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The Effects of Stochastic Variables on the Analysis of Stock Market Prices 随机变量对股票市场价格分析的影响
Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijmss.13/vol11n23547
P. A Azor, J.C. Egelamba, I.U. Amadi
In this paper, stochastic differential equation with some imposed parameters in the model was considered. The problem was solved by adopting Ito’s theorem to obtain an analytical solution which was used to generate various discrepancies on various asset prices. The asset values were obtained through the influences of some key stochastic variables which shows as follows:(i) increase in when are fixed increases the value of asset returns (ii) a little increase on time when return rates and stock volatility are fixed also increases the value of assets (iii) an increase in the volatility parameter increases the value of asset pricing (iv) , (v) a measure of parameter shows the various levels of long term investment plans . Finally, the normality probability plots are not statistically significant and besides do come from a common distribution which has a vital meaning in the assessment of asset values for capital market investments. However, the Tables, graphs and other stock variables were discussed. The governing investment equation is reliable and therefore is found to be adequate.
本文考虑了模型中带有若干附加参数的随机微分方程。通过采用伊藤定理得到一个解析解来解决这个问题,这个解析解被用来产生各种资产价格的各种差异。资产价值是通过一些关键随机变量的影响获得的,如下所示:(i)当固定时增加增加资产回报的价值(ii)当回报率和股票波动率固定时,时间上的一点增加也增加了资产的价值(iii)波动率参数的增加增加了资产定价的价值(iv), (v)参数的度量显示了长期投资计划的各个水平。最后,正态概率图不具有统计显著性,而且确实来自一个共同的分布,这在资本市场投资的资产价值评估中具有重要意义。然而,讨论了表格、图表和其他股票变量。控制投资方程是可靠的,因此是充分的。
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引用次数: 0
System of Non-Linear Stochastic Differential Equations with Financial Market Quantities 具有金融市场数量的非线性随机微分方程组
Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijmss.13/vol11n24861
P. A Azor, J.C Ogbuka, I.U. Amadi
In this paper, two systems of modified stochastic differential equations were considered. The variable coefficient problem was solved using Ito’s theorem to obtain an analytical solutions which was used to generate various behaviors of asset values which shows as follows: (i) increase in when are fixed increases the value of asset returns. (ii) a little increase on time when return rates and stock volatility are fixed increases the value of assets.(iii) an increase in the volatility parameter increases the value of asset pricing and parameter shows the various levels of long term investment plans, (iv) increase in rate of mean-reversion parameter reduces the value of asset. (v) An increase in the volatility parameter decreases the value of asset pricing (vi) The goodness of fit probability QQplots are not statistically significant and besides do come from a common distribution which has a vital meaning in the assessment of asset values for capital market investments. Nevertheless, the Tables 1,2 and 3 are best in comparisons with Tables 4,5 and 6 in terms of predictions for capital investments. The governing investment equations are unique and therefore are found to be satisfactory.
本文考虑了两个修正的随机微分方程系统。利用伊藤定理对变系数问题进行求解,得到了一个解析解,该解析解用于生成资产价值的各种行为,其表现为:(1)固定时增加,资产收益值增加。(ii)在收益率和股票波动率固定的情况下,时间的小幅增加增加了资产的价值。(iii)波动率参数的增加增加了资产定价的价值,参数显示了长期投资计划的不同水平。(iv)均值回归率参数的增加降低了资产的价值。(v)波动率参数的增加降低了资产定价的价值。(vi)拟合优度概率腾空图不具有统计学意义,但确实来自一个共同的分布,这对资本市场投资的资产价值评估具有重要意义。然而,表1、表2和表3在预测资本投资方面与表4、表5和表6相比是最好的。控制投资方程是唯一的,因此是令人满意的。
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引用次数: 0
Performance Evaluation of Canonical Correlation Analysis and Generalized Canonical Correlation Analysis with Some Continuous Distributed Data 一些连续分布数据的典型相关分析和广义典型相关分析的性能评价
Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijmss.13/vol11n22234
C.N. Okoli, C.T Eze-Golden
