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Financial inclusion: a new multi-dimensional index and determinants – evidence from the Union for the Mediterranean countries 普惠金融:一个新的多维指数和决定因素——来自地中海国家联盟的证据
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-13 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-12-2021-0266
Soumaya Ben Khelifa, D. Hmaied, Olfa Ben Ouda, R. Ayadi, Rania Makni
PurposeThis paper proposes a new multi-dimensional financial inclusion index.Design/methodology/approachThe authors employ two-stage principal component analysis (PCA) and aggregating indicators of availability, access and use. The paper first assesses the cross-country variations in the index and analyses trends over time for a sample of countries members of the Union for the Mediterranean (UfM) from 2010–2018. Second, it investigates factors that could explain the level of financial inclusion across countries.FindingsThe financial inclusion index shows a downward trend for the full sample over the period under investigation; however when splitting the sample by income group, it appears that high- and middle–income countries did not register the same trend. When examining the determinants of financial inclusion for the UfM countries, the authors find that macroeconomic, social and governance factors, as well as banking conditions, matter. Policy-makers in low- and middle-income economies should consider the importance of digital financial inclusion, which is substituting the role to traditional banking system, to close the gap and accelerate its development.Originality/valueFirst, the authors provide a new measure of financial inclusion using a three-dimensional index: availability, access and use, for which weights are assigned using PCA. It uses data available for the UfM sample by combining data from different databases in order to include most indicators considered in the literature, as the majority of studies only use single measures (number of bank branches, ownership of a bank account, ratio of credits or deposits to gross domestic product [GDP], etc.). Second, by focussing on UfM countries, the study covers a region that includes both large developed and small developing economies that are connected via financial and trade ties, whilst previous studies generally give global evidence from an international sample with little or no economic ties. Third, splitting the sample by country income groups, the paper presents a more comprehensive representation of the cross-country variation in financial inclusion levels between high- and middle-income economies for this region.
目的提出一种新的多维普惠金融指标。设计/方法/方法作者采用两阶段主成分分析(PCA)和可用性、获取和使用的综合指标。本文首先评估了该指数的跨国变化,并分析了2010-2018年地中海联盟(UfM)成员国样本的长期趋势。其次,它调查了可以解释各国金融包容性水平的因素。调查结果:在调查期间,整个样本的普惠金融指数呈下降趋势;然而,当按收入组别划分样本时,高收入和中等收入国家似乎没有出现同样的趋势。在研究UfM国家普惠金融的决定因素时,作者发现宏观经济、社会和治理因素以及银行条件都很重要。中低收入经济体的政策制定者应该考虑数字普惠金融的重要性,它正在取代传统银行体系的作用,以缩小差距并加速其发展。原创性/价值首先,作者使用三维指数提供了一种新的普惠金融衡量标准:可用性、可及性和使用,并使用主成分分析(PCA)为其分配权重。由于大多数研究仅使用单一指标(银行分支机构数量、银行账户拥有量、信贷或存款与国内生产总值(GDP)的比率等),因此本文通过结合来自不同数据库的数据,使用了UfM样本的可用数据,以便包括文献中考虑的大多数指标。其次,通过关注UfM国家,该研究涵盖了一个地区,包括通过金融和贸易联系在一起的大型发达经济体和小型发展中经济体,而以前的研究通常从很少或没有经济联系的国际样本中提供全球证据。第三,通过按国家收入群体划分样本,本文更全面地反映了该地区高收入和中等收入经济体之间普惠金融水平的跨国差异。
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引用次数: 2
Challenges of blockchain application in the financial sector: a qualitative study b区块链在金融领域应用的挑战:一项定性研究
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-12 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-10-2021-0200
Supratik Banerjee, Arti Chandani
PurposeThe novel blockchain technology can be leveraged, owing to the growth in computing power and its widespread applications. This study aims to understand the challenges of adopting blockchain technology in the financial sector, organise them into a model and classify them for systematic address.Design/methodology/approachInterpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) has been carried out along with MICMAC (Matrice d’impacts croisés multiplication appliquée á un classment) analysis to hierarchically structure blockchain adoption problems and categorise the challenges into four classes-autonomous, dependent, linkage and independent for better addressing. The study also uses content analysis using NVivo software.FindingsThe digraph depicts the hierarchical challenge model. Vulnerability to financial crimes and glitches, privacy issues and geopolitical tensions due to cross-border transactions are the dependent variables. Complex architecture to comprehend, code and fix, the need for new financial intermediaries, complexity in auditing and the lack of unified governance and coordination among institutions and regulators are the independent variables. The digraph, which is also justified by the qualitative content analysis, is beneficial for stakeholders to systematically address the interdependent challenges associated with blockchain implementations in finance to foster its favourable adoption.Practical implicationsThe challenges in the adoption of blockchain should be resolved to allow the implementation of this technology in various finance domains. This study enables organisations to carry out resource planning and systematically address these challenges to leverage the advantages of blockchain.Social implicationsThe results of the present study can help in promoting the proliferation of blockchain for faster, cost-effective, transparent and secure financial transactions and foster innovative and new business models for economic growth.Originality/valueThe development of technology has brought about significant changes in the financial sector. Blockchain is a technological advancement that aims to bring security and transparency to transactions. There has been no research leveraging ISM-MICMAC to hierarchically organise and classify the blockchain challenges in the financial sector, a critical one. The research also uses content analysis which is seldom found along with ISM-MICMAC.
