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Variations of dissolved trace elements in precipitation and stream water in Japanese forest area: additional evidence of changing air pollution in the region 日本林区降水和溪水中溶解微量元素的变化:该地区空气污染变化的补充证据
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00040-1
Masayuki Morohashi, Tatsuyoshi Saito, Masaaki Takahashi, Yayoi Inomata, Makoto Nakata, Masaki Ohno, Tomohiro Kose, Tsuyoshi Ohizumi, Ki-Cheol Shin, Ichiro Tayasu, Hiroyuki Sase

Trace elements released into the atmosphere by human activities, such as fossil fuel combustion, flow into forest ecosystems via wet and dry deposition and can flow out via mountainous stream water. The Kajikawa catchment site in Niigata Prefecture, located on the Sea of Japan side in central Japan, suffers from large amounts of acidic substance deposition due to its geographical conditions and meteorological seasonality and is affected by transboundary air pollution originating from the Asian continent due to northwesterly seasonal winds in winter. This study determined the concentrations of trace elements dissolved in precipitation and stream water to comprehensively evaluate the effects of transboundary air pollution on forest ecosystems. The results showed that the concentrations of trace elements and major inorganic ions in precipitation tended to be high in winter and low in summer. The fluxes of many trace elements also increased in winter, reflecting high precipitation amount. Except for Sr, the enrichment factors of the highly enriched trace elements did not show clear seasonality. Therefore, they were continuously influenced by anthropogenic activities. Furthermore, the stable Pb isotope ratio changed significantly during the observation period; however, this was not explained by seasonal changes. This study revealed that trace elements are transported to the Sea of Japan side in central Japan, especially in winter; however, their quantity and content change in response to changes in local and transboundary air pollution.

Graphical Abstract

人类活动(如化石燃料燃烧)释放到大气中的微量元素通过干湿沉积物进入森林生态系统,并通过山区溪水流出。新泻县的梶川集水区位于日本中部日本海一侧,由于其地理条件和气象季节性,该集水区受到大量酸性物质沉积的影响,而且由于冬季季节性西北风的影响,该集水区还受到来自亚洲大陆的跨境空气污染的影响。本研究测定了降水和溪水中溶解的微量元素浓度,以全面评估跨境空气污染对森林生态系统的影响。结果表明,降水中微量元素和主要无机离子的浓度呈冬季高、夏季低的趋势。许多微量元素的通量在冬季也有所增加,反映出降水量较高。除锶外,高富集微量元素的富集因子没有明显的季节性。因此,它们持续受到人为活动的影响。此外,在观测期间,稳定铅同位素比值发生了显著变化,但这并不能用季节变化来解释。这项研究表明,微量元素被输送到日本中部的日本海一侧,尤其是在冬季;但是,它们的数量和含量会随着当地和跨境空气污染的变化而变化。 图文摘要
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引用次数: 0
Aggregate risk assessment for multi-route exposure to hazardous chemicals caused by chemical accidents, with a focus on toluene 化学品事故导致的多路径接触危险化学品的总体风险评估,重点是甲苯
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00039-8
Ji-Yun Jung, Si-Hyun Park, Ji-Eun Moon, Jun-Heon Yoon, Sung-Won Yoon, Cheol-Min Lee

Chemical accidents significantly impact environmental and human health. However, studies investigating the impacts of such accidents have primarily focused on single-route exposures, potentially underestimating the extent of damage. This study aimed to conduct an aggregate risk assessment for multi-route exposure to hazardous chemicals to ensure systematic and rational management of the health impacts on residents exposed to chemical accidents, considering the behavior of a hazardous chemical from a chemical accident within environmental media. Drawing upon a real chemical accident that occurred in Siheung, Gyeonggi-do, in 2019, leakage of 500 L of toluene over an hour was assumed. Employing a multimedia environmental dynamics model, the time-dependent concentrations across various environmental media were calculated, and the average daily dose (ADD), hazard quotient (HQ), and hazard index (HI) for each exposure route included in the multi-route exposure assessment were derived. Health risks were deemed present if the calculated HQ and HI values exceeded the threshold of 1. The results indicated the highest ADD values among the 0–9 age group, with inhalation exposure registering the highest ADD across all exposure routes. However, no significant health risks were observed, with both HQ and HI values not exceeding 1. This aggregate risk assessment approach is proposed as an effective preliminary evaluation method for health impact assessments in areas affected by chemical accidents.

