Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.1007/s11408-022-00415-w
Ryan G Chacon, Thibaut G Morillon, Ruixiang Wang
In early 2021, several stocks receiving attention from retail traders known as "meme stocks" soared in value. A primary source of information regarding these stocks is from the social media platform Reddit, specifically from a subreddit known as WallStreetBets (WSB).This paper investigates whether a simple and easily implementable trading strategy following the WallStreetBets (WSB) subreddit can produce alpha. We document no evidence this is the case. Though we do observe a positive relation between WSB submissions and abnormal trading volume, we find that a portfolio that goes long buy recommendations and short sell recommendations each day is not profitable on a risk-adjusted basis. Holding periods from one day to one year fail to produce alpha. These findings are robust to a variety of different portfolio formation strategies. Our results provide an early look at the data following the explosion of interest in social media inspired retail investing.
{"title":"Will the reddit rebellion take you to the moon? Evidence from WallStreetBets.","authors":"Ryan G Chacon, Thibaut G Morillon, Ruixiang Wang","doi":"10.1007/s11408-022-00415-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-022-00415-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In early 2021, several stocks receiving attention from retail traders known as \"meme stocks\" soared in value. A primary source of information regarding these stocks is from the social media platform Reddit, specifically from a subreddit known as WallStreetBets (WSB).This paper investigates whether a simple and easily implementable trading strategy following the WallStreetBets (WSB) subreddit can produce alpha. We document no evidence this is the case. Though we do observe a positive relation between WSB submissions and abnormal trading volume, we find that a portfolio that goes long buy recommendations and short sell recommendations each day is not profitable on a risk-adjusted basis. Holding periods from one day to one year fail to produce alpha. These findings are robust to a variety of different portfolio formation strategies. Our results provide an early look at the data following the explosion of interest in social media inspired retail investing.</p>","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"37 1","pages":"1-25"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9210333/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9136202","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.1007/s11408-023-00426-1
Markus Schmid
{"title":"Report of the Editor 2022.","authors":"Markus Schmid","doi":"10.1007/s11408-023-00426-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-023-00426-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"37 1","pages":"119-120"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9947874/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9138066","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-01DOI: 10.1007/s11408-022-00414-x
Marcelo Lewin, Carlos Heitor Campani
We implement an allocation strategy through a regime-switching model using recursive utility preferences in an out-of-sample exercise accounting for transaction costs. We study portfolios turnover and leverage, proposing two procedures to constrain the allocation strategies: a low-turnover control (LoT) and a maximum leverage control (MaxLev). LoT sets a dynamic threshold to trim minor rebalancing, reducing portfolio turnover, mitigating costs. MaxLev calculates dynamic adjustments to the risk aversion parameter to constrain the portfolio leverage. The MaxLev adjustments depend on the risk aversion and permitted portfolio leverage, which enables optimal strategies considering the leverage constraints. The study uses US equity portfolios, and shows that, first, models with LoT result in superior return-to-risk measures than those without it when transaction costs increase. Second, considering transaction costs, the return-to-risk measures of the models using MaxLev closely match or exceed those from the corresponding unconstrained regime-switching benchmarks. Third, MaxLev returns have lower volatility and higher return-to-risk than conventional numerically constrained benchmarks. Fourth, the certainty equivalent returns indicate that models using MaxLev and LoT outperform both single-state models and unconstrained regime-switching models with statistical significance.
Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11408-022-00414-x.
{"title":"Constrained portfolio strategies in a regime-switching economy.","authors":"Marcelo Lewin, Carlos Heitor Campani","doi":"10.1007/s11408-022-00414-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-022-00414-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We implement an allocation strategy through a regime-switching model using recursive utility preferences in an out-of-sample exercise accounting for transaction costs. We study portfolios turnover and leverage, proposing two procedures to constrain the allocation strategies: a low-turnover control (LoT) and a maximum leverage control (MaxLev). LoT sets a dynamic threshold to trim minor rebalancing, reducing portfolio turnover, mitigating costs. MaxLev calculates dynamic adjustments to the risk aversion parameter to constrain the portfolio leverage. The MaxLev adjustments depend on the risk aversion and permitted portfolio leverage, which enables optimal strategies considering the leverage constraints. The study uses US equity portfolios, and shows that, first, models with LoT result in superior return-to-risk measures than those without it when transaction costs increase. Second, considering transaction costs, the return-to-risk measures of the models using MaxLev closely match or exceed those from the corresponding unconstrained regime-switching benchmarks. Third, MaxLev returns have lower volatility and higher return-to-risk than conventional numerically constrained benchmarks. Fourth, the certainty equivalent returns indicate that models using MaxLev and LoT outperform both single-state models and unconstrained regime-switching models with statistical significance.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11408-022-00414-x.</p>","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"37 1","pages":"27-59"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9243879/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9129239","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-10DOI: 10.1007/s11408-022-00423-w
Luca J. Liebi
{"title":"The palgrave handbook of FinTech and blockchain","authors":"Luca J. Liebi","doi":"10.1007/s11408-022-00423-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-022-00423-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"50 10 1","pages":"1 - 3"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77777939","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-11-03DOI: 10.1007/s11408-022-00422-x
Tom Burdorf
{"title":"The bond king: how one man made a market, built an empire, and lost it all—review","authors":"Tom Burdorf","doi":"10.1007/s11408-022-00422-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-022-00422-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"150 1","pages":"499 - 502"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77853754","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-09-05DOI: 10.1007/s11408-022-00420-z
Julian U. N. Vogel, Feixue Xie
{"title":"Do(n’t) believe everything you hear about disclosure: Twitter and the voluntary disclosure effect","authors":"Julian U. N. Vogel, Feixue Xie","doi":"10.1007/s11408-022-00420-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-022-00420-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"85 1","pages":"161 - 189"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90722615","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-11DOI: 10.1007/s11408-022-00416-9
Fabian Nagel
{"title":"Six Best Paper Award 2022","authors":"Fabian Nagel","doi":"10.1007/s11408-022-00416-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-022-00416-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"59 1-2","pages":"407 - 407"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72470491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-02DOI: 10.1007/s11408-022-00417-8
Tobias Wiest
{"title":"Momentum: what do we know 30 years after Jegadeesh and Titman’s seminal paper?","authors":"Tobias Wiest","doi":"10.1007/s11408-022-00417-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-022-00417-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"2016 1","pages":"95 - 114"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87800165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-08-01DOI: 10.1007/s11408-022-00418-7
Mathis Mörke
{"title":"Campbell R. Harvey, Ashwin Ramachandran, Joey Santoro: DeFi and the Future of Finance","authors":"Mathis Mörke","doi":"10.1007/s11408-022-00418-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-022-00418-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44895,"journal":{"name":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management","volume":"49 1","pages":"347 - 349"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2022-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82239002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}