由于计算能力的增长及其广泛应用,新型区块链技术可以被利用。本研究旨在了解在金融部门采用区块链技术所面临的挑战,将其组织成一个模型,并对其进行分类,以便系统地解决。设计/方法/方法解释性结构建模(ISM)与MICMAC (matrix d 'impacts crois 复制与 分类)分析一起进行,以分层结构区块链采用问题,并将挑战分为四类——自治、依赖、关联和独立,以便更好地解决。本研究还使用了NVivo软件进行内容分析。有向图描述了分层挑战模型。对金融犯罪和故障的脆弱性、隐私问题和跨境交易导致的地缘政治紧张局势是因变量。需要理解、编码和修复的复杂架构、对新金融中介机构的需求、审计的复杂性以及机构和监管机构之间缺乏统一的治理和协调,这些都是独立变量。该有向图也被定性内容分析所证明,有利于利益相关者系统地解决与金融领域区块链实施相关的相互依存挑战,以促进其有利采用。应该解决采用区块链的挑战,以便在各种金融领域实施这项技术。这项研究使组织能够进行资源规划并系统地应对这些挑战,以利用区块链的优势。本研究的结果可以帮助促进区块链的扩散,以实现更快、更具成本效益、透明和安全的金融交易,并为经济增长培育创新和新的商业模式。科技的发展给金融领域带来了巨大的变化。区块链是一项技术进步,旨在为交易带来安全性和透明度。目前还没有研究利用ISM-MICMAC对金融部门的区块链挑战进行分层组织和分类,这是一个关键的挑战。本研究还采用了ISM-MICMAC中很少用到的内容分析方法。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous analysis of free trade agreement between Pakistan and China: a policy guideline for CPEC 中巴自由贸易协定的异质性分析:中巴经济走廊的政策指导
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-02-2022-0051
Muhammad Imran, A. Sattar, Md. Shabbir Alam
PurposeEconomic ties and formation of trade blocks escalates the movement of goods among the participants and bring different economic and structural changes. Therefore, the current research emphasises on the distribution of market structure and industrial value added among the participant countries of China–Pakistan economic corridor project while focussing on pre and post FTA status.Design/methodology/approachThis study utilises the footloose capital model for analysing whether China or Pakistan is more suitable for attracting factors of production to increase their share of industrial value added. For econometric analyses the current research utilises data from 1995 to 2018 and maximum likelihood effect method to assess factors that affect regional value-added distribution.FindingsResults show that both countries owe different level of economic developments. Effect of capital is, comparatively, similar for both countries while Pakistan supports trade openness which points towards the fact of positive utilisation of abundant labour resources in Pakistan by establishing industrial structure either through domestic capital formation or foreign investment. Whereas, share of labour and trade openness of China positively affect value added production of China.Originality/valueThis is one of the unique studies that studies the regional economic treaties usefulness for any developing country across Asia. Where this study uses the footloose capital model and maximum likelihood method for its analysis which is not previously done, while for detailed analyses the study further divides the timeframe into two parts as pre-FTA ranges from 1995 to 2006, post-FTA from 2007 to 2018 while overall results consist of whole-time frame.