Graphical Abstract

化学事故严重影响环境和人类健康。然而,调查此类事故影响的研究主要集中在单程暴露上,可能低估了损害程度。本研究旨在考虑化学事故中的危险化学品在环境介质中的行为,对危险化学品的多路径暴露进行综合风险评估,以确保系统、合理地管理化学事故对居民健康的影响。根据 2019 年发生在京畿道始兴市的真实化学事故,假设一小时内有 500 升甲苯泄漏。利用多媒体环境动力学模型,计算了各种环境介质中随时间变化的浓度,并得出了多途径接触评估中每种接触途径的日平均剂量(ADD)、危害商数(HQ)和危害指数(HI)。结果表明,0-9 岁年龄组的 ADD 值最高,在所有暴露途径中,吸入暴露的 ADD 值最高。不过,由于 HQ 值和 HI 值均未超过 1,因此未观察到明显的健康风险。建议将这种总体风险评估方法作为受化学品事故影响地区健康影响评估的一种有效的初步评估方法。
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引用次数: 0
PM2.5 and heavy metals in urban and agro-industrial areas: health risk assessment considerations 城市和农业工业区的 PM2.5 和重金属:健康风险评估考虑因素
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00037-w
Shin-young Park, Jeong-In Jeon, Ji-Yun Jung, Sung-Won Yoon, Jaymin Kwon, Cheol-Min Lee

The study investigated PM2.5 and heavy metal pollutant concentrations in Seoul and Wonju, South Korea, emphasizing the importance of considering PM2.5 chemical constituents for health impact assessments. While PM2.5 concentrations were similar between the two cities with slight variations, heavy metal concentrations differed significantly. Regional sources, PM2.5 composition, and meteorological conditions influenced these variations. Exposure to Fe was highest in all areas, with some heavy metals exceeding permissible levels, stressing the need to consider regional characteristics in assessments. Different heavy metals influence health risks differently in each city. When examining the HI (the summation of the hazard quotient for heavy metals), Seoul remained below an HI value of 1, while Wonju exceeded this threshold when exposed to CTE concentrations. In Seoul, As had a significant health impact of PM2.5, while in Wonju, Mn was more influential. Source apportionment confirmed different pollution sources in Seoul and Wonju, affecting the distribution of PM2.5 constituents in the atmosphere. Effective PM2.5 management requires a comprehensive approach considering chemical constituents and health impacts not just mass-based PM2.5 management, emphasizing regional-specific assessments and policy considerations to mitigate health risks. Therefore, tailored management strategies based on regional characteristics are necessary.

Graphical Abstract

该研究调查了韩国首尔和原州的 PM2.5 和重金属污染物浓度,强调了在健康影响评估中考虑 PM2.5 化学成分的重要性。两个城市的 PM2.5 浓度相似,但略有不同,而重金属浓度则差异显著。地区来源、PM2.5 成分和气象条件影响了这些差异。铁的暴露量在所有地区都是最高的,一些重金属超过了允许水平,这强调了在评估中考虑地区特征的必要性。不同的重金属对每个城市的健康风险影响不同。在研究 HI 值(重金属危害商数的总和)时,首尔的 HI 值一直低于 1,而元州在暴露于 CTE 浓度时则超过了这一临界值。在首尔,砷对 PM2.5 的健康影响很大,而在原州,锰的影响更大。污染源分配证实,首尔和原州的污染源不同,影响了大气中 PM2.5 成分的分布。有效的 PM2.5 管理需要考虑化学成分和健康影响的综合方法,而不仅仅是基于质量的 PM2.5 管理,强调特定区域的评估和政策考虑,以减轻健康风险。因此,有必要根据地区特点制定有针对性的管理策略。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal variation of aerosol optical depth and black carbon mass concentration over five airports across Bangladesh: emphasis on effect of COVID-19 lockdown 孟加拉国五个机场上空气溶胶光学深度和黑碳质量浓度的时空变化:COVID-19 封锁的影响
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00038-9
Khaled Shaifullah Joy, Shahid Uz Zaman, Md. Riad Sarkar Pavel, Md. Safiqul Islam, Abdus Salam

