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After Modigliani, Miller, and Hamada: A new way to estimate cost of capital 继Modigliani, Miller和Hamada之后:一种估算资本成本的新方法
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2019-08-07 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12109
Roland Clère

In this article, we discuss the impact of financial debt on shareholder value using a new approach that aims: (a) to explain the effect that leverage from debt has on a stock’s systematic risk, or what we shall call here “the systematic cost of leverage,” and (b) to account for default risk in the cost of equity, or what we shall call here “the cost of default.” Our assessment of systematic risk is based on a stochastic approach that is materially different from the one proposed by Hamada: the risk premium remunerates the investor for the probability of equity (expressed as market value) generating a return below that of the risk-free rate. Furthermore, the approach we use to account for default risk is derived from reduced-form models, but in this case, (a) we use real probabilities of default and not risk-neutral probabilities, and (b) we extend the approach to stocks.

在本文中,我们将使用一种新的方法来讨论金融债务对股东价值的影响,该方法旨在:(a)解释债务杠杆对股票系统风险的影响,或者我们将其称为“杠杆的系统成本”,以及(b)在权益成本中考虑违约风险,或者我们将其称为“违约成本”。我们对系统性风险的评估基于一种随机方法,与滨田提出的方法有本质上的不同:风险溢价根据股权(以市值表示)产生低于无风险利率的回报的可能性向投资者支付报酬。此外,我们用来解释违约风险的方法来自简化形式模型,但在这种情况下,(a)我们使用真实的违约概率,而不是风险中性概率,(b)我们将方法扩展到股票。
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引用次数: 6
Controlling risks to ensure financial stability and reducing volatility 控制风险,确保金融稳定,减少波动
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2019-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12107
Giampaolo Gabbi, Richard Levich

The 11th International Risk Management Conference was held at the University of Paris-Dauphine and the EM LYON Business School (Paris Campus) in June 2018. The conference theme “1968–2018: From Z-Score to Contemporary Risk Management, 50 Years of Risk Measurement and Management” was selected as a means to showcase the many ways that financial risk measurement has evolved and impacted financial risk management in banks and corporations as well as the tools used by asset managers and market regulators. The four papers included in this special issue of the Journal of International Financial Management and Accounting focus on a wide range of issues: How small differences in credit ratings effect the speed of adjustment in corporate leverage, the impact of using soft variables to assess default probabilities in European corporations, a new approach to measuring a company's intrinsic risk, and the effectiveness of short sale circuit breaker rules to limit stock price volatility. Our Foreword highlights the main findings of these papers and offers our assessment of the lessons they provide for financial managers and policymakers.

第十一届国际风险管理会议于2018年6月在巴黎多芬大学和里昂商学院(巴黎校区)举行。本次会议的主题是“1968-2018:从Z-Score到当代风险管理,风险测量和管理的50年”,旨在展示金融风险测量的发展和影响银行和企业金融风险管理的多种方式,以及资产管理公司和市场监管机构使用的工具。本期《国际财务管理与会计杂志》特刊收录的四篇论文聚焦于一系列广泛的问题:信用评级的微小差异如何影响企业杠杆调整的速度,使用软变量评估欧洲企业违约概率的影响,衡量公司内在风险的新方法,以及限制股价波动的卖空熔断规则的有效性。我们的前言强调了这些论文的主要发现,并提供了我们对它们为金融管理者和政策制定者提供的经验教训的评估。
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引用次数: 5
Rating and capital structure: How do the signs affect the speed of adjustment? 评级和资本结构:这些迹象如何影响调整速度?
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12106
Reyes Samaniego-Medina, Filippo di Pietro

Standard and Poor's ratings can be modified by the addition of a plus (+) or minus (−) sign to show the relative standing within each major rating category. In this paper, we analyze the influence of these signs on the speed of leverage adjustment for listed European companies in the 2004–2014 period. Our results indicate that (a) when a qualification is accompanied by a minus sign, it adjusts more slowly than qualifications either with a plus sign or without a sign; (b) when a rating has a plus sign, the adjustment is slower than when it has no sign; and (c) when a qualification is BBB-, the speed of its leverage adjustment is close to zero. These results suggest that companies with signs in their ratings decrease their speed of adjustment to the target leverage ratio. In addition, such companies are especially concerned about a credit rating downgrade when it implies a possible loss of the degree of investment (BBB-).

