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Bioprospecting, drug choices and conservation of biological diversity under free trade 自由贸易下的生物勘探、药物选择和生物多样性保护
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00411-6
Rafat Alam, Nguyen Van Quyen

Using a two-period general equilibrium model with an open economy, this paper shows under which conditions bioprospecting might work for the conservation of biodiversity and under which conditions it might fail. The paper emphasizes the importance of a systematic search process using prior information on the plant species and the health characteristics for successful bioprospecting. The paper reinforces the usual factors that affect land conservation through bioprospecting. Lower costs of the bio-prospecting process or manufacturing of drugs; large royalty payments and a low discount rate in the South will lead to conservation through bioprospecting. Strategic pricing in the model provides some novel findings. A large number of bio-prospected drugs; and the invention of drugs that cure high occurrence or high disutility diseases—lead to conservation through bioprospecting. On the other hand, free trade impacts can increase the alternative use value of conserved land and lead to land conversion. Long delays in successful bioprospecting; the strategic nature of the market and general equilibrium impacts ruling out a larger set of bio-prospected drugs; and drug companies’ ignorance of many southern-specific diseases for low earning potentials—may also result in failure of the bioprospecting process. The paper concludes that bioprospecting is a weak tool for biodiversity conservation in the South and other biodiversity conservation tools have to be used to reinforce the benefit generated by bioprospecting.

本文利用一个开放经济的两期一般均衡模型,说明了在哪些条件下生物勘探可能有助于保护生物多样性,在哪些条件下可能会失败。本文强调了利用有关植物物种和健康特征的先验信息进行系统搜索过程对于生物勘探成功的重要性。论文强化了通过生物勘探影响土地保护的通常因素。生物勘探过程或药物制造的成本较低;大量的特许权使用费和南方的低贴现率将导致通过生物勘探进行保护。模型中的战略定价提供了一些新发现。大量的生物勘探药物;以及治疗高发病率或高效用疾病的药物的发明,都会导致通过生物勘探进行保护。另一方面,自由贸易的影响会增加受保护土地的替代使用价值,导致土地转换。成功进行生物勘探的长期拖延;市场的战略性质和一般均衡影响排除了更多的生物勘探药物;以及制药公司对许多南方特有的低盈利潜力疾病的无知,也可能导致生物勘探进程的失败。本文的结论是,生物勘探是保护南方生物多样性的一个薄弱工具,必须利用其他生物多样性保护工具来加强生物勘探产生的效益。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the impact of energy R&D on green growth in OECD countries: a CS-ARDL analysis 评估能源研发对经合组织国家绿色增长的影响:CS-ARDL 分析
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00413-4
Ashraf Galal Eid, Zouhair Mrabet, Mouyad Alsamara

Since the introduction of the OECD innovation and green growth strategies in 2007 and 2011, respectively, the OECD countries have been actively engaged in supporting green energy R&D to accelerate the development of clean energy technologies. Specifically, the OECD recognizes that both renewable energy R&D and energy efficiency R&D are key components of a low-carbon and sustainable energy system. This study aims to assess the impact of disaggregated energy R&D on green growth in 21 high-income OECD countries, from 1990 to 2021. Two key green growth indicators, namely energy productivity and CO2 productivity, are used as response variables. The long-run CS-ARDL model results show that renewable energy R&D and fossil fuel R&D have a positive and significant impact on energy productivity in all model specifications, with renewable energy R&D exhibiting a relatively stronger impact compared to fossil fuel R&D. The long-run effects of the disaggregated energy R&D variables on CO2 productivity align with the results of the energy productivity model. Based on the study's findings, policymakers should consider reallocating the energy R&D budget towards renewable energy R&D, fostering international collaboration between OECD countries in renewable energy R&D, and implementing technology-specific policies to encourage investment in renewable energy technologies.