This study was embarked to examine the performance evaluation of canonical correlation and generalized canonical correlation analysis with some continuous distributed data (Gamma, Gaussian, Exponential and Beta). The objectives of the study were to: ascertain if the anthropometric indicators of patients were correlated; ascertain if there is any relationship between vital signs and anthropometric dimensions of patients; obtain the relative efficiency of CCA and GCCA techniques for four continuous distributed simulated data; and determine the model performance adequacy of CCA and GCCA techniques. Real life medical data set was used, consisting of three response variables (Respiration rate, heart rate, temperature) named the vital signs and three predictor variables (Hip circumference, weight, height) named anthropometric dimensions. The study employed the real life data set to simulate data of sample sizes 15, 30, 45, 60, 100, 120, 140, 160, 400, 600, 800 and 1000 for the four continuous distributions. A computer programming language codes were written via R-Studio package to solve the numerous numerical problems in this study. The result of the study revealed that anthropometric dimensions, being the independent variables were not correlated, which implied that there was no symptom of multicollinearity using the Eigen values/condition index technique. In addition, there was significant relationship between vital signs and anthropometric dimensions of patients using Wilks’ Lambda, Hotelling-Lawley Trace, Pillai’s Bartlett Trace and Roy’s Largest Root multivariate statistics. The adequacy of the CCA and GCCA was evaluated using Wilcoxon rank sum test; and the result revealed that GCCA was more efficient than that of CCA for the Gamma and Beta distributed data, while for Gaussian and Exponential distributed data, the relative efficiency of the CCA and GCCA was the same.
本研究针对一些连续分布数据(Gamma、Gaussian、Exponential和Beta),探讨典型相关和广义典型相关分析的性能评价。本研究的目的是:确定患者的人体测量指标是否相关;确定病人的生命体征与人体尺寸是否有关系;获得四种连续分布模拟数据的CCA和GCCA技术的相对效率;并确定CCA和GCCA技术的模型性能充分性。使用真实生活医疗数据集,包括三个反应变量(呼吸率、心率、体温)和三个预测变量(臀围、体重、身高),分别称为生命体征和人体测量尺寸。本研究采用现实生活数据集对4个连续分布的样本量分别为15、30、45、60、100、120、140、160、400、600、800和1000的数据进行模拟。通过R-Studio包编写计算机编程语言代码,解决了本研究中大量的数值问题。研究结果表明,作为自变量的人体尺寸不相关,这意味着使用特征值/条件指标技术不存在多重共线性症状。此外,使用Wilks’Lambda、Hotelling-Lawley Trace、Pillai’s Bartlett Trace和Roy’s Largest Root多元统计量,患者的生命体征与人体测量尺寸之间存在显著相关。采用Wilcoxon秩和检验评价CCA和GCCA的充分性;结果表明,对于Gamma分布和Beta分布的数据,GCCA比CCA效率更高,而对于高斯分布和指数分布的数据,CCA和GCCA的相对效率相同。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Power Exponential Error Innovations with Autoregressive Process 基于自回归过程的功率指数误差创新模型
Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.37745/ijmss.13/vol11n21321
A. A Oyinloye, O. J. Ayodele, V. O. Abifade
The regular gussian assumption of the error terms is employed in dynamic time series models when the underlying data are not normally distributed, this often results in incorrect parameter estimations and forecast error. As a result, this paper developed maximum likelihood method of estimation of parameters of an autoregressive model of order 2 [AR (2)] with power-exponential innovations. The performance of the parameters of AR (2) in comparison to normal error innovations was evaluated using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and forecast performance metrics (RMSE and MAE). Both real data sets and simulated data with different sample sizes were used to validate the models. The results revealed that, it is more appropriate and efficient to model non-normal time series data using AR (2) exponential power error innovations.
在基础数据非正态分布的动态时间序列模型中,误差项采用正则高斯假设,这往往会导致参数估计错误和预测误差。因此,本文采用幂指数创新方法,提出了2阶自回归模型[AR(2)]参数估计的极大似然方法。采用赤池信息准则(AIC)和预测性能指标(RMSE和MAE)对AR(2)参数与正态误差创新的性能进行了评价。采用不同样本量的真实数据集和模拟数据对模型进行了验证。结果表明,采用AR(2)指数功率误差创新方法对非正态时间序列数据进行建模更为合适和有效。
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引用次数: 0
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International journal of mathematics and statistics studies
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