标准普尔的评级可以通过添加加号(+)或减号(-)来修改,以显示在每个主要评级类别中的相对地位。本文分析了这些指标对2004-2014年欧洲上市公司杠杆调整速度的影响。我们的研究结果表明:(a)当限定条件伴有减号时,它的调整速度比带加号或不带加号的限定条件慢;(b)当评级有加号时,调整速度比没有加号时慢;(c)资质为BBB-时,其杠杆调整速度接近于零。这些结果表明,评级中有标志的公司对目标杠杆率的调整速度减慢。此外,这些公司尤其担心信用等级下调意味着可能损失投资程度(BBB-)。
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引用次数: 7
The pricing accuracy of alternative equity valuation models: Scandinavian evidence 另类股权估值模型的定价准确性:斯堪的纳维亚证据
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2019-05-18 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12097
Sebastian Anesten, Niclas Möller, Kenth Skogsvik, Stina Skogsvik

In many decision contexts, there is a need for benchmark equity valuations, based on simplified modeling and publicly available information. Prior research on U.S. data however shows that the accuracy of such valuation models can be low and sensitive to the choice of model specifications and value driver predictions. In this paper, we test the applicability and pricing accuracy of three fundamental valuation (dividend discount, residual income, and abnormal earnings growth) models, all based on forecasts of company dividends, earnings, and/or equity book values. Extending prior research, we apply these models to Scandinavian firms with accounting data from the period 2005–2014, explicitly testing two approaches for the prediction of the value drivers—exogenously forecasted numbers versus projected historical numbers. Given access to the forecasted value drivers, the dividend discount model comes out as the most accurate valuation model. In particular, this holds in a comparison between the most parsimonious model specifications. The residual income valuation model generates the best pricing accuracy given the prediction of value drivers based on historical financial numbers. Notably, we observe pricing errors that in general are lower than what has been reported in prior U.S.-based research for the dividend discount and the residual income valuation models. The pricing accuracy of the abnormal earnings growth models is surprisingly weak in the Scandinavian setting. However, these models improve somewhat after a couple of complexity adjustments, in particular with value driver predictions based on the projected history setting.

在许多决策环境中,需要基于简化的建模和公开信息进行基准股票估值。然而,先前对美国数据的研究表明,这种估值模型的准确性可能很低,并且对模型规范和价值驱动因素预测的选择很敏感。在本文中,我们测试了三种基本估值(股息贴现、剩余收入和异常收益增长)模型的适用性和定价准确性,所有这些模型都基于对公司股息、收益和/或权益账面价值的预测。扩展先前的研究,我们将这些模型应用于具有2005-2014年会计数据的斯堪的纳维亚公司,明确测试了两种预测价值驱动因素的方法——外生预测数字与预测历史数字。考虑到预测的价值驱动因素,股息贴现模型是最准确的估值模型。特别是,这适用于最简约的模型规范之间的比较。在基于历史财务数据预测价值驱动因素的情况下,剩余收入估值模型产生最佳定价准确性。值得注意的是,我们观察到的定价误差通常低于之前在美国进行的股息折扣和剩余收入估值模型研究中报告的定价误差。在斯堪的纳维亚环境中,异常收益增长模型的定价准确性出奇地弱。然而,这些模型在经过几次复杂性调整后有所改善,特别是在基于预测历史设置的价值驱动因素预测方面。
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引用次数: 7
Antecedents of the international association for accounting education and research (1966–1983): A review of early initiatives to develop an international academic accounting association 国际会计教育与研究协会的前身(1966-1983):对建立国际学术会计协会的早期倡议的回顾
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2019-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12096
Frank Clarke, Graeme Dean, Martin Persson

