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The Malliavin-Stein method for Hawkes functionals Hawkes泛函的Malliavin-Stein方法
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-04-04 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v19-52
C. Hillairet, Lorick Huang, Mahmoud Khabou, Anthony Reveillac
. In this paper, following Nourdin-Peccati’s methodology, we combine the Malliavin calculus and Stein’s method to provide general bounds on the Wasserstein distance between the law of functionals of a compound Hawkes process and the one of a Gaussian random variable. To achieve this, we rely on the Poisson imbedding representation of a Hawkes process to provide a Malliavin calculus for the Hawkes processes, and more generally for compound Hawkes processes. As an application, we close a gap in the literature by providing a quantitative Central Limit Theorem
。本文根据Nourdin-Peccati的方法,结合Malliavin演算和Stein的方法,给出了复合Hawkes过程泛函律与高斯随机变量泛函律之间的Wasserstein距离的一般界。为了实现这一点,我们依靠Hawkes过程的泊松嵌入表示来为Hawkes过程提供Malliavin演算,更一般地说,为复合Hawkes过程提供Malliavin演算。作为一种应用,我们通过提供一个定量的中心极限定理来填补文献中的空白
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引用次数: 5
Spread of Infection over P.A. random graphs with edge insertion 带边插入的P.A.随机图上的感染传播
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-03-30 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v19-50
C. Alves, Rodrigo Ribeiro
In this work we investigate a bootstrap percolation process on random graphs generated by a random graph model which combines preferential attachment and edge insertion between previously existing vertices. The probabilities of adding either a new vertex or a new connection between previously added vertices are time dependent and given by a function $f$ called the edge-step function. We show that under integrability conditions over the edge-step function the graphs are highly susceptible to the spread of infections, which requires only $3$ steps to infect a positive fraction of the whole graph. To prove this result, we rely on a quantitative lower bound for the maximum degree that might be of independent interest.
在这项工作中,我们研究了由随机图模型生成的随机图上的自举渗流过程,该模型结合了先前存在的顶点之间的优先附着和边插入。添加新顶点或先前添加的顶点之间的新连接的概率是时间相关的,并且由称为边阶函数的函数f给出。我们证明了在边阶函数上的可积条件下,图对感染的传播非常敏感,这只需要3个步骤就可以感染整个图的正部分。为了证明这一结果,我们依赖于可能独立感兴趣的最大程度的定量下限。
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引用次数: 1
Joint convergence of sample cross-covariance matrices 样本交叉协方差矩阵的联合收敛性
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-03-22 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v20-14
M. Bhattacharjee, A. Bose, Apratim Dey
Suppose $X$ and $Y$ are $ptimes n$ matrices each with mean $0$, variance $1$ and where all moments of any order are uniformly bounded as $p,n to infty$. Moreover, the entries $(X_{ij}, Y_{ij})$ are independent across $i,j$ with a common correlation $rho$. Let $C=n^{-1}XY^*$ be the sample cross-covariance matrix. We show that if $n, pto infty, p/nto yneq 0$, then $C$ converges in the algebraic sense and the limit moments depend only on $rho$. Independent copies of such matrices with same $p$ but different $n$, say ${n_l}$, different correlations ${rho_l}$, and different non-zero $y$'s, say ${y_l}$ also converge jointly and are asymptotically free. When $y=0$, the matrix $sqrt{np^{-1}}(C-rho I_p)$ converges to an elliptic variable with parameter $rho^2$. In particular, this elliptic variable is circular when $rho=0$ and is semi-circular when $rho=1$. If we take independent $C_l$, then the matrices ${sqrt{n_lp^{-1}}(C_l-rho_l I_p)}$ converge jointly and are also asymptotically free. As a consequence, the limiting spectral distribution of any symmetric matrix polynomial exists and has compact support.
