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Rules for the rulemakers: asymmetric information and the political economy of benefit-cost analysis 规则制定者的规则:信息不对称与效益成本分析的政治经济学
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09483-4
David Besanko, Avner A. Kreps, Clair Yang

This paper presents a model of an executive administration that decides whether to mandate benefit-cost analysis (BCA) of newly proposed regulations. A regulator has private information about the social benefit of a new rule but may differ from the executive’s preferences for regulation. BCA, which provides a noisy signal of the rule’s social benefit, is most valuable when the executive is regulation neutral. Extremely regulation-averse administrations may be harmed by BCA unless they can bias it. Our results are consistent with use of BCA by U.S. presidential administrations since Reagan.

本文提出了一个行政管理模型,该模型决定是否强制要求对新提出的法规进行收益-成本分析(BCA)。监管者拥有关于新法规社会效益的私人信息,但可能与行政部门的监管偏好不同。效益成本分析提供了规则的社会效益的噪声信号,在行政部门对监管持中立态度时,效益成本分析最有价值。极度厌恶监管的行政部门可能会受到 BCA 的损害,除非他们能够偏向 BCA。我们的研究结果与里根以来美国总统政府使用 BCA 的情况一致。
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引用次数: 0
Military spouse licensing: a case study of registered nurses near military bases 军人配偶许可:军事基地附近注册护士的案例研究
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09480-7
Shishir Shakya, Alicia Plemmons, Conor Norris

Military families experience frequent moves, which poses significant challenges for career options for military spouses. One of the most common professions for military spouses is a registered nurse, which has state-level licensing requirements that add additional hurdles to continuing employment after a move. A series of reforms in the 2010s for military spouses in licensed professions allows nurses to obtain a license in a state where their service member spouse is stationed, as long as their license from their previous state is current and in good standing. This policy is crucial for military families and can provide job stability for registered nurses. We find suggestive evidence that the full recognition of military spouse licenses increases the probability of employment mobility by around 12%, while more restrictive reforms have the opposite effect. Our finding highlights the importance of policies supporting military personnel’s families and has implications for healthcare workforce planning and recruitment efforts.

军人家庭经常搬家,这给军人配偶的职业选择带来了巨大挑战。军人配偶最常见的职业之一是注册护士,该职业有州一级的执照要求,这为搬迁后继续就业增加了额外的障碍。2010 年代,针对军人配偶从事执照职业的一系列改革允许护士在其军人配偶驻扎的州获得执照,只要他们之前所在州的执照是有效的,并处于良好状态。这项政策对军人家庭至关重要,可以为注册护士提供稳定的工作。我们发现,有提示性证据表明,完全承认军人配偶执照可将就业流动的概率提高约 12%,而限制性更强的改革则会产生相反的效果。我们的发现强调了支持军人家庭政策的重要性,并对医疗保健劳动力规划和招聘工作产生了影响。
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引用次数: 0
Competitive effects of implicit auction on interconnectors: evidence from Japan 互联线路隐性拍卖的竞争效应:来自日本的证据
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09476-3
Kota Sugimoto

Interconnectors play a crucial role in electric power systems. They contribute to balancing demand and supply in real-time, guaranteeing efficient dispatch in wide geographic regions, and increasing competition by creating large markets. However, interconnector capacity is a scarce resource because vertically integrated utilities were required to have generating capacity enough to supply most customers within their operating region under a regulated monopoly. Hence, identifying the efficient allocation method is essential, particularly after recent electricity market restructuring. This study evaluates the competitive effect of the implicit auction on the interconnector transmission capacity. The implicit auction allocates all the interconnector capacity simultaneously with electric energy in the day-ahead market. This method prevents market participants from strategically withholding the physical interconnector capacity ex ante to exercise market power, as allowed under the first come, first served rule. This study empirically shows how the capacity was withheld from the day-ahead market under the first come, first served rule using detailed reservation data. Next, I show that the implicit auction increases interconnector capacity available at the day-ahead market and trade volume. I use machine-learning methods, such as random forest and deep neural networks, to predict the counterfactual market outcomes without implicit auction. I find that the gain from trade under the implicit auction is more than US$55 million per year in Japan, which is more than 100 times the implementation cost of the implicit auction.

