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Modeling the demand across three major protein sources: Focusing on seafood protein 对三种主要蛋白质来源的需求进行建模:重点关注海鲜蛋白质
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-04-21 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2022.2063453
Yeowoon Park, Hayeon Joo, Junghoon Moon
Abstract Despite recent dramatic growth in seafood consumption worldwide, knowledge about seafood demand is limited relative to other protein sources. We model demand across three major protein categories (i.e., terrestrial meat, seafood, and plant-based protein) in South Korea to fill the research gap. This study models a quadratic almost ideal demand system (QUAIDS) by utilizing household panel data. The study takes this one step further by modeling demand within four seafood categories (i.e., fish, cephalopods, shellfish, and crustaceans). Sociodemographic variables, including health-related factors, are incorporated into the demand models. Results indicate that seafood is in a complementary relationship with terrestrial meat while it is a substitute for plant-based protein. All four seafood categories are a substitute for each other. The results reveal that people who take their health seriously tend to consume more seafood, particularly fish. The results have economic and marketing implications for which strategies could be adopted to influence seafood consumption.
摘要尽管最近全球海鲜消费量急剧增长,但与其他蛋白质来源相比,对海鲜需求的了解有限。我们对韩国三大蛋白质类别(即陆生肉、海鲜和植物蛋白)的需求进行了建模,以填补研究空白。本研究利用家用面板数据建立了二次型几乎理想需求系统(QUAIDS)的模型。该研究通过对四类海鲜(即鱼类、头足类、贝类和甲壳类动物)的需求进行建模,进一步推动了这一进程。社会经济变量,包括与健康相关的因素,被纳入需求模型。结果表明,海鲜与陆地肉类具有互补关系,而它是植物蛋白的替代品。所有四种海鲜都是相互替代的。研究结果表明,重视健康的人往往会吃更多的海鲜,尤其是鱼。研究结果具有经济和营销意义,可以采取哪些策略来影响海鲜消费。
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引用次数: 0
Clam aquaculture profitability under changing environmental risks 环境风险变化下蛤蜊养殖盈利能力研究
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-04-04 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2022.2058113
J. Moor, Andrew Ropicki, T. Garlock
Abstract As filter feeders, mollusks’ growth is completely reliant on the natural environment. This leaves clam aquaculture, and more generally molluskan aquaculture, highly susceptible to environmental risks such as harmful algal blooms (HABs) and low salinity events. As marine environments change, whether due to climatic or nutrient related variations, there may be new risk combinations that farmers have yet to encounter. To analyze the financial effects of environmental risks on clam farmers in the Gulf of Mexico, we conducted a Monte–Carlo experiment, varying risk combinations and correlations among scenarios. Simultaneous stressors showed a significant impact on individual firms, decreasing average profit by 71% and internal rate of return (IRR) by 83% when compared to best case baseline scenarios without environmental risk, indicating a potential need for risk mitigation strategies. While our analysis focuses on Florida Gulf of Mexico clam farmers, the model presented is applicable to molluskan aquaculture globally.
软体动物是滤食性动物,其生长完全依赖于自然环境。这使得蛤蜊养殖业,以及更普遍的软体动物养殖业,极易受到有害藻华和低盐度事件等环境风险的影响。随着海洋环境的变化,无论是由于气候变化还是与营养有关的变化,可能会出现农民尚未遇到的新的风险组合。为了分析环境风险对墨西哥湾蛤蜊养殖户的财务影响,我们进行了蒙特卡洛实验,改变了不同情景的风险组合和相关性。同时出现的压力源对单个企业产生了重大影响,与没有环境风险的最佳基线情景相比,平均利润下降了71%,内部回报率(IRR)下降了83%,这表明可能需要采取风险缓解策略。虽然我们的分析主要集中在佛罗里达墨西哥湾的蛤蜊养殖户,但所提出的模型适用于全球的软体动物养殖业。
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引用次数: 8
Consumers’ willingness to pay (WTP) for HACCP certified frozen farmed fish: A consumer survey from wet markets in Dhaka, Bangladesh 消费者对HACCP认证的冷冻养殖鱼的支付意愿(WTP):来自孟加拉国达卡湿市场的消费者调查
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-03-16 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2022.2046204
K. Hossain, Jianhong Xue, Md. Ghulam Rabbany
Abstract Bangladesh, like many developing countries, has taken various aquaculture product quality and safety control measures. However, it is little is known about Bangladeshi consumers' preferences, and in particular, whether they are willing to pay a price premium for safety improvements and what are the determinants of their WTP. This paper assesses consumers’ preferences and WTP for Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point (HACCP) of certified frozen farmed fish (major carps). Findings indicate that Bangladeshi consumers, on average, are ready to pay a premium of 24.62% more for HACCP-certified frozen major carps. Results also indicate that education, income, consumption frequency, perceived fish safety risk, taste, and freshness are the significant determinants of consumers’ WTP for HACCP certified frozen major carps.
