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Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis最新文献

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State-level educational performance in Brazil: A MCDM approach taking a governance perspective 巴西州级教育绩效:从治理角度看MCDM方法
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-09-02 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1765
Eduardo Bizzo, Rodrigo Furst, Jorge Junio Moreira Antunes, Peter Wanke, Franklin G. Mixon Jr.

This study presents an educational performance assessment of Brazilian state-level units using the technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS). Although this technique is a well-established multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) model that can be applied across diverse areas, it has yet to be applied to an analysis of primary and secondary education. We assess how state-level units in Brazil perform in terms of primary and secondary educational inputs and outputs during the period from 2013 to 2017. We handle epistemic uncertainty with regard to weight definition using maximal information entropy. Additionally, a Tobit regression approach on performance scores is developed. Results show that region of the country plays an important role in determining educational performance. Moreover, results indicate that gross domestic product (GDP) is positively related to education scores while infant mortality is negatively associated with educational performance.

本研究提出了巴西州级单位的教育绩效评估使用的技术顺序偏好相似的理想解决方案(TOPSIS)。虽然这种技术是一种完善的多标准决策模型,可以应用于不同领域,但它尚未应用于小学和中学教育的分析。我们评估了2013年至2017年期间巴西国家级单位在中小学教育投入和产出方面的表现。我们使用最大信息熵来处理关于权重定义的认知不确定性。此外,本文还提出了性能分数的Tobit回归方法。结果表明,国家的地区在决定教育绩效方面起着重要作用。此外,研究结果表明,国内生产总值(GDP)与教育成绩呈正相关,而婴儿死亡率与教育成绩呈负相关。
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引用次数: 2
Organizational hindrances to Healthcare 4.0 adoption: An multi-criteria decision analysis framework 采用医疗保健4.0的组织障碍:多标准决策分析框架
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-08-29 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1766
Bhaskar B. Gardas

Due to the latest developments in the healthcare sector, the efficiency and effectiveness of healthcare services are being improved. This investigation aims to shortlist the organizational hindrances that influence the adoption of Healthcare 4.0 technologies and model the mutual relationship between them using the DEMATEL methodology. In addition, this study offers a cause-effect relationship between the barriers and helps to identify the most important challenges to the adoption of Healthcare 4.0 technologies. By reviewing the literature and consulting experts in the case domain, 10 hindrances were identified. The findings of the study highlighted three causal factors namely ‘Lack of vision and commitment from the top management’, ‘Hierarchical structure’, and ‘Lack of skilled workforce’ as critical ones that have the significant causality intensity; whereas, ‘Lack of R&D facilities’ was found be the least significant barrier which belongs to the effect category. It may be noted that the causal factors need to be addressed by the top management of the healthcare organizations for the successful adoption of Health 4.0. Further, the elimination of the causal factors identified by this study would help in reducing the cost of the treatment and enhance the patients' experience. In addition, this research aims to guide managers/decision-makers of healthcare organizations to deduce policies for the adoption of the latest technologies in the case sector.

由于医疗保健行业的最新发展,医疗保健服务的效率和效果正在得到改善。本调查旨在列出影响医疗保健4.0技术采用的组织障碍,并使用DEMATEL方法对它们之间的相互关系进行建模。此外,本研究还提供了障碍之间的因果关系,并有助于确定采用医疗保健4.0技术的最重要挑战。通过回顾文献和咨询案例领域的专家,我们确定了10个障碍。研究结果强调了三个因果因素,即“高层管理人员缺乏远见和承诺”、“等级结构”和“缺乏熟练劳动力”,这是具有显著因果关系强度的关键因素;然而,“缺乏研发设施”被认为是最不重要的障碍,属于影响类别。值得注意的是,为了成功采用Health 4.0,医疗保健组织的高层管理人员需要解决这些因果因素。此外,消除本研究确定的因果因素将有助于降低治疗成本并提高患者的体验。此外,本研究旨在指导管理人员/医疗保健组织的决策者,以推断在案例部门采用最新技术的政策。
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引用次数: 6
Health Technology Assessment of medical devices. Overcoming the critical issues of current assessment 医疗器械卫生技术评价。克服当前评估的关键问题
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-08-23 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1764
Salvatore Tallarico, Davide Aloini, Riccardo Dulmin, Simone Lazzini, Valeria Mininno, Luisa Pellegrini