假设$X$和$Y$是$ptimesn$矩阵,每个矩阵的平均值为$0$,方差为$1$,其中任何阶的所有矩都一致有界为$p,ntoinfty$。此外,条目$(X_{ij},Y_{ij})$在$i,j$上是独立的,具有公共相关性$rho$。设$C=n^{-1}XY^*$是样本互协方差矩阵。我们证明了如果$n,ptoinfty,p/ntoyneq0$,那么$C$在代数意义上收敛,并且极限矩仅依赖于$rho$。具有相同$p$但不同$n$的矩阵的独立副本,例如${n_l}$,不同相关性${rho_l}$,以及不同的非零$y$,例如${y_l}}$也联合收敛并且渐近自由。当$y=0$时,矩阵$sqrt{np^{-1}}(C-rho I_p)$收敛于参数为$rho^2$的椭圆变量。特别是,当$rho=0$时,这个椭圆变量是圆形的,当$ rho=1$时,它是半圆形的。如果我们取独立的$C_l$,则矩阵${sqrt{n_lp^{-1}}(C_l-rho_l I_p)}$联合收敛,并且也是渐近自由的。因此,任何对称矩阵多项式的极限谱分布都存在,并且具有紧致支持。
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引用次数: 2
The Spectra of Principal Submatrices in RotationallyInvariant Hermitian Random Matrices and the Markov–Krein Correspondence 旋转不变厄米随机矩阵中主子矩阵的谱及Markov-Krein对应
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-03-16 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v19-05
Katsunori Fujie, Takahiro Hasebe
We prove a concentration phenomenon on the empirical eigenvalue distribution (EED) of the principal submatrix in a random hermitian matrix whose distribution is invariant under unitary conjugacy; for example, this class includes GUE (Gaussian Unitary Ensemble) and Wishart matrices. More precisely, if the EED of the whole matrix converges to some deterministic probability measure m, then its fluctuation from the EED of the principal submatrix, after a rescaling, concentrates at the Rayleigh measure (in general, a Schwartz distribution) associated with m by the Markov–Krein correspondence. For the proof, we use the moment method with Weingarten calculus and free probability. At some stage of calculations, the proof requires a relation between the moments of the Rayleigh measure and free cumulants of m. This formula is more or less known, but we provide a different proof by observing a combinatorial structure of non-crossing partitions.
证明了在酉共轭下分布不变的随机厄米矩阵的主子矩阵的经验特征值分布(EED)上的集中现象;例如,这个类包括GUE(高斯统一集合)和Wishart矩阵。更准确地说,如果整个矩阵的EED收敛于某个确定性概率测度m,则其从主子矩阵的EED的波动,在重新标度后,集中在与m相关的瑞利测度(通常是施瓦兹分布),通过Markov-Krein对应。为了证明这一点,我们使用了矩法和Weingarten微积分以及自由概率。在计算的某些阶段,证明需要瑞利测度的矩与m的自由累积量之间的关系。这个公式或多或少为人所知,但我们通过观察非交叉分区的组合结构提供了不同的证明。
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引用次数: 1
Cutoff for the Fredrickson-Andersen one spin facilitated model Fredrickson-Andersen单旋促进模型的截止点
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-02-26 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v19-20
Anatole Ertul
The Fredrickson-Andersen one spin facilitated model belongs to the class of Kinetically Constrained Spin Models. It is a non attractive process with positive spectral gap. In this paper we give a precise result on the relaxation for this process on an interval [1, L] starting from any initial configuration. A consequence of this result is that this process exhibits cutoff at time L/(2v) with window O( √ L) for a certain positive constant v. The key ingredient is the study of the evolution of the leftmost empty site in a filled infinite half-line called the front. In the process of the proof, we improve recent results about the front motion by showing that it evolves at speed v according to a uniform central limit theorem.
