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Is the new mission-oriented R&D policy feasible?: evidence from the national R&D programs in Korea using CVM 以任务为导向的新研发政策是否可行?
Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2024.1289610
Jiwoong Yoon, Hokyu Lee, Yeonghun Won
The new mission-oriented national R&D programs, aligned with a transformative paradigm to address societal challenges, face challenges in economic feasibility analysis due to the ongoing development of innovative solutions and the time required for marketization.In this study, we employed a Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) to survey 300 Korean households, exploring their willingness to pay for R&D programs hypothetically funded by their taxes. We estimated the mean willingness to pay (WTP) and multiplied it by the total number of households in Korea to project the annual total benefit for each program.Using metrics like the value-added ratio, marketization success rate, and R&D contribution rate, we assessed the economic value of program benefits. Our analysis indicates a total benefit of KRW 285 billion (KRW 242.5 billion net present value) for a total investment of KRW 990 billion (KRW 505.4 billion net present value), with a benefit-to-cost ratio of 2.08, arming significant economic feasibility.Given the importance of respecting researchers' autonomy, decision-makers may find the CVM a suitable method for validating evidence for new mission-oriented R&D programs across diverse fields.
在本研究中,我们采用了权宜估值法(CVM)对 300 个韩国家庭进行了调查,以探讨他们是否愿意为假设由其税收资助的研发项目付费。我们估算了平均支付意愿(WTP),并将其乘以韩国家庭总数,以预测每个项目的年度总收益。我们的分析表明,总投资为 9,900 亿韩元(净现值为 5,054 亿韩元),总收益为 2,850 亿韩元(净现值为 2,425 亿韩元),收益成本比为 2.08,具有显著的经济可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Supporting pension decisions with value clarification methods or testimonials: two studies showing mixed effects on activation and feeling of preparation 用价值澄清法或推荐信支持养老金决策:两项研究显示,对激活和准备感的影响不一
Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2024.1369500
Jelle Strikwerda, B. Holleman, Hans Hoeken
Pension participants need appropriate support when making (complex) pension decisions. Grounded in Fuzzy-Trace Theory, we argue that suitable decisions require participants to (accurately) understand meaningful differences between decision alternatives. Based on this, we investigated the effectiveness of different types of decision support for the decision when to retire.We conducted two experiments among participants of four Dutch pension funds (Study 1: N = 2,328, Study 2: N = 500) on the effectiveness of three different types of decision support: (a) a traditional pros and cons text, (b) a Value Clarification Method (VCM), and (c) testimonials.The studies showed mixed results. In the first study, we found an activating effect of the VCM and the testimonials: participants who received one of these two types of decision support were more likely to visit a web page with additional information. In the second study, we found no differences between the three types of decision support.We discuss possible explanations for the effects found, as well as implications for future (research on) pension decision support.