互联系统在电力系统中发挥着至关重要的作用。它们有助于实时平衡供需,保证在广泛的地理区域内进行有效调度,并通过创建大型市场来增加竞争。然而,互联容量是一种稀缺资源,因为在受监管的垄断下,纵向一体化的电力公司必须拥有足够的发电能力,为其运营区域内的大多数客户供电。因此,确定有效的分配方法至关重要,尤其是在最近的电力市场重组之后。本研究评估了隐式拍卖对互联输电容量的竞争效应。隐式拍卖在日前市场上将所有互联容量与电能同时分配。这种方法可防止市场参与者在先到先得规则允许的情况下,事先战略性地扣留实际互联容量以行使市场支配力。本研究利用详细的预订数据,以经验为基础展示了在先到先得规则下,如何从日前市场扣留容量。接下来,我证明了隐式拍卖增加了当日市场的互联容量和交易量。我使用随机森林和深度神经网络等机器学习方法来预测没有隐式拍卖的反事实市场结果。我发现,在日本,隐式拍卖下的贸易收益每年超过 5500 万美元,是隐式拍卖实施成本的 100 多倍。
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引用次数: 0
Natural monopoly revisited 重温自然垄断
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09479-0
Oriol Carbonell-Nicolau

We study the conditions under which production processes exhibit a decreasing average cost function in the absence of perfectly competitive input markets and discuss some implications for regulatory policy.

我们研究了在没有完全竞争的投入品市场的情况下,生产过程表现出平均成本函数递减的条件,并讨论了对监管政策的一些影响。
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引用次数: 0
Privacy regulation in asymmetric environments 不对称环境下的隐私监管
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09478-1
Shuaicheng Liu

Around the world, strict privacy regulations are gradually being implemented, with the intended purpose of facilitating consumers to protect their privacy. This paper analyzes the unintended consequences of privacy regulations in the context of asymmetric data advantage. To this end, this paper constructs a model of behavior-based price discrimination, where one firm (such as the incumbent) possesses more data than the other (such as the entrant). The results demonstrate that stricter privacy regulation always benefits the data-advantaged firm. However, it has negative implications for both the data-disadvantaged firm and consumers in most cases. Furthermore, strict regulation leads to weakened competition and intensified mismatching. Therefore, this paper suggests a lenient regulatory policy.

世界各地正在逐步实施严格的隐私法规,其初衷是方便消费者保护自己的隐私。本文分析了数据优势不对称背景下隐私法规的意外后果。为此,本文构建了一个基于行为的价格歧视模型,其中一家公司(如在位者)比另一家公司(如新进入者)拥有更多的数据。结果表明,更严格的隐私监管总是有利于数据优势企业。然而,在大多数情况下,它对数据劣势企业和消费者都有负面影响。此外,严格的监管会削弱竞争,加剧错配。因此,本文建议采取宽松的监管政策。
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引用次数: 0
Cooperation in green R &D and environmental policies: tax or standard 绿色研发和环境政策方面的合作:税收还是标准
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09475-4
Marie-Laure Cabon-Dhersin, Natacha Raffin

In this article, we compare a tax and a standard as environmental tools depending on firms’ R &D strategy and the government’s ability to credibly commit to its policy. We consider a duopoly model where production is polluting and in an effort to mitigate emissions, firms invest in green R &D (in the presence of technological spillovers) either cooperatively or non-cooperatively. We explore two policy games in which the regulator establishes an emission tax or an emission standard either before or after firms engage in R &D. We endogenize both the firms’ R &D strategy and the regulator’s choice of policy instrument. We find that an emission standard is adopted only when firms choose not to cooperate. Conversely, a tax is desirable when firms collaborate in green R &D. Moreover, we expand our framework by offering the opportunity for the regulator to authorize or ban cooperation in green R &D before the firms make their strategic decisions.

在本文中,我们比较了税收和标准作为环保工具的作用,这取决于企业的研发战略和政府对其政策做出可信承诺的能力。我们考虑了一个双头垄断模型,在该模型中,生产是污染性的,为了减少排放,企业会以合作或非合作的方式投资于绿色研发(在存在技术溢出效应的情况下)。我们探讨了两个政策博弈,在这两个博弈中,监管机构会在企业进行研究与开发之前或之后制定排放税或排放标准。我们将企业的研发战略和监管机构对政策工具的选择内生化。我们发现,只有当企业选择不合作时,才会采用排放标准。相反,当企业合作进行绿色研发时,税收则是可取的。此外,我们还扩展了我们的框架,为监管者提供了在企业做出战略决策之前授权或禁止绿色研发合作的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Cost benefit analysis and the FDA: measuring the costs and benefits of drug approval under the PDUFA I-II, 1998–2005 成本效益分析与 FDA:1998-2005 年根据 PDUFA I-II 衡量药物审批的成本和效益
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09477-2
Samuel DeCanio