经济联系和贸易集团的形成加剧了参与者之间的货物流动,并带来了不同的经济和结构变化。因此,目前的研究重点是研究中巴经济走廊项目参与国之间的市场结构和产业增加值分布,同时关注自贸区前后的现状。本研究利用自由资本模型分析中国和巴基斯坦哪个更适合吸引生产要素以提高其工业增加值份额。在计量分析方面,本研究利用1995 - 2018年的数据,采用最大似然效应法对影响区域增值分布的因素进行了评估。结果表明,两国的经济发展水平不同。相对而言,资本对两国的影响是相似的,而巴基斯坦支持贸易开放,这表明通过国内资本形成或外国投资建立产业结构,积极利用巴基斯坦丰富的劳动力资源。而中国的劳动力份额和贸易开放程度对中国的增加值生产有正向影响。原创性/价值这是研究区域经济条约对亚洲任何发展中国家有用性的独特研究之一。本研究使用自由资本模型和最大似然法进行分析,这是以前没有做过的,而在详细分析中,研究进一步将时间框架分为两部分,fta前为1995年至2006年,fta后为2007年至2018年,而总体结果由整个时间框架组成。
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引用次数: 3
Impact of sustainable supply chain management on cost performance: empirical evidence from manufacturing companies of Bangladesh 可持续供应链管理对成本绩效的影响:来自孟加拉国制造企业的经验证据
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-23 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-02-2022-0050
Zobaida Khanam, Ratana Ghosh
PurposeThe aim of the study has been performed to investigate the relationship between sustainable supply chain management (SSCM) practices and the cost performance of manufacturing firms in Bangladesh. Moreover, this paper highlights the key environment-friendly approaches and their association with financial performance in Bangladesh.Design/methodology/approachThe paper empirically assesses sustainable supply chain performance using four major supply chain practices, including sustainable procurement, sustainable production, sustainable distribution and investment recovery, and compares it with the cost performance. Twenty-four variables were identified through different literature and distributed as a structured questionnaire among the managers appointed in different manufacturing firms in Bangladesh. An empirical study was conducted using the Partial Least Square-Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) technique to examine the hypothesized relationships.FindingsThe results find a positive relationship in two variables of sustainable supply chain practices, including sustainable procurement and investment recovery, while sustainable distribution negatively impacted cost performance. In addition, sustainable production found no effect on cost performance.Research limitations/implicationsThe paper emphasizes the financial perspective of a sustainable supply chain without explicit consideration of sustainability's environmental and social dimensions.Practical implicationsThis study has implications for the literature on the SSCM approaches of manufacturing firms in the least developed economies. In addition, this study could work as a guideline for some manufacturing industries that prefer a policy or standard to alter their traditional supply chain management system to a sustainable supply chain.Originality/valueThe paper provides a comprehensive framework for evaluating the coordinated effect of SSCM practices on cost performance where variables of four specific activities of SSCM and cost performance are adopted from different studies. Further studies could be initiated, including some other eco-friendly supply chain variables, and the effect could be evaluated from an environmental perspective.
目的研究的目的是调查可持续供应链管理(SSCM)实践与孟加拉国制造企业的成本绩效之间的关系。此外,本文还强调了孟加拉国关键的环境友好方法及其与财务绩效的关系。本文采用可持续采购、可持续生产、可持续分销和投资回收四种主要供应链实践对可持续供应链绩效进行实证评估,并与成本绩效进行比较。通过不同的文献确定了24个变量,并在孟加拉国不同制造公司任命的管理人员中以结构化问卷的形式分发。利用偏最小二乘结构方程建模(PLS-SEM)技术进行了实证研究,以检验假设的关系。结果发现可持续供应链实践的两个变量,包括可持续采购和投资回收之间存在正相关关系,而可持续分销对成本绩效具有负向影响。此外,可持续生产对成本绩效没有影响。本文强调了可持续供应链的财务视角,而没有明确考虑可持续性的环境和社会维度。实践启示本研究对最不发达经济体制造业企业SSCM方法的文献研究具有启示意义。此外,本研究也可为一些制造业业者提供政策或标准,以改变其传统的供应链管理系统,以实现可持续的供应链管理提供指导。原创性/价值本文为评估SSCM实践对成本绩效的协调效果提供了一个全面的框架,其中采用了来自不同研究的SSCM和成本绩效的四个具体活动的变量。可以开展进一步的研究,包括一些其他生态友好的供应链变量,并可以从环境的角度评估其影响。
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引用次数: 1
Air pollution, health expenditure and economic growth in MINT countries: a trivariate causality test MINT国家的空气污染、卫生支出和经济增长:三变量因果检验
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-22 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-03-2022-0074
C. Ibukun, Wuraola Mahrufat Omisore
