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A Novel Statistical Modeling Approach to Developing IDF Relations in the Context of Climate Change 气候变化背景下IDF关系发展的统计建模新方法
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c489
V. Nguyen, Truong-Huy Nguyen
Extreme rainfall intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) relations have been commonly used for estimating the design storm for the design of various urban water infrastructures. In recent years, climate change has been recognized as having a profound impact on the hydrologic cycle. Hence, the derivation of IDF relations in the context of a changing climate has been recognized as one of the most challenging tasks in current engineering practice. The main challenge is how to establish the linkages between the climate projections given by climate models at the global or regional scales and the observed extreme rainfalls at a local site of interest. Therefore, our overall objective is to introduce a new statistical modeling approach to linking global or regional climate predictors to the observed daily and sub-daily rainfall extremes at a given location. Illustrative applications using climate simulations from 21 different global climate models and extreme rainfall data available from rain gauge networks located across Canada are presented to indicate the feasibility, accuracy, and robustness of the proposed modeling approach for assessing the climate change impact on IDF relations.
极端降雨强度-持续时间-频率(IDF)关系是各种城市水利基础设施设计中常用的设计风暴估计方法。近年来,气候变化已被认为对水文循环产生了深远的影响。因此,在气候变化的背景下推导IDF关系已被认为是当前工程实践中最具挑战性的任务之一。主要的挑战是如何在全球或区域尺度的气候模式给出的气候预测与当地观测到的极端降雨之间建立联系。因此,我们的总体目标是引入一种新的统计建模方法,将全球或区域气候预测器与观测到的给定地点的日和次日极端降雨量联系起来。本文利用21种不同全球气候模式的气候模拟和来自加拿大各地雨量计网络的极端降雨数据进行了说明应用,以表明所提出的建模方法用于评估气候变化对IDF关系的影响的可行性、准确性和稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
The Effectiveness of Centralized versus Decentralized Green Infrastructure in Improving Water Quality and Reducing Flooding at the Catchment Scale 集中式与分散式绿色基础设施在改善流域水质和减少洪水方面的效果
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c490
Katherine Meierdiercks, Nicholas F. McCloskey
Green infrastructure (GI), such as green roofs, rain gardens, and porous pavement, is a stormwater management strategy designed to capture rain where it falls and allow it to soak into the ground rather than running off into a stream channel, thus reducing flooding and improving water quality. While there has been a lot of research into the performance of individual GI projects, much less is known about its performance at the catchment scale. This study uses a US EPA SWMM model to examine the effectiveness of GI in improving water quality and reducing flooding at the catchment scale. Results show that in the study catchment, a large centralized wetland was the most effective at reducing and slowing peak discharge. Infiltration based decentralized GI best reduced flood volumes. In addition to changes in effective impervious area, flood volumes were also reduced due to differences in drainage network structure and modifications to the pervious portions of the catchment. Reductions in flood volumes resulted in lower pollutant loads, except for pollutants that are particularly efficiently removed by wetlands. Routing runoff through a large, centralized wetland removed more nitrate load than letting rain infiltrate where it falls.
绿色基础设施(GI),如绿色屋顶、雨水花园和多孔路面,是一种雨水管理策略,旨在收集雨水,使其渗入地下,而不是流入河道,从而减少洪水和改善水质。虽然对单个地理标志项目的绩效进行了大量研究,但对其在流域尺度上的绩效了解甚少。本研究使用美国环保署SWMM模型来检验GI在改善流域水质和减少洪水方面的有效性。结果表明,在研究流域中,大型集中式湿地对减少和减缓峰值流量最有效。基于入渗的分散GI最能减少洪水量。除了有效不透水面积的变化外,由于排水网络结构的差异和对集水区透水部分的改造,洪水量也减少了。洪水量的减少导致污染物负荷的降低,除了那些被湿地特别有效地去除的污染物。径流通过一个大型的、集中的湿地,比让雨水渗透到降雨的地方,可以去除更多的硝酸盐负荷。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical Assessments of River Flow Alterations and Environmental Flow Standards 河流量变化及环境流量标准的统计评估
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c481
R. Wurbs, Ming Yang
A water availability modeling (WAM) system consisting of the Water Rights Analysis Package (WRAP) and input datasets for all Texas river basins has been used for statewide, regional, and operational planning and water allocation regulatory purposes for many years. The modeling system was recently expanded to support integration of environmental flow requirements in comprehensive water management. A strategy is presented in this paper for combining the WRAP-WAM modeling system with data management and statistical analysis tools to expand capabilities for analyzing stream flow alterations and the effects on flows of environmental flow standards. A Trinity River Basin case study demonstrates the utility of the modeling and analysis strategy in addressing relevant issues in the river systems of Texas and elsewhere. Dams and reservoirs constructed on the Trinity River and tributaries supply water for the Dallas–Fort Worth and Houston metropolitan areas, which are among the most rapidly growing large metro areas in the United States. Ecologically relevant statistical analyses of observed flows presented in this paper are designed to quantify flow alterations. Analyses of simulated flows representing natural and specified conditions of development are performed to assess the impacts of both water resources development and the establishment of environmental flow standards.