自 2007 年和 2011 年经合组织分别推出创新战略和绿色增长战略以来,经合组织国家一直积极支持绿色能源研发,以加快清洁能源技术的发展。具体而言,经合组织认识到,可再生能源研发和能效研发都是低碳和可持续能源系统的关键组成部分。本研究旨在评估从 1990 年到 2021 年,分类能源研发对 21 个高收入经合组织国家绿色增长的影响。两个关键的绿色增长指标,即能源生产率和二氧化碳生产率,被用作响应变量。CS-ARDL 模型的长期结果显示,在所有模型规格中,可再生能源研发和化石燃料研发对能源生产率都有积极而显著的影响,与化石燃料研发相比,可再生能源研发的影响相对更大。分类能源 R&D 变量对二氧化碳生产率的长期影响与能源生产率模型的结果一致。根据研究结果,政策制定者应考虑将能源研发预算重新分配给可再生能源研发,促进经合组织国家在可再生能源研发方面的国际合作,并实施针对具体技术的政策以鼓励对可再生能源技术的投资。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal environmental policy for NPS pollution under random welfare 随机福利下的核动力源污染最优环境政策
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00412-5
Akio Matsumoto, Ferenc Szidarovszky

This paper investigates the optimal environmental policy for non-point source pollution in a Cournot duopoly competition with product differentiation. Under linear price and cost functions, the optimal environmental policy is determined. In the case of non-point source pollutants, the standard policies cannot be applied since the government has limited information about the individual emissions; only the total size of the pollution is known. The firms want to earn as high as possible profits by selecting most appropriate output levels and abatement technologies. The government wants to maximize the social welfare by the selection of the uniform tax rate. The optimal decisions are determined in a two-stage process. In the second stage, the firms determine their outputs, taking the technologies and the tax rate as given. In the first stage, the firms select abatement technologies with a given tax rate, and the government selects the optimal tax rate with the given choices of the firms. Under asymmetric information, the government constructs the welfare function with uncertainty on the firms’ outputs and determines the optimal tax rate by maximizing the welfare expectation and minimizing the welfare variance. Since the best reply of the government has a complicated form, the Nash equilibrium is numerically and graphically determined. It is shown that ambient charge tax charge effectively controls the total concentration of NPS pollution.

本文研究了在产品差异化的库诺双头垄断竞争中,非点源污染的最优环境政策。在线性价格和成本函数条件下,确定了最优环境政策。在非点源污染物的情况下,标准政策无法适用,因为政府对单个污染物排放的信息有限,只知道污染的总规模。企业希望通过选择最合适的产出水平和减排技术来获得尽可能高的利润。政府希望通过选择统一税率实现社会福利最大化。最优决策的确定分为两个阶段。在第二阶段,企业根据给定的技术和税率确定其产出。在第一阶段,企业根据给定的税率选择减排技术,政府根据企业的给定选择最优税率。在信息不对称的情况下,政府在企业产出不确定的情况下构建福利函数,并通过福利期望最大化和福利方差最小化来确定最优税率。由于政府的最佳回复形式复杂,纳什均衡是通过数值和图形确定的。结果表明,环境收费税有效地控制了核动力源污染的总浓度。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the elicitation of perceived status quo information as a tool to increase survey engagement and enhance accuracy of preference estimates in discrete choice experiments 评估在离散选择实验中激发感知现状信息作为提高调查参与度和提高偏好估计准确性的工具的作用
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00409-0
Marios Zachariou, Diane Burgess, Catherine Glass, Graham Finney

Recent advancements in choice modelling practice include the embedding of individual heterogeneity in the modelling procedure by matching subjective perceptions about the status quo with experimentally designed choice cards. Beyond potentially mitigating bias in welfare estimations, we argue that the process of eliciting status quo information increases the engagement of respondents with the survey, rendering them more prepared to receive context-specific information and conduct hypothetical trade-offs. Moreover, it enables the researcher to utilise the perceived status quo information to provide choice sets that are specific to each respondent. To assess the gains of the practice, we ran a choice experiment survey with two separate samples that followed distinct preference elicitation procedures, the main difference being whether respondents were asked or not to state their perceived status quo prior to or following the choice task. By conducting independent hypothesis testing for each sample, we found that respondents who were asked to state their perceptions prior to the choice task made likely better use of the provided information while their decision-making was less likely to be governed by an anti-status quo effect. On the other hand, respondents who did not state their perceptions prior to the choice task made inconsistent choices, particularly by opting for scenarios inferior to their perceived status quo.

