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JJP volume 23 issue 3 Cover and Back matter JJP第23卷第3期封面和封底
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.1017/s1468109922000196
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引用次数: 0
JJP volume 23 issue 3 Cover and Front matter JJP第23卷第3期封面和封面
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.1017/s1468109922000184
The Japanese Journal of Political Science is a peer-reviewed journal that publishes original theoretical and empirically tested political science research. Manuscripts across the full range of sub-fields and research methodologies are welcome for consideration. We are open to single country or comparative studies, and particularly encourage those manuscripts that draw on interdisciplinary approaches to political science questions.
《日本政治学杂志》是一本同行评审期刊,发表原创理论和实证政治学研究。欢迎考虑所有子领域和研究方法的手稿。我们对单一国家或比较研究持开放态度,特别鼓励那些利用跨学科方法处理政治学问题的手稿。
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引用次数: 0
The ballot or the bullet? Public awareness of grassroots elections and regime stability in China 选票还是子弹?公众对基层选举和中国政权稳定的认识
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.1017/S1468109922000123
Wei-Feng Tzeng
Abstract This study examines the attitudinal and behavioral consequences of holding local elections in China. Using survey data to test the propositions that elections do not alleviate pressure from society butreasonably make state–society conflict manageable for the Chinese Communist regime, evidence suggests that being aware of elections is negatively associated with citizens' involvement in collective activities that would destabilize the regime. Instead, the awareness of elections is positively correlated with people's willingness to use the institutionalized mechanism, letters and visits (shangfang), to solve their concerns. The findings imply that although elections may help buttress China's authoritarian rule, the survivability of the Chinese Communist Party is still dependent on whether existing institutions can function well in reducing public grievances.
摘要本研究考察了在中国举行地方选举的态度和行为后果。使用调查数据来检验选举不能缓解社会压力,反而会使中国共产党政权的国家-社会冲突可控的命题,证据表明,意识到选举与公民参与可能破坏政权稳定的集体活动呈负相关。相反,人们的选举意识与人们使用制度化机制——信访——来解决他们所关心的问题的意愿呈正相关。研究结果表明,尽管选举可能有助于巩固中国的威权统治,但中国共产党的生存能力仍然取决于现有制度能否有效地减少公众的不满。
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引用次数: 0
Party switching and policy disagreement: scaling analysis of experts' judgment 政党转换与政策分歧:专家判断的尺度分析
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-07-21 DOI: 10.1017/S1468109922000160
Hiroki Kubo, Tomoko Matsumoto, Kentaro Yamamoto
Abstract Under what conditions do policy disagreements cause parties to split? Before the general elections in 2017 in Japan, the Minshin, the largest opposition party, split, and the major opposition camp collapsed into three parties. Disagreement about defense policy was rapidly politicized by the founding leader of a new party, Hope. Some members were motivated to switch to Hope and split the Minshin. Why did the disagreement about defense policy, which had long existed but was inactive, become an issue that led to a major split? To answer these questions, we used Aldrich–Mckelvey and Blackbox transpose scalings to analyze the data from an expert survey about issue positions and the salience of party policies. The variance in experts' responses was also examined to consider whether parties consistently and clearly distinguish their policy positions. Party positions on defense policy were clearly distinguished and revealed a split among splinter parties. However, the party positions clearly converged on the environment, decentralization, and other policies in a two-dimensional space, which indicated the unity of the major opposition camp. Moreover, different item functioning (DIF) analysis revealed a high variance (i.e., negative weight) on the issue salience of defense policy, which indicated its politicization immediately before the split. Overall results indicated that the politicization of defense policy contributed to weakening party cohesion and the party was split over disagreement about it. This implies that party switching is caused by policy disagreement but also hinges critically on which policy is politicized as an issue for party unity.