Medical devices are introduced in the market with an ever-increasing rate, with important benefits for the whole society's health. In the greatest majority of cases, although representing the entry point for devices, healthcare local institutions/hospitals do not receive any macro-level guidance from (inter)national authorities for their assessment. Hence, in the absence of a methodological support, local institutions/hospitals started to assess devices autonomously, building on Health Technology Assessment (HTA) tools based on Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), in order to take into-account the multifaceted aspects connected with devices. However, the strategies described so far in the scientific literature for implementing MCDA in local-based HTA of medical devices suffer from a harsh methodological weaknesses – that is, the use of bespoke criteria for the specific device to be assessed - that severely affect the evaluation of medical devices. Within this scenario, this work proposes a new tool based on peer-to-peer IF-TOPSIS, intended for micro-level assessment of medical devices with the main objective of overcoming the above-mentioned critical issues and provide local institutions/hospitals with a general tool. An example of application of this tool in the choice between three neurological devices is shown. Contributions are both theoretical and practical. Theoretically, while proposing a general MCDA tool for micro-level HTA, we answer the call for the identification of key methodological principles for the local assessment of medical devices. At the practical level, this tool is readily implementable and can be adapted to consider the local idiosyncratic characteristics of the context where decisions have to be made.

医疗器械以越来越快的速度进入市场,对整个社会的健康有着重要的好处。在绝大多数情况下,虽然医疗保健地方机构/医院是设备的切入点,但它们没有从(国际)国家主管部门获得任何宏观层面的评估指导。因此,在缺乏方法支持的情况下,地方机构/医院开始在基于多标准决策分析(MCDA)的卫生技术评估(HTA)工具的基础上自主评估设备,以便考虑到与设备相关的多方面因素。然而,到目前为止,科学文献中描述的在基于地方的医疗器械HTA中实施MCDA的策略存在严重的方法缺陷——即使用要评估的特定设备的定制标准——这严重影响了医疗器械的评估。在这种情况下,本工作提出了一种基于点对点IF-TOPSIS的新工具,旨在对医疗器械进行微观层面的评估,其主要目标是克服上述关键问题,并为地方机构/医院提供通用工具。该工具在三种神经装置之间的选择应用的一个例子被显示。贡献包括理论和实践。从理论上讲,在提出微观层面HTA的通用MCDA工具的同时,我们回应了对医疗器械本地评估关键方法原则的识别的呼吁。在实际层面上,这个工具很容易实现,并且可以根据需要做出决策的环境的本地特性进行调整。
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引用次数: 3
COVID-19 critical success factors in Indian healthcare industry—A DEMATEL approach 印度医疗保健行业COVID-19关键成功因素——DEMATEL方法
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-08-05 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1763
Vidyadhar Gedam, Rakesh Raut, Zeeshan Inamdar, Balkrishna Narkhede, Swapnil Dharaskar, Vaibhav Narvane

The prosed study aims to provide COVID-19 critical success factors (CSF) associated with pandemic circumstances in the Indian healthcare industry (HCI). The CSF was identified via expert team inputs and a detailed literature review. The Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) method is used to determine the causal relationship between identified CSF. The methodology was supported by the case study of the Indian HCI. A total of 15 CSF in the Indian HCI during COVID-19 are identified and prioritized using the DEMATEL method. The findings indicate that the high-quality personal protective equipment (PPEs; LC8) and testing laboratories/facilities, centres, and kits (LC15) are the significant cause, and appropriate healthcare laws (LC13) are the least effect group. The study shows that policy and decision-makers need to emphasize on LC8 and LC15 CSF in the Indian HCI and act accordingly to win the battle against post-COVID-19 circumstance. The policy/decision-makers and healthcare administrations can identify the CSF and focus on that particular CSF. The identified CSF will help policy and decision-makers swiftly build up the HCI to cope with the future pandemic.

