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Jobpocalypse or techno-utopia? geospatially decoding public concerns through the social media noise in AI’s disruption era 就业末日还是科技乌托邦?通过人工智能颠覆时代的社交媒体噪音,从地理空间上解读公众的担忧
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104550
Jiawei Chen , Hong Chen
In the context of the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution, public perceptions are complex and diverse regarding whether AI signifies a “jobpocalypse” or ushers in a “techno-utopia”. To decode public sentiment and perception regarding AI’s impact on employment, this study captures related public discussion texts (40,299 in total) from Weibo and Douyin. Word cloud visualization presents key public concerns, Word2Vec reveals semantic associations between keywords, and BERTopic analyzes the cognitive focus and thematic characteristics of public attention. Additionally, social media and geographic information are integrated to reveal regional heterogeneity. The research findings indicate: (1) public perceptions show obvious emotional polarity, yet the overall expression tends to be cautious and rational. (2) Public perceptions are multidimensional (10 topics), focusing on human-machine collaboration, technological unemployment, industry applications, and risk expectations. (3) The primary focuses of the two platforms overlap in some areas but also differ in others. (4) An “AI divide” exists across regions. The eastern region emphasizes technological rationality and international comparison, the central region prioritizes technological empowerment and social harmony, while the western region concentrates on unemployment risk and social impact.
在人工智能(AI)革命的背景下,公众对人工智能是意味着“工作末日”还是迎来“技术乌托邦”的看法是复杂而多样的。为了解读公众对人工智能对就业影响的情绪和看法,本研究从微博和抖音上获取了相关的公共讨论文本(共40299条)。词云可视化呈现公众关注的关键问题,Word2Vec揭示关键词之间的语义关联,BERTopic分析公众关注的认知焦点和主题特征。此外,结合社交媒体和地理信息来揭示区域异质性。研究发现:(1)公众认知表现出明显的情绪极性,但整体表达倾向于谨慎和理性。(2)公众认知是多维的(10个主题),主要集中在人机协作、技术失业、行业应用和风险预期等方面。(3)两个平台的主要关注点在某些领域重叠,但在其他领域也有所不同。(4)地区间存在“人工智能鸿沟”。东部地区以技术理性与国际比较为重点,中部地区以技术赋能与社会和谐为重点,西部地区以失业风险与社会影响为重点。
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引用次数: 0
DEEL: An imbalanced binary data classification method based on diffusion model data augmentation and multi-objective optimization ensemble 基于扩散模型数据增强和多目标优化集成的非平衡二值数据分类方法
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104537
Hongwei Ding , Songyu Wang , Xiaoming Yuan , Nana Huang , Xiaohui Cui
Class imbalance remains a major challenge in real-world classification tasks. To address this, we propose Diffusion-Enhanced Ensemble Learning (DEEL), a unified framework that synergistically integrates diffusion-based data augmentation and multi-objective ensemble optimization for binary classification tasks. Specifically, we design a Dynamic Attention Diffusion Model (DADM) to generate diverse and realistic minority class samples through a forward noise and reverse denoising process. By incorporating temporal embeddings, residual connections, and attention mechanisms, DADM enhances the fidelity and distributional alignment of the generated data. Complementing this, an ensemble learning strategy based on the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) optimizes the fusion of multiple base classifiers across F1-score, G-mean, and AUC metrics. Extensive experiments on 26 real-world imbalanced datasets demonstrate that DEEL improves average F1-score and G-mean by 21.7 % and 24.8 %, respectively, over competitive baselines. Moreover, visualization and Jensen-Shannon distance analyses quantitatively verify the high diversity and distributional coherence of DADM-generated samples, underscoring their effectiveness for imbalanced learning.