PurposeThis paper examines the long-run and dynamic causal relationship among air pollution, health expenditure and economic growth in Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey (MINT countries).Design/methodology/approachThe bounds test approach to cointegration and causality test was employed on data covering 1995–2018.FindingsThe study shows evidence of a long-run relationship among the variables in MINT countries and the causality test confirms the existence of a bidirectional causal nexus between health expenditure and economic growth in the four countries. It also confirms that there is a bidirectional causal relationship between carbon dioxide (CO2) emission and economic growth, except in Nigeria where a unidirectional causal relationship was found running from CO2 emissions to economic growth. In addition, a bidirectional causal relationship was found between air pollution and health expenditure in Turkey, while no causal relationship was found among these variables in Nigeria.Research limitations/implicationsThis study is limited by available data and it only focuses on four emerging economies. To address this, future studies can expand this scope to more emerging economies with severe air pollution and also extend the scope when more recent data becomes available.Practical implicationsThis study suggests that pollution standards in MINT countries should be monitored and enforced with transparency so as to mitigate its health implications and ensure the sustainability of economic growth.Social implicationsThe study confirms the importance of keeping air pollution as low as possible because of its negative effect on health and economic output.Originality/valueThe study accounts for the complexity of each MINT country instead of providing a general discussion on the relationship between air pollution, health expenditure and economic growth in MINT countries.
目的研究墨西哥、印度尼西亚、尼日利亚和土耳其(MINT国家)的空气污染、卫生支出和经济增长之间的长期动态因果关系。设计/方法/方法采用协整和因果检验的界限检验方法对1995-2018年的数据进行检验。研究结果表明,MINT国家的变量之间存在长期关系,因果关系检验证实了四个国家卫生支出与经济增长之间存在双向因果关系。它还证实了二氧化碳(CO2)排放与经济增长之间存在双向因果关系,但在尼日利亚,从二氧化碳排放到经济增长之间存在单向因果关系。此外,在土耳其,空气污染与卫生支出之间存在双向因果关系,而在尼日利亚,这些变量之间没有因果关系。研究局限/启示本研究受现有数据的限制,只关注四个新兴经济体。为了解决这个问题,未来的研究可以将这一范围扩大到更多空气污染严重的新兴经济体,并在获得更多最新数据时扩大范围。实际意义本研究表明,MINT国家的污染标准应以透明的方式进行监测和执行,以减轻其对健康的影响,并确保经济增长的可持续性。社会影响该研究证实了尽可能降低空气污染的重要性,因为空气污染对健康和经济产出有负面影响。独创性/价值该研究说明了每个MINT国家的复杂性,而不是对MINT国家的空气污染,卫生支出和经济增长之间的关系进行一般性讨论。
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引用次数: 2
Assessing non-linear effects of government size on inflation in India: recent evidence from smooth transition autoregression model 评估印度政府规模对通胀的非线性影响:来自平稳过渡自回归模型的最新证据
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-08-2022-0190
Asif Tariq, Masroor Ahmad, Aadil Amin
PurposeStandard economic theory predicts that any increase in public spending is accompanied by a rise in inflation in an economy. This paper presents empirical proof that prices do not always rise with an increase in public expenditure but only up to a certain threshold level. The primary aim of this paper is to unearth the government size-inflation nexus in India for the period from 1971 to 2019.Design/methodology/approachThe logistic STAR (smooth transition autoregression) model is employed to unravel the government size-inflation nexus for the Indian economy from a non-linear perspective.FindingsThe finding of our study confirm the non-linear relationship between the size of the government and inflation in India. The estimated threshold level for government size is precisely found to be 9.27%. The size of the government exerts a negative influence on inflation until it reaches the optimal or threshold level. Any further increase in the size of government beyond this threshold level would result in a rise in inflation.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings have implications for the conduct of fiscal policy. Policymakers can increase government spending in a regime of small government size without having any inflationary impacts by generating revenues from taxes and other sources instead of relying much on the central bank. In the regime of a large-sized government, adhering strictly to the discipline in the conduct of fiscal and monetary policies would help curb inflation and enhance growth synchronously, hence alleviating any loss of welfare.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is an attempt to revisit the government size-inflation nexus in India from a non-linear perspective using the Smooth Transition Autoregression (STAR) model for the first time.
