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Artificial intelligence innovation and stock price crash risk 人工智能创新与股价暴跌风险
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12424
Junru Zhang, Chen Cui, Chen Zheng, Grantley Taylor

This study examines the association between artificial intelligence innovation (AII) and stock price crash risk (SPCR). AII serves as a governance mechanism that can bolster strength in internal controls, leading to increased financial transparency and thereby reducing the likelihood of future SPCR. The results hold after accounting for possible endogeneity issues Further, we find that monitoring through corporate governance mechanisms, level of following by equity analysts, and the reduced information asymmetry constitute important channels that mediate the association between AII and SPCR. Additionally, the relationship between AII and SPCR varies across corporate life cycle stages and workplace culture.

本研究探讨了人工智能创新(AII)与股价暴跌风险(SPCR)之间的关联。人工智能创新作为一种治理机制,可以加强内部控制,提高财务透明度,从而降低未来发生股价暴跌风险的可能性。此外,我们还发现,公司治理机制的监督、股票分析师的关注程度以及信息不对称程度的降低构成了 AII 与 SPCR 之间关系的重要中介渠道。此外,AII 与 SPCR 之间的关系因公司生命周期阶段和工作场所文化而异。
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引用次数: 0
The taxonomy of tail risk 尾部风险分类法
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12423
Evarist Stoja, Arnold Polanski, Linh H. Nguyen

We use tail events at different levels of severity to define an asset's tail risk and to decompose the latter into a systematic and an idiosyncratic component. The systematic component captures an asset's tendency to experience joint tail losses with the market and generalizes a classic tail dependence coefficient. However, the idiosyncratic component consists of two parts: idiosyncratic tail risk that leads to asset-specific tail losses and tail risk cushioning that dampens the tail losses emanating from the market. Tail risk cushioning is a novel concept that arises naturally in our framework, is consistent with the previous two and completes the taxonomy of tail risk. We examine the performance of our tail risk decomposition on a large dataset, confirming some previous results on tail risk and uncovering new theoretical and empirical findings.

我们使用不同严重程度的尾部事件来定义资产的尾部风险,并将后者分解为系统性和特异性两部分。系统性部分反映了资产与市场共同经历尾部损失的趋势,并概括了经典的尾部依赖系数。然而,特异性部分由两部分组成:导致特定资产尾部损失的特异性尾部风险和抑制市场尾部损失的尾部风险缓冲。尾部风险缓冲是一个新概念,在我们的框架中自然产生,与前两者一致,并完善了尾部风险的分类。我们在一个大型数据集上检验了尾部风险分解的性能,证实了之前关于尾部风险的一些结果,并揭示了新的理论和实证发现。
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引用次数: 0
Personal connections, financial advisors and M&A outcomes 人脉、财务顾问和并购结果
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12422
Dobrina Jandik, Tomas Jandik, Weineng Xu

Personal connections (based on prior employment, educational, or social club membership overlaps) between top executives and board members of the bidding firm and those of the bidder financial advisor affect Mergers and Acquisition (M&A) outcomes. M&A deals where bidder top managers share past personal work-related connections with their advisors are associated with 1.7% lower bidder announcement returns compared to the returns for deals without such connections. We also show M&A deals advised by personally connected financial advisors are more likely to be completed but take longer to get finalized. Last, when connections exist, the bidder CEO receives a higher cash bonus upon completion of the deal, and the financial advisors are rewarded by higher advisor fees. Overall, our findings suggest that personal connections between bidders and their financial advisors could be detrimental.

竞标公司高层管理人员和董事会成员与竞标方财务顾问之间的个人联系(基于之前的工作、教育或社交俱乐部会员身份的重叠)会影响并购(M&A)的结果。在并购交易中,如果竞标公司高层管理人员与他们的顾问在过去的个人工作方面有联系,那么竞标公司的公告回报率就会比没有这种联系的交易低 1.7%。我们还发现,由有个人关系的财务顾问提供建议的 M&A 交易更有可能完成,但需要更长的时间才能敲定。最后,如果存在联系,竞标者首席执行官在交易完成后会获得更高的现金奖励,而财务顾问则会获得更高的顾问费。总之,我们的研究结果表明,投标人与其财务顾问之间的个人联系可能是有害的。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign corporations as large shareholders 外国公司作为大股东
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12421
Fuxiu Jiang, Kenneth A. Kim, John R. Nofsinger, Bing Zhu

In this article, we examine foreign corporate shareholders in China. We find that they play an active and effective corporate governance role that improves firm performance. The results are robust to tests that address endogeneity, selection bias, and direction-of-causality concerns. The methods for which foreign corporations exert effective oversight are identified: (1) they actively and effectively monitor firms (i.e., they are more likely to fire [reward] managers for poor [good] firm performance), (2) they invest more in innovation, (3) they are better at selecting investment projects, and (4) they help generate more foreign sales.