类不平衡仍然是现实世界分类任务中的主要挑战。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了扩散增强集成学习(Diffusion-Enhanced Ensemble Learning, DEEL),这是一个统一的框架,可以协同集成基于扩散的数据增强和用于二分类任务的多目标集成优化。具体而言,我们设计了一个动态注意扩散模型(DADM),通过正向噪声和反向去噪过程生成多样化和逼真的少数类样本。通过结合时间嵌入、剩余连接和注意机制,DADM增强了生成数据的保真度和分布一致性。此外,基于非支配排序遗传算法II (NSGA-II)的集成学习策略优化了F1-score、G-mean和AUC指标上多个基分类器的融合。在26个真实不平衡数据集上进行的大量实验表明,与竞争基线相比,DEEL的平均f1分数和G-mean分别提高了21.7%和24.8%。此外,可视化和Jensen-Shannon距离分析定量地验证了dadm生成的样本的高度多样性和分布一致性,强调了它们对不平衡学习的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing cross-platform academic networking behavior: Methods and insights on institutional affiliations and user clustering 跨平台学术网络行为分析:机构隶属关系和用户聚类的方法和见解
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104546
Weiwei Yan , Yanyan Wang , Jiahui Song , Yin Zhang
This study investigates cross-platform behavior on academic social networking sites (ASNSs), focusing on differences among users from academic, government, and corporate institutions. Users often engage with multiple ASNSs due to differing platform features and contexts, leading to distinct behavioral patterns. Drawing on data from Academia.edu (ACA) and ResearchGate (RG), this study analyzes user profiles from 15 institutions to identify cross-platform users and compare behaviors. It proposes an approach for identifying such users and develops a cross-platform user behavior indicator system to support the analysis. A clustering analysis further explores behavior patterns and provides additional insights into cross-platform engagement. Findings show that cross-platform users tend to disclose more information, maintain broader networks, and engage more actively on RG than on ACA. Government-affiliated users are the most active, with high levels of disclosure, publication, and interaction. Corporate users exhibit varied strengths and weaknesses, while academic users demonstrate moderate activity. Most academic cross-platform users fall into a “civilian-type” category, sharing fewer publications and presenting inconsistent profile information. In contrast, many government and corporate users are ”star-type,” showing greater consistency and visibility across platforms. This study advances understanding of cross-platform ASNS behavior and reveals sector-based differences that may inform platform design and user strategies.
本研究调查了学术社交网站(ASNSs)上的跨平台行为,重点关注学术、政府和企业机构用户之间的差异。由于不同的平台特性和上下文,用户经常使用多个asn,从而导致不同的行为模式。本研究利用acamia.edu (ACA)和ResearchGate (RG)的数据,分析了来自15所院校的用户资料,以识别跨平台用户并比较其行为。提出了一种识别此类用户的方法,并开发了跨平台的用户行为指标系统来支持分析。聚类分析进一步探索了行为模式,并提供了更多关于跨平台粘性的见解。研究结果显示,与ACA相比,跨平台用户倾向于在RG上披露更多信息,维持更广泛的网络,并更积极地参与其中。与政府有关的用户最为活跃,具有高水平的披露、发布和互动。企业用户表现出不同的优点和缺点,而学术用户则表现出适度的活动。大多数学术跨平台用户属于“平民型”,共享的出版物较少,个人资料不一致。相比之下,许多政府和企业用户是“明星型”,在平台上表现出更大的一致性和可见性。这项研究促进了对跨平台ASNS行为的理解,并揭示了基于行业的差异,这些差异可能会为平台设计和用户策略提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Learning rules and aligning elements for document-level relation extraction 为文档级关系提取学习规则和对齐元素
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104511
Ganlin Xu , Jianzhou Feng , Qin Wang
Document-level relation extraction (DocRE) aims to infer semantic relations between entity pairs1 in a document. Generation-based methods for DocRE only learn superficial text patterns from plain text instead of logical rule patterns while generating uncontrolled outputs. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel generative paradigm, a rule learning and elements alignment (RLEA) method for DocRE. We build a symmetrical structure using two T5 models (text learner and rule learner), where the text learner learns text patterns from symbolic triplets, and the rule learner learns rule patterns from chain-like logic rules. To better solve the above challenges, we proposed three key techniques: the bidirectional gate function, the rule regularizer, and the alignment mechanism. The experimental results indicate that our method achieves state-of-the-art results in relation extraction and logical consistency, with RLEA obtaining 72.37, 79.44 and 94.52 on DWIE w.r.t Ign F1, F1 and Logic respectively, 61.94 and 63.96 on DocRED w.r.t Ign F1 and F1 respectively, 76.81 and 77.06 on Re-DocRED w.r.t Ign F1 and F1 respectively. Besides, quantitative experiments and qualitative analysis show how logical rules work on black-box generation-based models2 for DocRE.