标准经济学理论预测,任何公共支出的增加都伴随着经济中通货膨胀的上升。本文提供了经验证明,价格并不总是随着公共支出的增加而上涨,而只是上升到一定的阈值水平。本文的主要目的是揭示1971年至2019年期间印度政府规模与通胀之间的关系。设计/方法/方法采用logistic STAR(平滑过渡自回归)模型从非线性角度揭示印度经济的政府规模-通货膨胀关系。我们的研究结果证实了印度政府规模和通货膨胀之间的非线性关系。准确地发现政府规模的估计阈值水平为9.27%。政府的规模对通货膨胀产生负面影响,直到它达到最佳或阈值水平。如果政府规模进一步扩大,超过这个临界值,就会导致通胀上升。研究局限/启示研究结果对财政政策的实施具有启示意义。在政府规模较小的制度下,政策制定者可以通过税收和其他来源增加收入,而不是过度依赖央行,从而增加政府支出,而不会产生任何通胀影响。在一个大政府体制下,严格遵守财政和货币政策的纪律,将有助于同步抑制通胀和促进增长,从而减轻福利损失。原创性/价值据作者所知,本研究首次尝试使用平滑过渡自回归(STAR)模型,从非线性角度重新审视印度政府规模与通胀之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Critical success factors of implementing sustainable and responsible investment (SRI) Sukuk for economic recovery from COVID-19 pandemic 实施可持续和负责任投资(SRI)伊斯兰债券以实现2019冠状病毒病大流行后经济复苏的关键成功因素
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-08-2021-0160
Syed Marwan, S. Ismail, Mohamed Aslam Mohamed Haneef, Engku Rabiah Adawiyah Engku Ali
PurposeThere are three objectives of this paper. First, the study investigates the critical success factors critical success factors (CSFs) of implementing sustainable and responsible investment (SRI) Sukuk in Malaysia as perceived by stakeholders. Second, the study examines the differences between the developers and the investors in relation to the importance of the CSFs. Third, the study attempts to categorise the CSFs.Design/methodology/approachUsing a questionnaire survey, 260 completed and useable responses were received representing a 42.54% response rate. In examining the importance of CSFs, the descriptive statistical tests of mean, standard deviation and mean score ranking were used. Independent t-tests were conducted to investigate the differences in the perceptions of the importance of CSFs between the developer and the investor groups. In categorising the CSFs, exploratory factor analysis (EFA) was undertaken.FindingsOverall, the top five most important CSFs as perceived by respondents are as follows: (1) good governance framework, (2) fulfil ethical standards, (3) transparent procurement process, (4) well-defined scope and (5) viable feasibility study. On the other hand, the five factors that are ranked last are as follows: (1) defined stakeholder roles, (2) stable macro-economic conditions, (3) existing social programmes, (4) guarantor and (5) political will. The study also found that there is a significant statistical difference in how the developers and investors scored the CSFs. Moreover, there are three main categories of the CSFs that are effective feasibility study, financial and technical considerations and political willingness and agreeability.Originality/valueThe findings highlight the critical factors to consider when implementing SRI Sukuk. This can also serve as a reference and guideline for countries considering SRI Sukuk issuances for economic recovery stimulus post-coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.