Globally, the COVID-19 outbreak has had a devastating impact on both health and economy. In contrast, the reduction in anthropogenic emissions has resulted in a major improvement in air quality. In this study, US National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) satellite datasets and related reanalysis model data were used with validation using ground-based data to evaluate the effects of aviation-based emissions on aerosol optical depth (AOD) and black carbon (BC). The contributions from five airports in Bangladesh were assessed during the pre-lockdown (01 Jan to 22 March), lockdown (23 March to 30 May), and post-lockdown (31 May to 30 Aug) periods in 2019 and 2020. The study’s findings show that during the 2020 lockdown, AOD and BC concentrations significantly decreased at all five airports. The overall decline of AOD was ~ 18.5% (13.1% to 22.8%) and BC was ~ 18.1% (16.6% to 22.2%) in 2020 compared to 2019. The three international airports that were examined—Dhaka, Chattagram, and Sylhet—showed an average reduction of about ~ 9.7%, while Jashore and Barisal—two domestic airports—saw a minor increase in AOD of ~ 0.8% over the same period. However, the average BC concentration at both international and domestic airports dropped by ~ 9.8% and ~ 10.2%, respectively. This is the first study to use reanalysis datasets in Bangladesh to evaluate air pollution levels and aviation-based emissions. The results highlight the significant impact of reduced aviation activity on air quality and provide valuable insights for future air pollution management strategies.

Graphical Abstract

在全球范围内,COVID-19 的爆发对健康和经济都造成了破坏性影响。与此相反,人为排放的减少却大大改善了空气质量。本研究使用美国国家航空航天局(NASA)的卫星数据集和相关的再分析模型数据,并利用地面数据进行验证,以评估航空排放对气溶胶光学深度(AOD)和黑碳(BC)的影响。对孟加拉国五个机场在 2019 年和 2020 年禁飞前(1 月 1 日至 3 月 22 日)、禁飞中(3 月 23 日至 5 月 30 日)和禁飞后(5 月 31 日至 8 月 30 日)期间的贡献进行了评估。研究结果表明,在 2020 年关闭期间,所有五个机场的 AOD 和 BC 浓度均显著下降。与 2019 年相比,2020 年 AOD 的总体降幅约为 18.5%(13.1% 至 22.8%),BC 的总体降幅约为 18.1%(16.6% 至 22.2%)。接受调查的三个国际机场--达卡、恰塔格拉姆和西尔赫特--的平均降幅约为 9.7%,而两个国内机场--贾肖尔和巴里萨尔--的 AOD 同期略有增加,增幅约为 0.8%。不过,国际机场和国内机场的 BC 浓度平均值分别下降了约 9.8% 和约 10.2%。这是首次使用再分析数据集对孟加拉国的空气污染水平和航空排放进行评估的研究。研究结果凸显了航空活动减少对空气质量的重大影响,并为未来的空气污染管理策略提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Large-eddy simulation of the effects of a tower structure on wind velocity and drag coefficient 塔架结构对风速和阻力系数影响的大涡流模拟
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00036-x
Takenobu Michioka

A large-eddy simulation was implemented for the flow around a cylindrical observation tower to investigate the effects of the tower structure on wind speed and drag coefficient. The mean wind velocity accelerates above the tower because flow separation occurs at the leading edge of the top of the tower. The drag coefficient is strongly linked to the Reynolds shear stress. Above the tower, the Reynolds shear stresses change from negative to positive within the recirculation zone and return to a negative value in the latter half of the tower because of the steep velocity gradients near the top of the tower. The change in the Reynolds shear stress results in an inaccurate drag coefficient. When one anemometer is used, a location at over 10 m above the top of the tower is suitable for measuring the drag coefficient accurately. When two anemometers are used, the Reynolds shear stress can be measured more accurately. Although the effects of the tower on the drag coefficient are not entirely removed, the use of two anemometers is a promising approach to estimate the drag coefficient in a tower.