文档级关系抽取(DocRE)旨在推断文档中实体对1之间的语义关系。DocRE的基于生成的方法在生成不受控制的输出时,只从纯文本中学习肤浅的文本模式,而不是从逻辑规则模式中学习。因此,本文提出了一种新的生成范式,即规则学习和元素对齐(RLEA)方法。我们使用两个T5模型(文本学习器和规则学习器)构建了一个对称结构,其中文本学习器从符号三元组中学习文本模式,规则学习器从链状逻辑规则中学习规则模式。为了更好地解决上述挑战,我们提出了三种关键技术:双向门函数、规则正则化器和对齐机制。实验结果表明,我们的方法在关系提取和逻辑一致性方面取得了较好的结果,RLEA在DWIE w.r.t Ign F1、F1和Logic上分别获得72.37、79.44和94.52,在DocRED w.r.t Ign F1和F1上分别获得61.94和63.96,在Re-DocRED w.r.t Ign F1和F1上分别获得76.81和77.06。此外,定量实验和定性分析显示了逻辑规则如何在基于黑箱生成的DocRE模型中起作用。
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引用次数: 0
Does fair ranking lead to fair recruitment outcomes? A study of interventions, interfaces, and interactions 公平的排名会带来公平的招聘结果吗?对干预、接口和相互作用的研究
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104506
Alessandro Fabris , Clara Rus , Jorge Saldivar , Anna Gatzioura , Asia J. Biega , Carlos Castillo
Personnel recruitment is increasingly mediated by Applicant Tracking Systems (ATS), which rank candidates for job positions, making them a central decision-support tool in modern Human Resources (HR) processes. Often framed as an information retrieval (IR) problem, the ranking of candidates in ATS is typically driven by relevance to the job position, with algorithms sorting applicants according to a set of predefined criteria. In recent years, fairness-aware ranking methods have emerged to mitigate the risk of indirect discrimination, where the ordering of candidates may inadvertently favor one demographic group over another. These approaches are inspired by browsing models developed for web search and aim to balance candidate exposure based on protected characteristics. However, ATS in recruitment introduce unique challenges due to their high-stakes nature and the decision-making context in which they operate. In this paper, we present a series of user studies that explore the disconnect between fair exposure and fair outcomes in candidate shortlisting. We focus on how factors such as task design (e.g., how recruiters interact with candidate lists), individual representations of candidates (e.g., national origin cues), and ranking order influence both position bias and demographic balance. Our findings show that while demographic balance may be achieved in terms of ranking visibility, this does not necessarily translate to fair outcomes in terms of who gets shortlisted. Through a crowdsourced experiment and in-depth interviews with recruiters, we identify key task-level, individual, and ranking factors that mediate these effects. We conclude that fairness in ATS rankings is contingent not only on algorithmic design but also on the shortlisting tasks they support, as well as the interfaces, strategies, and assumptions that recruiters use when interacting with candidate lists. Based on these insights, we provide implications for the design of algorithms, interfaces, and recruitment processes that support fairer and more equitable recruitment outcomes.