孟加拉国与许多发展中国家一样,采取了各种水产养殖产品质量安全控制措施。然而,人们对孟加拉国消费者的偏好知之甚少,特别是,他们是否愿意为安全改进支付溢价,以及决定他们WTP的因素是什么。本文评估了消费者对认证冷冻养殖鱼类(主要是鲤鱼)危害分析关键控制点(HACCP)的偏好和WTP。调查结果表明,孟加拉国消费者平均愿意为haccp认证的冷冻主要鲤鱼多支付24.62%的溢价。结果还表明,教育程度、收入、消费频率、感知到的鱼类安全风险、味道和新鲜度是消费者对HACCP认证的冷冻主要鲤鱼的WTP的重要决定因素。
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引用次数: 3
Seafood supply and demand disruptions: The Covid-19 pandemic and shrimp 海产品供需中断:Covid-19大流行和虾
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2022.2038719
A. Schmitz, Ly T. T. Nguyen
Abstract We develop a theoretical trade model based on classical welfare economics and apply it empirically to both importers and exporters of shrimp, the most traded seafood, to determine the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on shrimp produced and consumed in the U.S. and globally. We consider two time periods and compare these to the base period before the pandemic. Period 1 (March–June 2020): there is a net economic loss globally of $194 million due to lockdowns. Period 2 (July 2020–June 2021): there is a net welfare gain globally of $885 million due to increased shrimp demand. Overall, the global net economic gain was $692 million. For the United States alone, shrimp consumers gained $470 million while shrimp producers gained $24 million, which is relatively consistent with the net quasi-consumer gain of $475 million due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
摘要:本文基于经典福利经济学建立了一个理论贸易模型,并将其应用于贸易最多的海产品虾的进口商和出口商,以确定Covid-19大流行对美国和全球生产和消费的虾的影响。我们考虑两个时间段,并将其与大流行之前的基期进行比较。第一阶段(2020年3月至6月):由于封锁,全球净经济损失为1.94亿美元。第二期(2020年7月至2021年6月):由于虾类需求增加,全球净福利收益为8.85亿美元。总体而言,全球净经济收益为6.92亿美元。仅就美国而言,虾类消费者就获得了4.7亿美元的收益,虾类生产商获得了2400万美元的收益,这与新冠肺炎大流行导致的准消费者净收益4.75亿美元相对一致。
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引用次数: 7
Production economic relationships in intensive U.S. catfish production systems 美国鲶鱼集约化生产系统中的生产经济关系
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-02-16 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2022.2038720
Shraddha Hegde, G. Kumar, C. Engle, Jimmy L. Avery, Suja Aarattuthodi, Jeffrey C. Johnson, Jonathan van Senten
Abstract The U.S. catfish industry is evolving by adopting intensive farming practices such as intensively aerated ponds and split-pond systems. The functional relationship between fish yield and key production inputs in these intensive systems was analyzed based on commercial catfish production data from 143 pond observations (2010−2018). A Cobb-Douglas production function was employed for the intensively aerated ponds and a modified translog production function was used to define the production relationships in split ponds. Results indicated that the size of fingerlings at stocking, stocking density, aeration rate, feeding rate, survival, and harvest size of the fish were statistically significant variables influencing fish production in intensively aerated ponds. Initial fingerling stocking biomass (interaction of stocking size and stocking density), feed conversion ratio (FCR), feeding rate, and pond size were the most important variables influencing production in split-pond systems. Feed fed, as well as stocking biomass, were the significant variables found in both models. Both production functions indicated further scope for improvement in the use of inputs to increase production, especially in feed management.
