022. The methodology is based on a consistent utilisation of structured analysis, correlation, regression and clustering modelling. Sets of parameters were selected from secondary data via correlation and regression analyses aimed at defining the most impactful factors. The study sample includes 25 regions in Ukraine. The research results contribute mainly to the theorisation of comparative regional analysis and to the relationship between the economy and creativity and their specific behaviour in regions directly linked to war crisis.
本文提出了一种利用与经济和创造力相关的多参数集对乌克兰地区进行聚类的方法,以揭示参与者在跨地区比较中的主要作用。特别关注了2014年和2022年以来入侵地区的分析。该方法基于对结构化分析、相关性、回归和聚类建模的一致利用。通过相关和回归分析从二手数据中选择参数集,旨在确定最具影响的因素。研究样本包括乌克兰的25个地区。研究结果主要有助于比较区域分析的理论化,以及经济与创造力之间的关系及其在与战争危机直接相关的地区的具体行为。
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引用次数: 0
Between leading and lagging 在领先和落后之间
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-14 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i1.453
Miguel González‐Leonardo
In this paper, we analyse the interregional migration of Spanish-born young adults by educational attainment and explore unemployment and over-education in the labour market among internal migrants and sedentary individuals with a university degree. We used register data of population movements from 2000 to 2018 to analyse internal migration patterns and the Labour Force Survey to study the educational attainment of migrants, as well as unemployment rates and over-education among college graduates. Our results indicate a regional polarisation after the economic crisis. Peripheral regions in the interior of Spain have been affected by an increasing exodus of university graduates, in addition to high levels of unemployment and over-education among individuals with a university degree who remain at origin. However, peripheral regions in the north-west and south of Spain have been less affected by out-migration, even though the south has shown higher levels of unemployment for college graduates. The central region of Madrid has emerged as the main destination for university graduates, with a large capacity to employ populations with university education from other regions. Semi-central regions of the Mediterranean and north-east of Spain retain local college graduates and exhibit good labour market conditions among residents with a university degree, but they are not destinations of individuals with university education from other regions.
在本文中,我们通过教育程度分析了西班牙出生的年轻人的区域间迁移,并探讨了内部移民和拥有大学学位的久坐个人在劳动力市场中的失业和过度教育。我们使用2000年至2018年的人口流动登记数据来分析国内移民模式,并使用劳动力调查来研究移民的受教育程度,以及失业率和大学毕业生的过度教育。我们的研究结果表明,经济危机后出现了地区两极分化。西班牙内陆的外围地区受到越来越多的大学毕业生外流的影响,此外还有高失业率和留在原籍国的大学毕业生的过度教育。然而,西班牙西北部和南部的外围地区受到外来移民的影响较小,尽管南部的大学毕业生失业率较高。马德里的中心地区已经成为大学毕业生的主要目的地,有很大的能力从其他地区雇佣受过大学教育的人口。地中海的半中部地区和西班牙东北部保留了当地的大学毕业生,并在拥有大学学位的居民中表现出良好的劳动力市场条件,但这些地区并不是其他地区受过大学教育的个人的目的地。
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引用次数: 0
Territorial marginality: causes, methods and policies. 地域边缘:原因、方法与政策。
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i2.487
B. Vendemmia, Agim Enver Kerucku, G. Vecchio
What are the different factors that make a territory marginal? Are contextual features related to spatial, socioeconomic, institutional, or cultural elements differently influencing marginality in different countries? These are the questions at the origin of this Special Issue. Marginal areas are traditionally defined as those far from the main urban centres, based on a core-periphery model (Cullen & Pretes, 2000; Gatzweiler & Baumüller, 2014; Herrschel, 2012; Ferrau & Lopes, 2004; Bock, 2016). From this perspective, marginality is an intrinsic spatial condition rather than a transient feature. However, the geographic distance from the poles is only one among the many conditions that can help to define marginality, which could be better defined as a process deeply influenced by socioeconomic changes (Máliková, Farrell, McDonagh, 2016). Marginal regions can be peripheral in geographical location but advanced regarding their socioeconomic situation. On the other hand, not every marginal Region is necessarily peripheral: on the contrary, several studies suggest an interpretation of marginality as a lack of socioeconomic and political connection (Leimgruber, 2004; Pelc, 2006; Bock, 2016). Moreover, in European countries such as Germany, France and Italy, the concept of marginality has often been associated with rural or mountainous areas. Still, different contributions to this Special Issue show that marginal territories may have very diverse geographical and orographic conditions. In addition, the scale at which a region can be defined as marginal and the administrative borders may also significantly influence the definition of marginality itself. The lack of a broad, shared definition of marginality affects the identification of marginal territories and the possibility of developing adequate territorial policies to rebalance their marginal condition. Europe shows different attempts at defining marginal territories before proposing devoted policies. For example, Italy refers to the concept of "inner areas" (Materiali Uval, 2014), while the Espon (2017) project PROFECY refers to "inner peripheries". The different names given to marginal territories and the different definitions of marginality require exploring the meaning of considering the other features that may make a territory marginal. As a result, marginality should move from the core-periphery model that considers accessibility to services and goods and distance from central places, considering how a combination of physical, social, economic, institutional and cultural aspects defines marginal territories.
