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Assessing the progress toward achieving energy‐ and climate‐related sustainable development goals under four global energy transition outlooks 评估在四种全球能源转型展望下实现与能源和气候相关的可持续发展目标的进展情况
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-27 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2873
Wenjie Ruan, Zhaoxia Guo, Jing Yang, Lei Gao, Yucheng Dong, Qi Liu
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges in achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), underscoring the critical need for energy transitions to mitigate the climate crisis. The achievement of two energy‐ and climate‐focused SDGs—SDG 7 (affordable and clean energy) and SDG 13 (climate action)—remains uncertain under potential future global energy transition outlooks. This study evaluates the progress toward achieving SDGs 7 and 13 by 2050 under four representative energy transition outlooks through 14 performance indicators derived from a global system dynamics model. Our results reveal a progressive trend in achieving SDGs 7 and 13 under these energy transition outlooks. The overall progress scores toward these two SDGs are estimated as 16.23% in 2030 and 20.06% in 2050 under the most conservative outlook and 65.35% in 2030 and 88.24% in 2050 under the most radical outlook. Although energy transitions contribute to achieving SDGs 7 and 13, our analysis indicates that the world is far off‐track in achieving these SDGs by relying solely on the implementation of energy transition policies. We further suggest promising measures from both the energy sector and other vital sectors to facilitate progress toward achieving the two SDGs.
气候变化是实现联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)的最大挑战之一,凸显了能源转型以缓解气候危机的迫切需要。在未来潜在的全球能源转型前景下,实现两个以能源和气候为重点的可持续发展目标--可持续发展目标 7(负担得起的清洁能源)和可持续发展目标 13(气候行动)--仍存在不确定性。本研究通过全球系统动力学模型得出的 14 个绩效指标,评估了在四个具有代表性的能源转型前景下,到 2050 年实现可持续发展目标 7 和 13 的进展情况。我们的研究结果表明,在这些能源转型展望下,实现可持续发展目标 7 和 13 的趋势是渐进的。据估计,在最保守的展望下,实现这两个可持续发展目标的总体进度在 2030 年和 2050 年分别为 16.23% 和 20.06%;在最激进的展望下,实现这两个可持续发展目标的总体进度在 2030 年和 2050 年分别为 65.35% 和 88.24%。尽管能源转型有助于实现可持续发展目标 7 和 13,但我们的分析表明,仅仅依靠实施能源转型政策,世界在实现这些可持续发展目标方面还远远没有走上正轨。我们进一步提出了能源部门和其他重要部门的可行措施,以促进实现这两个可持续发展目标。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of factors influencing carbon emissions of urban households: A case study of old urban community in northern China 城市家庭碳排放影响因素分析:中国北方城市老旧社区案例研究
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-27 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2872
Yue Xu, Qingsong Wang, Shu Tian, Yue Li, Xueliang Yuan, Qiao Ma, Mengyue Liu, Yujie Zhang, Shuo Yang, YuanLi Xu, Yue Yang, Chengqing Liu
CO2 emissions reduction of urban residents is one of the main ways to mitigate climate change. Clarifying the key factors of carbon emissions can provide a reference basis for the government to formulate carbon reduction policies. The old urban community that widely exist in most cities in northern China is taken as the research object. Based on the fuzzy interpretive structural model and structural equation model, a new method is proposed to explore the influencing factors of household carbon emissions (HCEs). It is found that behavior change attitude and low‐carbon personal cognition are the two most important factors affecting HCE. Elderly families, high‐income families, and low‐education families are the groups with higher per capita HCE. Different suggestions were proposed to promote HCE reduction for the high‐income young tenants and low‐income elderly local residents in the community. In addition, by introducing multi‐agent judgment, the coupling model proposed in this study reduces the subjectivity caused by excessive reliance on single agent judgment in previous studies. It enhances the credibility of research conclusions and provides a good methodological reference for research in similar fields.