摘要政策分歧在什么条件下导致政党分裂?2017年日本大选前,最大的反对党民新党分裂,主要反对党阵营瓦解为三个政党。关于国防政策的分歧被一个新党的创始领导人霍普迅速政治化。一些成员被激励转投希望党并分裂民信党。为什么长期存在但不活跃的国防政策分歧会成为导致重大分裂的问题?为了回答这些问题,我们使用了Aldrich–Mckelvey和Blackbox的换位尺度来分析一项关于问题立场和政党政策突出性的专家调查的数据。还审查了专家答复中的差异,以考虑各缔约方是否一贯明确地区分其政策立场。党在国防政策上的立场明显不同,并显示出分裂党派之间的分裂。然而,该党的立场显然在二维空间中集中在环境、权力下放和其他政策上,这表明了主要反对阵营的团结。此外,不同项目功能(DIF)分析显示,国防政策的问题显著性存在高度差异(即负权重),这表明其在分裂前立即政治化。总体结果表明,国防政策的政治化有助于削弱政党凝聚力,该党因对此的分歧而分裂。这意味着政党转换是由政策分歧引起的,但也关键取决于哪项政策被政治化为政党团结的问题。
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引用次数: 1
Old party, new tricks: candidates, parties, and LDP dominance in Japan 旧党,新把戏:候选人、政党和自民党在日本的主导地位
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-24 DOI: 10.1017/S1468109922000172
Jordan Hamzawi
Abstract In 2009, after decades of single party rule under the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), Japan had its first taste of a real alteration of power. However, just 3 years later, the LDP regained control of government with no significant challenger in sight. Historically, LDP dominance is a common tale, but its resurgence in recent years poses a significant puzzle in Japanese politics. What exactly has contributed to the LDP's return to power? In the years that have passed, the LDP's strength has come from a combination of cash, clientelistic networks, and strong candidates, but recent research has found that Japanese politics has become more programmatic and party-focused. While LDP dominance since its return to power in 2012 can be attributed in part to its candidates, I find that the appeal of the party label has played a large role in securing the LDP's large majorities.
摘要2009年,在自民党(LDP)领导下的数十年一党统治之后,日本首次尝到了真正的权力更迭的滋味。然而,仅仅3年后,自民党就在看不到重大挑战者的情况下重新控制了政府。从历史上看,自民党的统治地位是一个常见的故事,但近年来它的复兴给日本政治带来了一个重大难题。究竟是什么促成了自民党重新掌权?在过去的几年里,自民党的实力来自现金、客户关系网和强大的候选人,但最近的研究发现,日本政治变得更加纲领化和以政党为中心。虽然自民党自2012年重新执政以来的主导地位部分归功于其候选人,但我发现,该党标签的吸引力在确保自民党获得多数席位方面发挥了重要作用。
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引用次数: 2
Does the age of legislators matter to their representational behavior? Evidence from Hong Kong 立法者的年龄对他们的代表行为有影响吗?香港证据
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.1017/S1468109922000159
W. Tam
Abstract In this research note we examine the impacts of legislators' age on their representational behavior in Hong Kong by conducting content analyses of the questions raised by members of the Hong Kong legislature (LegCo) at the plenary meetings from 1998 to 2016. We explore whether young legislators were more likely than older legislators to represent youth interests. Our results show that legislators' age did not significantly affect their representational behavior. We propose three factors of this null finding. The first concerns the relatively low voter turnout among young people in Hong Kong. The second is related to the career incentives of legislators in authoritarian legislature. The last factor is the political affiliation of young legislators in Hong Kong.
摘要在本研究报告中,我们通过对香港立法会议员在1998年至2016年全体会议上提出的问题进行内容分析,研究了立法会议员的年龄对其在香港代表行为的影响。我们探讨年轻的立法者是否比年长的立法者更有可能代表年轻人的利益。我们的研究结果表明,立法者的年龄并没有显著影响他们的代表行为。我们提出了这个零发现的三个因素。第一个问题是香港年轻人的投票率相对较低。二是与专制立法机构立法者的职业激励有关。最后一个因素是香港年轻立法会议员的政治倾向。
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引用次数: 0
Electoral coalition signals and voter perceptions 选举联盟的信号和选民的看法
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1017/S1468109922000020
Jinhyuk Jang, C. Crabtree, Sona N. Golder
Abstract How do electoral coalition signals affect voters' perceptions of party positions and coalition behavior in parliamentary democracies? Scholars have found that coalition signals can influence how voters view policy positions of parties. Extending research on the impact of government coalition participation on voter perceptions, a recent study found that Spanish voters update their perceptions of party positions when they receive a signal that a party joined an electoral coalition, believing it to be farther to the left (right) if the signal was of a left- (right-)leaning coalition. That study also found, in agreement with the literature, that electoral coalition signals lead to expectations of future coalition behavior. Much of the literature on electoral coalitions focuses on parliamentary democracies in Europe that use proportional representation. Since the effects of electoral coalitions might vary across contexts, we conduct a similar survey experiment in Japan, a parliamentary democracy that uses a mixed electoral system with an important disproportional component. We find no evidence that electoral coalition signals affect how Japanese voters view the ideological positions of parties, a result that matches a similar analysis conducted in Sweden. However, some coalition signals – if they contain new information – do increase Japanese respondents' expectations that certain coalitions are more likely to form in the future.