人事招聘越来越多地由申请人跟踪系统(ATS)调解,该系统对职位候选人进行排名,使其成为现代人力资源(HR)流程中的核心决策支持工具。ATS中的候选人排名通常是由与工作职位的相关性驱动的,算法根据一组预定义的标准对申请人进行排序,这通常被定义为信息检索(IR)问题。近年来,注重公平的排名方法已经出现,以减轻间接歧视的风险,在这种情况下,候选人的排序可能会无意中偏袒一个人口群体而不是另一个群体。这些方法的灵感来自于为网络搜索开发的浏览模型,旨在平衡基于受保护特征的候选暴露。然而,ATS在招聘中由于其高风险性质和运作的决策环境而带来了独特的挑战。在本文中,我们提出了一系列用户研究,探讨公平曝光和候选人入围公平结果之间的脱节。我们关注任务设计(例如,招聘人员如何与候选人列表互动)、候选人的个人表现(例如,国籍线索)和排名顺序等因素如何影响职位偏见和人口平衡。我们的研究结果表明,虽然在排名可见性方面可以实现人口平衡,但这并不一定意味着在谁入围方面的公平结果。通过众包实验和与招聘人员的深度访谈,我们确定了介导这些影响的关键任务级别、个人和排名因素。我们得出结论,ATS排名的公平性不仅取决于算法设计,还取决于它们支持的候选任务,以及招聘人员在与候选人列表互动时使用的界面、策略和假设。基于这些见解,我们为算法、界面和招聘流程的设计提供了启示,以支持更公平、更公平的招聘结果。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive weighted temporal prototype network for multimodal emotion recognition 多模态情感识别的自适应加权时间原型网络
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104533
Chenhao Li, Wenti Huang, Xi Yu, Tingxuan Chen, Jun Long
Multimodal Emotion Recognition (MER) enhances the understanding and identification of human emotions by combining multiple sensory signals, such as speech, facial expressions, body language, and text. In the task of MER, temporal discrepancies and differences in emotional expression between the audio and video modalities hinder the effective alignment of modality features, thereby affecting the accuracy of emotion recognition. We propose an Adaptive Weighted Temporal Prototype Network (AWTPN) to address this issue. The Temporal Prototype Network learns prototype features for each emotion category from audio and visual modalities. At the same time, the adaptive weight framework automatically optimizes the modal features and temporal information for each emotion category, ensuring effective fusion between modalities. We conducted extensive experiments on widely-used datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed AWTPN achieves the best overall accuracy and weighted F1 score among all baseline methods on the IEMOCAP dataset, surpassing the baseline model SDT by 3.26 % and 4.17 % in average accuracy and average F1 score, respectively. Similarly, on the MELD dataset, AWTPN outperforms the baseline model CBERL by 5.40 % in average accuracy and 3.53 % in average F1 score. On the CMU-MOSEI dataset, AWTPN achieves a weighted F1 score of 61.29 %, surpassing the previous best method by 0.93 %. Moreover, AWTPN significantly improves accuracy across multiple emotion recognition tasks, consistently maintaining robust performance on all datasets.
多模态情绪识别(MER)通过结合多种感官信号,如语音、面部表情、肢体语言和文本,增强对人类情绪的理解和识别。在情感识别任务中,音频和视频模态之间的时间差异和情绪表达差异阻碍了模态特征的有效对齐,从而影响情绪识别的准确性。我们提出了一种自适应加权时间原型网络(AWTPN)来解决这个问题。时间原型网络从音频和视觉模式中学习每种情绪类别的原型特征。同时,自适应权重框架自动优化每个情感类别的模态特征和时间信息,保证了模态之间的有效融合。我们在广泛使用的数据集上进行了大量的实验。实验结果表明,在IEMOCAP数据集上,本文提出的AWTPN在所有基线方法中获得了最好的总体精度和加权F1分数,平均精度和平均F1分数分别比基线模型SDT高出3.26%和4.17%。同样,在MELD数据集上,AWTPN的平均准确率比基线模型CBERL高出5.40%,平均F1分数高出3.53%。在CMU-MOSEI数据集上,AWTPN的F1加权得分为61.29%,比之前的最佳方法高出0.93%。此外,AWTPN显著提高了多个情绪识别任务的准确性,在所有数据集上始终保持稳健的性能。
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引用次数: 0
An imbalanced classification framework with serialized neighbor samples commonality extraction and conditional variational latent space optimization 基于序列化邻样本共性提取和条件变分潜在空间优化的不平衡分类框架
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104535
Qiangwei Li , Xin Gao , Yuan Li , Xinping Diao , Tianyang Chen , Yukun Lin , Taizhi Wang , Yu Hao
Fully mining the commonality and difference of different classes in overlapping areas is the key and difficult point to improving imbalanced classification performance. Existing data-level and algorithm-level methods heavily depend on distribution information or inter-class difference, limiting their ability to capture commonality information. This paper proposes an imbalanced classification framework with serialized neighbor samples commonality extraction and conditional variational latent space optimization. It achieves the sufficient extraction of commonality and difference information of different class samples in overlapping areas by adjusting the distribution of latent codes during the sample reconstruction process, mainly including two key modules. The inter-class commonality information learning module transforms tabular data into serialized neighbor sample groups, utilizes self-attention to extract inter-class commonality information, and quantifies it using cosine similarity. The conditional variational sample reconstruction module adjusts class distributions by leveraging inter-class commonality, so that the distance between the samples in the overlapping areas is closer in the latent space, thereby extracting more realistic discriminative features. Moreover, the variances consistency of the constrained latent codes is utilized to alleviate the classifier decision offset problem caused by diversity differences. Experiments on 50 imbalanced datasets demonstrate the proposed method outperforms most 25 typical imbalanced classification methods in F1-score and G-mean. In particular, the improvement is most significant on 20 datasets with serious inter-class overlap.