Graphical Abstract

对圆柱形观测塔周围的流动进行了大涡流模拟,以研究塔结构对风速和阻力系数的影响。由于塔顶前缘发生了流体分离,因此塔上方的平均风速加快。阻力系数与雷诺切应力密切相关。在塔架上方,由于塔顶附近的速度梯度较陡,雷诺切应力在再循环区内由负值变为正值,并在塔架后半部分恢复为负值。雷诺切应力的变化导致阻力系数不准确。使用一个风速计时,塔顶上方 10 米以上的位置适合精确测量阻力系数。使用两个风速计时,可以更精确地测量雷诺剪应力。虽然不能完全消除塔架对阻力系数的影响,但使用两个风速计估算塔架的阻力系数是一种很有前途的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Possible detection of atmospheric bioaerosol via LiDAR: a wavelength-based simulation study 通过激光雷达探测大气生物气溶胶的可能性:基于波长的模拟研究
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00035-y
Juseon Shin, Youngmin Noh

This study explores potential of LiDAR technology to rapidly detect aerosolized biological terror agents in the atmosphere. It assesses the application by simulating extinction coefficients and the Ångström exponent at various wavelengths (266, 1064, 1571, and 2000 nm), focusing on differentiating bioaerosols from typical atmospheric particles. The simulation analysis evaluates changes in aerosol distributions and related extinction coefficient and Ångström exponent shifts under clean, normal, and bad atmospheric conditions. The findings indicate that the 1064 nm wavelength effectively detects bioaerosol presence, with a combination of 1064 nm and 1571 nm providing optimal Ångström exponent use for particle size differentiation. This dual-wavelength approach is highlighted as a practical method for bioaerosol detection, showcasing a significant sensitivity to variations in particle quantity and size, which are critical in biological threat scenarios. In conclusion, the study offers guidance for selecting LiDAR wavelengths for biological agent detection systems. While providing a theoretical framework for practical applications, it also underlines the need for further experimental work to confirm findings and fine-tune technology for real-world monitoring and threat management. This research contributes to the development of effective monitoring strategies against the backdrop of biological terror threats.

Graphical Abstract

本研究探讨了激光雷达技术在快速探测大气中气溶胶生物恐怖剂方面的潜力。它通过模拟不同波长(266、1064、1571 和 2000 nm)的消光系数和 Ångström 指数来评估应用情况,重点是区分生物气溶胶和典型大气颗粒。模拟分析评估了气溶胶分布的变化以及在清洁、正常和恶劣大气条件下相关消光系数和 Ångström 指数的变化。研究结果表明,1064 nm 波长可有效检测生物气溶胶的存在,1064 nm 和 1571 nm 波长的组合可为粒度区分提供最佳的 Ångström 指数。这种双波长方法是生物气溶胶检测的实用方法,对颗粒数量和大小的变化具有显著的灵敏度,这在生物威胁情况下至关重要。总之,这项研究为生物制剂检测系统选择激光雷达波长提供了指导。在为实际应用提供理论框架的同时,它还强调了进一步开展实验工作的必要性,以确认研究结果,并对技术进行微调,以用于现实世界的监测和威胁管理。这项研究有助于在生物恐怖威胁的背景下制定有效的监测战略。
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引用次数: 0
Air quality monitoring device to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 in educational buildings 减轻 COVID-19 在教学楼传播的空气质量监测装置
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00033-0
Diego Quiroga, Sergio Diaz, Homero F. Pastrana

