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Conditionals, Paradox, and Probability最新文献

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Grammar Matters 语法很重要
Pub Date : 2021-01-21 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198712732.003.0008
S. Iatridou
This chapter explores a number of grammatical properties that conditionals display, with one of its main goals being to show that grammatical form matters: different syntactic expressions of conditionality come with a different range of possible meanings. It also argues that we should not identify the semantic notion ‘conditionals’ with the syntactic expression if p, q. The syntactic construction if p, q is merely one of several syntactic paths that lead to a conditional semantics. The grammatical expression of conditionality determines the range of meanings possible. Overly narrowing conditional semantics to only one syntactic construction makes it harder to identify where each of the elements of meaning originates.
本章探讨了条件句显示的一些语法属性,其主要目标之一是表明语法形式很重要:条件的不同句法表达具有不同的可能含义范围。它还认为,我们不应该将语义概念“条件”与句法表达式if p, q等同起来。if p, q的句法结构仅仅是导致条件语义的几种句法路径之一。条件性的语法表达决定了可能的意义范围。过于狭窄的条件语义,只有一个句法结构,使它更难确定每个元素的意义的来源。
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引用次数: 7
Hysteresis Hypotheses 滞后的假设
Pub Date : 2021-01-21 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780198712732.003.0014
A. Hájek
This chapter assimilates the Sorites Paradox and the Preface Paradox, drawing parallels between reasoning with uncertainty and reasoning with vague concepts (a theme that Dorothy Edgington has explored). It discusses experiments in which subjects are taken along soritical series of coloured patches, displaying so-called reverse hysteresis in their responses. The chapter offers an explanation of why reverse hysteresis is rational there. It presents a variant of the Preface Paradox—the Progressive Preface Paradox—that is analogous to the Sorites Paradox and its associated experiments, and it offers an analogous explanation of why reverse hysteresis is again rational. The explanation’s central idea is that ‘belief’ is context-dependent.
本章吸收了索里斯悖论和前言悖论,在不确定性推理和模糊概念推理(多萝西·爱丁顿探索的主题)之间建立了相似之处。它讨论了一些实验,在这些实验中,受试者被带到一系列具有讽刺意味的彩色斑块上,在他们的反应中显示出所谓的反向滞后。本章解释了为什么反向滞后在那里是合理的。它提出了前言悖论的一个变体——进步前言悖论——它类似于索里斯悖论及其相关的实验,它提供了一个类似的解释,为什么反向滞后又是理性的。这种解释的中心思想是“信念”是依赖于语境的。
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引用次数: 0
Counterfactuals and Probability 反事实与概率
Pub Date : 2019-06-27 DOI: 10.1093/OSO/9780198810346.003.0012
Robert Stalnaker
Dorothy Edgington has been a resolute defender of an NTV account of conditionals, according to which a conditional does not express a proposition that makes a categorical claim about the world, but instead make a qualified claim, or express a conditional belief, qualified by or conditional on the proposition expressed by the antecedent. Unlike some philosophers who defend an NTV view for indicative conditionals, but not for subjunctive or counterfactual conditionals, Edgington argues for the more radical thesis that both kinds of conditionals should be given a non-propositional analysis. This chapter considers Edgington’s NTV account of subjunctive conditionals, the role of objective probability in the account, and its relation to the possible-worlds propositional analysis of subjunctive conditionals.
多萝西·爱丁顿一直是NTV条件论的坚定捍卫者,根据这一理论,条件论并不表达一个对世界做出直言断言的命题,而是做出一个有条件的断言,或者表达一个有条件的信念,被前词所表达的命题所限定或条件化。不像一些哲学家为指示条件句辩护NTV观点,而不是为虚拟或反事实条件句辩护,Edgington主张更激进的论点,即这两种条件句都应该给予非命题分析。本章考察爱丁顿关于虚拟条件的NTV描述,客观概率在该描述中的作用,以及它与虚拟条件的可能世界命题分析的关系。
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引用次数: 0
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Conditionals, Paradox, and Probability
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