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Do immigrants equally benefit from rent control? 移民是否同样受益于租金管制?
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12509
Xun Bian, Ruoyu Chen, Hanchen Jiang
This study examines how immigrants, often concentrated in urban areas with higher rent burdens, benefit from rent control. We focus on New York City's rent stabilization policy, using data from 2002 to 2017. We find that immigrant tenants are more likely to live in rent‐stabilized units than nonimmigrant tenants. However, conditional on living in rent‐stabilized units, immigrants receive $151 less monthly rent discounts than their nonimmigrant counterparts. This notable immigrant–native gap is economically and statistically significant and robust to various checks. Factors like spatial sorting, tenancy duration, policy awareness, and property characteristics primarily contribute to this disparity.
本研究探讨了通常集中在租金负担较重的城市地区的移民如何从租金管制中受益。我们利用 2002 年至 2017 年的数据,重点研究了纽约市的租金稳定政策。我们发现,与非移民租户相比,移民租户更有可能居住在租金稳定的单位中。然而,如果居住在租金稳定单位,移民每月获得的租金折扣比非移民少 151 美元。这种明显的移民与本地人之间的差距在经济和统计上都是显著的,而且经得起各种检验。空间排序、租期长短、政策意识和房产特征等因素是造成这种差距的主要原因。
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引用次数: 0
Zero‐price effect and consumer welfare: Evidence from online classified real estate service 零价格效应与消费者福利:网上房地产分类服务的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12508
David Ash, Danny Ben‐Shahar
We test whether the tendency to overvalue a free service over a paid alternative may lead to inferior economic outcomes. We examine data from an online classified real estate service in Israel that allows private and commercial owners to offer their real estate properties for sale and lease under either free‐basic or paid‐premium listing categories. Estimation results indicate a zero‐price effect in owners’ choice of a listing category. Moreover, although the vast majority of owners opt for the free‐ad category, the paid‐premium category generates increased buyer demand, greater transaction price, and decreased time‐on‐market—adding up to an average net benefit of about 3.5%–3.8% of the average transaction price (equivalent to about $12K–$13K). Outcomes are robust to a series of identification and test‐design issues.
我们检验了高估免费服务而非付费服务价值的倾向是否会导致较差的经济结果。我们研究了以色列一项在线房地产分类服务的数据,该服务允许私人和商业业主在免费-基本或付费-高级列表类别下出售和出租其房地产。估计结果表明,业主在选择挂牌类别时存在零价格效应。此外,尽管绝大多数业主选择免费刊登类别,但付费刊登类别会增加买方需求、提高交易价格并缩短上市时间,平均净收益约为平均交易价格的 3.5%-3.8%(相当于约 1.2 万-1.3 万美元)。结果对一系列识别和测试设计问题都很可靠。
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引用次数: 0
Housing sales and construction responses to COVID‐19: Evidence from shelter‐in‐place and eviction moratoria in the United States 住房销售和建设对 COVID-19 的反应:美国就地安置和暂停驱逐的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12507
S. Sayantani
The goal of this article is to analyze the county‐level impact of public policies related to COVID‐19 on the housing market in the United States. Aimed at reducing the spread of the virus, different states throughout the United States enacted nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as shelter‐in‐place (SIP) and eviction moratoria, in different months and for varied stretches throughout 2020 and 2021. SIP orders could potentially limit the ability of home‐buyers and sellers to interact as well as they could pre‐COVID, introducing frictions in the process of selling houses. Prolonged and overlapping eviction moratoria could dampen the construction of multifamily units and encourage the landlords to sell rented‐out apartments. This article attempts to investigate if and how these interventions causally impacted the county‐level housing sales and building permits approval in the United States. The article estimates the average treatment effect of these orders using a traditional generalized difference‐in‐difference estimator and a recent variation of the estimator that is more suited to multiple treatment groups with staggered treatment introductions and withdrawals. The results show that SIP is associated with significantly smaller year‐on‐year changes in sales of single‐family houses, condominiums and the collection of all residences. Selective moratoria on eviction hearings and judgments are also found to be associated with smaller year‐on‐year changes in multifamily building permit approvals.