选择建模实践的最新进展包括,通过将对现状的主观认知与实验设计的选择卡相匹配,将个体异质性嵌入建模程序。除了有可能减轻福利估算的偏差外,我们还认为,获取现状信息的过程能提高受访者对调查的参与度,使他们更愿意接受特定背景信息并进行假设性权衡。此外,它还使研究人员能够利用感知到的现状信息,为每个受访者提供特定的选择集。为了评估这种做法的收益,我们对两个不同的样本进行了选择实验调查,这两个样本遵循不同的偏好激发程序,主要区别在于是否要求受访者在选择任务之前或之后说明他们的感知现状。通过对每个样本进行独立的假设检验,我们发现,在选择任务之前被要求说明其看法的受访者可能会更好地利用所提供的信息,同时他们的决策不太可能受到反现状效应的影响。另一方面,没有在选择任务前说明自己看法的受访者则做出了不一致的选择,尤其是选择了不如他们所认为的现状的方案。
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引用次数: 0
Quantile connectedness in renewable energy companies and related commodities during Covid-19 outbreak 可再生能源公司和相关商品在 Covid-19 爆发期间的量化关联度
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00410-7
Bikramaditya Ghosh, Hayfa Kazouz, Ioannis Kostakis, Dimitrios Papadas

IMF indicated soaring metal prices, as cleantech firms are witnessing a meteoric rise in demand, and even dirty energy firms are changing their stance towards clean energy. Shock transmission (both positive and negative) is plausible as the world is chasing a net-zero emissions scenario. Therefore, we have investigated the top nine renewable energy companies globally with related metals (Nickel, Copper, Cobalt) from 3rd January 2017 to 3rd January 2022. This period also involves pre-Covid, Covid 1st Wave, Delta and Omicron. Our approach was QVAR, as suggested recently by Gabauer (J Multinatl Financ Manag 60:100680, 2021), which is a logical extension of the initial connectedness approach proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (Int J Forecast 28(1): 57–66, 2012; J Econometr 182(1):119–134, 2014). We found several outcomes. Shock transmission is happening from both cleantech and dirty energy firms to metals. Connectedness (shock transmission) is increasing in tails. Moreover, connectedness in the lower upper quantiles is asymmetric, with clean energy companies tending to transmit positive shocks to metals. Therefore, mean-based connectedness could be ruled out. Metals such as Nickel, Cobalt, and Copper emerged as the net receivers of shocks. The firms with higher market capitalization producing clean energy emerged as significant net transmitters of shocks (Enphase, Orsted and VWS). The total Connectedness Indices (TCIs) are heterogeneous over time. TCI sharply increased immediately after Covid-19 fallout and remained at a relatively higher zone than pre-Covid levels. Wind energy firms (SSE and Orsted) emerged as the net transmitter among all pairwise directional connectedness; furthermost wind energy firms (SSE, ED and EDP) emerged as the moderate net receiver of shocks. This research provides many inputs towards the wind energy sector for researchers, practitioners and policymakers.

国际货币基金组织指出,由于清洁技术公司的需求急剧上升,甚至肮脏的能源公司也在改变对清洁能源的立场,金属价格飙升。由于全球都在追求净零排放,因此冲击传播(正面和负面)都是有可能发生的。因此,我们对 2017 年 1 月 3 日至 2022 年 1 月 3 日期间全球前九大可再生能源公司及相关金属(镍、铜、钴)进行了调查。这一时期还包括前 Covid、Covid 第一波、Delta 和 Omicron。我们的方法是 QVAR,正如 Gabauer(J Multinatl Financ Manag 60:100680, 2021)最近所建议的,它是 Diebold 和 Yilmaz(Int J Forecast 28(1):57-66, 2012; J Econometr 182(1):119-134, 2014)。我们发现了几个结果。冲击正在从清洁技术公司和肮脏能源公司向金属公司传递。连通性(冲击传递)在尾部不断增加。此外,上下限的连通性是不对称的,清洁能源公司倾向于向金属传递正向冲击。因此,可以排除基于均值的关联性。镍、钴和铜等金属成为冲击的净接收者。市值较高的清洁能源公司(Enphase、Orsted 和 VWS)成为冲击的重要净传播者。总连通性指数(TCIs)随时间而变化。在 Covid-19 事件发生后,TCI 立即急剧上升,并保持在比 Covid 前水平相对较高的区域。风能企业(SSE 和 Orsted)在所有成对定向联系中成为净发送者;最多的风能企业(SSE、ED 和 EDP)成为冲击的中等净接收者。这项研究为风能行业的研究人员、从业人员和政策制定者提供了许多信息。
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引用次数: 0
Do different visual presentation formats encourage different choice behaviors? discrete choice experiment on urban park landscapes 不同的视觉展示形式会鼓励不同的选择行为吗? 城市公园景观离散选择实验
IF 2.3 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00405-4
Kei Kabaya, Kayo Tajima, Daisuke Ichinose, Michiko Asano
{"title":"Do different visual presentation formats encourage different choice behaviors? discrete choice experiment on urban park landscapes","authors":"Kei Kabaya, Kayo Tajima, Daisuke Ichinose, Michiko Asano","doi":"10.1007/s10018-024-00405-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-024-00405-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46150,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Economics and Policy Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141797170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the credibility of threats to avoid the deployment of solar geoengineering 关于避免部署太阳地球工程的威胁的可信度
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00407-2
Michael Finus, Francesco Furini