城市居民二氧化碳减排是减缓气候变化的主要途径之一。明确碳排放的关键因素,可以为政府制定碳减排政策提供参考依据。本文以广泛存在于我国北方大部分城市的城市老旧社区为研究对象。在模糊解释结构模型和结构方程模型的基础上,提出了探讨家庭碳排放影响因素的新方法。研究发现,行为改变态度和低碳个人认知是影响家庭碳排放的两个最重要因素。老年人家庭、高收入家庭和低学历家庭是人均 HCE 较高的群体。针对社区中的高收入年轻租户和低收入老年本地居民,提出了不同的建议,以促进降低 HCE。此外,本研究提出的耦合模型通过引入多代理判断,减少了以往研究中过度依赖单代理判断所造成的主观性。它增强了研究结论的可信度,为类似领域的研究提供了良好的方法参考。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the sustainable development mode of resource‐oriented regions on plateaus—A case study for Gannan Tibetan autonomous prefecture 高原资源型地区可持续发展模式研究--以甘南藏族自治州为例
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-25 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2862
Qian Liu, Fujia Li, Suocheng Dong, Hao Cheng
Many resource‐oriented regions on plateaus (RORP) are facing the double threat of ecological destruction and resource exploitation. The traditional development mode will destroy fragile ecosystems in RORP, resulting in substantial environmental governance costs and environmental restoration difficulties. Therefore, realizing the sustainable development of these regions has become a major topic of interest. In this study, we designed a sustainable development mode, that is, “conservation mining‐ecological restoration‐substitute industries‐energy saving and emission reduction” (CESE), for RORP. The integration of the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Service and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model and the system dynamics (SD) model were used to evaluate and simulate the comprehensive effect and future trends of the sustainable development mode in the RORP. The evaluation and simulation results clearly show that through long‐term stable operation, this sustainable development mode can alleviate the double threat of the “unbridled development‐fragile ecosystem”(UDFE) and achieve synchronous growth of ecological, economic, and social benefits. Additionally, this study further proposes the potential risks of this mode and directions for iterative improvements, serving as goals of regional optimization and improvement in the future. The sustainable development mode of RORP proposed in this study has important theoretical significance and practical value for mitigating the double threat associated with the development of RORP.
许多高原资源型地区(RORP)正面临着生态破坏和资源开发的双重威胁。传统的开发模式会破坏高原资源型地区脆弱的生态系统,造成巨大的环境治理成本和环境恢复困难。因此,实现这些地区的可持续发展已成为人们关注的重要课题。本研究设计了 "保护性开采-生态修复-替代产业-节能减排"(CESE)的可持续发展模式。结合生态系统服务与权衡综合评价模型(InVEST)和系统动力学模型(SD),对该可持续发展模式的综合效果和未来趋势进行了评估和模拟。评估和模拟结果表明,通过长期稳定运行,这种可持续发展模式可以缓解 "无序发展-脆弱生态系统"(UDFE)的双重威胁,实现生态、经济和社会效益的同步增长。此外,本研究还进一步提出了该模式的潜在风险和迭代改进方向,作为未来区域优化和改进的目标。本研究提出的区域可持续发展模式,对于缓解区域可持续发展的双重威胁具有重要的理论意义和实践价值。
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引用次数: 0
Green connection to the world: Building regional responsible sustainable development strategies 与世界的绿色联系:制定负责任的地区可持续发展战略
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2863
Zhenshan Yang, Haoran Wang
Green development and solutions to environmental problems rely on local conditions and green connections between regions during their development. However, it is less understood whether a region's emission of carbon and pollutants is moderate compared to its development. The study proposes the ‘green connection of regional development’ concept from the consumption perspective to enhance the understanding and measurement of regional capacity towards green development and responsible production and consumption. Data envelopment analysis was performed to evaluate the local and embodied emissions of eight pollutants for 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2017. Twenty provinces had optimal capacity of green growth within the region and 15 had an optimal green connection of regional development. Suboptimal levels of overall green growth and green connection of regional development efficiencies were due to insufficient pure technical and scale efficiency levels, with a stronger impact of the former.