本文以在华外资公司股东为研究对象。我们发现他们在公司治理中发挥了积极有效的作用,提高了公司绩效。结果对于解决内生性、选择偏差和因果关系方向问题的测试是稳健的。确定了外国公司进行有效监督的方法:(1)他们积极有效地监督公司(即,他们更有可能解雇[奖励]公司业绩不佳[良好]的经理),(2)他们更多地投资于创新,(3)他们更善于选择投资项目,(4)他们帮助产生更多的国外销售。
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引用次数: 0
Social connections and information leakage: Evidence from target stock price run-up in takeovers 社会关系与信息泄露:来自收购中目标股价上涨的证据
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12420
Iftekhar Hasan, Lin Tong, An Yan

Does information leakage in a target's social networks increase its stock price prior to a merger announcement? Evidence reveals that a target with more social connections indeed experiences a higher pre-announcement price run-up. This effect does not exist during or after the merger announcement, or in windows ending two months before the announcement. It is more pronounced among targets with severe asymmetric information, and weaker when the information about the upcoming merger is publicly available prior to the announcement. It is also weaker in expedited deals such as tender offers.

在并购宣布之前,目标公司社交网络的信息泄露是否会推高其股价?有证据表明,拥有更多社会关系的目标确实会经历更高的公告前价格上涨。此影响在合并公告期间或之后,或在公告前两个月结束的窗口中不存在。在信息严重不对称的目标中,这种效应更为明显,而当即将到来的合并信息在宣布之前就已公开时,这种效应就会减弱。它在收购要约等快速交易方面也比较弱。
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引用次数: 0
Asset versus equity acquisitions by financial institutions 金融机构的资产收购与股权收购
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-16 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12415
Jennifer Brodmann, Charles Armah Danso, Surendranath Rakesh Jory, Thanh Ngo

We examine the impact of asset versus equity acquisitions in generating firm value for financial institutions. We find that acquirers experience statistically and economically significantly higher cumulative abnormal returns in asset acquisitions compared to equity acquisitions. We analyze the announcement-period returns and find that investors' reaction to asset acquisitions by financial institutions is met more favorably than are equity acquisitions. When employing the difference-in-differences approach, we find that asset acquisitions entail improved operating performance.

我们研究了资产与股权收购在为金融机构创造公司价值方面的影响。我们发现,与股权收购相比,收购方在资产收购中经历的累积异常收益在统计上和经济上都显著更高。我们分析了公告期内的回报,发现投资者对金融机构资产收购的反应比股权收购更有利。当采用差异中的差异方法时,我们发现资产收购需要改善经营绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Distracted institutional shareholders and debt maturity 机构股东分心和债务到期
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12419
Adrian (Wai Kong) Cheung, Joye Khoo, Rui Wang

We examine whether institutional shareholders’ distraction affects corporate debt maturity decisions. We find that firms with distracted shareholders are associated with lengthened debt maturity. The effect becomes stronger for firms with high information asymmetry or those with high levels of financial constraint. When distraction is high and debt maturity is low, firms hold more cash and use that cash in value-destroying acquisitions. This supports the prevalence of agency problems when institutional shareholders are distracted. The impact of distraction is persistent and affects the debt maturity decision in the future. Our findings are robust to endogeneity and other concerns.

我们研究了机构股东的分心是否会影响企业的债务期限决策。我们发现,股东分心的公司会延长债务期限。对于信息高度不对称或财务高度紧张的公司,这种影响会更大。当股东分心程度高而债务期限低时,公司会持有更多现金,并将现金用于破坏价值的收购。这支持了机构股东分心时代理问题普遍存在的观点。分心的影响是持续性的,会影响未来的债务到期决策。我们的研究结果不受内生性和其他问题的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The threat of voiced shareholder disapproval and the value of voting 股东表达反对的威胁和投票的价值
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12417
Justin Balthrop, Jonathan Bitting

We study how granting shareholders an advisory compensation vote affects the subsequent demand for shareholder voting rights. We find that the voting premium decreases when shareholders are given the right to disapprove firm compensation plans, consistent with shareholders preemptively negotiating concessions, which results in a diminished need to use their votes. Potential concessions extend beyond compensation; firms that experience a decrease in voting premiums also experience changes to investment and dividend policy, as well as the number of independent directors. The same firms experience positive abnormal stock returns over the following year.