水可用性建模(WAM)系统由水权分析包(WRAP)和德克萨斯州所有河流流域的输入数据集组成,多年来一直用于全州、区域和运营规划和水分配监管目的。该建模系统最近得到了扩展,以支持综合水管理中环境流量要求的集成。本文提出了一种将WRAP-WAM建模系统与数据管理和统计分析工具相结合的策略,以扩展分析河流流量变化和环境流量标准对流量影响的能力。三一河流域的案例研究展示了建模和分析策略在解决德克萨斯州和其他地方河流系统相关问题方面的效用。建在三一河及其支流上的水坝和水库为达拉斯-沃斯堡和休斯顿都市区供水,这些都市区是美国发展最快的大型都市区之一。本文提出的观测流量的生态学相关统计分析旨在量化流量变化。对代表自然和特定发展条件的模拟流量进行了分析,以评估水资源开发和建立环境流量标准的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Insights into green roof modeling using SWMM LID controls for detention-based designs 使用SWMM LID控件进行基于滞留的设计,深入了解绿色屋顶建模
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c484
S. Jeffers, B. Garner, Derek Hidalgo, Dionisi Daoularis, Oscar Warmerdam
Rainfall–runoff responses were observed in a laboratory environment using a rainfall simulator and a 7.43 m2 green roof cassette equipped with weighing lysimeters. SWMM LID controls were developed for various green roof profile configurations based on the physical properties of the composite materials. Unknown parameters affecting the drainage layer were adjusted in calibration. The cassette was modeled both as a typical Green Roof LID control using Manning’s equation at the drainage layer and a Bioretention LID control using an orifice equation in the drainage layer. Key parameters from a sensitivity analysis that were not directly measured were Manning’s roughness of the drainage layer, the drainage coefficient at the orifice, and the conductivity slope (HCO). The hydraulics of roof drains were considered by varying the width of the drain outlet from 0.25 m–1.22 m. During calibration and validation of multiple events, SWMM modeling resulted in a good fit compared to observed results (Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient values of 0.70–0.89). Key limitations of SWMM green roof modeling are discussed with suggested improvements for future consideration.