绿色发展和环境问题的解决有赖于发展过程中的因地制宜和区域间的绿色联系。然而,人们较少了解一个地区的碳和污染物排放量是否与其发展相适应。本研究从消费角度提出了 "区域发展的绿色联系 "概念,以加强对区域绿色发展和负责任生产与消费能力的理解和衡量。研究采用数据包络分析法,对中国 30 个省份 2012 年至 2017 年 8 种污染物的本地排放量和体现排放量进行了评估。结果显示,20 个省份的区域内绿色增长能力最优,15 个省份的区域发展绿色连接能力最优。总体绿色增长水平和区域发展绿色联系效率低于最优水平的原因是纯技术效率和规模效率水平不足,前者的影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental effect of Chinese FDI in Africa: Evidence from pooled mean group 中国在非洲的外国直接投资对环境的影响:来自集合平均值组的证据
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2868
S. Oladipupo, F. Ajide
The growth of the China‐African economic relationship has received much attention among the scholars. Africa and China have experienced cooperation in the areas of foreign direct investment, cross‐border trade, and foreign aids. While this economic relationship has been viewed to contribute to the development of African nations, some scholars are of the opinion that it is a new practice in imperialism. Surprisingly, none of these scholars has examined the environmental effect of Chinese foreign direct investment (CFDI) in African regions. On this note, this study investigates how Chinese foreign direct investment (CFDI) has altered environmental conditions in sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA). The study uses the pooled mean group panel estimation procedure to control for short‐run heterogeneity and long‐run homogeneity in the absence of cross‐sectional dependence for the period 2003–2020, focusing on 22 countries in the region that have seen a substantial increase in foreign investment from China. CFDI is shown to decrease CO2 emissions in the long term, lending credence to the pollution halo hypothesis. Furthermore, short‐term averages show that CFDI increases CO2 emissions, lending credence to the pollution haven hypothesis. However, the short‐term results showed substantial variation on how CFDI affects CO2 emissions. The research shows that short‐term CFDI is associated with reduction in CO2 emissions in Burundi and Rwanda but increases them in the Congo Republic, Gabon, and South Africa. Some policy suggestions based on the results are offered.
中非经济关系的发展备受学者关注。非洲和中国在外国直接投资、跨境贸易和对外援助等领域开展了合作。虽然这种经济关系被认为有助于非洲国家的发展,但也有学者认为这是帝国主义的新做法。令人惊讶的是,这些学者都没有研究过中国在非洲地区的外国直接投资(CFDI)对环境的影响。有鉴于此,本研究探讨了中国对外直接投资(CFDI)如何改变了撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)的环境状况。本研究采用集合均值组面板估计程序,在不存在横截面依赖性的情况下,对 2003-2020 年期间的短期异质性和长期同质性进行控制,重点研究该地区 22 个来自中国的外商投资大幅增长的国家。从长期来看,中国直接外资减少了二氧化碳排放量,从而证明了污染光环假说。此外,短期平均值显示,外商直接投资增加了二氧化碳排放量,使污染天堂假说成立。然而,短期结果显示,外国直接投资对二氧化碳排放的影响存在很大差异。研究表明,在布隆迪和卢旺达,短期外国直接投资与二氧化碳排放量的减少有关,但在刚果共和国、加蓬和南非,短期外国直接投资却增加了二氧化碳排放量。根据研究结果提出了一些政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the complexities of CSR and firm performances: Unveiling the relationship between social responsibility, ethical conduct, and consumer perceptions 探索企业社会责任与企业绩效的复杂性:揭示社会责任、道德行为和消费者认知之间的关系
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2864
Muhammad Faisal Shahzad, Jingbo Yuan, M. Husnain, Guicheng Ma
This study investigates the relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and brand perception. It specifically examines how negative attitudes toward CSR activities and emotional contagion influence brand perception. The research focuses on young consumers as the sample population. The findings underscore the significance of CSR in shaping consumer attitudes and emotions toward brands. The results indicate that negative attitudes toward a company's CSR initiatives can exacerbate negative brand perception. Therefore, the study emphasizes the importance of companies demonstrating their dedication to sustainability and environmental stewardship to appeal to environmentally conscious customers. However, the research also acknowledges certain limitations include the geographical sampling size and sampling techniques, which should be taken into consideration.
