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Logistic oscillator model for gross domestic product 国内生产总值的逻辑振荡器模型
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124500992
E. Vallejo-Castañeda, L. A. Quezada-Téllez, J. N. Gutiérrez-Corona, A. Torres-Mendoza, C. Islas-Moreno

In this paper, a logistic oscillator model is presented to analyze the economic cycles of five selected economies: Mexico, Brazil, Canada, China and the United States. This selection was made taking as reference their level of economic development and their geographical position. The proposed model is an extension of the production Phillip’s model (1959), which considers autonomous expenses dependent on time. It should be noted that the logistic oscillator combines the dynamics of a forced damped oscillator, whose restoring force incorporates Verhulst’s logistic equation. The data used are the production levels of The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) at nominal prices of the mentioned nations. The results obtained show terms of no economic damping with explosive tendency. China shows greater nondamping with an explosive trend, as does Mexico. The countries with the greatest oscillatory behavior are Brazil and Canada. Additionally, those showing exponential dynamics are China and the USA. The fitting of the logistic oscillator to the data is significant given the level of the determination coefficient. Therefore, the results indicate that the model can be useful in formulating economic policy criteria, since it allows one to predict the evolution of the economic cycle in the future.

本文提出了一个逻辑振荡器模型,用于分析五个选定经济体的经济周期:墨西哥、巴西、加拿大、中国和美国。选择这五个经济体时参考了它们的经济发展水平和地理位置。所提出的模型是生产菲利普模型(1959 年)的延伸,该模型考虑了与时间相关的自主支出。值得注意的是,逻辑振荡器结合了强制阻尼振荡器的动态,其恢复力包含了 Verhulst 的逻辑方程。使用的数据是经济合作与发展组织(OECD)按上述国家名义价格计算的生产水平。研究结果表明,经济无阻尼,具有爆炸性趋势。与墨西哥一样,中国也显示出更大的无阻尼和爆炸性趋势。波动最大的国家是巴西和加拿大。此外,呈现指数动态的国家还有中国和美国。从决定系数的水平来看,逻辑振荡器与数据的拟合是显著的。因此,结果表明,该模型有助于制定经济政策标准,因为它可以预测未来经济周期的演变。
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引用次数: 0
Complexity of Popularity and Dynamics of Within-Game Achievements in Computer Games 计算机游戏中人气的复杂性和游戏内成就的动态性
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501122
Leonardo R. Cunha, Leonardo O. Mendes, Renio S. Mendes
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing Single-Lane Roundabout Traffic and Environmental Impacts through Cellular Automaton: A Focus on U-Turn Effects 通过蜂窝自动机分析单车道环岛的交通和环境影响:关注掉头效应
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501146
A. Ez-Zahar, N. Lakouari, O. Oubram, R. Marzoug, H. Ez-zahaoury
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引用次数: 0
Numerical study of the influence of amplitudes on heat transfer in a tube bundle 振幅对管束传热影响的数值研究
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501110
Mohammed Foual, Khaled Chaib, N. S. Chemloul, Youcef Becheffar
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引用次数: 0
Toroidal Metamaterial Assisted Terahertz Biosensor with High Sensitivity 高灵敏度环状超材料辅助太赫兹生物传感器
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501109
Fei Wang, Qiang Chen, Qing Yang, Lifei Tian
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the Lindemann's criterion from a minimal viscosity perspective 从最小粘度角度重新审视林德曼准则
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501092
Pablo G. Tello, Sauro Succi
A revisiting of the Lindemann criterion under the recently established minimal viscosity formulation is proposed which uncovers intriguing insights into the melting process. The approach suggests that melting involves competition between the electron rest energy and the thermal one caused by temperature increase when considering a defect-free crystal structure. However, when accounting for the role of vacancies in the melting process, the analysis suggests that the key competing factors are the thermal energy and the one needed for vacancy migration. The estimated value of the Lindemann constant, in this case, is close to the reported values and with recent simulations studying the correlation between Born and Lindemann melting criteria.
根据最近建立的最小粘度公式重新审视了林德曼准则,发现了对熔化过程的有趣见解。该方法表明,在考虑无缺陷晶体结构时,熔化涉及电子静止能与温度升高引起的热能之间的竞争。然而,当考虑到空位在熔化过程中的作用时,分析表明关键的竞争因素是热能和空位迁移所需的能量。在这种情况下,林德曼常数的估计值接近于报告值,也接近于最近研究玻恩熔化标准和林德曼熔化标准之间相关性的模拟值。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling of mixed traffic flow and safety evaluation in the upstream area of the bus station 汽车站上游地区混合交通流建模和安全评估
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501055
Chuan-Yao Li, Binging Li, Jie Yin, Liang Chen
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引用次数: 0
Emergence of chimera states in neural networks with distance-dependent mean field coupling 神经网络中出现的嵌合态与距离相关的平均场耦合
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501079
T. Remi, P. A. Subha
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引用次数: 0
Impact of population size on epidemic spreading in a bipartite metapopulation network with recurrent mobility 种群规模对具有反复流动性的两方元种群网络中流行病传播的影响
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501043
Hao-Jie Wang, Yuan-Hao Xu, Ming Li, Mao-Bin Hu
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引用次数: 0
Detonation physics of H2-air blend in closed bended ducts; A comprehensive numerical analysis 封闭弯曲管道中 H2- 空气混合物的爆燃物理;综合数值分析
IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1142/s0129183124501067
Reza Soleimanpour, Hossain Nemati
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Modern Physics C
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