养老金参与者在做出(复杂的)养老金决策时需要适当的支持。我们以模糊跟踪理论为基础,认为适当的决策需要参与者(准确)理解决策备选方案之间有意义的差异。在此基础上,我们研究了不同类型的决策支持对何时退休决策的有效性。我们对荷兰四家养老基金的参与者进行了两次实验(研究 1:人数 = 2328 人,研究 2:人数 = 500 人),研究三种不同类型的决策支持的有效性:(a)传统的利弊文本,(b)价值澄清法(VCM),以及(c)推荐信。在第一项研究中,我们发现了价值澄清法和推荐信的激活效应:获得这两种决策支持之一的参与者更有可能访问包含更多信息的网页。在第二项研究中,我们发现三种类型的决策支持之间没有差异。我们讨论了对所发现效果的可能解释,以及对未来养老金决策支持(研究)的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Post-play communication of emotions facilitates prosociality and cooperation 游戏后的情感交流有助于亲社会性与合作
Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2024.1304833
J. B. Gately, Abdelaziz Alsharawy
Social decisions with monetary consequences are often accompanied with emotional consequences. Previous studies document a robust role of pre-play message communication in facilitating pro-sociality and cooperation. Yet, the effects of communicating emotional experiences in social interactions (particularly post-play) remain understudied. Here, we examine the value of a social environment where emotional expressions are shared post-play in contrast to a private environment where emotion exposure is absent. We develop an experimental design that facilitates emotion exposure and can be readily administered in or outside the laboratory. In this pre-registered online study, participants (N = 196) completed incentivized extensions of the Dictator Game (DG) and the Prisoners' Dilemma Game (PD). Participants learned to classify their emotional experiences on the arousal, valence, and dominance dimensions using non-verbal pictorial representations. Our experiment comprised both a within-subject and a between-subject manipulation: each participant completed a control condition (C, no emotional exposure) as well as an emotion exposure condition (Emotions), but the type of exposure varied between subjects (certain exposure, or Emotions-E, or probabilistic exposure, or Emotions-P). In all conditions, participants complete a one-shot DG and PD. We find that emotion exposure increases other-regarding behavior under both Emotions-E and Emotion-P conditions in the DG and under Emotions-E only in PD. Further, we find that demand for emotion exposure is hardly driven by the outcome of the social interaction (or the actions selected). We also document how empathic concern influence other-regarding behavior and how reports of emotional experiences vary across treatments and with the different outcomes of social interactions. Our results highlight the integral role of emotion exposure in social decision making. Environments that facilitate the communication of emotional experiences increase pro-sociality and encourage cooperation.
具有金钱后果的社会决策往往伴随着情感后果。以往的研究表明,游戏前的信息交流在促进亲社会性和合作方面发挥着重要作用。然而,在社会互动中(尤其是游戏后)交流情感体验的效果仍未得到充分研究。在这里,我们研究了游戏后分享情绪表达的社会环境与缺乏情绪暴露的私人环境的价值对比。我们开发了一种实验设计,这种设计有利于情绪暴露,并且可以在实验室内外随时进行。在这项预先注册的在线研究中,参与者(N = 196)完成了独裁者游戏(DG)和囚徒困境游戏(PD)的激励扩展。参与者学会了使用非语言图像表征将自己的情绪体验从唤醒、价值和支配三个维度进行分类。我们的实验包括受试者内操纵和受试者间操纵:每个受试者都要完成对照条件(C,无情绪暴露)和情绪暴露条件(Emotions),但暴露类型因受试者而异(特定暴露,或 Emotions-E,或概率暴露,或 Emotions-P)。在所有条件下,被试都要完成一次 DG 和 PD。我们发现,在情绪-E 和情绪-P 条件下,情绪暴露会增加 DG 中的他律行为,而在 PD 条件下,情绪暴露只会增加情绪-E 条件下的他律行为。此外,我们还发现,情感暴露需求几乎不受社会互动结果(或所选行为)的驱动。我们还记录了移情关注是如何影响他人关注行为的,以及情绪体验报告是如何随着不同的治疗方法和不同的社会互动结果而变化的。我们的研究结果凸显了情绪暴露在社会决策中不可或缺的作用。促进情感体验交流的环境会提高亲社会性并鼓励合作。
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引用次数: 0
Propensity to spend and borrow at a time of high pressure: the role of the meaning of Christmas and other psychological factors 高压时期的消费和借贷倾向:圣诞节的意义和其他心理因素的作用
Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2024.1385609
Simon McNair, E. Nyhus, Rob Ranyard
In countries where Christmas is celebrated, people are under pressure in the pre-Christmas period to spend on gift giving and socializing. In two surveys we investigated the role of the meaning of Christmas and other psychological factors in predicting propensity to spend and to borrow at Christmas (UK, N = 190; Norway, N = 234). Factor analysis identified three components of the meaning of Christmas: financial concerns, indulgence, and social aspects. In both surveys: (1) experienced financial hardship predicted lower propensity to spend and greater propensity to borrow; (2) more proactive money management practices predicted lower propensity to borrow; (3) material values predicted both propensity to spend and propensity to borrow; and (4) seeing Christmas as a time for indulgence, experiencing more negative affect, or less positive affect, predicted greater propensity to spend. Additionally: (1) in the UK survey, participants who said that lately they had been feeling more negative (more angry, sad etc.) had a greater propensity to borrow; and (2) in the Norway survey, an obligation gift motivation predicted propensity to spend. The findings show that in addition to experienced financial hardship and proactive money management practices, the psychological factors of material values, affect, and gift motivation play significant roles in propensity to spend and/or borrow at this time of high pressure. We discuss implications for theory and financial interventions.