本文有三个目的。首先,该研究调查了利益相关者在马来西亚实施可持续和负责任投资(SRI)伊斯兰债券的关键成功因素(CSFs)。其次,研究考察了开发商和投资者在CSFs重要性方面的差异。第三,本研究试图对CSFs进行分类。设计/方法/方法采用问卷调查,共收到260份完整且可用的回复,回复率为42.54%。在检验csf的重要性时,使用了均值、标准差和平均评分排序的描述性统计检验。我们进行了独立的t检验,以调查开发者和投资者群体对CSFs重要性的认知差异。在对csf进行分类时,进行了探索性因素分析(EFA)。调查结果整体而言,受访者认为最重要的五个企业社会责任是:(1)良好的管治架构;(2)符合道德标准;(3)透明的采购程序;(4)界定明确的范围;以及(5)可行的可行性研究。另一方面,排名最后的五个因素是:(1)明确的利益相关者角色,(2)稳定的宏观经济条件,(3)现有的社会计划,(4)担保人和(5)政治意愿。研究还发现,开发者和投资者对csf的评分存在显著的统计差异。此外,可持续发展基金有三大类,即有效的可行性研究、财政和技术方面的考虑以及政治上的意愿和可接受性。原创性/价值研究结果强调了在实施SRI伊斯兰债券时需要考虑的关键因素。这也可以为考虑在2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行后为刺激经济复苏而发行SRI伊斯兰债券的国家提供参考和指导。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of government responses to COVID-19 on the resilience of FDI attractiveness factors in the Asian region 政府应对COVID-19对亚洲地区外国直接投资吸引因素弹性的影响
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-03-2022-0085
S. Kammoun, Y. Ben Romdhane
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is twofold. Firstly, the paper aims to determine the separate effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and government actions represented by the index of stringency, containment and economic support on the attractiveness of foreign direct investment (FDI). Secondly, the paper aims to explore the impact of the interactions between the COVID-19 epidemic and government interventions on FDI.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses a panel data set of 30 Asian countries during the two pandemic years 2020 and 2021 to investigate the effect of government actions on the resilience of FDI attractiveness factors.FindingsThe empirical results reveal the negative effect of COVID-19 on FDI inflows and attractiveness factors. However, government responses have a positive and statistically significant effect on the FDI attractiveness factors such as economic growth, trade openness and human and technological capital development and contribute to the economic recovery of the Asian region.Practical implicationsThe empirical findings can provide useful information for policymakers in designing macroeconomic policies and taking government measures to improve their investment environment and attract FDI.Originality/valueThe study shows that government responses, economic support, containment and health policies are effective in containing viruses, reducing the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and strengthening resilience in FDI attractiveness factors. It also indicates that foreign investors are responding positively to government measures.
本文的目的是双重的。首先,本文旨在确定新冠肺炎疫情和政府行为对外国直接投资(FDI)吸引力的分别影响,这些影响以严格、遏制和经济支持指数为代表。其次,探讨新冠疫情与政府干预之间的相互作用对FDI的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究使用了2020年和2021年两个大流行年间30个亚洲国家的面板数据集,以调查政府行动对外国直接投资吸引力因素弹性的影响。实证结果显示,新冠肺炎疫情对FDI流入和FDI吸引力因素均有负面影响。然而,政府的回应对经济增长、贸易开放、人力和技术资本发展等FDI吸引力因素有显著的正向影响,并有助于亚洲地区的经济复苏。实证研究结果可为政策制定者制定宏观经济政策和采取政府措施改善投资环境、吸引外商直接投资提供有益的信息。研究表明,政府应对措施、经济支持、防控和卫生政策在遏制病毒、减少COVID-19大流行的影响和增强FDI吸引因素的韧性方面是有效的。这也表明外国投资者对政府的措施反应积极。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign earnings repatriation: the effect of exchange rate volatility and the risk of expropriation 外汇收益汇回:汇率波动的影响与被征用风险
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-04-2022-0092
Muhammad Tahir, Haslindar Ibrahim, Badal Khan, Riaz Ahmed
PurposeThis study aims to investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility and the risk of expropriation on the decision to repatriate foreign earnings.Design/methodology/approachThe current study uses secondary data for foreign subsidiaries of US multinational corporations (MNCs) in 40 countries from 2004 to 2016. We use the dynamic panel difference generalised method of moments (GMM) to estimate the dynamic earnings repatriation model.FindingsThe findings show that foreign subsidiaries of US MNCs in countries with volatile exchange rates tend to repatriate more earnings to the parent company. The findings also reveal that a greater risk of expropriation in the host country leads to the higher repatriation of foreign earnings to the parent company. The findings support the notion that MNCs use the earnings repatriation policy as a means of mitigating risks arising in the host country.Practical implicationsPractical implications for modern managers include shedding light on how financial managers can use earnings repatriation policy to mitigate exchange rate risk and the risk of expropriation in the host country. The findings also contain policy implications at the host country level that how exchange rate volatility and risk of expropriation can reduce foreign investment in the host country.Originality/valueThis study adds to the earnings repatriation literature by analysing the direct effect of exchange rate volatility on earnings repatriation decisions, as opposed to the impact of the exchange rate itself, as suggested by previous research. Hence, the findings broaden our understanding of the direct influence of exchange rate volatility on the decision to repatriate foreign earnings. The present study also examines the role of the risk of expropriation in determining earnings repatriation policy, which has received little attention in prior empirical studies.