Interest in this topic followed examination of new data discussing several antecedent proposals for establishing an international academic accounting association in the period 1966–1983, culminating in the 1984 formation of the International Association for Accounting Education and Research (IAAER). Relevant correspondence between several academics is now publicly available in the R.J. Chambers Archive at the University of Sydney. This enables justified statements to be made about the pre-1984 antecedents of the IAAER, thereby filling a vacuum in our understanding of the history of the organization. We initially discuss Ray Chambers’ and others’ desire for, and attempts to promote an international approach to accounting research and practice. Chambers unsuccessfully attempted to organize an international think-tank, beginning in the mid-1960s with something like the International Economic Association of that time. He persisted, through participation in the Accounting Researchers International Association, an elite accounting society. Eventually, those proposals were discarded as he and others like Adolf Enthoven and David Solomons proposed an international confederation of accounting educators and researchers in 1977 and 1978. Efforts of other leading accounting academics of that time, in particular Norlin Rueschhoff and Seigo Nakajima, are also shown to have influenced the eventual formation of the simplified 1984 IAAER body with, initially, its individual-based membership and objectives. Later, IAAER would become much more like the international confederation of accounting educators and researchers that Chambers had proposed in the 1997 Berlin International Conference on Accounting Education.

对这一主题的兴趣源于对新数据的研究,讨论了1966年至1983年期间建立国际学术会计协会的几个先前建议,最终在1984年成立了国际会计教育与研究协会(IAAER)。几位学者之间的相关通信现在在悉尼大学的R.J.钱伯斯档案中公开。这使我们能够对1984年以前的国际原子能机构的前身作出合理的陈述,从而填补了我们对该组织历史的理解空白。我们首先讨论了钱伯斯和其他人的愿望,并试图促进会计研究和实践的国际方法。钱伯斯试图组织一个国际智库,但没有成功,他从20世纪60年代中期开始组织一个类似当时国际经济协会的组织。他坚持不懈,通过参加会计精英协会——国际会计研究人员协会。最终,他和阿道夫·恩托芬(Adolf Enthoven)、大卫·所罗门(David Solomons)等人在1977年和1978年提议成立一个国际会计教育者和研究人员联盟,这些提议被抛弃了。当时其他主要会计学者的努力,特别是Norlin Rueschhoff和Seigo Nakajima,也被证明影响了1984年简化的IAAER机构的最终形成,最初,它的成员和目标都是基于个人的。后来,IAAER变得更像钱伯斯在1997年柏林国际会计教育会议上提出的会计教育者和研究人员的国际联盟。
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引用次数: 3
Audit firm tenure and audit quality: A cross-European study 审计事务所任期与审计质量:跨欧洲研究
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12098
Josep Garcia-Blandon, Josep Maria Argilés-Bosch, Diego Ravenda

Directive 2014/56/EU and Regulation (EU) No. 537/2014, which came into effect in June 2016, introduced the mandatory rotation of audit firms after a maximum period of 10 years with the same client. We conduct a cross-European study with the aim of assessing whether long audit firm tenures are associated with lower levels of audit quality. The sample for the study is based on the constituents of the Standard & Poor's Europe 350 index for the years between 2009 and 2016, and we utilize three different sets of proxies for audit quality: discretionary accruals, differences between reported earnings and earnings benchmarks, and accounting restatements. The main result of the study finds that companies with more than 10 years of tenure with their auditors do not have a lower audit quality than other firms. In fact, this study provides some evidence of a higher audit quality for these firms. The results are robust to various checks. Therefore, if there does not seem to be a problem of a lack of audit quality associated with long audit firm tenures, the necessity of establishing a maximum tenure, as the new European regulation does, may be questioned.