We analyze how geoengineering in the form of solar radiation management (SRM), associated with the potential of high collateral damages, affects the governance architecture of climate agreements. We investigate under which conditions signatories to a climate agreement can avoid the deployment of SRM and implement a climate agreement on mitigation. We show that a climate agreement with all countries can be stable with the threat to deploy SRM in case a country free-rides. The threat is deterrent if collateral damages are perceived to be sufficiently high (lower threshold), but only credible if those damages are not too high (upper threshold). SRM deployment is the only threat available to signatories if they choose mitigation levels simultaneously with non-signatories (Nash–Cournot scenario). However, if signatories choose mitigation levels before non-signatories (Stackelberg scenario), an additional punishment option arises. Then if collateral damages are sufficiently large, signatories can reduce their mitigation levels and impose a heavier burden on non-signatories that would find it profitable to avoid the deployment of SRM. We show that our results are robust in two analytical frameworks frequently employed in the game-theoretic analysis of international environmental agreements.

我们分析了太阳辐射管理(SRM)形式的地球工程与潜在的高附带损害相关联,如何影响气候协议的治理结构。我们研究了在哪些条件下,气候协议的签署国可以避免部署太阳辐射管理,并实施气候减缓协议。我们的研究表明,与所有国家达成的气候协议可以保持稳定,但如果有国家 "搭便车",则威胁部署限制性制冷机制。如果认为附带损害足够高(下限),这种威胁就具有威慑力,但只有当这些损害不太高(上限)时,这种威胁才具有可信度。如果签署国与非签署国同时选择减排水平(纳什-库诺情景),那么部署可持续减排机制是签署国唯一可以利用的威胁。但是,如果签署国先于非签署国选择减排水平(斯塔克尔伯格方案),则会出现额外的惩罚选项。如果附带损害足够大,签署国就可以降低其减排水平,并对非签署国施加更重的负担,因为非签署国会发现避免部署 SRM 是有利可图的。我们表明,我们的结果在国际环境协议博弈论分析中经常使用的两个分析框架中都是可靠的。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of a carbon tax on financial performance and innovation performance: an empirical study of the automotive industry 碳税对财务绩效和创新绩效的影响:对汽车行业的实证研究
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00408-1
Fahimeh R. Chomachaei, Davood Golmohammadi

The pressing need to address climate change has resulted in the implementation of environmental regulations, such as carbon taxes, aimed at reducing carbon emissions. However, the impact of these regulations on firm performance, particularly within the U.S. automotive industry, remains inadequately understood. This research empirically examines the potential effects of the carbon tax policy on both financial performance and innovation, with a specific focus on assessing the validity of Porter’s hypothesis. Utilizing firm-level panel data from U.S. automotive companies spanning the years 2000 to 2019, the analysis reveals a crowding-out effect of the carbon tax on both financial and innovation performance in the U.S. automotive industry.