本文旨在分析与 COVID-19 相关的公共政策在县一级对美国住房市场的影响。为了减少病毒传播,美国各州在 2020 年和 2021 年的不同月份和不同时间段颁布了非药物干预措施 (NPI),如就地避难 (SIP) 和暂停驱逐令。SIP 命令可能会限制房屋买家和卖家的互动能力,使他们无法像 COVID 前那样进行互动,从而在房屋销售过程中引入摩擦。长期和重叠的驱逐暂停令可能会抑制多户住宅单位的建设,并鼓励房东出售租出的公寓。本文试图研究这些干预措施是否以及如何对美国县级住房销售和建筑许可审批产生因果影响。文章使用传统的广义差分估算器和该估算器的最新变体估算了这些命令的平均治疗效果,后者更适用于交错引入和撤出治疗的多个治疗组。结果表明,SIP 与单户住宅、公寓和所有住宅销售量的同比变化明显较小相关。有选择地暂停驱逐听证和判决也与多户建筑许可审批的同比变化较小有关。
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引用次数: 0
Property management technology adoption in the short‐term housing rental market 短期房屋租赁市场采用物业管理技术的情况
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12504
Sophia Göppinger, Jaime Luque, Gianluca Marcato
We show evidence of the impact providing information on market conditions (supply growth, demand patterns, pricing trends, and competitor rates) on pricing in the short‐term rental market. Using a sample of 2196 housing units over 18 months available on Airbnb in Madrid, Spain, we observe property managers' adoption of this technology at different points in time for 16% of our observations. Our propensity score matching estimates support the evidence of greater market transparency obtained through the adoption of this technology, with a significant increase in revenues obtained through a reduced average daily price and increased occupancy. Our results are robust to several model selections dealing with a potential endogeneity issue. We also show some preliminary evidence of property managers increasingly engaging in dynamic pricing after adopting this technology. Mainly, revenue growth seems to be generated through a small price drop leading to a rise in occupancy at the top end of the price distribution rather than at the bottom end, where a significant and much higher price drop is not able to generate the necessary occupancy growth to obtain an overall increase in revenues.
我们展示了提供市场条件信息(供应增长、需求模式、定价趋势和竞争者费率)对短期租赁市场定价影响的证据。通过对西班牙马德里 Airbnb 上 18 个月内 2196 套住房单元的抽样调查,我们观察到 16% 的观察对象在不同时间点采用了该技术。我们的倾向得分匹配估计值支持通过采用该技术提高市场透明度的证据,同时通过降低日均价格和提高入住率显著增加了收入。我们的结果对处理潜在内生性问题的几种模型选择都是稳健的。我们还显示了一些初步证据,表明在采用这项技术后,物业管理人员越来越多地参与动态定价。主要情况是,收入增长似乎是通过小幅降价导致价格分布高端的入住率上升而产生的,而不是通过价格分布低端的入住率上升产生的,在价格分布低端,大幅且更高的降价无法产生必要的入住率增长来实现收入的整体增长。
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引用次数: 0
“Connect” me! Social networking in commercial real estate "连接 "我商业地产中的社交网络
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12506
Eren Cifci, Alan Tidwell
The use of social networking sites (SNS) within professional contexts is increasingly prevalent, yet studies examining their impact within the real estate sector remain limited. In this study, using LinkedIn followers as an indicator of professional networks, we investigate the effect of professional networking on performance within the commercial real estate market. By leveraging an agent's LinkedIn followers, we introduce a novel measure of professional network into the real estate literature. Findings suggest that listing agents with a larger number of SNS followers tend to engage in more property transactions, achieve higher sales prices, and experience shorter sale times than agents with fewer SNS connections. Similarly, agents considered “active” on the SNS also perform better than agents that have an account but are not “active.” These findings persist after accounting for various agent, property, and location characteristics, suggesting that SNS can be a helpful tool for real estate agents in utilizing and expanding their professional network.
社交网站(SNS)在专业领域的使用越来越普遍,但对其在房地产领域的影响的研究仍然有限。在本研究中,我们使用 LinkedIn 关注者作为职业网络的指标,调查职业网络对商业房地产市场绩效的影响。通过利用经纪人的 LinkedIn 关注者,我们在房地产文献中引入了一种新的专业网络衡量标准。研究结果表明,与拥有较少 SNS 连接的经纪人相比,拥有较多 SNS 关注者的挂牌经纪人倾向于参与更多的房产交易,实现更高的销售价格,并缩短销售时间。同样,在 SNS 上 "活跃 "的经纪人也比拥有账户但不 "活跃 "的经纪人表现更好。在考虑了经纪人、房产和地点的各种特征后,这些发现依然存在,这表明 SNS 可以成为房地产经纪人利用和扩展其专业网络的有用工具。
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引用次数: 0
Foreward 前言
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12502
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引用次数: 0
Bank failures, capital buffers, and exposure to the housing market bubble 银行倒闭、资本缓冲和房地产市场泡沫风险
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12494
Gazi I. Kara, Cindy M. Vojtech
We develop housing overvaluation measures that are separate from local economic conditions and show that banks with greater exposure to such overvalued markets have higher mortgage delinquency and charge‐off rates and significantly higher probabilities of failure during the 2007–2009 financial crisis even after controlling for bank characteristics. While high house prices relative to fundamentals present a greater likelihood of house price correction, we find no evidence that banks managed this risk by building capital. We also show that our overvaluation measures are important in explaining individual mortgage loan defaults and could be used to improve bank risk management.
