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Diffusion of Influence? Detecting China's Footprint in Foreign Policies of Other Countries. 影响力的扩散?探测中国在其他国家外交政策中的足迹。
IF 3.4 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-05-20 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-022-00217-5
Richard Q Turcsanyi, Kamil Liškutin, Michal Mochtak

"Chinese influence" has become a hot topic among politicians, media, and pundits. Academic studies dealing with the subject, however, generally take a much more cautious position. This paper suggests an innovative approach of studying political influence using data from the UN General Assembly voting and speech records. Utilizing the latest advancements in natural language processing (NLP), we show how to estimate, quantify, and visualise foreign policy positions using raw textual data. In Europe, it has been argued that China's growing presence and activity in Central and Eastern European states (CEE) undermines "European unity" as the region allegedly starts shifting towards Beijing. We adopt the CEE region as a case study of China's potential influence and highlight the positioning of CEE countries towards China, Germany, and the U.S. by visualizing the proximities among them over time. We find no evidence that the CEE countries are strategically pivoting towards China. We have controlled for known positions and trends of other countries from elsewhere in the world to strengthen the case for our methodological approach.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s41111-022-00217-5.

“中国影响力”已经成为政治家、媒体和权威人士的热门话题。然而,涉及这一主题的学术研究通常采取更为谨慎的立场。本文提出了一种利用联合国大会投票和演讲记录数据研究政治影响的创新方法。利用自然语言处理(NLP)的最新进展,我们展示了如何使用原始文本数据来估计、量化和可视化外交政策立场。在欧洲,有人认为中国在中欧和东欧国家(CEE)日益增长的存在和活动破坏了“欧洲统一”,因为该地区据称开始转向北京。我们将中东欧地区作为中国潜在影响力的案例研究,并通过可视化它们之间的接近程度,强调中东欧国家对中国、德国和美国的定位。我们没有发现中东欧国家在战略上转向中国的证据。我们控制了世界其他地方其他国家的已知立场和趋势,以加强我们的方法方法。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,下载地址:10.1007/s41111-022-00217-5。
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引用次数: 0
China’s Initiatives: A Bypassing Strategy for the Reform of Global Economic Governance 《中国倡议:全球经济治理改革的迂回战略》
IF 2.8 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-04-20 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-022-00215-7
K. Cai
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引用次数: 6
China's Complex Leadership in G20 and Global Governance: From Hangzhou 2016 to Kunming 2021. 中国在G20与全球治理中的复杂领导力:从2016年杭州到2021年昆明。
IF 3.4 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-04-08 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-022-00213-9
John Kirton, Alissa Xinhe Wang

How and why have China's G20 and thus global leadership changed since China hosted its first G20 summit at Hangzhou in September 2016? Since then the G20 has shaped global governance on an expanding array of subjects beyond its finance-economic core. China has consistently surpassed the other major powers in its economic growth, but also in its vulnerabilities at home. Its institutional leadership in long-established multilateral organizations has grown. The most systematic detailed account of China's leadership in G20 governance from 1999 to 2015 argued that China was always a leader in G20 governance but never led alone, always doing so with another, different G20 member, as the subject changed. New findings arise by using an expanded model of China's leadership, matching Xi Jinping's priorities at G20 summits with the summit's collective conclusions, commitments, compliance, and institutional development of global governance and examining the critical cases of climate change, biodiversity, infrastructure, and digitalization. This shows that China's G20 leadership has become more complex and cautious since 2016, even as G20 performance has generally grown. In 2022 as China institutionally leads global governance on biodiversity and thus climate change, by hosting the United Nations biodiversity summit in Kunming in April and May, it can create cooperative leadership in the G20 from all the world's great biodiversity powers of Russia and Brazil from the BRICS, Canada and the US from the G7, and Indonesia as G20 host.

自2016年9月中国在杭州举办首次G20峰会以来,中国在G20乃至全球的领导地位发生了怎样的变化,以及为什么发生了变化?从那时起,G20就在其金融经济核心之外的一系列不断扩大的主题上塑造了全球治理。中国在经济增长方面一直超过其他大国,但在国内脆弱性方面也一直超过其他大国。它在历史悠久的多边组织中的机构领导地位有所增强。从1999年到2015年,对中国在G20治理中的领导作用进行了最系统详细的描述,认为中国一直是G20治理的领导者,但从不单独领导,而是随着主题的变化与另一个G20成员一起领导。​这表明,自2016年以来,中国在G20的领导地位变得更加复杂和谨慎,尽管G20的表现总体上有所增长。2022年,中国将从制度上引领生物多样性和气候变化的全球治理,通过主办4月和5月在昆明举行的联合国生物多样性峰会,中国可以在G20中建立合作领导地位,包括金砖国家的俄罗斯和巴西,七国集团的加拿大和美国,以及G20东道国印度尼西亚。
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引用次数: 0
Infrastructure and the Politics of African State Agency: Shaping the Belt and Road Initiative in East Africa 基础设施与非洲国家机构政治:塑造东非“一带一路”倡议
IF 2.8 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-022-00214-8
Frangton Chiyemura, E. Gambino, Tim Zajontz
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引用次数: 13
Knowledge Subjectivity and Functions of Historical Political Science 知识主体性与历史政治学的功能
IF 2.8 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-021-00205-1
Guangbin Yang
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引用次数: 0
What is Historical Political Science? 什么是历史政治学?
IF 2.8 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-12 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-021-00204-2
Guangbin Yang
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引用次数: 7
Putting the BRI in Perspective: History, Hegemony and Geoeconomics 透视“一带一路”倡议:历史、霸权与地缘经济
IF 2.8 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-10 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-022-00210-y
M. Beeson, C. Crawford
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引用次数: 8
The Chinese Academic Legacy of Historical Political Science 历史政治学的中国学术遗产
IF 2.8 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-08 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-021-00202-4
Feng Ren
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引用次数: 0
The Maritime Silk Road Initiative and Its Implications for China’s Regional Policy 海上丝绸之路倡议及其对中国区域政策的影响
IF 2.8 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-08 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-022-00209-5
C. Wu
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引用次数: 8
How Outsourcing Social Services to NGOs Bolsters Political Trust in China: Evidence from Shanghai 社会服务外包如何增强中国的政治信任:来自上海的证据
IF 2.8 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-07 DOI: 10.1007/s41111-021-00207-z
Esther E. Song
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引用次数: 8
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Chinese Political Science Review
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