在庆祝圣诞节的国家,人们在圣诞节前都面临着送礼和社交消费的压力。在两项调查中,我们研究了圣诞节的意义和其他心理因素在预测圣诞节消费和借贷倾向中的作用(英国,N = 190;挪威,N = 234)。因子分析确定了圣诞节意义的三个组成部分:财务问题、放纵和社交方面。在这两项调查中:(1) 经济困难预示着较低的消费倾向和较高的借贷倾向;(2) 更积极的理财方式预示着较低的借贷倾向;(3) 物质价值预示着消费倾向和借贷倾向;(4) 将圣诞节视为放纵的节日、经历更多的负面情绪或较少的积极情绪预示着较高的消费倾向。此外:(1) 在英国的调查中,自称最近感觉更消极(更愤怒、更悲伤等)的参与者有更大的借贷倾向;(2) 在挪威的调查中,义务礼物动机预示着消费倾向。研究结果表明,除了经历过的经济困难和积极主动的理财方式外,物质价值观、情感和礼物动机等心理因素也在这一高压时期对消费和/或借贷倾向起着重要作用。我们将讨论其对理论和金融干预措施的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Behavioral and contextual determinants of different stages of saving behavior 储蓄行为不同阶段的行为和环境决定因素
Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2024.1381080
Kinga Barrafrem, G. Tinghög, D. Västfjäll
Saving is a journey, beginning with the critical decision to initiate the process, take that pivotal first deposit step, and persistently commit to ongoing savings. However, a lot of saving plans fail already before any deposit is made, and even if the first deposit is made, long-run success of savings is far from guaranteed. In this study, we investigate both individual and saving-goal-specific determinants of successful savings.We use real-life savings data (N = 2,619 saving goals of 808 individuals) from a FinTech company in Sweden that helps individuals save for their goals. In addition, we collect a wide range of individual characteristics related to financial behavior: individuals' objective and subjective financial knowledge, self-control, and information avoidance.Our analysis uncovered distinctive patterns at different stages of the saving process. While objective financial knowledge didn't correlate with how much one saves, it was significantly related to the likelihood of making the first deposit. Furthermore, individuals with high self-control exhibited greater savings, though self-control was not related to the initiation of saving. Interestingly, subjective financial literacy and information avoidance showed no significant association with overall savings behavior. Additionally, our study indicated that the attainability of goals plays a crucial role in depositing funds, with more achievable goals having higher deposit likelihoods. Conversely, ambitious goals, despite their challenging nature, tended to attract more substantial savings. Our findings, grounded in real-life data, provide valuable insights into the intricate mechanisms influencing successful saving behaviors, shedding light on the complexities of financial decision-making and goal pursuit.