The COVID-19 pandemic brought significant consequences on healthcare systems, economy, and politics. Nowadays, we know that the pathogen responsible for COVID-19 is transmitted mainly by aerosol droplets exhaled by infected individuals, which remain suspended in indoor air. There has been widespread interest in monitoring the (CO_2) levels in indoor spaces since an infected patient exhales (CO_2) and infectious aerosols when breathing. So, we designed and built an Air Quality Monitoring Device (AQMD) that measures and analyzes the levels of (CO_2) and particulate matter in the classrooms of a university with the aim of mitigating the spread of COVID-19. We divided the AQMD design into 2 phases: (i) data measurement and (ii) estimation of infection risk. Specifically, we measured the air quality in 3 classrooms of a university during different types of activities. Using these data, we calculated the recommended (CO_2) threshold for our classroom setting and estimated the probability of COVID-19 infection of a susceptible person. Our research shows that indoor (CO_2) concentrations and the probability of COVID-19 infection are influenced mainly by the type of activity and the number of windows open; besides, the number of students does not significantly impact the indoor (CO_2) concentrations levels because the range of students in the test scenario (18 to 31) was relatively small.

COVID-19 大流行给医疗系统、经济和政治带来了重大影响。如今,我们知道导致 COVID-19 的病原体主要通过感染者呼出的气溶胶飞沫传播,这些飞沫悬浮在室内空气中。由于感染者在呼吸时会呼出具有传染性的气溶胶,因此监测室内空气中的(CO_2)水平受到了广泛关注。因此,我们设计并建造了一个空气质量监测装置(AQMD),用于测量和分析一所大学教室中的(CO)和颗粒物水平,目的是减少 COVID-19 的传播。我们将 AQMD 设计分为两个阶段:(i) 数据测量和 (ii) 感染风险估计。具体来说,我们测量了某大学 3 间教室在不同活动期间的空气质量。利用这些数据,我们计算出了教室环境的推荐(CO_2)阈值,并估算了易感人群感染 COVID-19 的概率。我们的研究表明,室内 (CO_2) 浓度和 COVID-19 感染概率主要受活动类型和开窗数量的影响;此外,学生人数对室内 (CO_2) 浓度水平没有显著影响,因为测试场景中的学生人数范围(18 至 31 人)相对较小。
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引用次数: 0
Dry deposition of nitric acid gas by long-term measurement above and below a forest canopy 通过在林冠上下长期测量硝酸气体的干沉降量
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00034-z
Zhaojie Wu, Mao Xu, Atsuyuki Sorimachi, Hiroyuki Sase, Makoto Watanabe, Kazuhide Matsuda

Reactive nitrogen negatively affects terrestrial ecosystems by excessive deposition. Nitric acid gas (HNO3), a component of reactive nitrogen, is readily deposited on ground surfaces due to its high reactivity. However, there have been recent cases in which suppressed deposition fluxes, including upward fluxes, were observed above forests. As the mechanisms of HNO3 dry deposition on forest surfaces are not fully understood, the accuracy of dry deposition estimates remains uncertain. To reduce uncertainties in the estimation, we investigated dry deposition of HNO3 by 1-year measurement in a forest. We measured the vertical profiles of HNO3, nitrate, and sulfate in PM2.5 in a deciduous forest in suburban Tokyo (FM Tama). We observed their concentrations above the forest canopy (30 m) and near the forest floor (2 and 0.2 m) using the denuder/filter pack from October 2020 to September 2021. The HNO3 concentration decreased significantly from 30 to 2 m. However, the decrease in HNO3 was not as significant, and occasionally, emission profiles were produced between 2 and 0.2 m. This was likely caused by HNO3 generated by the volatilization of NH4NO3 near the forest floor, which was warmed by sunlight during daytime in both leafy and leafless periods. Conversely, HNO3 concentrations at 30 m were much higher than those at 2 m and 0.2 m, indicating that the forest acted as a sink for HNO3 from a long-term perspective. It is presumed that HNO3, generated just above the forest canopy, could cause an upward flux if a temperature difference of several degrees occurs between 25 and 20 m.

