Pub Date : 2024-01-08DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00225-x
Kyriaki Doumas, Helen Avery
{"title":"Lives ‘on hold’ in Europe: an explorative review of literature on youth aspirations and futures in situations of migration and mobility","authors":"Kyriaki Doumas, Helen Avery","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00225-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00225-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"56 3","pages":"1-14"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139447881","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-20DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00222-0
Philipp Koebe, Sabine Bohnet-Joschko
{"title":"What’s next in hospital digitization? A Delphi-based scenario study","authors":"Philipp Koebe, Sabine Bohnet-Joschko","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00222-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00222-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"11 9","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139168723","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-26DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00221-1
Leena Jokinen, Nicolas A. Balcom Raleigh, Katariina Heikkilä
Abstract Businesses are facing increasing pressure from society and regulators to become more sustainable and do their part to address the climate crisis. These businesses will require continual sustainability innovation formulation and implementation processes to meet these demands. Collaborative foresight (CF) has high potential for helping business sectors produce a continuous stream of sustainability options to select and deploy in finished products. Recent developments in futures studies indicate that a capability called futures literacy (FL)—acts of individuals or groups switching their modes and purposes for imagining futures—is relevant to the production of innovation-related outcomes. FL may be key to driving the effectiveness of such foresight collaborations; however, little is known about its exact functions in such business networks and processes. This article examines this issue in the context of a luxury-cruise shipbuilding network in Finland. It analyzes research data from the foresight workstreams of a multi-partner consortium active across three sequential projects between 2016 and 2022. The foresight team took an interventionist research approach, conducting interviews and workshops as part of all three projects. In this article, we analyze the materials produced from these interventions for the appearances of FL enhancement. Based on this analysis, we found that FL can play key functions in CF, such as supporting actors in perceiving new developmental pathways, identifying new opportunities for innovation, and identifying alternative priorities built from new realizations and insights—a finding in line with existing claims by FL scholars and educators. This article contributes to ongoing discussions about the significance of CF and FL in addressing the most pressing environmental issues of our time. It offers an evidence-based argument for the relevance of taking a capabilities approach (i.e., introducing and developing FL) for business networks seeking to use foresight when engaging in sustainability innovation.
{"title":"Futures literacy in collaborative foresight networks: advancing sustainable shipbuilding","authors":"Leena Jokinen, Nicolas A. Balcom Raleigh, Katariina Heikkilä","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00221-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00221-1","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Businesses are facing increasing pressure from society and regulators to become more sustainable and do their part to address the climate crisis. These businesses will require continual sustainability innovation formulation and implementation processes to meet these demands. Collaborative foresight (CF) has high potential for helping business sectors produce a continuous stream of sustainability options to select and deploy in finished products. Recent developments in futures studies indicate that a capability called futures literacy (FL)—acts of individuals or groups switching their modes and purposes for imagining futures—is relevant to the production of innovation-related outcomes. FL may be key to driving the effectiveness of such foresight collaborations; however, little is known about its exact functions in such business networks and processes. This article examines this issue in the context of a luxury-cruise shipbuilding network in Finland. It analyzes research data from the foresight workstreams of a multi-partner consortium active across three sequential projects between 2016 and 2022. The foresight team took an interventionist research approach, conducting interviews and workshops as part of all three projects. In this article, we analyze the materials produced from these interventions for the appearances of FL enhancement. Based on this analysis, we found that FL can play key functions in CF, such as supporting actors in perceiving new developmental pathways, identifying new opportunities for innovation, and identifying alternative priorities built from new realizations and insights—a finding in line with existing claims by FL scholars and educators. This article contributes to ongoing discussions about the significance of CF and FL in addressing the most pressing environmental issues of our time. It offers an evidence-based argument for the relevance of taking a capabilities approach (i.e., introducing and developing FL) for business networks seeking to use foresight when engaging in sustainability innovation.","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"81 2-3","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134909958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-09-29DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00220-2
Vesa Koskimaa, Tapio Raunio
Abstract Legislatures have recently started to invest in anticipatory governance. Alongside new practices, they have introduced designated future committees and organs that connect MPs to future-regarding visioning and advice. Two decades ago, only Finland had a ‘future committee’, today broadly similar organs exist in 10 countries around the world. While signaling an important attempt to take expert-driven anticipatory governance closer to voters, legislative future organs may become short-lasting or remain politically weak, as their efforts to gain power typically threaten established legislative actors. To examine this emerging tension, we theoretically distinguish the unorthodox methods of future committees from traditional legislative practices and empirically compare the operation of all existing legislative future committees and similar organs. We uncover a considerable similarity between these institutions that mostly operate outside of the ordinary legislative process. To survive, they must add value to MPs without endangering the existing division of power. Finding this balance enhances the consolidation of legislative future organs, but it simultaneously limits their conventional political impact.