美国鲶鱼产业正在通过采用集约化养殖方式发展,如密集曝气池塘和分池系统。基于2010 - 2018年143个池塘的商业鲶鱼产量数据,分析了这些集约化系统中鱼类产量与关键生产投入之间的函数关系。对密集曝气池采用Cobb-Douglas生产函数,对分段曝气池采用改进的超对数生产函数来定义生产关系。结果表明,放养时鱼种大小、放养密度、曝气率、投食率、成活率和收获量是影响强化曝气池鱼类产量的显著变量。初始鱼种生物量(放养规模与放养密度的交互作用)、饵料系数(FCR)、饵料率和池塘规模是影响分池系统产量的最重要变量。在两个模型中,采食量和放养生物量是显著变量。这两项生产职能都表明,在使用投入物以增加产量方面,特别是在饲料管理方面,还有进一步改进的余地。
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引用次数: 4
How often, how much? An analysis of Label Rouge salmon purchases in France 多久一次,多少钱?法国Label Rouge三文鱼采购情况分析
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-02-04 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2022.2033883
Arnar Buason, S. Agnarsson, K. Rickertsen
Abstract We investigated the purchases of salmon sold under the Label Rouge quality label in France. A flexible infrequency of purchases model was estimated using French scanner data. The results show that consumers’ perceptions differ substantially between fresh salmon labeled as Label Rouge and other fresh salmon and confirm that Label Rouge results in product differentiation. Furthermore, consumers of Label Rouge salmon neither reduce the consumption frequency of Label Rouge salmon nor switches to other types of fish when the price of Label Rouge salmon increases. However, total sales of Label Rouge salmon will be reduced when the price increases. The average Label Rouge consumer is an older middle-class person from Paris. Marketing activities should specifically target this group of consumers.
摘要:我们调查了在法国以红色标签质量标签销售的鲑鱼的购买情况。使用法国扫描仪数据估计了一个灵活的购买频率模型。结果表明,消费者的看法之间的新鲜鲑鱼标签胭脂和其他新鲜鲑鱼显著不同,并证实,胭脂标签导致产品差异化。此外,当Label Rouge三文鱼的价格上涨时,消费者既没有减少Label Rouge三文鱼的消费频率,也没有转向其他类型的鱼。但是,如果价格上涨,“Label Rouge”三文鱼的总销量将会减少。一般胭脂标签的消费者都是来自巴黎的中产阶级老人。营销活动应该专门针对这群消费者。
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引用次数: 0
Fish price volatility dynamics in Bangladesh 孟加拉国鱼类价格波动动态
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2022-01-10 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2021.2008049
Prokash Deb, M. Dey, Prasanna Surathkal
Abstract Price volatility is an important factor in the fish value chain influencing the costs, trade, income, and food security. Therefore, analysis of fish price volatility dynamics can provide valuable insights into the impact of aquaculture growth in Bangladesh, a developing country where much of the animal source protein is obtained through fish consumption. In this article, we use both descriptive analysis and time-series econometric modeling to understand the price volatility dynamics of four major aquaculture products at retail level, as well as the efficiency of the markets to adjust to price shocks. We analyze publicly available retail fish prices observations from January 2007 to December 2019. This period is characterized by a rapid growth in aquaculture output as the inland aquaculture sector of Bangladesh shifted away from largely low-intensity farming toward commercialization. Our results indicate Bangladesh is experiencing lower fish price volatility during recent years. Therefore, we argue that rapid growth in aquaculture output in Bangladesh has contributed to lower volatility of fish prices. The article also sheds light on the volatility persistence and finds almost all the markets are inefficiently adjusting to price shock, indicating that there is more room for improving the functioning of fish markets in Bangladesh.