活性氮会因过度沉积而对陆地生态系统产生负面影响。硝酸气体(HNO3)是活性氮的一种成分,由于其反应活性高,很容易沉积在地表。然而,最近在森林上空观察到沉积通量(包括上升通量)受到抑制的情况。由于人们对 HNO3 在森林表面干沉积的机理还不完全了解,因此干沉积估算的准确性仍不确定。为了减少估算的不确定性,我们在森林中进行了为期 1 年的 HNO3 干沉降测量。我们在东京郊区的一片落叶林(FM 多摩)中测量了 PM2.5 中 HNO3、硝酸盐和硫酸盐的垂直剖面。从 2020 年 10 月到 2021 年 9 月,我们使用脱硝器/过滤包对林冠上方(30 米)和林底附近(2 米和 0.2 米)的浓度进行了观测。从 30 米到 2 米,HNO3 的浓度明显下降。然而,HNO3 的下降并不那么明显,偶尔在 2 米到 0.2 米之间会产生排放曲线。这可能是由于 NH4NO3 在林地附近挥发产生的 HNO3 所造成的,林地在白天有叶和无叶时期都会被阳光加热。相反,30 米处的 HNO3 浓度远高于 2 米处和 0.2 米处,这表明从长远角度来看,森林是 HNO3 的吸收汇。据推测,如果在 25 米和 20 米之间出现几度的温差,在森林树冠上方产生的 HNO3 可能会造成向上的通量。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal variation, source identification, and health risk assessment of atmospheric polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in Ulsan, South Korea 韩国蔚山大气中多环芳烃 (PAHs) 的季节变化、来源识别和健康风险评估
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00032-1
Na Ra Youn, Sang-Jin Lee, Tuyet Nam Thi Nguyen, Ho-Young Lee, Hye Kyung Cho, Chang-Keun Song, Sung-Deuk Choi

Gaseous and particulate 21 PAHs were monitored at a residential site in Ulsan, South Korea, over three seasons (December 2013–August 2014). The mean concentrations of Σ21 PAHs were highest in winter (16.2 ± 8.2 ng/m3), followed by spring (8.37 ± 4.53 ng/m3) and summer (6.23 ± 2.53 ng/m3). The mean gaseous concentration of Σ21 PAHs (7.39 ± 4.39 ng/m3) was 2.7 times higher than that of particulate PAHs (2.70 ± 3.38 ng/m3). To identify the sources of PAHs (both types of sources and their areas), diagnostic ratios, principal component analysis, and concentration-weighted trajectory (CWT) were used. The results showed that pyrogenic sources (e.g., coal combustion) were the primary emission sources of PAHs in winter and spring. In summer, the influence of both coal and heavy oil combustion was dominant, suggesting that PAHs could be transported from industrial areas of Ulsan (e.g., petrochemical and nonferrous industrial complexes) by seasonal winds. Regarding emission source areas, the CWT analysis revealed that in winter and spring, PAHs in Ulsan could be attributed to emissions from regional areas, e.g., China and North Korea. The PAH concentrations were also used to assess the health risks associated with the inhalation of these compounds for adults aged 18–70. The results showed that the cancer risks from Σ19 PAHs and Σ13 PAHs did not exceed the guideline set by the US EPA (10−6), indicating no cancer risks for this target group. However, it is worth noting that certain PAHs, which are not listed as priority PAHs by the US EPA, make significant contributions to the benzo[a]pyrene equivalent and the associated cancer risks. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate not only the priority PAHs but also other PAH species to fully evaluate their effect on human health.

