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Time changes of customer behavior on accommodation reservation: a case study of Japan 住宿预订中顾客行为的时间变化——以日本为例
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00623-5
Koichi Ito, Shunsuke Kanemitsu, Ryusuke Kimura, Ryosuke Omori

The forecasting of demand or cancellations is highly important for efficient revenue management in the hotel industry. Previous studies have mainly focused on the accuracy of the prediction of reservation number or cancellation rate on a specific accommodation or hotel chain; therefore, the application of the prediction to different accommodations or under the behavioral change of customers in response to natural or human events is difficult without the re-estimation of the prediction model. Information of the customer behavioral trend on the accommodation reservations is necessary for the construction of a general forecasting model. In this study, we focus on one of the general trends of customer behavior, that is, the reservation timing and the time changes of the cancellation probability using the big data of the reservation records provided by an online trip agency in Japan. We showed that the reservation timing and cancellation probability can be decomposed by five and six exponential functions of the days until the stay and the days from the reservations. We also showed that the significant factors influencing the time changing patterns are the guest numbers per room for both reservation and cancellation, composition of guests in terms of the number and gender of guests, and the stay length for reservation. These findings imply that the customer behavior during accommodation reservation could be categorized into multiple motivational factors toward reservations or cancellations. Our results contribute to the construction of a general forecasting model on the accommodation reservations.

对需求或取消的预测对于酒店行业有效的收益管理非常重要。以前的研究主要集中在预测特定住宿或连锁酒店的预订数量或取消率的准确性;因此,如果不对预测模型进行重新估计,则很难将预测应用于不同的住宿条件或客户对自然或人为事件的行为变化。为了建立一个通用的预测模型,需要了解顾客在住宿预订方面的行为趋势信息。在本研究中,我们利用日本某在线旅行社提供的预订记录大数据,关注客户行为的一个大趋势,即预订时间和取消概率的时间变化。我们证明了预订时间和取消概率可以被5个和6个指数函数分解为距离入住天数和距离预订天数。我们还发现,影响时间变化模式的显著因素是每间客房的预订和取消客人人数、客人的数量和性别构成以及预订的住宿时间。这些发现表明,顾客在预订或取消住宿时的行为可以分为多个动机因素。我们的研究结果有助于建立一个关于住宿预订的通用预测模型。
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引用次数: 0
Improvement of selection formulas of mesh size and truncation numbers for the DE-Sinc approximation and its theoretical error bound 改进了DE-Sinc近似的网格大小和截断数选择公式及其理论误差界
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00634-2
Tomoaki Okayama, Shota Ogawa

The Sinc approximation applied to double-exponentially decaying functions is referred to as the DE-Sinc approximation. Because of its high efficiency, this method has been used in various applications. In the Sinc approximation, the mesh size and truncation numbers should be optimally selected to achieve its best performance. However, the standard selection formula has only been “near-optimally” selected because the optimal formula of the mesh size cannot be expressed in terms of elementary functions of truncation numbers. In this study, we propose two improved selection formulas. The first one is based on the concept by an earlier research that resulted in a better selection formula for the double-exponential formula. The formula performs slightly better than the standard one, but is still not optimal. As a second selection formula, we introduce a new parameter to propose truly optimal selection formula. We provide explicit error bounds for both selection formulas. Numerical comparisons show that the first formula gives a better error bound than the standard formula, and the second formula gives a much better error bound than the standard and first formulas.

应用于双指数衰减函数的Sinc近似称为DE-Sinc近似。由于该方法效率高,已广泛应用于各种领域。在Sinc近似中,需要对网格大小和截断数进行优化选择,以达到最佳性能。然而,由于网格尺寸的最优公式不能用截断数的初等函数来表示,标准选择公式只能被“接近最优”地选择。在本研究中,我们提出了两个改进的选择公式。第一个是基于一个早期研究的概念,该研究为双指数公式提供了一个更好的选择公式。该配方的性能略好于标准配方,但仍不是最优。作为第二选择公式,我们引入了一个新的参数,提出了真正最优的选择公式。我们为这两个选择公式提供了明确的错误界限。数值比较表明,第一个公式给出的误差界优于标准公式,第二个公式给出的误差界优于标准公式和第一个公式。
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引用次数: 0
A linearizing-decoupling finite element method with stabilization for the Peterlin viscoelastic model Peterlin粘弹性模型的线性解耦有限元稳定化方法
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00629-z
Lekang Xia, Guanyu Zhou