拟议的研究旨在提供与印度医疗保健行业(HCI)大流行情况相关的COVID-19关键成功因素(CSF)。CSF是通过专家团队的输入和详细的文献综述确定的。决策试验和评估实验室(DEMATEL)方法用于确定鉴定CSF之间的因果关系。该方法得到了印度人力资本指数案例研究的支持。在2019冠状病毒病期间,使用DEMATEL方法确定了印度HCI中的15种CSF并对其进行了优先排序。研究结果表明,高质量的个人防护装备(ppe;LC8)和测试实验室/设施、中心和试剂盒(LC15)是主要原因,适当的医疗保健法律(LC13)是影响最小的一组。研究表明,政策和决策者需要重视印度HCI中的LC8和LC15 CSF,并采取相应行动,以赢得应对后疫情的战斗。政策/决策者和医疗保健管理部门可以确定CSF并将重点放在该特定CSF上。确定的CSF将有助于政策和决策者迅速建立HCI,以应对未来的大流行。
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引用次数: 4
Some mathematical comments about the analytic hierarchy process: Part I – theoretical analysis 关于层次分析法的一些数学评注:第一部分理论分析
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-08-03 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1762
Gustavo B. Alvarez, Rafael G. de Almeida, Cecilia T. Hernández, Patrícia A. P. de Sousa

The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a decision making method, which has as its greatest criticism the rank reversal effect. Here a new mathematical analysis of this method is performed, and three new results are highlighted. First, the method is formulated as a linear system of equations, where it is possible to assign a geometric interpretation, determine the number of possible solutions, and perform an sensitivity analysis based on the condition number of the matrix. Second, the causes of rank reversal can be encompassed by two mathematical aspects related to the properties of the matrix of AHP: high condition number and deficient rank. When the matrix is deficient rank, it is possible to obtain a condensed formulation of the AHP with a new full rank matrix. This guarantees greater stability to the method. Third, some mathematical results can be used as a robustness test for the matrix of AHP.

层次分析法(AHP)是一种决策方法,其最大的缺点是等级反转效应。本文对该方法进行了新的数学分析,并重点介绍了三个新的结果。首先,该方法被表述为一个线性方程组,其中可以分配一个几何解释,确定可能的解决方案的数量,并根据矩阵的条件数执行灵敏度分析。其次,秩反转的原因可以包含在与AHP矩阵性质相关的两个数学方面:高条件数和缺秩。当矩阵是亏秩矩阵时,可以用新的满秩矩阵得到AHP的简化形式。这保证了方法更大的稳定性。第三,一些数学结果可以作为层次分析法矩阵的稳健性检验。
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引用次数: 3
Financial performance drivers in BRICS healthcare companies: Locally estimated scatterplot smoothing partial utility functions 金砖国家医疗保健公司的财务绩效驱动因素:局部估计散点图平滑部分效用函数
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-07-10 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1761
Peter Wanke, Md. Abul Kalam Azad, Yong Tan, Roberto Pimenta

The Healthcare sector is increasing in importance and relative size in BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa). Despite BRICS relevance, the financial performance of their healthcare companies has been scarcely studied. This research fills this literature gap not only by focusing on the impacts of such diverse business environments on the financial performance of healthcare providers but also by proposing a novel approach to estimate an overall financial performance index based on weighted additive utility functions given a set of financial performance criteria. Precisely, bootstrapped Singular Value Decomposition is the cornerstone for identifying an orthogonal base of rotated financial performance criteria, upon which partial utility functions (PUFs) are estimated using locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (LOESS) polynomial regression. A compromise weighting scheme between singular values and quadratic programming results for minimal covariance and joint entropy matrices of residuals was used for summing up the PUFs. Results indicate that the values of financial performance range between 0.7 and 0.85. We further find that current assets, level of debt and liability, the company's Tobin Q are related to the financial performance. Besides, business freedom, government integrity, tax burden, monetary freedom and government spending are also the determinants of financial performance.