第2014/56/EU号指令和第537/2014号法规(欧盟)于2016年6月生效,引入了审计事务所在同一客户任职最长10年后的强制性轮换。我们进行了一项跨欧洲研究,目的是评估审计事务所的长期任期是否与较低的审计质量水平有关。用于研究的样品基于标准&;2009年至2016年的Poor's Europe 350指数,我们使用了三组不同的审计质量指标:可自由支配应计项目、报告收益和收益基准之间的差异以及会计重述。研究的主要结果发现,拥有10年以上审计师任期的公司的审计质量并不比其他公司低。事实上,这项研究为这些公司提供了更高审计质量的一些证据。结果对各种检查都是稳健的。因此,如果审计事务所的长期任期似乎不存在审计质量不足的问题,那么像欧洲新法规那样制定最长任期的必要性可能会受到质疑。
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引用次数: 36
What matters in disclosures of key audit matters: Evidence from Europe 关键审计事项披露的重要事项:来自欧洲的证据
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2018-12-23 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12095
Inês Pinto, Ana Isabel Morais

New regulation in the European Union has introduced the mandatory disclosure of key audit matters (KAMs) to audit reports. The EU has identified KAMs as significant risks, significant transactions or events, or significant judgments by auditors. This paper aims to determine the factors that influence the number of KAMs that auditors disclose in the main European countries under the new regulation. We predict that the litigation risk, reputation loss, auditor–client relationship, precision of accounting standards, and the effect of regulators and supervisors’ activities affect the number of KAMs that auditors disclose. The sample consists of firms on the FTSE 100, CAC 40, or AEX 25 that have disclosed KAMs at the 2016 fiscal year-end. In line with our hypotheses, the findings show that a higher number of business segments (complexity) and more precise accounting standards lead to the disclosure of a higher number of KAMs. Contrary to our expectations, the results indicate that a positive association exists between the audit fee and the number of KAMs disclosed. As audit fees can be related to higher client risk, this finding could indicate that litigation risk dominates any auditor–client dependence. Further, although auditors often view their audits of banks as complex, the findings show a negative association between banks and the number of disclosed KAMs. This evidence may be related to the fact that financial institutions are in a highly regulated and supervised industry that reduces the need to disclose the KAMs.

欧盟的新法规引入了对审计报告披露关键审计事项(KAMs)的强制性规定。欧盟已将资产管理认定为重大风险、重大交易或事项或审计人员的重大判断。本文旨在确定在新法规下影响欧洲主要国家审计师披露kamm数量的因素。我们预测,诉讼风险、声誉损失、审计师与客户的关系、会计准则的准确性以及监管机构和监管机构活动的影响会影响审计师披露的资产负债表数量。样本由富时100指数、CAC 40指数或AEX 25指数成分股公司组成,这些公司在2016财年年底披露了资产管理规模。与我们的假设一致,研究结果表明,更高数量的业务部门(复杂性)和更精确的会计准则导致更高数量的资产管理信息披露。与我们的预期相反,结果表明审计费用与披露的kam数量之间存在正相关关系。由于审计费用可能与较高的客户风险相关,这一发现可能表明诉讼风险主导了任何审计师-客户依赖。此外,尽管审计师通常认为他们对银行的审计很复杂,但研究结果显示,银行与披露的资产管理机构数量之间存在负相关关系。这一证据可能与金融机构处于高度监管和监督的行业这一事实有关,这减少了披露kam的必要性。
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引用次数: 78
Macroeconomic effects of aggregate accounting conservatism: A cross-country analysis 总体会计稳健性的宏观经济效应:一个跨国分析
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2018-12-21 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12093
Chuong Do, Sandeep Nabar

This paper examines whether aggregate conditional and unconditional conservatism are associated with economic growth. Prior studies find that conditional conservatism improves contracting efficiency, but that unconditional conservatism has either a neutral or detrimental impact on contracting. We therefore conjecture that country-level conditional conservatism increases the efficiency of resource allocation in an economy, whereas country-level unconditional conservatism is not similarly beneficial. Using a cross-country sample, we construct country-level estimates of conditional and unconditional conservatism. We find that conditional conservatism is associated with higher level of growth in Gross Domestic Product and Gross Domestic Product per Capita. By contrast, unconditional conservatism shows no or negative association. Our study contributes to the ongoing debate on the desirability of accounting conservatism and also extends the literature on the macroeconomic effects of aggregate financial reporting attributes.