本研究探讨了企业社会责任(CSR)与品牌认知之间的关系。研究特别探讨了对企业社会责任活动的负面态度和情感传染是如何影响品牌认知的。研究以年轻消费者为样本人群。研究结果强调了企业社会责任在塑造消费者对品牌的态度和情感方面的重要作用。结果表明,对企业社会责任活动的负面态度会加剧对品牌的负面认知。因此,研究强调,企业必须展示其在可持续发展和环境管理方面的努力,以吸引具有环保意识的消费者。不过,研究也承认存在一定的局限性,包括地域抽样规模和抽样技术,这些都应加以考虑。
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引用次数: 0
How infrastructure development, technological innovation, and institutional quality impact the environmental quality of G7 countries: A step towards environmental sustainability 基础设施发展、技术创新和机构质量如何影响七国集团国家的环境质量:迈向环境可持续性的一步
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2850
Badee Uz Zaman, Hui‐Yun Yu
Despite the economic success, the G7 nations have not adequately prioritized environmental welfare. However, these nations must recognize that economic prosperity cannot be sustained without safeguarding environmental sustainability. In short, environmental protection is a necessary component of achieving sustainable development goals. For this matter, this study aims to analyze the effects of accumulative infrastructure development, economic growth, foreign direct investment, technological innovation, and institutional quality on the CO2 emissions of the G7 countries. Using annual panel data from 1996 to 2020, this study employs cross‐sectional autoregressive distributed lags (CS‐ARDL) to determine the environmental impacts of the variables under investigation. The findings show that foreign direct investment and institutional quality have a favorable effect and improve environmental quality. In contrast, the accumulative (transport, energy, financial, and information and communication [ICT]) infrastructure development, economic growth, and technological innovation stimulate environmental degradation by increasing CO2 emissions. These results are found robust, as validated by the Common Correlated Effect Mean Group (CCEMG). In line with these crucial findings, governments have suggested that specific measures supporting innovation in environmental‐related technologies, infrastructure development, and economic growth must be implemented to mitigate CO2 emissions in the G7 countries.
尽管取得了经济成就,但 G7 国家并未充分优先考虑环境福利。然而,这些国家必须认识到,如果不保护环境的可持续性,经济繁荣就无法持续。简而言之,环境保护是实现可持续发展目标的必要组成部分。为此,本研究旨在分析基础设施建设、经济增长、外国直接投资、技术创新和制度质量的累积对 G7 国家二氧化碳排放的影响。本研究使用 1996 年至 2020 年的年度面板数据,采用横截面自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)来确定所研究变量对环境的影响。研究结果表明,外国直接投资和制度质量对改善环境质量具有有利影响。与此相反,累积性(交通、能源、金融、信息和通信技术[ICT])基础设施发展、经济增长和技术创新会增加二氧化碳排放量,从而刺激环境退化。共同相关效应均值组(CCEMG)验证了这些结果的稳健性。根据这些重要发现,各国政府建议,必须实施支持环境相关技术创新、基础设施发展和经济增长的具体措施,以减少 G7 国家的二氧化碳排放量。
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引用次数: 0
Consumers' perceptions of partnering brands: The roles of perceived sustainable development goals and partnership authenticity in a cross‐national context 消费者对合作品牌的看法:在跨国背景下可感知的可持续发展目标和伙伴关系真实性的作用
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2858
N. Lorgnier, Nicolas Chanavat, Che‐Jen Su, Kevser Çinar
This paper explores the ways in which consumers' perceptions of brands' sustainable development goals (SDGs) may influence perceptions of partnership authenticity and consumer loyalty toward partnering brands. Data collected from American, French, Turkish, Chinese, and Taiwanese respondents (n = 1241) were used to study the relationships among a Mega Sport Event Organizer – the International Olympic Committee, one of its sponsors, Airbnb, and their consumers. Findings reveal that both the salience of the partners' SDGs and the degree to which their SDGs align significantly impact the partnership authenticity which, in turn, fosters brand loyalty. Salience of brands' SDGs yields stronger predictions of partnership authenticity compared to SDG‐congruity. Additionally, while collectivism strengthens the effect of partnership authenticity, its impact on sustainable development is comparatively limited. From a conceptual standpoint, the research's contributions to categorization theory are discussed. Practical implications are presented for marketers seeking to enhance the effectiveness of their sustainable development strategy.