摘要价格波动是鱼类价值链中影响成本、贸易、收入和粮食安全的一个重要因素。因此,对鱼类价格波动动态的分析可以为孟加拉国水产养殖增长的影响提供有价值的见解。孟加拉国是一个发展中国家,大部分动物源蛋白都是通过鱼类消费获得的。在本文中,我们使用描述性分析和时间序列计量经济学模型来了解四种主要水产养殖产品在零售层面的价格波动动态,以及市场对价格冲击的调整效率。我们分析了2007年1月至2019年12月期间公开的零售鱼类价格观察结果。这一时期的特点是,随着孟加拉国内陆水产养殖部门从基本上低强度的养殖转向商业化,水产养殖产量迅速增长。我们的研究结果表明,近年来,孟加拉国的鱼类价格波动率较低。因此,我们认为,孟加拉国水产养殖产量的快速增长有助于降低鱼类价格的波动性。这篇文章还揭示了波动的持续性,并发现几乎所有的市场都没有有效地适应价格冲击,这表明孟加拉国的鱼类市场有更大的改善空间。
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引用次数: 9
Risk preference, risk perception, and purchase recovery period: Empirical evidence from salmon contamination of COVID-19 in China 风险偏好、风险认知和购买恢复期:来自中国新冠肺炎三文鱼污染的经验证据
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2021.2019353
Zhijiang Yu, H. Bai
Abstract This paper investigates the recovery period of consumer salmon purchase intention after food scares at the Xinfadi wholesale market in China during the COVID-19 pandemic and examines the impact mechanism of risk preference and risk perception on the period duration. Our empirical analysis is based on a survey of 655 salmon consumers in Beijing, Tianjin, and Shanghai. We estimate that the purchase intention recovery period lasts 21 weeks among the surveyed consumers after the shock. Although the epidemic risk levels of the three cities are different, there is a significant difference only in the recovery period from 5 to 7th weeks. The Cox proportional hazards model results further show that consumers with less risk-averse are more active in resuming purchase intention, and the effect of risk perception is just the opposite. Moreover, risk perception has a moderating effect on risk preference and recovery period. Finally, we put forward three possible policy implications: attaching nucleic acid detection certificate, strengthening cold chain management, and diversifying cooking methods.
摘要本文调查了新冠肺炎疫情期间中国新发地批发市场食品恐慌后消费者三文鱼购买意愿的恢复期,并探讨了风险偏好和风险感知对恢复期的影响机制。我们的实证分析基于对北京、天津和上海655名三文鱼消费者的调查。我们估计购买意向恢复期为21 受调查的消费者在冲击后数周。尽管三个城市的疫情风险水平不同,但仅在5至7周的恢复期内存在显著差异。Cox比例风险模型的结果进一步表明,风险厌恶程度较低的消费者更积极地恢复购买意愿,而风险感知的效果恰恰相反。此外,风险感知对风险偏好和恢复期具有调节作用。最后,我们提出了三个可能的政策含义:附加核酸检测证书、加强冷链管理、多样化烹饪方法。
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引用次数: 2
The impact of sustainable aquaculture technologies on the welfare of small-scale fish farming households in Myanmar 可持续水产养殖技术对缅甸小规模养鱼户福利的影响
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2021.2011988
Y. Aung, L. Khor, N. Tran, M. Akester, M. Zeller
Abstract This study analyzed the determinants and potential impacts of the adoption of sustainable aquaculture (SA) technologies on the welfare of small-scale aquaculture (SSA) households in Myanmar using an endogenous switching regression model. Welfare is measured by fish productivity and fish income per cycle and Household Dietary Diversity Score. Our analysis revealed that distance to the sale-point, membership in farmers’ organizations, awareness of pond maintenance benefits, access to information through private extension services, and location were the main drivers behind adopting SA technologies. Results showed that adopting SA technologies increases welfare outcomes of SSA households; however, the non-adopters stand to benefit the most in terms of an increase in welfare outcomes if they adopt the technologies. Our research findings suggested that policies targeted at raising SSA households’ income and dietary diversity can be realized through interventions to raise farmer’s awareness, adoption, and technical know-how about the SA technologies.
