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Risk Analysis of Pension Fund Investment Choices 养老基金投资选择的风险分析
Pub Date : 2022-08-02 DOI: 10.1111/abac.12264
Emawtee Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Robert Brooks, Hung Xuan Do
We provide a comprehensive and more consistent approach to analyse and compare the risk-return relationships of Australian superannuation investment options for the period January 1990 to December 2016. In estimating the risk profiles of the investment options, we allow for the movement of the asset classes over time by employing a varying coefficient panel estimation technique. We find that while risk increases across different investment options from moderate to aggressive options, using different percentages of identifying a balanced fund does not impact the long-term risk measurement. We equally find that the risk-return relationships of investment options are not sensitive to the modelling framework, except for the crisis analysis, in which the Fama-French five-factor model provides greater sensitivity.
我们提供了一个全面和更一致的方法来分析和比较1990年1月至2016年12月期间澳大利亚养老金投资选择的风险回报关系。在估计投资选择的风险概况时,我们通过采用变系数面板估计技术来考虑资产类别随时间的移动。我们发现,虽然从中等到激进的不同投资选择的风险增加,但使用不同的百分比来确定平衡基金并不影响长期风险测量。我们同样发现,除了危机分析之外,投资期权的风险-收益关系对建模框架不敏感,其中Fama-French五因素模型具有更高的敏感性。
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引用次数: 0
The Capitalization Effect of Imputation Credits on Expected Stock Returns 资产抵扣对股票预期收益的资本化效应
Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1111/abac.12249
Anh Le, Xiangkang Yin, Jing Zhao
This paper develops an equilibrium model featuring heterogeneity in investor risk tolerance across different risk sources. Using Australian data, it confirms the theoretical predictions of the model by showing that a higher imputation credit yield in one year leads to a lower stock return in the next year. This negative relationship between imputation credit yield and stock return is weaker for stocks with higher idiosyncratic risk, larger size, and higher trading turnover. Our theoretical and empirical evidence favours the aggregation approach in explaining the capitalization effect of imputation credits over the marginal investor approach.
本文建立了投资者风险承受能力在不同风险源下的异质性均衡模型。利用澳大利亚的数据,它证实了该模型的理论预测,表明一年较高的imputation信贷收益率导致下一年较低的股票回报。对于特质风险较高、规模较大、成交量较高的股票,这种负相关关系较弱。我们的理论和实证证据都表明,在解释抵扣信用的资本化效应时,聚合方法优于边际投资者方法。
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引用次数: 0
Disclosures About Key Value Drivers in M&A Announcement Press Releases: An Exploratory Study 并购公告新闻稿中关键价值驱动因素的披露:探索性研究
Pub Date : 2021-07-21 DOI: 10.1111/abac.12234
Andrei Filip, Gerald J. Lobo, Luc Paugam, Hervé Stolowy
We investigate the association between disclosures about key value drivers (i.e., growth, synergies, human capital, brands, customers, and technology) in press releases announcing mergers and acquisitions (M&A) deals and acquirer stock returns upon the announcement. We find that, after controlling for the main characteristics of the deal, acquirers that use more terms about these value drivers in press releases exhibit more negative market returns around the M&A announcement. An increase of 10% in the number of terms used about generic value drivers is associated with a decrease in announcement market-adjusted returns of approximately 43 basis points. The negative association between terms about value drivers and acquirer stock returns is stronger for larger deals. We also find that disclosures about these value drivers in M&A announcement press releases are consistent with the subsequent subjective valuation of intangible assets recognized in acquirers’ financial statements through the purchase price allocation. Our findings are relevant for investors attempting to interpret early signals about the performance of M&A and for managers communicating about these strategic investment decisions.
我们调查了在宣布并购(M&A)交易的新闻稿中披露的关键价值驱动因素(即增长、协同效应、人力资本、品牌、客户和技术)与公告后收购方股票回报之间的关系。我们发现,在控制了交易的主要特征后,在新闻稿中使用更多关于这些价值驱动因素的术语的收购方在并购公告周围表现出更多的负市场回报。关于通用价值驱动因素的术语数量增加10%,与公告市场调整后的回报率下降约43个基点有关。对于规模较大的交易,价值驱动因素与收购方股票回报之间的负相关关系更为明显。我们还发现,并购公告新闻稿中关于这些价值驱动因素的披露与收购方随后通过购买价格分配在财务报表中确认的无形资产的主观估值是一致的。我们的研究结果与试图解释M&A绩效早期信号的投资者以及与这些战略投资决策进行沟通的管理者相关。
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引用次数: 0
Re-orienting the Statement of Cash Flows Around Cash Flows to Equity Holders 围绕流向权益持有人的现金流重新调整现金流量表的方向
Pub Date : 2021-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/abac.12224
ILIA D. Dichev
This paper argues that the Statement of Cash Flows should be re-oriented around the concept of Cash Flows to Equity Holders. This re-orientation seems attractive for conceptual and internal consistency reasons. The Income Statement and the Balance Sheet are already oriented around reporting the residual claim of equity holders. Thus, re-orienting the Statement of Cash Flows around Cash Flows to Equity Holders naturally aligns it with the other two principal financial statements. The change also has considerable practical appeal for major users of financial reporting, especially investors who are interested in equity cash flows for forecasting and valuation. Finally, the proposed change is unusually easy to implement, essentially limited to different presentation of already existing information.