充分挖掘重叠区域中不同类别的共性和差异性是提高不平衡分类性能的关键和难点。现有的数据级和算法级方法严重依赖于分布信息或类间差异,限制了它们捕获共性信息的能力。提出了一种具有序列化邻接样本共性提取和条件变分潜在空间优化的不平衡分类框架。该算法通过调整样本重构过程中潜在码的分布,实现对重叠区域内不同类别样本的共性和差异信息的充分提取,主要包括两个关键模块。类间共性信息学习模块将表格数据转化为序列化的相邻样本组,利用自关注提取类间共性信息,并利用余弦相似度对其进行量化。条件变分样本重构模块利用类间共性来调整类分布,使重叠区域的样本在潜在空间中距离更近,从而提取出更真实的判别特征。此外,利用约束潜码的方差一致性来缓解因多样性差异引起的分类器决策偏移问题。在50个不平衡数据集上的实验表明,该方法在F1-score和G-mean上优于大多数25种典型的不平衡分类方法。特别是,在20个类间重叠严重的数据集上,改进最为显著。
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引用次数: 0
GHTMDA: A self-supervised heterogeneous graph hierarchical contrastive learning model for efficient metabolite-disease associations prediction GHTMDA:一种用于有效代谢物疾病关联预测的自监督异构图分层对比学习模型
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104536
Binglu Hu , Ying Su , Xuecong Tian , Chen Chen , Xiaoyi Lv , Cheng Chen
Disease metabolite association prediction is of key value for early diagnosis and treatment of diseases. However, existing computational methods face two main challenges: (1) heterogeneous graph information is not fully exploited; (2) most methods are limited to single view analysis, which makes it difficult to achieve effective information interaction between different types of nodes. To address these issues, we propose a computational method GHTMDA based on self-supervised heterogeneous graph learning and hierarchical contrastive learning. First, we fuse multiple similarity information of metabolites and diseases layer-by-layer by using two-tier bi-random walk, and utilize the Graph Transformer self-attention mechanism to achieve dynamic aggregation of neighbouring nodes and thus capture node representations at the global level. Then, a self-supervised heterogeneous graph learning mechanism is designed to capture both heterogeneity and homogeneity information in heterogeneous graphs and enhance the node representations by cross-view contrastive learning. Finally, effective information interaction and integration between different schemas is facilitated by cross-modal contrastive learning. The experimental results show that GHTMDA achieves 98.85 % and 98.87 % in AUC and AUPR, respectively, obviously outperforming the current state-of-the-art methods, and the prediction results in case validation such as colorectal cancer and Parkinson’s disease are highly consistent with the existing studies, which further confirms the reliability of the method. Code and data are available at: https://github.com/Ice-HL1/GHTMDA.