This paper examines the Food and Drug Administration’s regulation of drug safety. In one of the most sophisticated cost-benefit analyses to date, (Cost-benefit analysis of the FDA: The case of the prescription drug user fee acts, The Journal of Public Economics, 92, 1306–1325.) argue that between 1998 and 2005 the FDA’s drug submission process under the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) increased social surplus by $14–31 billion. However, this conclusion is based upon inappropriate data that underestimate the welfare costs of drugs that were withdrawn from the market due to their harmful side effects. Once appropriate epidemiological data are used to calculate the welfare costs of a single drug, Vioxx, which was withdrawn from the market after it was found to cause heart attacks, PDUFA I-II are found to have caused a net reduction in social welfare of between $1-201 billion. This indicates that statistically infrequent regulatory mistakes may have large social welfare implications that can counteract the benefits of years of accurate regulatory decisions. Thanks to Sarah Bernhardt, Romit Bhattacharya, Stephen DeCanio, Marco Giani, Colin Jennings, John Meadowcroft, and Tariq Thachil for helpful comments and suggestions. Special thanks to the helpful comments offered by two anonymous referees.

本文探讨了美国食品和药物管理局对药品安全的监管。在迄今为止最复杂的成本效益分析中,《美国食品与药物管理局的成本效益分析》(Cost-benefit analysis of the FDA:The Case of the Prescription Drug User Fee Act, The Journal of Public Economics, 92, 1306-1325.)认为,在 1998 年至 2005 年期间,食品与药物管理局根据《处方药用户费法》(PDUFA)制定的药品申报程序使社会盈余增加了 140 亿至 310 亿美元。然而,这一结论是基于不恰当的数据得出的,这些数据低估了因药物的有害副作用而退出市场的药物的福利成本。一旦使用适当的流行病学数据来计算单一药物 Vioxx 的福利成本,就会发现 PDUFA I-II 造成的社会福利净减少在 10-201 亿美元之间。这表明,在统计上并不常见的监管失误可能会对社会福利产生巨大影响,从而抵消多年来准确监管决策所带来的好处。感谢 Sarah Bernhardt、Romit Bhattacharya、Stephen DeCanio、Marco Giani、Colin Jennings、John Meadowcroft 和 Tariq Thachil 的有益评论和建议。特别感谢两位匿名审稿人提出的有益意见。
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引用次数: 0
Changing prices after the reform of local public services: remunicipalization versus privatization 地方公共服务改革后的价格变化:再市政化与私有化
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09472-7
Daniel Albalate, Germà Bel, Francisco González-Gómez, José C. Hernández-Gutiérrez, Andrés J. Picazo-Tadeo

Privatization and remunicipalization have been used as alternative options to reform the delivery of local public services; in both cases, mainly because of disappointment with the service performance, although ideological preferences might also play a role. The drivers and effects of water privatization have been widely studied, whereas little empirical evidence is available for remunicipalization, particularly regarding its effects. Using a sample of Spanish municipalities, this paper assesses the change in the price of urban water following remunicipalization as compared to privatization. The main finding is that remunicipalization leads to smaller increases in price; this outcome is, however, due to a few atypical municipalities with abnormally low prices before the policy reform. Once these influential observations are controlled for, whether the reform consists of remunicipalization or privatization makes no difference regarding price changes. It is also found that remunicipalization is much more likely in cities governed by extreme left-wing parties.

私有化和再市政化已被用作改革地方公共服务提供方式的替代选择;在这两种情况下, 主要是因为对服务绩效的失望,尽管意识形态的偏好也可能起到一定的作用。水务私有化的动因和影响已被广泛研究,而对于再市政化,尤其是其影响,却鲜有实证证据。本文以西班牙城市为样本,评估了与私有化相比,重新市政化后城市水价的变化。主要发现是,重新市政化导致的价格上涨较小;但这一结果是由于政策改革前价格异常低的少数非典型城市造成的。一旦控制了这些有影响的观察结果,无论是再市政化还是私有化改革对价格变化都没有影响。研究还发现,在极左翼政党执政的城市中,再市政化的可能性要大得多。
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引用次数: 0
Performance based regulation in electricity and cost benchmarking: theoretical underpinnings and application 基于绩效的电力监管和成本基准:理论基础和应用
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09474-5
Agustin J. Ros, Sai Shetty, Timothy Tardiff