我们研究了授予股东顾问性薪酬表决权如何影响后续的股东投票权需求。我们发现,当股东被赋予不赞成公司薪酬计划的权利时,投票溢价会下降,这与股东先发制人的谈判让步相一致,这导致使用他们的投票权的需求减少。潜在的让步不仅限于赔偿;投票权溢价下降的公司还会经历投资和股息政策以及独立董事数量的变化。同样的公司在接下来的一年里经历了正的异常股票回报。
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引用次数: 0
Who can see the iceberg's peak? How icebergs are used by information and liquidity traders 谁能看到冰山的顶峰?信息和流动性交易者如何利用冰山
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12414
Paul Lajbcygier, Van Hoang Vu

Iceberg orders are partially disclosed limit orders that only reveal a small portion of their hidden volume at any time. Once traded, the iceberg order automatically replenishes until all its hidden volume executes. Consistent with theory, icebergs appeal to both information and liquidity traders. Information traders place orders at aggressive prices in the limit order book, which transact immediately as marketable orders. Liquidity traders use non-aggressive orders, which sit on the book as limit orders. Iceberg traders adjust the aggressiveness of their orders as market conditions change. We find the market discovers iceberg orders through repeated replenishments.

冰山订单是部分披露的限价订单,在任何时候都只显示其隐藏交易量的一小部分。一旦成交,冰山订单就会自动补充,直到其隐藏交易量全部执行。与理论一致,冰山同时吸引信息交易者和流动性交易者。信息交易者在限价订单簿中以激进的价格下单,这些订单会立即作为有价订单成交。流动性交易者使用非激进订单,这些订单作为限价订单留在订单簿上。冰山交易者会根据市场情况的变化调整订单的攻击性。我们发现,市场会通过反复补仓发现冰山订单。
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引用次数: 0
Model for optimizing lender's decision on dealing with collateral of defaulted mortgage 优化贷款人处理违约抵押贷款抵押品决策的模型
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12416
Shu Ling Chiang, Ming Shann Tsai

In this article, we describe a comprehensive model for obtaining a critical gross recovery rate (GRR) for the short sale of a defaulted mortgage. Our model includes the following factors: settlement period, settlement cost, discounted sale/auction price, opportunity cost, failure probability of the short sale, and lender's willingness for the short sale. The results show that using the short sale yields a lower settlement cost, shorter settlement period, but higher loss given default (LGD). The real GRR of a short sale is about 8%–9% less than the critical GRR calculated from our model. This means the lender's willingness for the short sale is high in reality. The sensitivity analyses show that the lender's likelihood of approving a short sale is low if the settlement cost, contract rate, interest rate, and failure probability of the short sale are high. The greater the expected LGD of a foreclosure, the stronger the lender's willingness to approve the short sale. Also, a higher GRR of short sale leads to a lower expected LGD of short sale. This increases the probability of approval for the short sale. Finally, the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) program helped struggling homeowners successfully use a short sale as an alternative to foreclosure, but the HAFA program became less effective as housing prices went up. Our model and analyses should help lenders make the optimal decision about how to efficiently deal with the collateral from a defaulted mortgage to mitigate their LGD.

在本文中,我们介绍了一个用于获取违约抵押贷款卖空的临界总回收率 (GRR) 的综合模型。我们的模型包括以下因素:结算期、结算成本、贴现销售/拍卖价格、机会成本、卖空失败概率以及贷款人的卖空意愿。结果表明,采用卖空会产生较低的结算成本、较短的结算期,但会产生较高的违约损失(LGD)。卖空的实际 GRR 比我们的模型计算出的临界 GRR 低约 8%-9%。这意味着贷方的卖空意愿实际上很高。敏感性分析表明,如果卖空的结算成本、合同利率、利率和失败概率较高,则贷款人批准卖空的可能性较低。取消赎回权的预期 LGD 越大,贷款人批准卖空的意愿就越强。同时,卖空的 GRR 越高,卖空的预期 LGD 就越低。这就增加了批准卖空的概率。最后,"房屋可负担止赎替代方案"(HAFA)计划帮助陷入困境的房主成功地将卖空作为止赎的替代方案,但随着房价的上涨,HAFA 计划的效果也越来越差。我们的模型和分析应能帮助贷款人就如何有效处理违约抵押贷款的抵押品以减轻其 LGD 做出最佳决策。
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Journal of Financial Research
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