在实验室环境中,使用降雨模拟器和配备称重溶渗仪的7.43 m2绿色屋顶盒观察降雨径流响应。SWMM LID控制器是根据复合材料的物理特性为各种绿色屋顶轮廓配置开发的。校正影响排水层的未知参数。盒式结构既采用典型的Green Roof LID控制模型,在泄水层采用Manning方程,又采用bioreretention LID控制模型,在泄水层采用孔板方程。敏感性分析中没有直接测量的关键参数是泄水层的曼宁粗糙度、孔处的泄水系数和电导率斜率(HCO)。通过改变排水口的宽度从0.25 m到1.22 m来考虑屋顶排水口的水力学。在多个事件的校准和验证过程中,SWMM模型与观测结果(Nash-Sutcliffe模型效率系数值为0.70-0.89)拟合良好。讨论了SWMM绿色屋顶建模的主要局限性,并提出了改进建议,以供将来考虑。
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引用次数: 6
A Width Parameter Estimation Through Equivalent Rectangle Methodology for Hydraulic Modeling Applications 基于等效矩形方法的水工模型宽度参数估计
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c493
Jose Ricardo Bonilla Brenes, Rafael Oreamuno Vega, J. Hack
EPA SWMM hydraulic modeling requires the estimation of different parameters allowing the determination of the basin's response upon a given precipitation event. Some physical parameters, such as area or perimeter, are measurable and can be accurately determined; however, other parameter estimation presents greater uncertainty, such as the width parameter. For regular and uniform drainage areas, width parameter estimation is relatively simple; however, when a complete irregular basin analysis is required, width determination presents greater uncertainty, and its representativeness becomes complicated to define. Width determination is idealized with the representation of a rectangle, where, for an equal area, a higher width will result in a faster response of the basin, while a lower width will result in a slower response of the basin. This paper attempts to estimate a representative value of width for a realistic, irregularly shaped basin by defining the equivalent rectangle, which takes into account the area, perimeter, and compactness index of the basin. The compactness index can be used to classify the basin by its shape. The shape of the basin is an indicator of how the precipitation histograms are temporally distributed and how the water flows through the basin, i.e., it defines the response speed of the basin, as the width parameter does in modeling. The width parameter has a high sensitivity in the EPA SWMM modeling results; therefore, an inaccurate estimation of the parameter leads to unrepresentative results. For this reason, this study seeks to find an optimal methodology to reduce modeling uncertainty and achieve more accurate simulations of an irregular watershed's hydrological response.
EPA SWMM水力建模需要估算不同的参数,从而确定给定降水事件下流域的响应。一些物理参数,如面积或周长,是可测量的,可以准确确定;然而,其他参数估计呈现更大的不确定性,如宽度参数。对于规则均匀的流域,宽度参数估算相对简单;然而,当需要进行完整的不规则盆地分析时,宽度的确定具有更大的不确定性,其代表性变得难以定义。宽度的确定是理想的矩形表示,其中,对于相同的面积,较高的宽度将导致盆地的响应速度更快,而较低的宽度将导致盆地的响应速度较慢。本文试图通过定义等效矩形来估计一个现实的、不规则形状的盆地的宽度的代表性值,等效矩形考虑了盆地的面积、周长和紧凑指数。密实度指标可以根据盆地的形状对盆地进行分类。流域的形状是降水直方图的时间分布和水流在流域中如何流动的指标,也就是说,它定义了流域的响应速度,就像建模中的宽度参数一样。宽度参数在EPA SWMM建模结果中具有较高的灵敏度;因此,对参数的不准确估计会导致不具代表性的结果。因此,本研究试图找到一种最佳方法来减少建模的不确定性,并实现对不规则流域水文响应的更准确模拟。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of and Solutions to the Stormwater Management System of Auburn University Campus in Auburn, Alabama 阿拉巴马州奥本大学校园雨水管理系统的评估与解决方案
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c488
Alamin Molla, C. Mitra, J. Vasconcelos
Stormwater management needs attention as it causes surface flooding and pollution of nearby waterbodies. Parkerson Mill Creek in Auburn University, which gets polluted through surface runoff, is an example of this. In this study, a Personal Computer Stormwater Management Model (PCSWMM) was used to determine the susceptibility of the existing stormwater network to flooding on the Auburn University campus. Maximum water velocity mapping was used to identify areas associated with 3 categories of velocity (high, medium, and low) to find areas of potential erosion. Among the various sustainable stormwater management initiatives, it was found through a literature review that bioretention cells had the greatest potential to improve stormwater quality by screening pollutants from runoff water as well as minimizing erosion by reducing surface water velocity. Suitability analysis for bioretention cells identified 8 areas on the campus where bioretention cell could be installed for the most effective stormwater management. This study highlights the usability of PCSWMM models and techniques in increasing the efficiency of the stormwater system in any locality.
