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The Ampel Coalition's Foreign Policy Challenges 安佩尔联盟的外交政策挑战
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400405
J. Janes
German-American relations have been impacted by the war in Ukraine for reasons that have to do with domestic and foreign policy challenges. Germany is struggling with its responsibilities to increased expectations in Washington and within the European Union. The responses in Berlin to the Russian invasion of Ukraine have resulted in tensions within Europe as Germany tries to shape its policies around what Chancellor Olaf Scholz has called the Zeitenwende (turning point) of German foreign policy. The u.s. has also signaled its expectations that Germany needs to be a partner in sharing the burden of confronting Russian threats in Ukraine and Europe. Another challenge for German-American relations is emerging around relations with China, which may generate friction across the Atlantic as the United States seeks to confront China on the global stage while Germany remains tightly connected to China as its largest trade partner. How and why Germany and the United States need each other is in transition.
德美关系受到乌克兰战争的影响,原因与国内外政策挑战有关。德国正在努力履行其责任,以提高华盛顿和欧盟内部的期望。柏林对俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的反应导致了欧洲内部的紧张局势,因为德国试图围绕总理奥拉夫·朔尔茨所说的德国外交政策的转折点来制定其政策。美国还表示,它期望德国需要成为一个伙伴,分担在乌克兰和欧洲应对俄罗斯威胁的负担。德美关系面临的另一个挑战是与中国的关系,这可能会在大西洋彼岸产生摩擦,因为美国试图在全球舞台上对抗中国,而德国作为其最大贸易伙伴与中国保持着密切联系。德国和美国如何以及为什么需要彼此,目前正处于过渡期。
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引用次数: 0
Inertia and Reactiveness in Germany's Russia Policy 德国对俄政策的惰性与反应性
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400407
Jonas J. Driedger
Despite signs that Russia was preparing an invasion of Ukraine, the newly elected German government stayed with pre-existing approaches that involved engagement and the threat of limited sanctions. However, in February 2022, just before the invasion began, Germany blocked the Nord Stream 2 pipeline system, announced weapon deliveries to Ukraine, and massively increased defense spending. This article shows that inertia and reactiveness heavily influenced the timing, nature, and extent of this massive shift in Germany's Russia policy. German leaders continued the existing policy in part because it had been formed by still influential figures and was in line with societal views. However, at the dawn of the invasion, the failure of previous policies had become undeniable, pressure from Ukraine and nato allies peaked, and societal views finally shifted. Reacting to this untenable situation, key figures in the German elite pushed through a series of measures that nato allies and Ukraine had long demanded.
尽管有迹象表明,俄罗斯正准备入侵乌克兰,但新当选的德国政府仍坚持原有的做法,包括接触和威胁进行有限的制裁。然而,在2022年2月,就在入侵开始之前,德国封锁了北溪2号管道系统,宣布向乌克兰运送武器,并大幅增加国防开支。本文表明,惰性和反动性在很大程度上影响了德国对俄政策转变的时机、性质和程度。德国领导人继续实行现行政策,部分原因是它是由仍然有影响力的人物制定的,符合社会观点。然而,在入侵之初,先前政策的失败已成为不可否认的事实,来自乌克兰和北约盟国的压力达到顶峰,社会观点最终发生了转变。为了应对这种难以为继的局面,德国精英中的关键人物推动了北约盟国和乌克兰长期以来一直要求的一系列措施。
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引用次数: 4
The Pandemic Factor 流行病因素
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400404
L. Rensmann, Thijs de Zee
This article examines how and why the covid-19 pandemic featured as a central issue in the Alternative for Germany's 2021 Bundestag election campaign. Using a wide range of political communication tools, the radical right party's opposition to public health policies against the pandemic ranged from a critique of hygienic measures to hosting coronavirus denialism and conspiracy myths suggesting that “the elite” had manufactured “corona hysteria” to subjugate the German people. Mirroring its general radicalization process toward an anti-system movement party, the AfD's campaign primarily gave voice to an ideologically driven, conspiracist, and authoritarian-nationalist core electorate, which has its center of gravity in the East. In the environment of an emerging “pandemic divide,” the party also sought to appeal to a robust minority of corona skeptics. More generally, the AfD's campaign points to the still underresearched role of science denialism and conspiracy myths in radical right mobilizations of a counterfactual age.