我们制定了独立于当地经济状况的住房高估衡量标准,结果表明,在 2007-2009 年金融危机期间,即使在控制了银行特征之后,在此类高估市场中风险敞口较大的银行的抵押贷款拖欠率和冲销率也较高,倒闭概率也显著增加。虽然相对于基本面的高房价带来了房价回调的更大可能性,但我们没有发现银行通过建立资本来管理这种风险的证据。我们的研究还表明,我们的高估指标对解释个人抵押贷款违约非常重要,可用于改善银行的风险管理。
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引用次数: 0
Housing prices, costs, and policy: The housing supply equation in Ireland since 1970 住房价格、成本和政策:1970 年以来爱尔兰的住房供应方程
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12491
Maximilian Günnewig‐Mönert, Ronan C. Lyons
This article examines the responsiveness of new housing supply to prices and costs, using the case of Ireland at quarterly frequency from the 1970s, as well as a county‐level panel from the 1990s. Across four error‐correction specifications, and supported by an instrumental variables approach, we find the estimated elasticity of new housing supply to prices of +0.9 in the baseline, while that of costs is larger in magnitude (−1.9). We present evidence that responsiveness to prices rose after the 1980s, then fell in the 2000s, before rising again and also that elasticities vary at the county level.
本文以爱尔兰为例,采用 20 世纪 70 年代的季度频率以及 20 世纪 90 年代的县级面板数据,研究了新房供应对价格和成本的反应。通过四种误差修正规格,并在工具变量方法的支持下,我们发现基线中新建住房供应对价格的弹性估计值为 +0.9,而对成本的弹性估计值较大(-1.9)。我们提出的证据表明,对价格的反应在 20 世纪 80 年代后上升,然后在 2000 年代下降,之后再次上升,而且弹性在县一级也各不相同。
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引用次数: 0
Houston, you have a problem: How large cities accommodate more housing 休斯顿,你有麻烦了:大城市如何容纳更多住房
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12490
Anthony W. Orlando, Christian L. Redfearn
We document how a select set of large and growing metropolitan areas have accommodated growth in their housing supply over 40 years. In particular, we examine how housing provision has evolved for the largest four metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in California and Texas. Despite differences in their topographies and regulatory environments, we find several common dynamics. As these MSAs grow, we see that fewer new net units are built at the periphery and a smaller share of the new units are built as single‐family detached houses. As a greater share of new net units are built in infill locations, more units are built using higher‐density—and more costly—multifamily housing construction techniques. Interestingly, we see these housing supply patterns in both “pro‐growth” MSAs and “highly regulated” MSAs. Among all of our sample MSAs, we also find a declining share of Census tracts that participate in accommodating growth. Our results are consistent with the existence of a convex housing supply curve. We believe that this secular trend will pose genuine challenges to many urban housing policies aimed at improving affordability.
我们记录了一组精选的不断发展的大都市地区在过去 40 年间是如何适应其住房供应增长的。特别是,我们研究了加利福尼亚州和得克萨斯州最大的四个大都市统计区(MSA)的住房供给是如何演变的。尽管它们的地形和监管环境各不相同,但我们发现了一些共同的动态变化。随着这些大都市统计区的发展,我们发现在外围新建的净住房单元越来越少,而且新建单元中独栋独立式住宅所占的比例也越来越小。随着更多的新建净住房单元建在填充区,更多的单元采用了密度更高、成本更高的多家庭住房建造技术。有趣的是,我们在 "促进增长 "的澳门金沙线上领彩金网和 "高度管制 "的澳门金沙线上领彩金网都看到了这些住房供应模式。在所有样本澳门金沙线上领彩金网中,我们还发现参与促进增长的人口普查区所占的比例在下降。我们的研究结果与凸型住房供应曲线的存在是一致的。我们认为,这一长期趋势将对许多旨在提高可负担性的城市住房政策构成真正的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Housing leverage, home value, and retirement 住房杠杆、房屋价值和退休
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12492
Xun Bian, Zhenguo Lin, Feifei Zhu
We study the effect of housing leverage, measured using the loan‐to‐value (LTV) ratio, on homeowners' retirement decisions. We find that in general, elevated LTV ratios delay retirements. By decomposing the changes of the current LTV ratio into (1) equity extractions, (2) equity build‐up, (3) home value increases, and (4) home value decreases, we find that equity extractions and declining home value drive the negative relationship between housing leverage and retirement. In contrast, retirement decisions are less responsive to equity build‐up and home value appreciation. Our results suggest that the influence of housing leverage on retirement decisions is path‐dependent and asymmetric. We also find that transitions into retirement are more sensitive to home price declines, and retirement reversals are often triggered by equity extraction. Further analyses also reveal that the impact of housing leverage on retirement differs by household age and financial constraints, and it also varies across different stages of a housing market cycle.
我们研究了用贷款价值比(LTV)衡量的住房杠杆对房主退休决策的影响。我们发现,一般来说,LTV 比率升高会延迟退休。通过将当前贷款与价值比率的变化分解为(1)资产提取、(2)资产积累、(3)房屋增值和(4)房屋贬值,我们发现,资产提取和房屋贬值推动了住房杠杆与退休之间的负相关关系。相反,退休决策对资产积累和房屋增值的反应较小。我们的研究结果表明,住房杠杆对退休决策的影响是路径依赖和非对称的。我们还发现,退休过渡对房价下跌更为敏感,而退休逆转往往是由资产提取引发的。进一步的分析还显示,住房杠杆对退休的影响因家庭年龄和财务限制而异,在住房市场周期的不同阶段也各不相同。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Real Estate Economics
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