Fredrickson-Andersen单自旋促进模型属于动力学约束自旋模型。这是一个具有正谱隙的非吸引过程。本文给出了该过程在区间[1,L]上的松弛性的精确结果。这一结果的一个结果是,对于某一正常数v,这一过程在时间L/(2v)处显示出窗口O(√L)的截止。关键的成分是研究被称为前沿的填充无限半线上最左边的空位置的演变。在证明过程中,我们改进了最近关于锋面运动的结果,根据一致中心极限定理证明了锋面运动以速度v演化。
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引用次数: 1
Factorization and discrete-time representation of multivariate CARMA processes 多元CARMA过程的因子分解和离散时间表示
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-02-23 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v19-31
Vicky Fasen-Hartmann, Markus Scholz
In this paper we show that stationary and non-stationary multivariate continuous-time ARMA (MCARMA) processes have the representation as a sum of multivariate complexvalued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes under some mild assumptions. The proof benefits from properties of rational matrix polynomials. A conclusion is an alternative description of the autocovariance function of a stationary MCARMA process. Moreover, that representation is used to show that the discrete-time sampled MCARMA(p,q) process is a weak VARMA(p, p− 1) process if second moments exist. That result complements the weak VARMA(p, p− 1) representation derived in Chambers and Thornton [8]. In particular, it relates the right solvents of the autoregressive polynomial of the MCARMA process to the right solvents of the autoregressive polynomial of the VARMA process; in the one-dimensional case the right solvents are the zeros of the autoregressive polynomial. Finally, a factorization of the sample autocovariance function of the noise sequence is presented which is useful for statistical inference.
本文证明了在一些温和的假设下,平稳和非平稳的多元连续时间ARMA(MCARMA)过程具有多元复值Ornstein-Uhlenbeck过程的和的表示。证明受益于有理矩阵多项式的性质。结论是对平稳MCARMA过程的自协方差函数的一种替代描述。此外,该表示用于表明,如果存在二阶矩,则离散时间采样的MCARMA(p,q)过程是弱VARMA(p,p−1)过程。该结果补充了Chambers和Thornton[8]中得出的弱VARMA(p,p−1)表示。特别地,它将MCARMA过程的自回归多项式的右溶剂与VARMA过程中的自回归方程的右溶剂联系起来;在一维情况下,正确的溶剂是自回归多项式的零。最后,给出了噪声序列的样本自协方差函数的因子分解,这对统计推断是有用的。
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引用次数: 1
Refined Large Deviation Principle for Branching Brownian Motion Conditioned to Have a Low Maximum 具有低极大值条件下分支布朗运动的精细大偏差原理
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-02-18 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v19-34
Yanjia Bai, Lisa Hartung
A BSTRACT . Conditioning a branching Brownian motion to have an atypically low maximum leads to a suppression of the branching mechanism. In this note, we consider a branching Brownian motion conditioned to have a maximum below √ 2 α t ( α < 1). We study the precise effects of an early/late first branching time and a low/high first branching location under this condition. We do so by imposing additional constraints on the first branching time and location. We obtain large deviation estimates, as well as the optimal first branching time and location given the additional constraints.
摘要。将分支布朗运动调节为具有异常低的最大值会导致分支机制的抑制。在本文中,我们考虑一个分支布朗运动,条件是其最大值低于√2αt(α<1)。我们研究了在这种情况下第一次分支时间早/晚和第一次分支位置低/高的精确影响。我们通过对第一个分支的时间和位置施加额外的限制来做到这一点。我们获得了大偏差估计,以及在附加约束条件下的最佳第一分支时间和位置。
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引用次数: 2
Tree convolution for probability distributionswith unbounded support 具有无界支持的概率分布的树卷积
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v18-58
E. Davis, David Jekel, Zhichao Wang
We develop the complex-analytic viewpoint on the tree convolutions studied by the second author and Weihua Liu in"An operad of non-commutative independences defined by trees"(Dissertationes Mathematicae, 2020, doi:10.4064/dm797-6-2020), which generalize the free, boolean, monotone, and orthogonal convolutions. In particular, for each rooted subtree $mathcal{T}$ of the $N$-regular tree (with vertices labeled by alternating strings), we define the convolution $boxplus_{mathcal{T}}(mu_1,dots,mu_N)$ for arbitrary probability measures $mu_1$, ..., $mu_N$ on $mathbb{R}$ using a certain fixed-point equation for the Cauchy transforms. The convolution operations respect the operad structure of the tree operad from doi:10.4064/dm797-6-2020. We prove a general limit theorem for iterated $mathcal{T}$-free convolution similar to Bercovici and Pata's results in the free case in"Stable laws and domains of attraction in free probability"(Annals of Mathematics, 1999, doi:10.2307/121080), and we deduce limit theorems for measures in the domain of attraction of each of the classical stable laws.