这篇文章探讨了新冠肺炎大流行如何以及为什么成为德国2021年联邦议院选举的核心问题。激进右翼政党使用广泛的政治沟通工具,反对针对疫情的公共卫生政策,从批评卫生措施到否认新冠病毒,以及阴谋论,暗示“精英”制造了“电晕歇斯底里”来征服德国人民。AfD的竞选活动主要为意识形态驱动、阴谋论和威权主义的民族主义核心选民发声,这反映了其对反体制运动政党的总体激进化过程,而该核心选民的重心在东部。在新出现的“疫情分歧”的环境中,该党还试图吸引少数对冠状病毒持怀疑态度的人。更普遍地说,AfD的运动指出,科学否认主义和阴谋神话在反事实时代的激进右翼动员中的作用仍然被低估。
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引用次数: 0
Reordering German Liberalism 重整德国自由主义
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400402
Mark I. Vail
This article analyzes economic policy debates and parties’ policy positions during the 2021 Bundestag election campaign, with an emphasis on shifting conceptions of the economic role of the state. Focusing on fiscal and labor market policy, it argues that the election campaign and the commitments of the new Ampel coalition reflect increasing support for more robust state involvement in the economy. It argues further that these shifts in elite discourse demonstrate a continuing rethinking of Germany's economic model and the need to rebalance the relationship between public authority and the decentralized model of social organization and policy responsibility central to German liberalism.
本文分析了2021年联邦议院竞选期间的经济政策辩论和政党政策立场,重点是国家经济角色观念的转变。它以财政和劳动力市场政策为重点,认为竞选活动和新的安佩尔联盟的承诺反映出人们越来越支持国家更有力地参与经济。它进一步认为,精英话语的这些转变表明了对德国经济模式的持续反思,以及重新平衡公共权力与分散的社会组织模式和德国自由主义核心政策责任之间关系的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Not a Single-Digit Party Anymore 不再是一个数字聚会
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400302
Niko Switek
In the 2021 German federal election, Alliance 90/The Greens received its best result so far. The outcome was based in part on a popular party leadership, government participation in different coalition formats on the state level, and an increasing salience of environmental and climate policies with which the party is strongly associated. After the election, the Greens became part of a novel three-party coalition with Social Democrats and Liberals where the party finds itself in a more influential role than in its first federal coalition with the spd. The opinion polls placing Alliance 90/The Greens above 20 percent before the election and its continuously growing membership base indicate a new centrality of the party in the German party system, as well as the potential to further increase its vote share.
在2021年德国联邦选举中,90联盟/绿党获得了迄今为止最好的结果。这一结果在一定程度上是基于受欢迎的政党领导、政府在州一级以不同的联盟形式参与,以及该党与之密切相关的环境和气候政策日益突出。选举后,绿党与社会民主党和自由党组成了一个新的三党联盟,在这个联盟中,绿党发现自己的影响力比与spd的第一个联邦联盟更大。民意调查显示,在选举前,联盟90/绿党的得票率超过20%,其成员基础不断扩大,这表明该党在德国政党体系中具有新的中心地位,并有可能进一步增加其选票份额。
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引用次数: 1
From Zero to Hero? 从零到英雄?
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400307
E. Turner, D. Vampa, Matthias Scantamburlo
Germany’s Social Democratic Party, the spd, was in government between 2013 and 2021, but until just weeks before the federal election of 2021, its electoral prospects seemed poor. The party was able to turn things around and surge, in the final period of the campaign, to a remarkable victory. This article sets out structural challenges faced by social democrats in Europe in general and in Germany in particular, focusing on policies and voters, coalition politics, and questions about party organization. It argues that in each area, the spd, with a mixture of sound strategic choices and good fortune, was to some extent able to extricate itself from the challenges it faced, and that its success owed much to the peculiarities of the 2021 election.
德国社会民主党在2013年至2021年间执政,但直到2021年联邦大选前几周,其选举前景似乎很糟糕。在竞选的最后阶段,该党扭转了局面,取得了令人瞩目的胜利。本文阐述了欧洲社会民主党人,特别是德国社会民主党人面临的结构性挑战,重点关注政策和选民、联盟政治以及政党组织问题。它认为,在每个领域,spd都有着合理的战略选择和良好的运气,在某种程度上能够摆脱所面临的挑战,其成功在很大程度上归功于2021年大选的特殊性。
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引用次数: 0
What Do (Parties Think) Women and LGBTI Citizens Want? (政党认为)女性和LGBTI公民想要什么?
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400303
Louise K. Davidson-Schmich
In this article I document the main German parties’ 2021 election platforms regarding gender and sexuality. These manifestos contained considerably different portrayals of gendered inequalities in the Federal Republic, preferred diverse roles for the state in ameliorating gendered inequalities, and called for state action in distinct spheres. Parties also generally viewed “women” and “lgbti” people as homogeneous entities rather than intersectional groups. I conclude by discussing how the differences among the Social Democrats, Greens, and Free Democrats were reconciled in the 2021 coalition agreement. The “traffic light” proposals for achieving gender equality differ starkly from the platforms of the Christian Democrats and the Alternative for Germany.