在韩国蔚山的一个居民点监测了三个季节(2013 年 12 月至 2014 年 8 月)的气态和微粒 21 PAHs。冬季的 Σ21 PAHs 平均浓度最高(16.2 ± 8.2 纳克/立方米),其次是春季(8.37 ± 4.53 纳克/立方米)和夏季(6.23 ± 2.53 纳克/立方米)。Σ21 PAHs 的平均气体浓度(7.39 ± 4.39 纳克/立方米)是颗粒 PAHs 浓度(2.70 ± 3.38 纳克/立方米)的 2.7 倍。为了确定多环芳烃的来源(两类来源及其区域),采用了诊断比率、主成分分析和浓度加权轨迹(CWT)等方法。结果表明,热源(如燃煤)是冬季和春季多环芳烃的主要排放源。在夏季,煤炭和重油燃烧的影响占主导地位,这表明多环芳烃可能是由季节风从蔚山的工业区(如石化和有色金属工业区)迁移而来。在排放源区域方面,CWT 分析表明,在冬季和春季,蔚山的 PAHs 可归因于来自中国和朝鲜等地区的排放。多环芳烃浓度还被用来评估 18-70 岁成年人吸入这些化合物所带来的健康风险。结果表明,Σ19 PAHs 和 Σ13 PAHs 的致癌风险没有超过美国环保局设定的指导值(10-6),表明对这一目标群体没有致癌风险。不过,值得注意的是,某些未被美国 EPA 列入优先 PAHs 的 PAHs 对苯并[a]芘当量和相关癌症风险有重大影响。因此,有必要不仅调查优先 PAHs,而且调查其他 PAH 种类,以全面评估它们对人类健康的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal aerosol prediction model based on fusion of machine learning and spatial analysis 基于机器学习和空间分析融合的时空气溶胶预测模型
IF 1.1 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1007/s44273-024-00031-2
Kwon-Ho Lee, Seong-Hun Pyo, Man Sing Wong

This study examined long-term aerosol optical thickness (AOT) data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to quantify aerosol conditions on the Korean Peninsula. Time-series machine learning (ML) techniques and spatial interpolation methods were used to predict future aerosol trends. This investigation utilized AOT data from Terra MODIS and meteorological data from Automatic Weather System (AWS) in eight selected cities in Korea (Gangneung, Seoul, Busan, Wonju, Naju, Jeonju, Jeju, and Baengyeong) to assess atmospheric aerosols from 2000 to 2021. A machine-learning-based AOT prediction model was developed to forecast future AOT using long-term observations. The accuracy analysis of the AOT prediction results revealed mean absolute error of 0.152 ± 0.15, mean squared error of 0.048 ± 0.016, bias of 0.002 ± 0.011, and root mean squared error of 0.216 ± 0.038, which are deemed satisfactory. By employing spatial interpolation, gridded AOT values within the observation area were generated based on the ML prediction results. This study effectively integrated the ML model with point-measured data and spatial interpolation for an extensive analysis of regional AOT across the Korean Peninsula. These findings have substantial implications for regional air pollution policies because they provide spatiotemporal AOT predictions.

本研究考察了中分辨率成像分光仪(MODIS)的长期气溶胶光学厚度(AOT)数据,以量化朝鲜半岛的气溶胶状况。采用时间序列机器学习(ML)技术和空间插值方法来预测未来的气溶胶趋势。这项研究利用 Terra MODIS 的 AOT 数据和自动气象系统(AWS)的气象数据,对韩国八个选定城市(江陵、首尔、釜山、原州、罗州、全州、济州和白翎)2000 年至 2021 年的大气气溶胶进行了评估。开发了基于机器学习的 AOT 预测模型,利用长期观测数据预测未来的 AOT。AOT 预测结果的精度分析表明,平均绝对误差为 0.152 ± 0.15,平均平方误差为 0.048 ± 0.016,偏差为 0.002 ± 0.011,均方根误差为 0.216 ± 0.038,结果令人满意。根据 ML 预测结果,采用空间插值法生成了观测区内的网格 AOT 值。这项研究有效地将 ML 模式与点测数据和空间插值相结合,对整个朝鲜半岛的区域 AOT 进行了广泛分析。这些研究结果提供了时空 AOT 预测,对区域空气污染政策具有重要意义。
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Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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