We propose a linearizing-decoupling finite element method for the nonstationary diffusive Peterlin viscoelastic system with shear-dependent viscosity modeling the incompressible polymeric fluid flow, where the equation of the conformation tensor ({varvec{C}}) contains a diffusion term with a tiny diffusion coefficient (epsilon). By using the stabilizing terms (alpha _1^{-1} Delta ({varvec{u}}^{n+1} - {varvec{u}}^{n})) and (alpha _2^{-1} Delta ({varvec{C}}^{n+1} - {varvec{C}}^{n})), at every time level, the velocity ({varvec{u}}) and each component (C_{ij}) of the conformation tensor ({varvec{C}}) can be computed in parallel by our scheme. We obtain the error estimate (C(tau + h^2)) for the P2/P1/P2 element, where the constant C depends on the norm of the solution but is not explicitly related to the reciprocal of (epsilon). We conduct several numerical simulations and compute the experimental convergence rates to compare with the theoretical results.

本文提出了具有剪切依赖黏度的非平稳扩散Peterlin粘弹性系统的线性解耦有限元方法,对不可压缩聚合物流体流动进行建模,其中构象张量({varvec{C}})方程包含一个具有微小扩散系数(epsilon)的扩散项。通过使用稳定项(alpha _1^{-1} Delta ({varvec{u}}^{n+1} - {varvec{u}}^{n}))和(alpha _2^{-1} Delta ({varvec{C}}^{n+1} - {varvec{C}}^{n})),在每个时间水平上,速度({varvec{u}})和构象张量({varvec{C}})的每个分量(C_{ij})可以通过我们的方案并行计算。我们得到P2/P1/P2元素的误差估计(C(tau + h^2)),其中常数C取决于解的范数,但与(epsilon)的倒数没有显式相关。我们进行了一些数值模拟,并计算了实验收敛率,与理论结果进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
Sixth-order quasi-compact difference scheme for the time-dependent diffusion equation 时变扩散方程的六阶拟紧差分格式
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-25 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00628-0
Zhi Wang, Yongbin Ge, Hai-Wei Sun, Tao Sun

This paper focuses on developing a numerical method with high-order accuracy for solving the time-dependent diffusion equation. We discrete time first, which results in a modified Helmholtz equation at each time level. Then, the quasi-compact difference method, which is derivative-free, is used to discretize the resulting Helmholtz equation. Theoretically, the stability and convergence analyses are performed by the aid of the Fourier method and error estimation, respectively. Numerically, Richardson extrapolation algorithm is utilized to improve the time accuracy, while the fast sine transformation is employed to reduce the complexity for solving the discretized linear system. Numerical examples are given to validate the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed discretization method.

本文的重点是建立一种求解时变扩散方程的高阶精度数值方法。首先对时间进行离散,得到每个时间水平上的修正亥姆霍兹方程。然后,采用无导数的拟紧差分法对得到的亥姆霍兹方程进行离散化。从理论上讲,利用傅里叶方法和误差估计分别对该方法进行了稳定性和收敛性分析。数值上,采用Richardson外推算法提高时间精度,采用快速正弦变换降低求解离散线性系统的复杂度。数值算例验证了所提离散化方法的准确性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A modified preconditioner for three-by-three block saddle point problems 3 × 3块鞍点问题的改进预条件
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00625-3
Jun Li, Zhenping Li

In this paper, inspired by the simplified relaxed alternating positive semi-definite splitting preconditioner (Xiong and Li in J Appl Math Comput, 2023), a modified preconditioner is established to solve the three-by-three block saddle point problems. The advantage of the modified preconditioner is that its parameters can be easy to select, which can avoid the work of the calculation of the parameters. Next, the spectral property of the preconditioned matrix with modified preconditioner is also discussed. In the end, three examples are provided to show the effectiveness of the modified preconditioner.