有哪些不同的因素使一个地区处于边缘?在不同的国家,与空间、社会经济、制度或文化因素相关的背景特征对边缘化的影响是否不同?这些就是本期特刊的起源问题。传统上,边缘地区被定义为远离主要城市中心的地区,基于核心-外围模型(Cullen & Pretes, 2000;Gatzweiler & baum ller, 2014;Herrschel, 2012;Ferrau & Lopes, 2004;一杯啤酒,2016)。从这个角度来看,边际性是一个内在的空间条件,而不是一个短暂的特征。然而,与两极的地理距离只是有助于定义边缘化的众多条件之一,边缘化可以更好地定义为受社会经济变化深刻影响的过程(Máliková, Farrell, McDonagh, 2016)。边缘地区可以在地理位置上处于边缘地位,但在社会经济地位上处于先进地位。另一方面,并非每个边缘地区都必然是边缘地区:相反,一些研究表明,边缘性的解释是缺乏社会经济和政治联系(Leimgruber, 2004;Pelc, 2006;一杯啤酒,2016)。此外,在德国、法国和意大利等欧洲国家,边缘化的概念往往与农村或山区联系在一起。尽管如此,本期特刊的不同投稿表明,边缘地区可能具有非常不同的地理和地形条件。此外,界定边缘地区的尺度和行政边界也可能对边缘定义本身产生重大影响。缺乏对边缘性的广泛和共同的定义影响了边缘领土的确定和制定适当的领土政策以重新平衡其边缘状况的可能性。在提出专门的政策之前,欧洲在界定边缘领土方面做出了不同的尝试。例如,意大利指的是“内部区域”的概念(Materiali Uval, 2014),而Espon(2017)项目PROFECY指的是“内部外围”。边缘领土的不同名称和边缘性的不同定义要求探索考虑可能使领土边缘的其他特征的意义。因此,边缘性应该从考虑服务和商品的可及性以及与中心地区的距离的核心-边缘模式转向考虑如何结合物质、社会、经济、制度和文化方面来定义边缘领土。
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引用次数: 0
Economic impact of hotels and similar establishments in Veszprém District veszpracimm区的旅馆和类似设施的经济影响
IF 0.8 Q2 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.18335/region.v10i1.418
Alishan Karimov, P. Gyurácz-Németh, D. Kamann
This study measures the economic impact of hotels and similar establishments on the overall economy of the Hungarian Veszprém District. It is considered to be an individual part of the total hospitality sector. The Local Multiplier is utilized in the study from three perspectives: direct, indirect and induced effects. Both secondary public data as well as primary data sources, merely questionnaires, were used to collect data. The resulting score for the induced impact (LM3) is 1.96, meaning that for every forint brought into the economy of the district of Veszprem by the hotels and similar establishments, another extra forint is generated. The study also finds that revenues of the Veszprem district as share of the national figures have shrunk significantly and development has stagnated in absolute terms over the past four years.
这项研究衡量了酒店和类似机构对匈牙利veszpracimm区的整体经济的经济影响。它被认为是整个酒店业的一个单独部分。本文从直接效应、间接效应和诱导效应三个角度运用了局部乘数。二级公共数据和主要数据来源,仅仅是问卷调查,都被用来收集数据。诱导影响(LM3)的结果得分为1.96,这意味着酒店和类似场所每为Veszprem地区的经济带来一个福林,就会产生另一个福林。该研究还发现,Veszprem地区的收入占全国收入的比例在过去四年中大幅缩水,发展在绝对值上停滞不前。
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引用次数: 0
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Baltic Region
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