雨水管理需要注意,因为它会引起地表水浸和附近水体的污染。奥本大学的Parkerson Mill Creek就是一个例子,它通过地表径流受到污染。在本研究中,使用个人计算机雨水管理模型(PCSWMM)来确定奥本大学校园现有雨水网络对洪水的易感性。最大流速图用于识别与三种流速(高、中、低)相关的区域,以找到潜在侵蚀的区域。在各种可持续雨水管理举措中,通过文献综述发现,生物滞留细胞通过筛选径流中的污染物以及通过降低地表水流速来减少侵蚀,具有最大的改善雨水质量的潜力。生物滞留电池的适用性分析确定了校园内8个可以安装生物滞留电池的区域,以实现最有效的雨水管理。这项研究强调了PCSWMM模型和技术在提高任何地区雨水系统效率方面的可用性。
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引用次数: 0
An Application of Computational Fluid Dynamics to the Hydraulic Analysis of a Water Intake Tower 计算流体力学在进水塔水力分析中的应用
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c494
M. Wilsnack
Hydraulic engineers must sometimes perform hydraulic analyses of water control structures to evaluate system behavior under current operational demands and determine if design improvements may be needed. This paper summarizes an example of how computational fluid dynamics can be used for this purpose. A computational fluid dynamics model of a water intake tower that is connected to a pump station though a tunnel was constructed using the commercial software FLOW-3D. The model was used to evaluate head losses through the structure for a desired sustained pumping rate. The computational fluid dynamics modeling results for the intake tower indicate that if the target discharge rate is to be sustained while the upstream delivery canal stage is at its design stage, the head loss across the structure will comprise most of the head loss incurred through the water delivery system. Moreover, an examination of model output revealed certain features of the structure’s hydraulic design that result in excessive losses within the tower and near the entrance of the downstream tunnel.
水利工程师有时必须对水利控制结构进行水力分析,以评估系统在当前运行要求下的行为,并确定是否需要改进设计。本文总结了计算流体动力学如何用于此目的的一个示例。利用商业软件FLOW-3D建立了通过隧道连接泵站的取水塔的计算流体动力学模型。该模型用于评估通过结构获得所需持续泵速的水头损失。进水塔的计算流体力学建模结果表明,如果上游输水渠道处于设计阶段时,要保持目标流量,则整个结构的水头损失将占整个输水系统水头损失的大部分。此外,对模型输出的检查揭示了结构水力设计的某些特征,这些特征导致塔内和下游隧道入口附近的损失过大。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Rainfall–Runoff Responses and Antecedent Moisture Effects Using Principles of System Identification 利用系统辨识原理模拟降雨-径流响应和水分效应
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c482
Robert S. Czachorski
Rainfall–runoff dynamics of surface water, combined sewer, and separate sewer systems can be highly impacted by antecedent moisture conditions, or the relative wetness or dryness of the system. Accurately simulating these dynamics is critical for developing predictive models of systems that are sensitive to antecedent moisture. This paper presents the results of 25 years of work formulating, applying and refining a hydrologic model that addresses the impacts of antecedent moisture conditions on the rainfall–runoff process. The development, process and equations of the model are presented. The model was derived using the principles of system identification from the field of aerospace control systems to find the simplest mathematical model that accurately describes the relationship between system inputs and the flow output. Developing and testing the model was done primarily from observations in the U.S. Midwest. where both preceding rainfall and seasonal hydrologic conditions impact antecedent moisture dynamics. For these systems, the model described here is perhaps the most parsimonious that can accurately simulate these dynamics. This provides several advantages to the modeler, including ease of use, fewer parameters to calibrate, ability to quickly identify optimal parameters, and ease of representation in a numerical computer routine. Physical interpretation of the model structure and parameters is possible, providing the modeler with useful insights into the physical processes driving the rainfall–runoff dynamics.