摘要在议会民主国家,选举联盟信号如何影响选民对政党立场和联盟行为的看法?学者们发现,联盟信号会影响选民对政党政策立场的看法。最近的一项研究扩展了对政府联盟参与对选民认知影响的研究,发现西班牙选民在收到一个政党加入选举联盟的信号时,会更新他们对政党立场的认知,认为如果信号是左倾(右倾)联盟,则会更左倾(右倾)。该研究还发现,与文献一致,选举联盟信号会导致对未来联盟行为的预期。许多关于选举联盟的文献都集中在欧洲使用比例代表制的议会民主国家。由于选举联盟的影响可能因环境而异,我们在日本进行了一项类似的调查实验,日本是一个议会民主国家,使用了具有重要不均衡成分的混合选举制度。我们没有发现任何证据表明选举联盟信号会影响日本选民对政党意识形态立场的看法,这一结果与瑞典进行的类似分析相吻合。然而,一些联盟信号——如果它们包含新的信息——确实增加了日本受访者的预期,即某些联盟更有可能在未来形成。
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引用次数: 0
JJP volume 23 issue 2 Cover and Back matter JJP第23卷第2期封面和封底
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1017/s1468109922000147
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引用次数: 0
JJP volume 23 issue 2 Cover and Front matter JJP第23卷第2期封面和封面问题
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1017/s1468109922000135
The Japanese Journal of Political Science is a peer-reviewed journal that publishes original theoretical and empirically tested political science research. Manuscripts across the full range of sub-fields and research methodologies are welcome for consideration. We are open to single country or comparative studies, and particularly encourage those manuscripts that draw on interdisciplinary approaches to political science questions.
《日本政治学杂志》是一本同行评审期刊,发表原创理论和实证政治学研究。欢迎考虑所有子领域和研究方法的手稿。我们对单一国家或比较研究持开放态度,特别鼓励那些利用跨学科方法处理政治学问题的手稿。
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引用次数: 0
Terrorist campaigns and the growth of the Muslim population: a reply to Clara Egger and Raul Magni-Berton 恐怖主义运动与穆斯林人口的增长:对Clara Egger和Raul Magni Berton的答复
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-05-23 DOI: 10.1017/S1468109922000044
Seung-Whan Choi
Abstract I am delighted to see that my study on the effect of terrorist campaigns on the growth of Muslim populations has intrigued Egger and Magni-Berton. After discussing potential theoretical and methodological shortcomings in my study, Egger and Magni-Berton conclude that there is no empirical support for the positive relationship between terror attacks and Muslim populations. Their approach of separating terrorism into Islamist and non-Islamist terrorism is an effort to advance the contemporary research on the nexus between terrorism and Islam. In this re-examination, I show that Egger and Magni-Berton's conclusion is based on two limitations: theoretically unfounded and empirically inadequate. After remedying these limitations step by step, I reconfirm that a series of terrorist activities collectively serve as an explanation for the growth of the worldwide Muslim population. Future research can offer additional evidence to understand whether there is a significant and positive relationship between Islamist terrorism and the growth of Muslim populations.
摘要我很高兴看到我关于恐怖活动对穆斯林人口增长影响的研究引起了艾格和马格尼·贝尔顿的兴趣。在讨论了我研究中潜在的理论和方法缺陷后,Egger和Magni Berton得出结论,恐怖袭击与穆斯林人口之间的积极关系没有实证支持。他们将恐怖主义分为伊斯兰恐怖主义和非伊斯兰恐怖主义的方法是为了推动当代对恐怖主义与伊斯兰之间关系的研究。在这次重新审视中,我发现艾格和马格尼·贝尔顿的结论基于两个局限性:理论上没有根据和经验上不充分。在逐步纠正这些局限性之后,我再次确认,一系列恐怖活动共同成为世界穆斯林人口增长的原因。未来的研究可以提供更多的证据来了解伊斯兰恐怖主义与穆斯林人口的增长之间是否存在重大而积极的关系。
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Japanese Journal of Political Science
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