本文探讨了消费者对品牌可持续发展目标(SDGs)的认知可能会如何影响对合作关系真实性的认知以及消费者对合作品牌的忠诚度。本文使用从美国、法国、土耳其、中国和台湾受访者(n = 1241)收集的数据,研究了大型体育赛事组织者--国际奥林匹克委员会、其赞助商之一 Airbnb 及其消费者之间的关系。研究结果表明,合作伙伴可持续发展目标的显著性及其可持续发展目标的一致程度都会对合作伙伴关系的真实性产生重大影响,而合作伙伴关系的真实性反过来又会提高品牌忠诚度。与可持续发展目标的一致性相比,品牌可持续发展目标的显著性对合作伙伴关系真实性的预测更强。此外,虽然集体主义增强了伙伴关系真实性的效果,但其对可持续发展的影响相对有限。从概念的角度讨论了本研究对分类理论的贡献。研究还为寻求提高可持续发展战略有效性的营销人员提供了实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a software industry corporate social responsibility reference model for software sustainability 为软件可持续性建立软件业企业社会责任参考模型
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2849
Elisa Jiménez, M. A. Moraga, Félix García, Coral Calero, Gabriel Alberto García-Mireles
Over the last few years, sustainability has become increasingly relevant in different areas of industry. However, from the point of view of the software companies, the concept of software sustainability is still underdeveloped, as software emissions are not as easily observable as in other sectors, such as the power generation. A starting point for software development companies to tackle software sustainability is the inclusion of actions focused on improving software sustainability within their corporate social responsibility (CSR). For this reason, in this work, a set of specific software sustainability actions aligned with ISO 26000 corporate social responsibility standard is proposed. By including these actions in the CSR of software companies, they can improve sustainability aspects associated with software. In addition, the proposal was applied to six leading companies in the software sector in order to check its suitability and applicability.
在过去几年里,可持续发展与不同行业领域的关系日益密切。然而,从软件公司的角度来看,软件可持续发展的概念仍未得到充分发展,因为软件排放不像发电等其他行业那样容易观察到。软件开发公司解决软件可持续发展问题的一个起点,是在其企业社会责任(CSR)中纳入以提高软件可持续发展为重点的行动。为此,本文提出了一套符合 ISO 26000 企业社会责任标准的具体软件可持续发展行动。通过将这些行动纳入软件公司的企业社会责任,它们可以改善与软件相关的可持续发展方面。此外,该建议还适用于软件行业的六家领先公司,以检验其适宜性和适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Why do companies participate in climate change‐related initiatives? Theoretical and empirical analyses of motivations for Japanese companies 企业为何参与气候变化相关倡议?对日本公司参与动机的理论和实证分析
IF 12.5 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/sd.2848
Satoshi Shimizu, Mika Goto
The 2015 Paris Agreement accelerated the trend toward international decarbonization. Climate change initiatives, such as Science Based Targets, Renewable Energy 100%, and Task Force on Climate‐related Financial Disclosure are rapidly gaining attention as mechanisms that encourage voluntary efforts by companies to limit emissions. However, participation in these initiatives creates a conflict with the pursuit of short‐term profits. Understanding the firms' motivation for initiative participation contributes to the realization of sustainable development. This study empirically examines the motivations for large‐scale Japanese firms to participate in climate change initiatives. For this purpose, first, we update the conventional model of corporate motivations for taking environmental actions to fit the contemporary context. We then quantify individual firms' motivations based on various data and conduct regression analyses to identify the factors contributing to the firms' participation in the initiatives. The results indicate that firms have competitive and legitimate motives to participate in these initiatives.
2015 年《巴黎协定》加速了国际去碳化的趋势。气候变化倡议,如 "基于科学的目标"、"100% 可再生能源 "和 "与气候相关的财务披露特别工作组",作为鼓励企业自愿限制排放的机制,正迅速受到关注。然而,参与这些倡议与追求短期利润之间存在冲突。了解企业参与倡议的动机有助于实现可持续发展。本研究对日本大型企业参与气候变化倡议的动机进行了实证研究。为此,我们首先更新了企业采取环保行动的传统动机模型,以适应当代环境。然后,我们根据各种数据对单个企业的动机进行量化,并进行回归分析,以确定促使企业参与行动的因素。结果表明,企业参与这些行动的动机具有竞争性和合理性。
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引用次数: 0
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