储蓄是一个过程,首先要做出启动这一过程的关键决定,迈出关键的第一步,并坚持不懈地持续储蓄。然而,很多储蓄计划在存款之前就已经失败了,即使存入了第一笔存款,储蓄的长期成功也远不能保证。在本研究中,我们调查了成功储蓄的个人决定因素和储蓄目标决定因素。我们使用了瑞典一家金融科技公司提供的真实储蓄数据(N = 808 人的 2,619 个储蓄目标),该公司帮助个人实现储蓄目标。此外,我们还收集了一系列与金融行为相关的个人特征:个人的客观和主观金融知识、自我控制能力和信息回避能力。我们的分析发现了储蓄过程不同阶段的独特模式。我们的分析发现了储蓄过程中不同阶段的独特模式。虽然客观的金融知识与储蓄金额无关,但却与首次存款的可能性显著相关。此外,自我控制能力强的人储蓄更多,但自我控制能力与储蓄的启动无关。有趣的是,主观金融知识和信息回避与总体储蓄行为并无明显关联。此外,我们的研究还表明,目标的可实现性对存款起着至关重要的作用,目标越容易实现,存款的可能性就越高。相反,雄心勃勃的目标尽管具有挑战性,但往往会吸引更多的储蓄。我们的研究结果以现实生活中的数据为基础,对影响成功储蓄行为的复杂机制提供了宝贵的见解,揭示了财务决策和目标追求的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
Humans in XAI: increased reliance in decision-making under uncertainty by using explanation strategies XAI 中的人类:通过使用解释策略提高不确定性下决策的可靠性
Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2024.1377075
Olesja Lammert, Birte Richter, Christian Schütze, Kirsten Thommes, Britta Wrede
Although decision support systems (DSS) that rely on artificial intelligence (AI) increasingly provide explanations to computer and data scientists about opaque features of the decision process, especially when it involves uncertainty, there is still only limited attention to making the process transparent to end users.This paper compares four distinct explanation strategies employed by a DSS, represented by the social agent Floka, designed to assist end users in making decisions under uncertainty. Using an economic experiment with 742 participants who make lottery choices according to the Holt and Laury paradigm, we contrast two explanation strategies offering accurate information (transparent vs. guided) with two strategies prioritizing human-centered explanations (emotional vs. authoritarian) and a baseline (no explanation).Our findings indicate that a guided explanation strategy results in higher user reliance than a transparent strategy. Furthermore, our results suggest that user reliance is contingent on the chosen explanation strategy, and, in some instances, the absence of an explanation can also lead to increased user reliance.
虽然依赖于人工智能(AI)的决策支持系统(DSS)越来越多地向计算机和数据科学家解释决策过程中不透明的特征,尤其是当决策过程涉及不确定性时,但让决策过程对最终用户透明的关注仍然有限。本文比较了以社会代理 Floka 为代表的决策支持系统所采用的四种不同的解释策略,该系统旨在帮助最终用户在不确定情况下做出决策。通过对 742 名按照霍尔特和劳里范式进行彩票选择的参与者进行经济实验,我们对比了两种提供准确信息的解释策略(透明与引导)、两种优先考虑以人为本的解释策略(情感与独裁)和一种基线(不解释)。此外,我们的研究结果表明,用户的依赖性取决于所选择的解释策略,在某些情况下,没有解释也会增加用户的依赖性。
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引用次数: 0
Norm focusing and losses—Evidence of ultimatum game experiments 规范集中与损失--最后通牒博弈实验的证据
Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2024.1238325
Sabrina Kierspel, Thomas Neumann, Ivo Windrich, Roger Berger, Bodo Vogt
Human decision-making pertaining to gains compared to those pertaining losses is shown to be quite different. However, mixed evidence is provided regarding the effect on the decision-makers' prosocial behaviors; that is, losses are shown to either increase or decrease prosocial behaviors. In this context, the effect of social norms on observed behavior can play a crucial role.To examine this aspect in more detail, we conducted incentivized ultimatum game experiments and analyzed data from three treatments, the control treatments (without specific norm focus), and two different norm-focus treatments (“average behavior” treatment and “self-interested behavior” treatment). In total, 550 participants took part in our experiment. Basically, we found no significant difference between the division of gains and losses in the “control” and “self-interested behavior” treatments.However, we found such a difference in the “average behavior” treatment. In addition, we found that inducing a norm focus leads to less variance in proposers' behavior and a greater concentration of their demands around the induced norm in the “average behavior” treatment. In contrast, we found a higher variance in proposers' behavior in the “self-interested behavior” treatment. In terms of responders' behaviors, we observed a tendency toward a higher frequency of responders' rejections in the loss domain compared to the gains domain.