本文考察了总条件保守主义和无条件保守主义是否与经济增长有关。已有研究发现,条件保守性提高了契约效率,而无条件保守性对契约的影响是中性的或有害的。因此,我们推测,国家层面的条件保守主义提高了经济中资源配置的效率,而国家层面的无条件保守主义则没有同样的好处。使用跨国样本,我们构建了国家层面的条件和无条件保守性估计。我们发现,条件保守主义与国内生产总值和人均国内生产总值的较高增长水平有关。相比之下,无条件保守主义没有或负相关。我们的研究有助于正在进行的关于会计稳健性的可取性的辩论,也扩展了关于总体财务报告属性的宏观经济影响的文献。
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引用次数: 6
International Financial Reporting Standards adoption and information quality: Evidence from Brazil 采用国际财务报告准则与信息质量:来自巴西的证据
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2018-11-05 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12092
Li Li Eng, Jing Lin, João Neiva De Figueiredo

This paper examines whether the mandatory adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) in Brazil in 2010 has improved the value relevance of accounting information, information content of earnings, financial analyst forecasting activities, and liquidity. We examine the variables in the pre-IFRS mandatory adoption sample period, considered herein as 2008 to 2009, and the post-IFRS adoption period of 2011 to 2012. We provide evidence demonstrating improvement in value relevance of earnings and number of analysts following the firms in the period after IFRS adoption, but we do not find improvements in information content of earnings, accuracy in analyst forecasting, and liquidity in the post-adoption period. Our findings suggest a positive relationship between IFRS adoption and some areas of information quality in Brazil. By focusing on one important economy as it takes significant steps toward full convergence with IFRS, our study contributes to the growing literature concerning the impact of IFRS adoption around the world.

本文考察了2010年巴西强制采用国际财务报告准则(IFRS)是否改善了会计信息的价值相关性、盈余的信息含量、金融分析师预测活动和流动性。我们检查了强制采用国际财务报告准则之前的样本期(本文认为是2008年至2009年)和后国际财务报告准则采用期(2011年至2012年)中的变量。我们提供的证据表明,在采用国际财务报告准则后的期间内,收益的价值相关性和跟踪公司的分析师数量有所改善,但我们没有发现收益的信息内容、分析师预测的准确性和采用后期间的流动性有所改善。我们的研究结果表明,在巴西,采用国际财务报告准则与某些信息质量领域之间存在正相关关系。通过关注一个朝着与国际财务报告准则完全趋同迈出重要步骤的重要经济体,我们的研究为有关全球采用国际财务报告准则的影响的越来越多的文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 26
Financial constraints and synergy gains from mergers and acquisitions 并购带来的财务约束和协同收益
IF 5.1 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2018-11-02 DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12091
Yang Duan, Yong Jin

This paper examines mergers and acquisitions motivated by financial constraints. Synergy gain is measured as the cumulative abnormal return of a value-weighted portfolio of the acquirer and the target around the acquisition announcement. By constructing a financial constraint difference between the target and the acquirer, we find a positive relationship between the financial constraint difference and synergy gains generated from the acquisition. The positive effect of the financial constraint difference is only significant for high growth targets and severely constrained targets. The acquirer's corporate governance also enhances the synergy gains created from the financial constraint difference. Additional evidence shows that both acquirer's and target's shareholders benefit from the financial constraint difference. Our results are robust for different measures of financial constraint.

本文考察了财务约束下的并购行为。协同收益是衡量收购方和目标方在收购公告前后价值加权投资组合的累积异常回报。通过构建目标企业和收购企业之间的财务约束差异,我们发现财务约束差异与并购产生的协同收益之间存在正相关关系。财务约束差异的正向效应仅对高增长目标和严重约束目标显著。收购方的公司治理也增强了财务约束差异带来的协同收益。其他证据表明,收购方股东和目标方股东都受益于财务约束差异。我们的结果对于不同的财务约束措施是稳健的。
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引用次数: 10
期刊
Journal of International Financial Management & Accounting
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