摘要本研究使用内生切换回归模型分析了采用可持续水产养殖(SA)技术对缅甸小规模水产养殖(SSA)家庭福利的决定因素和潜在影响。福利是通过每周期的鱼类生产力和鱼类收入以及家庭饮食多样性得分来衡量的。我们的分析表明,距离销售点的距离、农民组织的成员资格、对池塘维护效益的认识、通过私人推广服务获得信息以及位置是采用SA技术的主要驱动因素。结果表明,采用SA技术可以提高SSA家庭的福利成果;然而,如果非采用者采用这些技术,他们将从福利结果的增加中受益最大。我们的研究结果表明,旨在提高SSA家庭收入和饮食多样性的政策可以通过干预措施来实现,以提高农民对SA技术的认识、采用和技术诀窍。
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引用次数: 2
Economic contribution of the U.S. catfish industry 美国鲶鱼产业的经济贡献
IF 3.9 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-11-26 DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2021.2008050
Shraddha Hegde, G. Kumar, C. Engle, T. Hanson, Luke A. Roy, Jonathan van Senten, Jeffrey C. Johnson, Jimmy L. Avery, Suja Aarattuthodi, Sunni Dahl, L. Dorman, Mark Peterman
Abstract The catfish industry is the largest U.S. aquaculture sector and a major contributor to the rural economies of the Southern states of Alabama, Arkansas, and Mississippi. Economic contributions of this industry to the tristate region were estimated using an input-output modeling approach with the IMPLAN database and software (Impact Analysis for Planning MIG, Inc.). An analysis-by-parts approach was employed as the IMPLAN database does not disaggregate the catfish sector from other livestock industries which have expenditure patterns that differ substantially from those of catfish. All major actors of the catfish industry, i.e. feed mills, hatcheries, foodfish farms, and processing plants, were surveyed to obtain their expenditure patterns and output in terms of sales. Data were obtained from 68 farms (hatcheries and foodfish combined), four feed mills, and eight processing plants in the tristate region. Sales and expenditure values were converted to coefficients employing standard enterprise budgeting techniques and imported to the IMPLAN model for estimating industry contributions during 2019. The direct output from the catfish industry ($1.10 billion) generated a total economic contribution of $1.91 billion. The industry directly employed 4,298 people and created an additional 4,868 jobs in the tristate economy for a total employment effect of 9,166 jobs. Catfish industry spending created an indirect economic effect of $552 million in other secondary sectors that supplied production inputs and services. The induced economic effect generated from household spending amounted to $254 million. Some of the key sectors influenced by the catfish industry were grain farming, banking and financial institutions, truck transportation services, electricity generation, equipment, and machinery manufacturing. The industry also generated $78 million in local, state, and federal taxes. This study provides critical insights for policymakers and others into the contribution of the U.S. farm-raised catfish industry to local and regional economies as well as its diverse-industry interconnections.
鲶鱼产业是美国最大的水产养殖部门,也是南部阿拉巴马州、阿肯色州和密西西比州农村经济的主要贡献者。该行业对三州地区的经济贡献是使用IMPLAN数据库和软件(MIG公司规划影响分析)的投入产出建模方法来估计的。采用了部分分析方法,因为IMPLAN数据库没有将鲶鱼部门与其他畜牧业分开,这些畜牧业的支出模式与鲶鱼的支出模式有很大不同。对鲶鱼产业的所有主要参与者,即饲料加工厂、孵化场、食用鱼养殖场和加工厂进行了调查,以获得其支出模式和销售产出。数据来自三州地区的68个养殖场(孵化场和食用鱼的总和)、4个饲料加工厂和8个加工厂。采用标准企业预算技术将销售额和支出值转换为系数,并导入IMPLAN模型,用于估算2019年的行业贡献。鲶鱼产业的直接产出(11亿美元)产生了19.1亿美元的总经济贡献。该行业直接雇用了4298人,并在三州经济中创造了4868个工作岗位,总就业效应为9166个工作岗位。鲶鱼产业支出为提供生产投入和服务的其他第二产业创造了5.52亿美元的间接经济效应。家庭开支所产生的经济效应达2.54亿美元。受鲶鱼产业影响的一些关键部门包括粮食种植、银行和金融机构、卡车运输服务、发电、设备和机械制造。该行业还创造了7800万美元的地方、州和联邦税收。这项研究为政策制定者和其他人提供了重要的见解,帮助他们了解美国农场养殖鲶鱼产业对当地和区域经济的贡献,以及它与不同行业的相互联系。
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引用次数: 15
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Aquaculture Economics & Management
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