我们发展了第二作者和刘卫华在《树定义的非交换独立算子》(数学论文,2020,doi:10.4064/dm797-6-2020)中研究的树卷积的复分析观点,推广了自由卷积、布尔卷积、单调卷积和正交卷积。特别地,对于$N$正则树的每个根子树$mathcal{T}$(顶点由交替字符串标记),我们定义了任意概率测度$ma_1$,…的卷积$boxplus_{mathcal{T}}(mu_1,dots,mu_N)$$mu_N$在$mathbb{R}$上使用Cauchy变换的特定定点方程。卷积运算遵循doi:10.4064/dm797-6-2020中的树运算器的运算器结构。我们证明了迭代$mathcal{T}$自由卷积的一个一般极限定理,类似于Bercovici和Pata在“自由概率中的稳定定律和吸引域”(Annals of Mathematics,1999,doi:10.2307/12180)中在自由情况下的结果,并推导出每个经典稳定定律在吸引域中的测度的极限定理。
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引用次数: 0
Covering a compact space by fixed-radius or growing random balls 用固定半径或生长随机球覆盖紧凑空间
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-01-29 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v19-29
D. Aldous
. Simple random coverage models, well studied in Euclidean space, can also be defined on a general compact metric space S . In one specific model, “seeds" arrive as a Poisson process (in time) at random positions with some distribution θ on S , and create balls whose radius increases at constant rate. By standardizing rates, the cover time C depends only on θ . The value χ ( S ) = min θ E θ C is a numerical characteristic of the compact space S , and we give weak general upper and lower bounds in terms of the covering numbers of S . This suggests a future research program of improving such general bounds, and estimating χ ( S ) for familiar examples of compact spaces. We treat one example, infinite product space [0 , 1] ∞ with the product topology. On a different theme, by analogy with the geometric models, and with the discrete coupon collector’s problem and with cover times for finite Markov chains, one expects a “weak concentration" bound for the distribution of C to hold under minimal assumptions. We prove this as a simple consequence of a general result for increasing set-valued Markov processes.
. 简单的随机覆盖模型,在欧氏空间中得到了很好的研究,也可以在一般紧度量空间S上定义。在一个特定的模型中,“种子”作为泊松过程(在时间上)到达随机位置,在S上有一些分布θ,并产生半径以恒定速率增加的球。通过标准化速率,覆盖时间C只取决于θ。值χ (S) = min θ E θ C是紧空间S的一个数值特征,并给出了S的覆盖数的弱一般上界和下界。这暗示了一个未来的研究计划,改进这样的一般界限,并估计χ (S)为熟悉的紧空间的例子。我们处理一个例子,无限积空间[0,1]∞与积拓扑。在另一个主题上,通过类比几何模型、离散券集问题和有限马尔可夫链的覆盖时间,我们期望C分布的“弱集中”界在最小假设下成立。我们用一个关于集值递增马尔可夫过程的一般结果的一个简单结论来证明这一点。
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引用次数: 2
Asymptotics for Kendall’s renewal function Kendall更新函数的渐近性
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2021-01-29 DOI: 10.30757/alea.v19-56
M. Cadena, B. Jasiulis-Gołdyn, E. Omey
. An elementary renewal theorem and a Blackwell theorem provided by Jasiulis-Gołdyn et al. (2020) in a setting of Kendall convolutions are proved under weaker hypothesis and extended to the Gamma class. Convergence rates of the limits concerned in these theorems are analyzed. Our theoretical results are illustrated by several examples involving novel probability distributions and extremes.
Jasiulis Gołdyn等人(2020)在一组Kendall卷积中提出的初等更新定理和Blackwell定理在较弱的假设下得到了证明,并推广到Gamma类。分析了这些定理中有关极限的收敛速度。我们的理论结果通过几个涉及新概率分布和极值的例子来说明。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Alea-Latin American Journal of Probability and Mathematical Statistics
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