在金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国、南非),医疗保健行业的重要性和相对规模都在增加。尽管金砖国家具有相关性,但这些国家医疗保健公司的财务业绩却很少得到研究。本研究填补了这一文献空白,不仅关注了这种不同的商业环境对医疗保健提供者财务绩效的影响,而且还提出了一种新的方法来估计基于加权附加效用函数的整体财务绩效指标给定一组财务绩效标准。准确地说,自举奇异值分解是识别旋转财务绩效标准正交基的基础,在此基础上,使用局部估计散点图平滑(黄土)多项式回归估计部分效用函数(puf)。采用最小协方差和残差联合熵矩阵的奇异值与二次规划结果之间的折衷加权方案对puf进行求和。结果表明,财务绩效值在0.7 ~ 0.85之间。我们进一步发现,流动资产、负债水平、公司的托宾Q与财务绩效相关。此外,商业自由、政府廉洁、税收负担、货币自由和政府支出也是财务绩效的决定因素。
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引用次数: 2
Special issue on multiple criteria sorting methods 关于多标准排序方法的特刊
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-07-09 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1760
Thierry Marchant, Marc Pirlot
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引用次数: 1
Strategic multiple criteria group decision-making model for continuous auditing system 持续审计系统的战略多准则组决策模型
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-06-29 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1758
William Shiue, Jau Yang Liu, Zong Ying Li

The increasing attention to continuous auditing in practice has demonstrated its significance as an important field of scholarly inquiry. This research takes the two well-known continuous auditing systems, embedded audit module (EAM) and monitoring and control layer (MCL), to explore the key factors of successfully implementing a continuous auditing system. This study proposes a hybrid multiple criteria group decision-making (MCGDM) model, which employs decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) and analytic network process (ANP) to determine the influential direction and criterion weight of continuous auditing system. We then use zero–one goal programming (ZOGP) to suggest the optimal allocation of the limited resources within the firm for the continuous auditing system. Finally, we present an empirical case to demonstrate the applicability of our proposed model. The proposed model guides business managers and executives to make proper judgment under dynamic market and technological environment.

持续审计作为一个重要的学术研究领域,在实践中受到越来越多的关注。本研究以嵌入式审计模块(EAM)和监控层(MCL)两种知名的持续审计系统为例,探讨成功实施持续审计系统的关键因素。本研究提出了一种混合多准则群体决策(MCGDM)模型,该模型采用决策试验与评价实验室(DEMATEL)和分析网络过程(ANP)来确定持续审计系统的影响方向和准则权重。然后,我们使用零-一目标规划(ZOGP)来建议公司内部有限资源的最佳配置,以进行持续审计系统。最后,我们提出了一个实证案例来证明我们所提出的模型的适用性。该模型指导企业管理者在动态的市场和技术环境下做出正确的判断。
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引用次数: 3
What matters in treating non-oncological rare diseases?—Eliciting experts' preferences in Poland with PAPRIKA 在治疗非肿瘤性罕见疾病时,什么重要?——波兰专家对辣椒粉的偏好
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-06-13 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1754
Michał Jakubczyk, Maciej Niewada, Robert Plisko, Magdalena Władysiuk, Michał Jachimowicz, Cezary Pruszko, Katarzyna Wepsięć, Joanna Lis

Value in drugs do not always lies simply in them curing diseases: they may also be used to prolong life, improve its quality, and relieve patients' families. How much these elements matter should weigh on reimbursement decisions. Rare diseases often lack strong clinical evidence; hence, overlooking other elements that society values may lead to suboptimal decisions. We examine the preferences for treatments of non-oncological rare diseases among 16 experts in Poland with PAPRIKA—a choice-based elicitation method. Among seven attributes, clinical effect was found to be the most important, followed by returning the patient's family to normal functioning. Whether a treatment is used in children or any alternative treatment is available were the least important attributes. The respondents have a non-linear, diminishing preference for clinical effects, and an almost linear (negative) preference for cost. We develop a new method of sensitivity analysis that accounts for the non-uniqueness of part-worth utilities and the possibility of respondents answering inattentively to some questions, and we find our results to be robust. When looking at heterogeneity, three types of respondents deviating from mean-preferences emerge, in terms of what particular factors they place emphasis on: (a) cost and effectiveness, (b) to whom technology is offered (prognosis and availability of alternative), (c) the impact on family, safety, and caring for children. The part-worth utilities identified can be used to support multiple criteria decision-making in Poland.