本文认为,现金流量表应围绕股东现金流量的概念进行重新定位。由于概念和内部一致性的原因,这种重新定位似乎很有吸引力。损益表和资产负债表已经以报告权益持有人的剩余索取权为导向。因此,围绕流向权益持有人的现金流量重新调整现金流量表,自然会使其与其他两个主要财务报表保持一致。这一变化对财务报告的主要使用者也具有相当大的实际吸引力,特别是对股票现金流量进行预测和估值感兴趣的投资者。最后,建议的更改非常容易实现,基本上仅限于对现有信息的不同表示。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Auditor Style on Reporting Quality: Evidence from Germany 审计风格对报告质量的影响:来自德国的证据
Pub Date : 2021-03-07 DOI: 10.1111/abac.12220
Vlad‐Andrei Porumb, Abe De Jong, Carel Huijgen, Teye Marra, Jan Van Dalen
This paper examines whether the ‘style’ of individual auditors influences financial reporting quality in Germany. Audit quality in Germany should be uniformly high, because of strong reputational needs, strict controls on operating procedures, and quality enforcement mechanisms. An audit partner's style should not affect this quality level. However, our results do not support this expectation. Exploiting a unique dataset comprising the names of the audit engagement and review partners of listed German companies, we find that audit engagement partners in Germany have a significant influence on audit quality, beyond firm‐ and office‐level factors. In contrast, audit review partners do not have a consistent significant influence on audit quality. We measure audit quality by the level of a firm's abnormal accruals and its propensity to meet or beat an earnings target. We also find that the 2005 adoption of a new audit quality enforcement system that includes ‘naming and shaming’ does not reduce the influence of audit partner style on financial reporting quality.
本文考察了个别审计师的“风格”是否会影响德国的财务报告质量。由于强烈的声誉需求、对操作程序的严格控制和质量执行机制,德国的审计质量应该始终很高。审计合伙人的风格不应影响这一质量水平。然而,我们的结果并不支持这一期望。利用一个独特的数据集,其中包括德国上市公司的审计业务合伙人和审核合伙人的名称,我们发现德国的审计业务合伙人对审计质量具有显著影响,超出了事务所和办公室层面的因素。相比之下,审计评审伙伴对审计质量的显著影响并不一致。我们通过公司异常应计项目的水平及其达到或超过盈利目标的倾向来衡量审计质量。我们还发现,2005年采用的新的审计质量执行系统,包括“点名和羞辱”并没有减少审计合伙人风格对财务报告质量的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Product Market Competition and Firms’ Disclosure of Cross-segment Differences in Performance 产品市场竞争与企业跨部门绩效差异披露
Pub Date : 2021-02-25 DOI: 10.1111/abac.12212
Roland Königsgruber, Pietro Perotti, Oliver Schinnerl, Fanis Tsoligkas, David Windisch
This study examines how product market competition affects firms’ disclosures of their individual segment's performance. We explicitly account for different types of product market competition by distinguishing between competitors who are already active in a particular market and potential competitors who are considering entering the market. Arguably, firms that are subject to intensive existing competition have lower incentives to conceal information because they are less likely to exhibit abnormal profitability. By contrast, a high level of potential competition constitutes a threat to profitability and hence provides incentives to conceal segment performance. In line with these proprietary cost arguments, we find that potential competition is negatively associated with the disclosure of cross-segment differences in performance, whereas existing competition is positively associated with the disclosure of cross-segment differences in performance. Our results remain robust to a number of sensitivity tests.
本研究探讨产品市场竞争如何影响企业对其个别分部绩效的披露。我们通过区分已经活跃在特定市场的竞争对手和正在考虑进入市场的潜在竞争对手,明确地说明了不同类型的产品市场竞争。可以说,面临激烈竞争的公司隐瞒信息的动机较低,因为它们不太可能表现出异常的盈利能力。相比之下,高水平的潜在竞争构成了对盈利能力的威胁,因此提供了隐瞒部门业绩的动机。根据这些专有成本论点,我们发现潜在竞争与跨部门业绩差异的披露呈负相关,而现有竞争与跨部门业绩差异的披露呈正相关。我们的结果在许多敏感性测试中仍然是可靠的。
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引用次数: 0
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