应对气候变化的迫切需要导致了旨在减少碳排放的碳税等环境法规的实施。然而,人们对这些法规对企业绩效的影响,尤其是对美国汽车行业的影响,仍然缺乏足够的了解。本研究通过实证研究碳税政策对财务业绩和创新的潜在影响,重点评估波特假设的有效性。利用 2000 年至 2019 年美国汽车公司的公司级面板数据,分析揭示了碳税对美国汽车行业财务和创新绩效的挤出效应。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporating passive use values in collision mitigation benefit-cost calculations: an application to deer and turtles in Minnesota 将被动使用价值纳入碰撞缓解效益成本计算:在明尼苏达州鹿和海龟中的应用
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00406-3
Chris Neher, Alec Patterson, John Duffield

Passive use economic values for wildlife are a missing component in benefit-cost analyses informing decisions on the mitigation of wildlife-vehicle collisions through construction of wildlife crossing structures. The study describes a pilot mail survey of willingness to pay by Minnesota households for exclusionary fencing and passage structures to reduce vehicle/animal collisions in the state to protect deer and turtles. The discrete choice experiment study found strong support for fencing and passage structures, and statistically significant willingness to pay increased taxes to support their construction. A significant share of respondents had previously heard of collision avoidance structures as described in the survey (69%). A very large majority of respondents were supportive of the use of these types of structures to reduce animal/vehicle collisions (56% strongly favored and 28% favored). A large motivating factor in support for funding collision avoidance structures was concern for animal welfare.

在通过建造野生动物通道结构来减少野生动物与车辆碰撞的决策中,野生动物的被动使用经济价值是效益成本分析中缺失的一部分。该研究描述了一项试点邮件调查,调查明尼苏达州家庭是否愿意为排他性围栏和通道结构付费,以减少该州车辆与动物的碰撞,保护鹿和海龟。离散选择实验研究发现,受访者对围栏和通道结构表示强烈支持,并愿意为支持围栏和通道结构的建设支付更多税费,这在统计学上具有显著意义。相当一部分受访者以前听说过调查中描述的防撞结构(69%)。绝大多数受访者支持使用这些类型的结构来减少动物/车辆碰撞(56% 强烈支持,28% 支持)。支持资助防撞结构的一个主要动机是对动物福利的关注。
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引用次数: 0
Fossil and renewable energy, conflict, economic growth, and military expenditure: the case of algeria 化石和可再生能源、冲突、经济增长和军费开支:阿尔及利亚案例
IF 1.7 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-26 DOI: 10.1007/s10018-024-00403-6
Hassen Mohamed, Youcef Meriane

Fossil fuels and their transportation networks have become significant concerns for countries, local communities, and international companies in recent decades. This study aims to examine the influence of renewable energy (RE) infrastructure on conflicts and terrorist activities and to explore the varying degrees of threat posed by conflicts and terrorist attacks. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model is employed to analyze the long-term relationship among the variables between 1989 and 2016. Granger’s causality test reveals bidirectional causalities between the variables in the long run. However, in the short term, the test indicates unidirectional causalities as follows: fossil energy and economic growth impacting terrorism, RE impacting economic growth, and military expenditure influencing both economic growth and RE. In the long run, the use of fossil energy increases the risk of terrorist acts, while the consumption of RE contributes to economic growth. Notably, this study demonstrates that, contrary to long-term expectations, economic growth has actually reduced terrorism in Algeria. Consequently, Algeria has made significant investments in both the military and RE sectors to mitigate conflicts and terrorist attacks, thereby fostering economic growth.

近几十年来,化石燃料及其运输网络已成为各国、当地社区和国际公司关注的重要问题。本研究旨在考察可再生能源(RE)基础设施对冲突和恐怖活动的影响,并探讨冲突和恐怖袭击所造成的不同程度的威胁。本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型来分析 1989 年至 2016 年间各变量之间的长期关系。格兰杰因果检验揭示了变量之间长期的双向因果关系。然而,在短期内,检验结果显示单向因果关系如下:化石能源和经济增长影响恐怖主义,可再生能源影响经济增长,军费开支同时影响经济增长和可再生能源。从长期来看,化石能源的使用会增加恐怖主义行为的风险,而可再生能源的消费则会促进经济增长。值得注意的是,本研究表明,与长期预期相反,经济增长实际上减少了阿尔及利亚的恐怖主义。因此,阿尔及利亚在军事和可再生能源领域都进行了大量投资,以缓解冲突和恐怖袭击,从而促进经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Economics and Policy Studies
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