地表水、联合下水道和单独下水道系统的降雨径流动力学可能受到先前的湿度条件或系统的相对湿度或干燥度的高度影响。准确地模拟这些动态对于开发对先前湿度敏感的系统的预测模型至关重要。本文介绍了25年来制定、应用和完善一个水文模型的结果,该模型解决了先前的湿度条件对降雨径流过程的影响。介绍了模型的发展、过程和方程。该模型是利用航空航天控制系统领域的系统辨识原理,寻找最简单的数学模型来准确描述系统输入与流量输出之间的关系。该模型的开发和测试主要是通过在美国中西部的观察来完成的。先前的降雨和季节性水文条件都影响先前的水分动态。对于这些系统,这里描述的模型可能是最简洁的,可以准确地模拟这些动态。这为建模器提供了几个优点,包括易于使用,需要校准的参数较少,能够快速识别最佳参数,并且易于在数值计算机例程中表示。模型结构和参数的物理解释是可能的,为建模者提供了对驱动降雨-径流动力学的物理过程的有用见解。
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引用次数: 0
Urban Tree Rainfall Interception Measurement and Modeling in WinSLAMM, the Source Loading and Management Model WinSLAMM中城市树木截雨量的测量与建模
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-16 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c475
R. Bean, R. Pitt, J. Voorhees, M. Elliott
Recently, the role of urban trees in stormwater management has received increasing interest. The interception of rainfall by urban trees has been proposed to p…
最近,城市树木在雨水管理中的作用越来越受到人们的关注。城市树木对降雨的截留作用已被提出…
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引用次数: 3
Bridging the Form and Function Gap in Urban Green Space Design through Environmental Systems Modeling 通过环境系统建模弥合城市绿地设计中的形式与功能差距
IF 1.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.14796/jwmm.c476
K. Irvine, H. Loc, C. Sovann, Asan Suwanarit, Fa Likitswat, R. Jindal, T. Koottatep, Jarrod Gaut, L. Chua, Lai Wen Qi, K. D. Wandeler
Using a case study approach from past projects in Singapore, Australia, Cambodia, Thailand and Vietnam, we examine the benefits, but also some of the challenges, to implementing green space in urban design. Green space can have multiple physical and psychological wellbeing benefits, as well as environmental benefits, including urban runoff quantity and quality management, urban heat island abatement, air quality improvement, and noise reduction. Water sensitive urban design (WSUD) can be an important element of green space design and here we explore how modeling of ecosystem services and dynamic modeling of WSUD can help to facilitate sound planning and management decision making in support of green space implementation. As we illustrate with examples for Australia, Singapore and Cambodia, we believe that application of an urban ecosystem services modeling approach can elucidate environmental benefits of urban green space that otherwise may not be considered. Engineers may include dynamic modeling of WSUD in support of an urban master plan, or urban redevelopment, but generally urban planners are less conversant in applying models. We discuss some of the challenges to integrating multidisciplinary visioning and modeling of green space design and performance evaluation through our experience with a stormwater and wastewater design study for Cha Am, Thailand, that included landscape architecture and engineering classes at Thammasat University, Mahidol University, and AIT. Through a case study of Phnom Penh, we illustrate how modeling and 3D visualization can be used to effectively explore the benefits of green space. We conclude that a user-friendly decision support system is needed to integrate modeling and visualization tools and thereby bridge the gap between form and function in urban green space design.
通过对新加坡、澳大利亚、柬埔寨、泰国和越南过去项目的案例研究,我们研究了在城市设计中实施绿色空间的好处,同时也研究了一些挑战。绿地可以带来多种身心健康效益,以及环境效益,包括城市径流数量和质量管理、城市热岛缓解、空气质量改善和噪音降低。水敏城市设计(WSUD)可以成为绿色空间设计的一个重要元素,在这里,我们探讨了生态系统服务建模和水敏城市设计的动态建模如何有助于促进合理的规划和管理决策,以支持绿色空间的实施。正如我们以澳大利亚、新加坡和柬埔寨为例所说明的那样,我们认为应用城市生态系统服务建模方法可以阐明城市绿地的环境效益,否则可能不会被考虑到。工程师可能包括WSUD的动态建模,以支持城市总体规划或城市重建,但通常城市规划者不太熟悉应用模型。通过我们在泰国差岩的雨水和废水设计研究的经验,我们讨论了整合绿色空间设计和性能评估的多学科愿景和建模的一些挑战,其中包括在泰国国立法政大学、玛希隆大学和AIT的景观建筑和工程课程。通过对金边的案例研究,我们说明了如何使用建模和3D可视化来有效地探索绿色空间的好处。我们得出结论,需要一个用户友好的决策支持系统来整合建模和可视化工具,从而弥合城市绿地设计中形式与功能之间的差距。
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引用次数: 14
期刊
Journal of Water Management Modeling
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