人类对收益的决策与对损失的决策截然不同。然而,在对决策者的亲社会行为的影响方面却证据不一;也就是说,损失会增加或减少亲社会行为。为了更详细地研究这方面的问题,我们进行了激励型最后通牒游戏实验,并分析了三种处理的数据,即对照处理(无特定规范重点)和两种不同的规范重点处理("平均行为 "处理和 "自利行为 "处理)。共有 550 名参与者参加了我们的实验。基本上,我们发现在 "控制 "和 "自利行为 "处理中,收益和损失的划分没有明显的差异,但在 "平均行为 "处理中,我们发现了这种差异。此外,我们还发现,在 "平均行为 "处理中,诱导对规范的关注会导致提议者的行为差异较小,而且他们的要求会更多地集中在诱导的规范周围。相反,我们发现在 "自利行为 "处理中,提议者的行为差异更大。就回应者的行为而言,我们发现,与收益领域相比,在损失领域回应者拒绝的频率更高。
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引用次数: 0
Norm focusing and losses—Evidence of ultimatum game experiments 规范集中与损失--最后通牒博弈实验的证据
Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2024.1238325
Sabrina Kierspel, Thomas Neumann, Ivo Windrich, Roger Berger, Bodo Vogt
Human decision-making pertaining to gains compared to those pertaining losses is shown to be quite different. However, mixed evidence is provided regarding the effect on the decision-makers' prosocial behaviors; that is, losses are shown to either increase or decrease prosocial behaviors. In this context, the effect of social norms on observed behavior can play a crucial role.To examine this aspect in more detail, we conducted incentivized ultimatum game experiments and analyzed data from three treatments, the control treatments (without specific norm focus), and two different norm-focus treatments (“average behavior” treatment and “self-interested behavior” treatment). In total, 550 participants took part in our experiment. Basically, we found no significant difference between the division of gains and losses in the “control” and “self-interested behavior” treatments.However, we found such a difference in the “average behavior” treatment. In addition, we found that inducing a norm focus leads to less variance in proposers' behavior and a greater concentration of their demands around the induced norm in the “average behavior” treatment. In contrast, we found a higher variance in proposers' behavior in the “self-interested behavior” treatment. In terms of responders' behaviors, we observed a tendency toward a higher frequency of responders' rejections in the loss domain compared to the gains domain.
人类对收益的决策与对损失的决策截然不同。然而,在对决策者的亲社会行为的影响方面却证据不一;也就是说,损失会增加或减少亲社会行为。为了更详细地研究这方面的问题,我们进行了激励型最后通牒游戏实验,并分析了三种处理的数据,即对照处理(无特定规范重点)和两种不同的规范重点处理("平均行为 "处理和 "自利行为 "处理)。共有 550 名参与者参加了我们的实验。基本上,我们发现在 "控制 "和 "自利行为 "处理中,收益和损失的划分没有明显的差异,但在 "平均行为 "处理中,我们发现了这种差异。此外,我们还发现,在 "平均行为 "处理中,诱导对规范的关注会导致提议者的行为差异较小,而且他们的要求会更多地集中在诱导的规范周围。相反,我们发现在 "自利行为 "处理中,提议者的行为差异更大。就回应者的行为而言,我们发现,与收益领域相比,在损失领域回应者拒绝的频率更高。
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引用次数: 0
Young children associate buying with feeling richer 幼儿将购买与感觉更富有联系起来
Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2023.1293694
H. Kappes
From an early age, children begin to make decisions about buying things they want, or refraining from buying (e.g., to save up for something better). However, it was unclear how these decisions affect their feelings about their economic resources: does buying make children feel richer or poorer? This manuscript describes three studies that address this gap, with children ages 4 through 12 in the United Kingdom and United States. Older children thought that a child who bought something was richer than a child who refrained from buying, even if the target child was still able to accomplish their goal (Study 1). And for children as young as 4, imagining buying something (compared to imagining refraining from buying) predicted and led to imagining themselves feeling richer (Studies 2–3). The magnitude of the effect of buying vs. refraining on feeling rich did not change appreciably through age 12. These findings complement previous research which looked at children's judgments of their family's social status, by showing that children's feelings about their economic resources also fluctuate in response to actions (buying vs. refraining) that impact those resources. This work contributes to an understanding of how feelings of wealth emerge in childhood and has useful implications for adults who want to support children in developing financial skills.
