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Do immigrants equally benefit from rent control? 移民是否同样受益于租金管制?
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12509
Xun Bian, Ruoyu Chen, Hanchen Jiang
This study examines how immigrants, often concentrated in urban areas with higher rent burdens, benefit from rent control. We focus on New York City's rent stabilization policy, using data from 2002 to 2017. We find that immigrant tenants are more likely to live in rent‐stabilized units than nonimmigrant tenants. However, conditional on living in rent‐stabilized units, immigrants receive $151 less monthly rent discounts than their nonimmigrant counterparts. This notable immigrant–native gap is economically and statistically significant and robust to various checks. Factors like spatial sorting, tenancy duration, policy awareness, and property characteristics primarily contribute to this disparity.
本研究探讨了通常集中在租金负担较重的城市地区的移民如何从租金管制中受益。我们利用 2002 年至 2017 年的数据,重点研究了纽约市的租金稳定政策。我们发现,与非移民租户相比,移民租户更有可能居住在租金稳定的单位中。然而,如果居住在租金稳定单位,移民每月获得的租金折扣比非移民少 151 美元。这种明显的移民与本地人之间的差距在经济和统计上都是显著的,而且经得起各种检验。空间排序、租期长短、政策意识和房产特征等因素是造成这种差距的主要原因。
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引用次数: 0
Zero‐price effect and consumer welfare: Evidence from online classified real estate service 零价格效应与消费者福利:网上房地产分类服务的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12508
David Ash, Danny Ben‐Shahar
We test whether the tendency to overvalue a free service over a paid alternative may lead to inferior economic outcomes. We examine data from an online classified real estate service in Israel that allows private and commercial owners to offer their real estate properties for sale and lease under either free‐basic or paid‐premium listing categories. Estimation results indicate a zero‐price effect in owners’ choice of a listing category. Moreover, although the vast majority of owners opt for the free‐ad category, the paid‐premium category generates increased buyer demand, greater transaction price, and decreased time‐on‐market—adding up to an average net benefit of about 3.5%–3.8% of the average transaction price (equivalent to about $12K–$13K). Outcomes are robust to a series of identification and test‐design issues.
我们检验了高估免费服务而非付费服务价值的倾向是否会导致较差的经济结果。我们研究了以色列一项在线房地产分类服务的数据,该服务允许私人和商业业主在免费-基本或付费-高级列表类别下出售和出租其房地产。估计结果表明,业主在选择挂牌类别时存在零价格效应。此外,尽管绝大多数业主选择免费刊登类别,但付费刊登类别会增加买方需求、提高交易价格并缩短上市时间,平均净收益约为平均交易价格的 3.5%-3.8%(相当于约 1.2 万-1.3 万美元)。结果对一系列识别和测试设计问题都很可靠。
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引用次数: 0
Housing sales and construction responses to COVID‐19: Evidence from shelter‐in‐place and eviction moratoria in the United States 住房销售和建设对 COVID-19 的反应:美国就地安置和暂停驱逐的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12507
S. Sayantani
The goal of this article is to analyze the county‐level impact of public policies related to COVID‐19 on the housing market in the United States. Aimed at reducing the spread of the virus, different states throughout the United States enacted nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as shelter‐in‐place (SIP) and eviction moratoria, in different months and for varied stretches throughout 2020 and 2021. SIP orders could potentially limit the ability of home‐buyers and sellers to interact as well as they could pre‐COVID, introducing frictions in the process of selling houses. Prolonged and overlapping eviction moratoria could dampen the construction of multifamily units and encourage the landlords to sell rented‐out apartments. This article attempts to investigate if and how these interventions causally impacted the county‐level housing sales and building permits approval in the United States. The article estimates the average treatment effect of these orders using a traditional generalized difference‐in‐difference estimator and a recent variation of the estimator that is more suited to multiple treatment groups with staggered treatment introductions and withdrawals. The results show that SIP is associated with significantly smaller year‐on‐year changes in sales of single‐family houses, condominiums and the collection of all residences. Selective moratoria on eviction hearings and judgments are also found to be associated with smaller year‐on‐year changes in multifamily building permit approvals.