{"title":"Curtailing political short-termism in legislatures: a trade-off between influence and institutionalization?","authors":"Vesa Koskimaa, Tapio Raunio","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00220-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00220-2","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Legislatures have recently started to invest in anticipatory governance. Alongside new practices, they have introduced designated future committees and organs that connect MPs to future-regarding visioning and advice. Two decades ago, only Finland had a ‘future committee’, today broadly similar organs exist in 10 countries around the world. While signaling an important attempt to take expert-driven anticipatory governance closer to voters, legislative future organs may become short-lasting or remain politically weak, as their efforts to gain power typically threaten established legislative actors. To examine this emerging tension, we theoretically distinguish the unorthodox methods of future committees from traditional legislative practices and empirically compare the operation of all existing legislative future committees and similar organs. We uncover a considerable similarity between these institutions that mostly operate outside of the ordinary legislative process. To survive, they must add value to MPs without endangering the existing division of power. Finding this balance enhances the consolidation of legislative future organs, but it simultaneously limits their conventional political impact.","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135200449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-08DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00219-9
Christian Dayé, Roman Lukas Prunč, Martin Hofmann-Wellenhof
{"title":"The Mammoth prophecies: a role-playing game on controversies around a socio-technical innovation and its effects on students’ capacities to think about the future","authors":"Christian Dayé, Roman Lukas Prunč, Martin Hofmann-Wellenhof","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00219-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00219-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-14"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84039004","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-24DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00217-x
M. T. Demneh, Ali Zackery, A. Nouraei
{"title":"Using corporate foresight to enhance strategic management practices","authors":"M. T. Demneh, Ali Zackery, A. Nouraei","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00217-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00217-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"2008 1","pages":"1-16"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78581014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-01DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00216-y
A. Lyra, C. E. Barbosa, Yuri Oliveira De Lima, Herbert Salazar dos Santos, M. Argôlo, J. D. de Souza
{"title":"Toward computer-supported semi-automated timelines of future events","authors":"A. Lyra, C. E. Barbosa, Yuri Oliveira De Lima, Herbert Salazar dos Santos, M. Argôlo, J. D. de Souza","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00216-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00216-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"14 1","pages":"1-9"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90654551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-03-21DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00214-0
Paulina Dobroć, A. Lösch
{"title":"Transformation through (re-)politicisation of socio-technical futures: how cultural semiotics can improve transformative vision assessment","authors":"Paulina Dobroć, A. Lösch","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00214-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00214-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-03-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78058538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-03-13DOI: 10.1186/s40309-023-00215-z
P. Rikkonen, Karoliina Rimhanen, K. Aro, J. Aakkula
{"title":"The determinants of a resilient food system for Finland in the 2020s—three opinion polls for improvements based on a Delphi study among food system experts","authors":"P. Rikkonen, Karoliina Rimhanen, K. Aro, J. Aakkula","doi":"10.1186/s40309-023-00215-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-023-00215-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"50 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87791882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-02-10DOI: 10.1186/s40309-022-00213-7
Pedro Leon Cruz Aguilar, J. Vásquez
{"title":"Possible future scenarios of the general health social security system in Colombia for the year 2033","authors":"Pedro Leon Cruz Aguilar, J. Vásquez","doi":"10.1186/s40309-022-00213-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-022-00213-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44881,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Futures Research","volume":"81 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76852427","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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