在这篇文章中,我记录了德国主要政党2021年关于性别和性取向的选举纲领。这些宣言对联邦共和国的性别不平等有相当不同的描述,倾向于国家在改善性别不平等方面发挥不同的作用,并呼吁国家在不同的领域采取行动。各政党还普遍将“女性”和“lgbt”视为同质实体,而不是交叉群体。最后,我将讨论如何在2021年的联合政府协议中调和社会民主党、绿党和自由民主党之间的分歧。实现性别平等的“红绿灯”提议与基督教民主党(Christian Democrats)和德国新选择党(Alternative for Germany)的纲领截然不同。
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引用次数: 1
Setting a Trend? 引领潮流?
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400306
Andreas M. Wüst
The 2021 Bundestag election brought an end to the model of grand coalitions that Germany had witnessed in 12 out of the 16 years of Angela Merkel’s chancellorship. While older voters often switched from the Christian Democrats to the Social Democrats, young voters might have set a trend in 2021 by voting for non-governing parties, allowing the Greens and the fdp to enter the new government. Have we witnessed more than a situational switch from the Volksparteien to a new yellow-green alliance, maybe even the rise of a generational cleavage? This article provides empirical evidence for dissatisfaction with the grand coalition government and the quest for change among young voters—a fight against climate change combined with state-centered social policies among Green voters, and a broad liberal program for progress among fdp voters. Yet the reasons that young people support these parties differ significantly. Thus, it is thin empirical ice to associate the yellow-green boost among young voters with a new generational cleavage.
2021年的联邦议院选举结束了安格拉•默克尔(Angela Merkel)担任德国总理的16年中有12年出现的大联盟模式。虽然年纪较大的选民经常从基民盟转向社民党,但年轻选民可能会在2021年开创一种趋势,投票给非执政党,让绿党和自民党进入新政府。我们是否目睹了从人民党到新的黄绿联盟的局势转变,甚至可能是代沟的兴起?本文为年轻选民对大联合政府的不满和对变革的追求提供了经验证据——绿党选民对气候变化的斗争与以国家为中心的社会政策相结合,自民党选民对进步的广泛自由主义计划。然而,年轻人支持这些政党的原因却大相径庭。因此,将年轻选民中黄绿派的崛起与新一代的分裂联系起来,在经验上是很薄弱的。
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引用次数: 0
The Party without Qualities? 没有品质的党?
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400301
J. Olsen, Michael A. Hansen
In the 2021 German federal election, the Left Party suffered its worst electoral defeat ever. Although it hemorrhaged voters to all the parties, its losses to the Social Democrats and Greens were particularly large. In this article, we examine the reasons behind Die Linke’s poor electoral performance. Although a number of factors may have played small roles, we hypothesize that the most important by far was the Left Party’s failure to distinguish itself in its policy positions from its chief rivals on the center left and the left. Using data from the Comparative Manifesto Project (cpm) and Chapel Hill Expert Survey (ches), we demonstrate the Left Party’s lack of issue ownership and its distinct policy and ideological profile in 2021. Consequently, we argue that Die Linke gave voters few reasons to vote for it.
在2021年的德国联邦选举中,左翼党遭遇了有史以来最严重的选举失败。尽管该党在所有政党中都获得了大量选民,但在社民党和绿党中损失尤为惨重。在这篇文章中,我们研究了左翼党的糟糕选举表现背后的原因。虽然有一些因素可能起了很小的作用,但我们假设,到目前为止,最重要的是左翼党未能在其政策立场上与其主要竞争对手中左翼和左翼区分开来。利用比较宣言项目(cpm)和教堂山专家调查(ches)的数据,我们展示了左翼党在2021年缺乏问题所有权及其独特的政策和意识形态形象。因此,我们认为左翼党没有给选民投票的理由。
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引用次数: 0
Catalysts for Change 变革的催化剂
IF 0.6 Q3 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.3167/gps.2022.400304
David F. Patton
In 2021, the small parties continued their electoral ascent in Germany. For the first time they received more votes than did the cdu/csu and the spd. Three finished with a double-digit result, and the combined vote share of the top two small parties exceeded that of the largest vote-getter. After the election, a novel three-party coalition arose at the national level. This resulted in a centrist alternative to grand coalitions and converted the electoral gains of the small parties into increased policymaking influence for the Greens and the fdp. This article considers the impact of the small parties, analyzes their success in 2021, and examines the campaigns, results, and prospects of Alliance 90/The Greens, the Free Democratic Party, the Alternative for Germany, and the Left Party.
2021年,小党派在德国的选举中继续上升。他们第一次获得了比基民盟/基社盟和社民党更多的选票。其中三个以两位数的结果结束,前两个小政党的总得票率超过了得票最多的政党。选举后,在全国范围内出现了一个新的三党联盟。这导致了大联盟之外的中间派选择,并将小党派的选举收益转化为绿党和自由民主党在政策制定方面的影响力。本文考虑了小党派的影响,分析了它们在2021年的成功,并研究了联盟90/绿党、自由民主党、德国新选择党和左翼党的竞选、结果和前景。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
GERMAN POLITICS AND SOCIETY
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