本文旨在分析与 COVID-19 相关的公共政策在县一级对美国住房市场的影响。为了减少病毒传播,美国各州在 2020 年和 2021 年的不同月份和不同时间段颁布了非药物干预措施 (NPI),如就地避难 (SIP) 和暂停驱逐令。SIP 命令可能会限制房屋买家和卖家的互动能力,使他们无法像 COVID 前那样进行互动,从而在房屋销售过程中引入摩擦。长期和重叠的驱逐暂停令可能会抑制多户住宅单位的建设,并鼓励房东出售租出的公寓。本文试图研究这些干预措施是否以及如何对美国县级住房销售和建筑许可审批产生因果影响。文章使用传统的广义差分估算器和该估算器的最新变体估算了这些命令的平均治疗效果,后者更适用于交错引入和撤出治疗的多个治疗组。结果表明,SIP 与单户住宅、公寓和所有住宅销售量的同比变化明显较小相关。有选择地暂停驱逐听证和判决也与多户建筑许可审批的同比变化较小有关。
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引用次数: 0
Property management technology adoption in the short‐term housing rental market 短期房屋租赁市场采用物业管理技术的情况
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12504
Sophia Göppinger, Jaime Luque, Gianluca Marcato
We show evidence of the impact providing information on market conditions (supply growth, demand patterns, pricing trends, and competitor rates) on pricing in the short‐term rental market. Using a sample of 2196 housing units over 18 months available on Airbnb in Madrid, Spain, we observe property managers' adoption of this technology at different points in time for 16% of our observations. Our propensity score matching estimates support the evidence of greater market transparency obtained through the adoption of this technology, with a significant increase in revenues obtained through a reduced average daily price and increased occupancy. Our results are robust to several model selections dealing with a potential endogeneity issue. We also show some preliminary evidence of property managers increasingly engaging in dynamic pricing after adopting this technology. Mainly, revenue growth seems to be generated through a small price drop leading to a rise in occupancy at the top end of the price distribution rather than at the bottom end, where a significant and much higher price drop is not able to generate the necessary occupancy growth to obtain an overall increase in revenues.
我们展示了提供市场条件信息(供应增长、需求模式、定价趋势和竞争者费率)对短期租赁市场定价影响的证据。通过对西班牙马德里 Airbnb 上 18 个月内 2196 套住房单元的抽样调查,我们观察到 16% 的观察对象在不同时间点采用了该技术。我们的倾向得分匹配估计值支持通过采用该技术提高市场透明度的证据,同时通过降低日均价格和提高入住率显著增加了收入。我们的结果对处理潜在内生性问题的几种模型选择都是稳健的。我们还显示了一些初步证据,表明在采用这项技术后,物业管理人员越来越多地参与动态定价。主要情况是,收入增长似乎是通过小幅降价导致价格分布高端的入住率上升而产生的,而不是通过价格分布低端的入住率上升产生的,在价格分布低端,大幅且更高的降价无法产生必要的入住率增长来实现收入的整体增长。
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引用次数: 0
“Connect” me! Social networking in commercial real estate "连接 "我商业地产中的社交网络
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12506
Eren Cifci, Alan Tidwell
The use of social networking sites (SNS) within professional contexts is increasingly prevalent, yet studies examining their impact within the real estate sector remain limited. In this study, using LinkedIn followers as an indicator of professional networks, we investigate the effect of professional networking on performance within the commercial real estate market. By leveraging an agent's LinkedIn followers, we introduce a novel measure of professional network into the real estate literature. Findings suggest that listing agents with a larger number of SNS followers tend to engage in more property transactions, achieve higher sales prices, and experience shorter sale times than agents with fewer SNS connections. Similarly, agents considered “active” on the SNS also perform better than agents that have an account but are not “active.” These findings persist after accounting for various agent, property, and location characteristics, suggesting that SNS can be a helpful tool for real estate agents in utilizing and expanding their professional network.
社交网站(SNS)在专业领域的使用越来越普遍,但对其在房地产领域的影响的研究仍然有限。在本研究中,我们使用 LinkedIn 关注者作为职业网络的指标,调查职业网络对商业房地产市场绩效的影响。通过利用经纪人的 LinkedIn 关注者,我们在房地产文献中引入了一种新的专业网络衡量标准。研究结果表明,与拥有较少 SNS 连接的经纪人相比,拥有较多 SNS 关注者的挂牌经纪人倾向于参与更多的房产交易,实现更高的销售价格,并缩短销售时间。同样,在 SNS 上 "活跃 "的经纪人也比拥有账户但不 "活跃 "的经纪人表现更好。在考虑了经纪人、房产和地点的各种特征后,这些发现依然存在,这表明 SNS 可以成为房地产经纪人利用和扩展其专业网络的有用工具。
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引用次数: 0
Public real estate returns and inflation shocks: The central role of inflation nonneutrality 公共房地产回报与通胀冲击:通胀非中性的核心作用
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-09 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12495
Robert A. Connolly, Chris Stivers
We study the comovement of public real estate returns and inflation shocks over 1981–2022, using both survey‐based expected inflation and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). We find a complex relation that is: strongly negative during weaker‐economic (WE) times over the 1980s and 1990s, when stagflation was more a concern; strongly positive during WE times over roughly 2000–2022, when low growth with low inflation tended to be more a concern; and marginally negative otherwise. Linking inflation to both macroeconomic fundamentals and real estate operational data, we show that inflation shocks comove with changing beliefs about the underlying economic‐growth state and/or the risk premium. Thus, we argue that inflation nonneutrality has a central role in understanding our findings.