从很小的时候起,儿童就开始决定购买他们想要的东西,或者不买(例如,为了存钱买更好的东西)。然而,这些决定如何影响儿童对其经济资源的感受:买东西会让儿童感觉更富有还是更贫穷?本手稿介绍了针对英国和美国 4 到 12 岁儿童进行的三项研究,以弥补这一不足。年龄较大的儿童认为,买东西的儿童比不买东西的儿童更富有,即使目标儿童仍然能够实现他们的目标(研究 1)。而对于年仅 4 岁的儿童来说,想象买东西(与想象不买东西相比)会预测并导致想象自己感觉更富有(研究 2-3)。买东西与不买东西对富有感的影响程度在 12 岁之前没有明显变化。这些发现补充了之前研究儿童对其家庭社会地位的判断,表明儿童对其经济资源的感觉也会随着影响这些资源的行为(购买与不购买)而波动。这项研究有助于人们了解财富感是如何在童年时期产生的,并对那些希望帮助儿童发展理财技能的成人具有有益的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Attention to brand labels affects, and is affected by, evaluations of product attractiveness 对品牌标签的关注会影响对产品吸引力的评价,同时也受其影响
Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.3389/frbhe.2023.1274815
Xiaozhi Yang, Chris Retzler, Ian Krajbich, Roger Ratcliff, M. Philiastides
When considering whether to purchase consumer products, people consider both the items' attractiveness and their brand labels. Brands may affect the decision process through various mechanisms. For example, brand labels may provide direct support for their paired products, or they may indirectly affect choice outcomes by changing the way that people evaluate and compare their options. To examine these possibilities, we combined computational modeling with an eye-tracking experiment in which subjects made clothing choices with brand labels either present or absent. Subjects' choices were consistent with both the attractiveness of the clothing items and, to a smaller extent, the appeal of the brands. In line with the direct support mechanism, subjects who spent more time looking at the brands were more likely to choose the options with the preferred brands. When a clothing item was more attractive, subjects were more likely to look longer at the associated brand label, but not vice versa. In line with indirect mechanisms, in the presence of brand labels subjects exerted more caution and showed marginally less attentional bias in their choices. This research sheds light on the interplay between gaze and choice in decisions involving brand information, indicating that brands have both direct and indirect influences on choice.
在考虑是否购买消费品时,人们会同时考虑商品的吸引力和品牌标签。品牌可能会通过各种机制影响决策过程。例如,品牌标签可能为其搭配的产品提供直接支持,也可能通过改变人们评估和比较选项的方式间接影响选择结果。为了研究这些可能性,我们将计算建模与眼动追踪实验相结合,让受试者在品牌标签存在或不存在的情况下进行服装选择。受试者的选择既与服装的吸引力相一致,也在较小程度上与品牌的吸引力相一致。与直接支持机制一致的是,花更多时间观察品牌的受试者更倾向于选择带有首选品牌的选项。当一件服装更具吸引力时,受试者更有可能在相关品牌标签上多看几眼,反之则不然。与间接机制相一致的是,在有品牌标签的情况下,受试者会更加谨慎,在选择时表现出的注意偏差也会略微减少。这项研究揭示了在涉及品牌信息的决策中,注视与选择之间的相互作用,表明品牌对选择既有直接影响,也有间接影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Frontiers in Behavioral Economics
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