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Economic and Social Changes-Facts Trends Forecast最新文献

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Life Expectancy in Russia’s Regions 俄罗斯各地区的预期寿命
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.2.80.10
Dmitrii Skipin, Y. Yukhtanova, O. Kryzhanovskii, E. Tokmakova
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引用次数: 1
A Difficult Road after the Rubicon 卢比孔河之后的艰难之路
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.3.81.1
V. Ilyin, M. Morev
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引用次数: 0
Employee Environmental Responsibility: Empirical Analysis and Typology 员工环境责任:实证分析与类型学
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.6.84.14
G. Arzamasova, I. Esaulova
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring of the Public Opinion on the Efficiency of Public Administration 公共行政效率的舆论监测
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.4.82.17
M. Morev, I. Bakhvalova
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic on the Condition of Regional Budgets: The Far Eastern Aspect 评估冠状病毒大流行对地区预算状况的影响:远东方面
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.6.84.9
S. Leonov
The purpose of the work is to determine major features and consequences of mitigating the adverse effects of a noneconomic shock caused by the 2020-2021 coronavirus pandemic in the process of implementing the regional budget policy of RF constituent entities within a large macroregion, the Far East of Russia. We analyze the impact of the pandemic on the budget revenues of Far Eastern regions, estimate changes in the dependence of regional budgets on federal transfers. We show changes in the level of transparency in intergovernmental fiscal relations in the macroregion and the extent of autonomy of the authorities of Far Eastern constituent entities of the Russian Federation in decision-making during the crisis period in terms of the formation of regional budgets. To identify statistical patterns, we use general scientific methods based on official data from the RF Federal Treasury, the RF Ministry of Finance, and regional authorities of Russia's Far Eastern constituent entities. We show that in the Far East, the first and second waves of the epidemic had the most significant impact on regional budgets, and the pace of overcoming the coronavirus crisis was different in various regions. Regions specializing in the manufacturing industry are recovering faster;the process is slower in mining regions. The main condition for overcoming the budget crisis was a large-scale increase in federal aid, which allowed most regions to compensate for the loss of their own budget revenues. The impact of the third and fourth waves of the coronavirus crisis on the economy of the Far East and the regional budget sphere as a whole is assessed as weak. Mining industries continued to stagnate;as a result, in the analyzed period of 2020-2021, problems related to forming the tax base were noted in the majority of mining regions. Thus, we may predict that the state of regional budgets will depend more on the transfer support from the federal center. We reveal the absence of clear criteria in the provision of transfer support to the regions. Transparency of the aid provided to RF constituent entities has deteriorated during the pandemic crisis, which may lead to the emergence of adverse factors in regional development due to the desire of regional governments to lobby for special financial preferences from the federal center. The novelty of the research is due to the fact that we consider the aforementioned range of issues while comparing federal trends and the situation in the Far East under the increasing pressure of external noneconomic shocks caused by the lingering coronavirus pandemic. The materials of the article can be used in the educational sphere and in the work of state authorities at the federal and regional levels to improve budget policy.
这项工作的目的是确定在俄罗斯远东这一大型宏观区域内执行俄罗斯联邦组成实体区域预算政策过程中,减轻2020-2021年冠状病毒大流行造成的非经济冲击不利影响的主要特点和后果。我们分析了疫情对远东地区预算收入的影响,估计了地区预算对联邦转移支付依赖程度的变化。我们展示了宏观区域政府间财政关系透明度水平的变化,以及俄罗斯联邦远东组成实体当局在危机期间制定区域预算决策时的自主权程度。为了确定统计模式,我们使用基于RF联邦财政部,RF财政部和俄罗斯远东组成实体的地区当局的官方数据的一般科学方法。我们发现,在远东地区,第一波和第二波疫情对地区预算的影响最为显著,各地区克服冠状病毒危机的速度不同。以制造业为主的地区恢复得更快,而采矿业的恢复速度较慢。克服预算危机的主要条件是大规模增加联邦援助,这使大多数地区能够弥补自己预算收入的损失。第三波和第四波新冠疫情对远东经济和整个地区预算领域的影响被评价为较弱。采矿业继续停滞不前,因此,在分析的2020-2021年期间,大多数矿区都存在与形成税基有关的问题。因此,我们可以预测,地方预算状况将更多地依赖于来自联邦中央的转移支持。我们发现在向各区域提供转移支助方面缺乏明确的标准。在大流行病危机期间,向RF组成实体提供援助的透明度有所恶化,这可能导致区域发展出现不利因素,因为区域政府希望游说联邦中心给予特殊财政优惠。这项研究的新颖之处在于,我们在比较联邦趋势和远东地区的情况的同时,考虑了上述一系列问题,这些趋势是在持续不断的冠状病毒大流行造成的外部非经济冲击压力越来越大的情况下进行的。本文的材料可用于教育领域以及联邦和地区各级国家当局改善预算政策的工作。
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引用次数: 0
Russia in the Epicenter of Geopolitical Turbulence: Accumulation of Global Contradictions 地缘政治动荡中心的俄罗斯:全球矛盾的积累
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.4.82.3
Evgeny Balatsky
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引用次数: 5
Agent-Based Modeling of Regional Healthcare: Addressing the Task of Formalizing Residents’ Medical Activity 基于agent的区域卫生保健建模:解决居民医疗活动形式化问题
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.1.79.3
S. Dianov, K. Kalashnikov, V. Rigin
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引用次数: 1
Modeling the Impact of the Institutional Environment on the Development of Digital Platforms and the Sharing Economy 制度环境对数字平台和共享经济发展的影响建模
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.5.83.14
A. Veretennikova, K. Kozinskaya
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引用次数: 3
Funding Research and Developmen in Regions: Tasks, Current State, Prospects 资助地区研究与发展:任务、现状、前景
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.5.83.7
Y. Klimova, K. Ustinova, I. Frolov
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引用次数: 3
Russia in the Epicenter of Geopolitical Turbulence: The Hybrid War of Civilizations 地缘政治动荡中心的俄罗斯:文明的混合战争
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.6.84.3
Evgeny Balatsky
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引用次数: 1
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