目的本研究旨在探讨汇率波动和征收风险对汇回外汇收益决策的影响。设计/方法/方法当前的研究使用了2004年至2016年美国跨国公司(MNCs)在40个国家的外国子公司的二手数据。我们使用动态面板差分广义矩量法(GMM)来估计动态收益汇回模型。研究结果表明,美国跨国公司在汇率波动国家的海外子公司倾向于将更多的收益汇回母公司。研究结果还表明,在东道国被征用的风险越大,导致更多的外国收入回流到母公司。调查结果支持这样一种观点,即跨国公司将收入汇回政策作为减轻东道国风险的一种手段。对现代管理者的实际影响包括揭示财务管理者如何使用收益汇回政策来减轻汇率风险和东道国征收风险。调查结果还包含东道国一级的政策影响,即汇率波动和征用风险如何减少东道国的外国投资。原创性/价值本研究通过分析汇率波动对收益汇回决策的直接影响,而不是汇率本身的影响,增加了收益汇回文献,正如之前的研究所表明的那样。因此,研究结果拓宽了我们对汇率波动对汇回外国收益决定的直接影响的理解。本研究还探讨了征用风险在确定收益汇回政策中的作用,这在以前的实证研究中很少受到关注。
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引用次数: 0
Threshold effects of public debt on economic growth in South Africa: an application of a regression kink with an unknown threshold 公共债务对南非经济增长的阈值效应:具有未知阈值的回归扭结的应用
IF 1.8 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-07 DOI: 10.1108/jeas-04-2022-0106
A. Ndoricimpa
PurposeSouth African public debt has recently increased significantly and has reached worrying levels. This study aims to examine the debt threshold effects on economic growth in South Africa, with an objective of suggesting a debt threshold as South African policymakers will seek to reduce debt to a sustainable level in the coming years.Design/methodology/approachThe study applies a recent novel methodology advanced by Hansen (2017) that allows modelling a regression kink with an unknown threshold.FindingsThe findings of this study indicate a robust debt threshold of 37% of gross domestic product (GDP). Below this threshold, debt is growth-enhancing, but above 37% of GDP, debt is harmful to growth in South Africa.Practical implicationsAmong other things, to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio, South Africa will need a fiscal consolidation policy by undertaking reforms to state-owned companies to reduce their reliance on public funds, as well as putting in place economic measures to boost long-term growth. The country should also improve tax collection in order to realize additional tax revenue through enhancing compliance and other revenue collection measures.Originality/valueMost of the existing studies on debt threshold effects in Africa are panel data studies, which assume parameter homogeneity, by determining a single debt threshold value applicable to all countries. This can be misleading as the debt-growth nexus is country-specific, being conditional on several factors, such as institutional quality. The present study applies a recent novel methodology, which allows to model a regression kink with an unknown threshold, for the case of South Africa. The methodology endogenously determines the debt threshold while also allowing a country-specific analysis.
南非的公共债务最近大幅增加,已达到令人担忧的水平。本研究旨在研究债务门槛对南非经济增长的影响,目的是在南非政策制定者寻求在未来几年将债务减少到可持续水平时提出债务门槛。设计/方法/方法本研究采用了Hansen(2017)最近提出的一种新方法,该方法允许对具有未知阈值的回归扭结进行建模。研究结果本研究的结果表明,债务门槛为国内生产总值(GDP)的37%。低于这个门槛,债务是促进增长的,但超过GDP的37%,债务对南非的增长是有害的。除其他事项外,为了降低债务与gdp之比,南非将需要一项财政整顿政策,对国有企业进行改革,以减少它们对公共资金的依赖,并实施促进长期增长的经济措施。国家还应该通过加强合规和其他税收措施来改善税收,以实现额外的税收收入。原创性/价值目前关于非洲债务阈值影响的大多数研究都是小组数据研究,通过确定适用于所有国家的单一债务阈值来假设参数同质性。这可能具有误导性,因为债务与增长之间的关系是针对具体国家的,取决于若干因素,例如体制质量。本研究采用了最近的一种新方法,该方法允许对南非的一个未知阈值的回归扭结进行建模。该方法从内部决定了债务阈值,同时也允许对具体国家进行分析。
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences
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