本文受简化松弛交替正半定分裂预条件(Xiong and Li In J applied Math computing, 2023)的启发,建立了一个改进的预条件来求解3 × 3块鞍点问题。改进后的预调节器的优点是其参数易于选择,从而避免了参数计算的工作量。其次,讨论了带修正预条件的预条件矩阵的谱性质。最后,通过三个算例说明了改进预调节器的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A performance evaluation of a new flexible preconditioning method on a parallel finite element structure analysis program, FrontISTR 一种新的柔性预处理方法在并行有限元结构分析程序FrontISTR上的性能评价
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-16 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00627-1
Noriyuki Kushida, Hiroshi Okuda

Variable preconditioning methods for Krylov-type linear equation solvers have become popular thanks to their faster convergence speed compared to conventional methods, such as, the Incomplete Lower-Upper factorization and point Jacobi methods. Recently, Kushida and Okuda have introduced a variable preconditioning method, which updates the preconditioning matrix using the Broyden–Fletcher–Goldfarb–Shanno scheme, and applied it to the generalized minimum residual recursive scheme (GMRESR), which is a variant of the well-known GMRES method. Although their method indicated a superior performance to the conventional methods, the problems employed in their study were academic, and its performance on practical problems is of interest. In this study, we evaluate the feasibility of their variable preconditioning for practical problems. FrontISTR, which is a well established open-source parallel finite element analysis program and well used in the industrial field, is employed as the framework to implement the above-mentioned Kushida and Okuda’s preconditioning method in GMRESR (Self-Updating Preconditioning GMRESR; SUP-GMRESR). As results, (1) SUP-GMRESR indicated approximately a three-fold faster convergence than GMRES, which is one of the default linear equation solvers implemented on FrontISTR, using a 600 million degrees of freedom problem, and (2) SUP-GMRESR converged even when GMRES suffered from a stagnation.

krylov型线性方程解的变量预处理方法由于其收敛速度比传统方法(如不完全上下分解法和点Jacobi法)快而受到欢迎。最近,Kushida和Okuda提出了一种变量预处理方法,该方法使用Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno格式更新预处理矩阵,并将其应用于广义最小残差递归算法(GMRESR)中,GMRESR是众所周知的GMRES方法的一种变体。虽然他们的方法表现出优于传统方法的性能,但他们所研究的问题是学术性的,其在实际问题上的表现令人感兴趣。在本研究中,我们评估了它们的变量预处理在实际问题中的可行性。采用FrontISTR作为框架,在GMRESR(自更新预处理GMRESR)中实现上述Kushida和Okuda的预处理方法。FrontISTR是一种成熟的开源并行有限元分析程序,在工业领域应用广泛;SUP-GMRESR)。结果表明:(1)supp - gmresr的收敛速度比GMRES快3倍,GMRES是FrontISTR上实现的默认线性方程求解器之一,使用6亿自由度问题;(2)即使GMRES出现停滞,supp - gmresr也能收敛。
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引用次数: 0
Existence of spiky stationary solutions to a mass-conserved reaction-diffusion model 质量守恒反应扩散模型的尖形固定解的存在性
4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00626-2
Yoshihisa Morita, Yoshitaro Tanaka
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引用次数: 0
Fractional sight analysis of generalized perturbed Zakharov–Kuznetsov equation using Elzaki transform 用Elzaki变换分析广义扰动Zakharov-Kuznetsov方程的分数视线
4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00621-7
T. Pasayat, A. Patra, M. Sahoo
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引用次数: 0
A three-term projection method based on spectral secant equation for nonlinear monotone equations 基于谱割线方程的非线性单调方程的三项投影方法
4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00624-4
N. Zhang, J. K. Liu, B. Tang
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引用次数: 0
On pseudoinverse-free block maximum residual nonlinear Kaczmarz method for solving large-scale nonlinear system of equations 求解大范围非线性方程组的伪无逆块最大残差非线性Kaczmarz方法
4区 数学 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s13160-023-00620-8
Jianhua Zhang, Yuqing Wang, Jing Zhao
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Japan Journal of Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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