Performance based regulation (“PBR”) directly regulates public utilities’ prices or revenues with the goal to provide greater incentives for achieving efficiencies and other cost savings than cost-of-service (profit) regulation provides. PBR plans typically include a formula capping the allowed prices or revenues with the cap calculated to reflect what we would expect to observe in competitive markets in the long run: prices are set to equal input prices minus productivity “I–X”, where I represents inflation and X represents industry-wide productivity. The PBR formula may also include a consumer stretch factor (“stretch factor”)—sometimes referred to as a consumer productivity dividend. Some regulators view the stretch factor as a one-time component meant to share between the company and customers the immediate expected increase in productivity growth as the regulated firm transitions from cost of service to PBR regulation. Other regulators view it more as a permanent component of PBR meant to incentivize the regulated firm beyond the initial switch to PBR by benchmarking its costs to a comparable group of companies and rewarding (penalizing) it for superior (inferior) cost performance. This paper focuses on economic aspects of utilizing the stretch factor as a permanent feature of PBR, and importantly, on the theoretical underpinnings of utilizing cost benchmarking to determine the stretch factor in a PBR plan. We provide a review of the academic literature on econometric cost benchmarking and assess that literature with respect to the stretch factor. We provide an econometric cost benchmarking analysis, using data on U.S. electricity transmission.

基于绩效的监管("PBR")直接监管公用事业的价格或收入,目的是提供比服务成本(利润)监管更强的激励机制,以实现效率和其他成本节约。基于成本的价格和收入监管计划通常包括一个公式,对允许的价格或收入设置上限,上限的计算反映了我们在竞争市场中长期观察到的情况:价格设置为等于投入价格减去生产率 "I-X",其中 I 代表通货膨胀,X 代表整个行业的生产率。生产成本加成公式还可能包括消费者伸缩系数("伸缩系数")--有时也称为消费者生产率红利。一些监管机构认为,拉伸系数是一次性的,目的是在被监管公司从服务成本监管过渡到 PBR 监管时,在公司和客户之间分享生产率增长的直接预期增长。另一些监管机构则将其视为 PBR 的永久性组成部分,旨在通过将被监管公司的成本与一组可比公司的成本进行比较,并奖励(惩罚)其优异(低劣)的成本绩效,从而激励被监管公司在最初转为 PBR 后的发展。本文重点讨论了将拉伸系数作为 PBR 永久特征的经济方面,更重要的是,利用成本基准来确定 PBR 计划中的拉伸系数的理论基础。我们回顾了有关计量经济学成本基准的学术文献,并就拉伸系数对这些文献进行了评估。我们利用美国电力传输数据,提供了计量经济学成本基准分析。
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引用次数: 0
Indivisibilities in investment and the role of a capacity market 投资的不可分割性和容量市场的作用
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11149-024-09473-6

Abstract

The topic of pricing non-convexities in power markets has been explored vividly in the literature and among practitioners for the past twenty years. The debate has been focused on indivisibilities in short-term auctions, the computational tractability of some pricing proposals, and the economic analysis of their behavior. In this paper, we analyse a source of non-convexities that is not discussed as broadly: the indivisibilities in investment decisions. The absence of equilibrium that we are primarily concerned about is the long-term equilibrium. We derive a capacity expansion model with indivisibilities and we highlight the issues arising from it. We discuss its relevance and address one particular argument for neglecting indivisibilities in investment, namely market size. We investigate to what extent a capacity market that clears discrete offers can mitigate the lumpiness problem. We particularly introduce the novel concept of convex hull pricing for capacity auctions. We illustrate the main findings with a numerical experiment conducted on the capacity expansion model used by ENTSO-E to assess the adequacy of the entire European system.

摘要 在过去的二十年里,文献和从业人员对电力市场中的非凸定价问题进行了生动的探讨。讨论主要集中在短期拍卖中的不可分割性、一些定价建议的计算可操作性以及对其行为的经济分析。在本文中,我们将分析一种未被广泛讨论的非凸性来源:投资决策中的不可分割性。我们主要关注的不均衡是长期均衡。我们推导了一个具有不可分割性的产能扩张模型,并强调了由此产生的问题。我们讨论了该模型的相关性,并讨论了在投资中忽略不可分割性的一个特殊论点,即市场规模。我们研究了离散出价清算的产能市场能在多大程度上缓解凑合性问题。我们特别引入了容量拍卖凸壳定价的新概念。我们通过对 ENTSO-E 用于评估整个欧洲系统充足性的容量扩展模型进行数值实验来说明主要发现。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Regulatory Economics
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