药物的价值并不总是仅仅在于治疗疾病:它们也可以用来延长生命,提高生命质量,减轻病人家属的负担。这些因素的重要性应该影响报销决定。罕见病往往缺乏强有力的临床证据;因此,忽视社会看重的其他因素可能会导致次优决策。我们用paprika(基于选择的启发方法)研究了波兰16位专家对非肿瘤性罕见病治疗的偏好。在七个属性中,临床效果是最重要的,其次是患者家庭恢复正常功能。是否在儿童中使用治疗或是否有任何替代治疗是最不重要的属性。受访者对临床效果的偏好呈非线性递减,对成本的偏好几乎呈线性(负)。我们开发了一种新的敏感性分析方法,该方法考虑了部分价值效用的非唯一性和受访者回答某些问题时不注意的可能性,我们发现我们的结果是稳健的。在研究异质性时,根据他们所强调的特定因素,出现了偏离平均偏好的三种类型的受访者:(a)成本和有效性,(b)向谁提供技术(预后和替代方案的可用性),(c)对家庭、安全和照顾儿童的影响。确定的部分价值公用事业可用于支持波兰的多标准决策。
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引用次数: 3
Flood-prone area mapping using GIS-based analytical hierarchy frameworks for Ibadan city, Nigeria 尼日利亚伊巴丹市基于GIS的分析层次框架的洪水易发地区制图
IF 2 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-06-09 DOI: 10.1002/mcda.1759
Fidelis Odedishemi Ajibade, Temitope Fausat Ajibade, Temitope Ezekiel Idowu, Nathaniel Azubuike Nwogwu, Bashir Adelodun, Kayode Hassan Lasisi, Omobolaji Taofeek Opafola, Oluwaseyi Aderemi Ajala, Olaolu George Fadugba, James Rotimi Adewumi

Flood is one of the highly pronounced ruinous naturally occurring environmental hazards in which human lives and properties are gravely endangered. This study assessed areas prone to flood in Ibadan City, Nigeria. The study applied two multi-criteria analysis approach—Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) with the aid of GIS. Ten geomorphological physical characteristics agreed upon by experts as the major factors influencing the susceptibility of an area to floods formed the criteria maps used in this study. The natural breaks and geometrical interval clustering techniques were utilised to group the final flood-prone area maps into five categories—very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. The result indicated that over 50% of the study area either have low or moderate susceptibility to flooding. The clustering techniques showed some slight differences in the flood classifications where natural breaks consistently grouped more areas into the “very high” category and relatively fewer areas to “very low” category in comparison to the geometrical interval technique. Overall, at least 451 km2 (about 15% of Ibadan) is highly or very highly prone to floods, and these areas are mainly concentrated in the urban and semi-urban regions of the study area. The findings and maps developed in this study would adequately serve as a planning guide for the policymakers on urban development and flood risk management to achieve sustainable development and management.

洪水是一种严重危害人类生命财产安全的、具有高度破坏性的自然环境灾害。这项研究评估了尼日利亚伊巴丹市容易发生洪水的地区。在GIS的辅助下,采用了层次分析法(AHP)和模糊层次分析法(FAHP)两种多准则分析方法。专家们一致认为影响一个地区洪水易感性的主要因素是十个地貌物理特征,形成了本研究中使用的标准图。利用自然断裂和几何间隔聚类技术,将最终的洪水易发区地图分为五类:极低、低、中、高和极高。结果表明,50%以上的研究区具有低易感性和中等易感性。与几何间隔技术相比,聚类技术在洪水分类上显示出一些细微的差异,其中自然断裂始终将更多的地区归为“非常高”类别,而将相对较少的地区归为“非常低”类别。总体而言,至少451平方公里(约占伊巴丹的15%)是高度或非常容易发生洪水的地区,这些地区主要集中在研究区的城市和半城市地区。本研究的结果和地图将充分为城市发展和洪水风险管理的决策者提供规划指南,以实现可持续发展和管理。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
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