我们利用基于调查的预期通胀率和消费者价格指数(CPI),研究了 1981-2022 年间公共房地产回报与通胀冲击的相关性。我们发现了一种复杂的关系:在 20 世纪 80 年代和 90 年代经济疲软(WE)时期,滞胀更令人担忧;在 2000-2022 年左右经济疲软(WE)时期,低增长和低通胀更令人担忧;在其他时期,通胀略显消极。通过将通胀与宏观经济基本面和房地产运营数据联系起来,我们发现通胀冲击与对基本经济增长状况和/或风险溢价的看法变化有关。因此,我们认为通货膨胀的非中性在理解我们的研究结果中起着核心作用。
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引用次数: 0
Chinese exclusion? Agent response in the market for owner‐occupied housing 排斥中国人?自住型住房市场的代理反应
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-02 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12503
Andrew Hanson, Zackary B. Hawley
We design and implement a correspondence experiment to test for differences in real estate agent response to Chinese clients. In the full sample, real estate agents are no more likely to respond to white clients than Chinese clients. Subsample results show statistically significant differential treatment of Chinese clients in rural areas and in some states. White real estate agents favor white clients (7.90% higher response rate), and Chinese real estate agents favor Chinese clients by a wide margin (151.11% higher response rate).
我们设计并实施了一项对应实验,以检验房地产经纪人对中国客户的反应是否存在差异。在全部样本中,房地产经纪人对白人客户的回应并不比对中国客户的回应更有可能。子样本结果显示,在农村地区和某些州,华人客户受到的差别待遇在统计学上具有显著意义。白人房地产经纪人更青睐白人客户(回复率高出 7.90%),而华人房地产经纪人则更青睐华人客户(回复率高出 151.11%)。
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引用次数: 0
Foreward 前言
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12502
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引用次数: 0
Bank failures, capital buffers, and exposure to the housing market bubble 银行倒闭、资本缓冲和房地产市场泡沫风险
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12494
Gazi I. Kara, Cindy M. Vojtech
We develop housing overvaluation measures that are separate from local economic conditions and show that banks with greater exposure to such overvalued markets have higher mortgage delinquency and charge‐off rates and significantly higher probabilities of failure during the 2007–2009 financial crisis even after controlling for bank characteristics. While high house prices relative to fundamentals present a greater likelihood of house price correction, we find no evidence that banks managed this risk by building capital. We also show that our overvaluation measures are important in explaining individual mortgage loan defaults and could be used to improve bank risk management.
我们制定了独立于当地经济状况的住房高估衡量标准,结果表明,在 2007-2009 年金融危机期间,即使在控制了银行特征之后,在此类高估市场中风险敞口较大的银行的抵押贷款拖欠率和冲销率也较高,倒闭概率也显著增加。虽然相对于基本面的高房价带来了房价回调的更大可能性,但我们没有发现银行通过建立资本来管理这种风险的证据。我们的研究还表明,我们的高估指标对解释个人抵押贷款违约非常重要,可用于改善银行的风险管理。
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引用次数: 0
Prisms of Possibility: Biographically situated insights on the transformative potential of sustainable affordable housing 可能性的棱镜:关于可持续经济适用房变革潜力的传记性见解
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12493
Diana Hernández
Rooted in my upbringing in the South Bronx and informed by my extensive equity‐focused research on housing, energy, and health, alongside practical experience in small‐scale, place‐based real estate, I advocate for a more nuanced and holistic approach to understanding and achieving “sustainable affordable housing.” By challenging the conventional emphasis on environmental and economic sustainability, I argue that social realities must also take precedence in this endeavor. Drawing from my lived experiences and expertise, I propose viewing housing and neighborhoods through a population lens to drive equitable, intergenerational progress. In this commentary, I present three innovative strategies to harness the transformative potential of sustainable affordable housing. Bold Idea #1 emphasizes community‐based, non‐profit‐led retrofits, maintenance, and property management, while Bold Idea #2 champions legacy housing placements. Bold Idea #3 focuses on promoting moderate income housing and homeownership opportunities. These bold propositions aim to propel sustainable affordable housing beyond its current constraints, positioning it as a true catalyst for positive social change.
植根于我在南布朗克斯区的成长经历,以及我在住房、能源和健康方面以公平为重点的广泛研究,再加上我在小规模、以地方为基础的房地产方面的实践经验,我主张用一种更加细致入微、更加全面的方法来理解和实现 "可持续的经济适用房"。通过挑战传统上对环境和经济可持续性的强调,我认为社会现实也必须在这一努力中占据优先地位。根据我的生活经验和专业知识,我建议从人口的角度来看待住房和社区,以推动公平、跨代的进步。在这篇评论中,我提出了三项创新战略,以利用可持续经济适用房的变革潜力。大胆设想 1 "强调以社区为基础、由非营利组织主导的改造、维护和物业管理,而 "大胆设想 2 "则倡导遗留住房安置。大胆设想 3 着重于促进中等收入住房和购房机会。这些大胆的主张旨在推动可持续经济适用房超越目前的限制,使其成为积极社会变革的真正催化剂。
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引用次数: 0
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Real Estate Economics
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