疾病代谢物关联预测对疾病的早期诊断和治疗具有重要价值。然而,现有的计算方法面临两个主要挑战:(1)异构图信息没有得到充分利用;(2)大多数方法仅限于单视图分析,难以实现不同类型节点之间有效的信息交互。为了解决这些问题,我们提出了一种基于自监督异构图学习和层次对比学习的计算方法GHTMDA。首先,我们采用两层双随机行走的方法逐层融合代谢物和疾病的多个相似信息,并利用Graph Transformer自关注机制实现相邻节点的动态聚集,从而在全局层面捕获节点表示。然后,设计了一种自监督异构图学习机制,捕获异构图中的异构性和同质性信息,并通过跨视图对比学习增强节点表示。最后,跨模态对比学习促进了不同图式之间有效的信息交互和整合。实验结果表明,GHTMDA在AUC和AUPR上分别达到了98.85%和98.87%,明显优于目前最先进的方法,并且在结直肠癌和帕金森病等病例验证中的预测结果与已有研究高度一致,进一步证实了该方法的可靠性。代码和数据可在:https://github.com/Ice-HL1/GHTMDA。
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引用次数: 0
Global-and-local guidance with synthesized view for unpaired multi-view clustering 非配对多视图聚类的综合视图全局局部制导
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104502
Like Xin , Wanqi Yang , Lei Wang , Ming Yang
In unpaired multi-view clustering (UMC), views have no paired observations, making direct sample matching difficult. Previous studies have used well-clustered views to guide poorly clustered ones for consistent structures, but discrepancies in view distributions can undermine this guidance. To address this issue, we construct a synthesized view and theoretically prove that the incorporation of a synthesized view could reduce inter-view discrepancies and enhance cluster compactness, both of which are key to improving the multi-view clustering performance. Based on these findings, we propose a new method called Global-and-Local guidANCE with synthesized-view for unpaired multi-view clustering (GLANCE). Specifically, a synthesized-view is initialized by combining the samples of views in the multi-view subspace and is guided by the well-clustered views. At the global level, the synthesized view guides the overall distribution of poorly clustered views. At the local level, it guides the distributions of corresponding clusters in the poorly clustered views. As demonstrated by the experiments conducted on five datasets with all views, GLANCE outperforms the relevant state-of-the-art methods, achieving an average improvement of 4.97 % in clustering accuracy as measured by NMI. The source code is available at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/GLANCE-CECE.
在非配对多视图聚类(UMC)中,视图没有配对的观测值,使得直接样本匹配变得困难。以前的研究使用聚类良好的视图来指导聚类较差的视图以获得一致的结构,但是视图分布的差异会破坏这种指导。为了解决这一问题,我们构建了一个综合视图,并从理论上证明了综合视图的引入可以减少视图间的差异,增强聚类的紧凑性,这两者都是提高多视图聚类性能的关键。在此基础上,我们提出了一种基于综合视图的全局和局部制导方法,用于非配对多视图聚类(GLANCE)。具体来说,通过组合多视图子空间中的视图样本来初始化合成视图,并以聚类良好的视图为指导。在全局级别,合成视图指导聚类不良的视图的总体分布。在本地级别,它在聚类较差的视图中指导相应集群的分布。在五个数据集上进行的所有视图实验表明,GLANCE优于相关的最先进的方法,在NMI测量的聚类精度上平均提高了4.97%。源代码可从https://anonymous.4open.science/r/GLANCE-CECE获得。
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引用次数: 0
Hierarchical prediction of irregular multivariate time series from a multi-granularity perspective 多粒度视角下不规则多变量时间序列的分层预测
IF 6.9 1区 管理学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ipm.2025.104508
Jing Zhang , HuiHui Yu , Rui Ye , Qun Dai
In Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) prediction, most methods address intra-series and inter-series irregularities through techniques like imputation and neural ordinary differential equations. However, they often overlook the multi-granularity nature of IMTS, limiting their ability to capture the dynamic, multi-granularity spatial and temporal interdependencies present in data. To overcome this, we propose HiP-IMTS, a novel Hierarchical Prediction model that enables accurate forecasting of IMTS across granularities, from coarse to fine, within a hierarchical framework. HiP-IMTS first extracts hierarchical patch embeddings at varying granularity levels. It then employs a finite difference-based attention mechanism for effectively addressing baseline drift, and a frequency convolution network for comprehensive temporal modeling from frequency domains. Next, a multi-granularity adaptive graph learning is introduced to model dynamic spatial correlations across different temporal granularities. Finally, a hierarchical prediction mechanism is designed to integrate complementary forecasting signals across multiple granularity levels, enabling effective fusion from coarse to fine scales. We perform a thorough assessment using four authentic datasets spanning various fields such as healthcare, biomechanics, and climate science, benchmarking HiP-IMTS against sixteen competitive baselines. HiP-IMTS achieves the best average critical difference ranks, with 1.1667 for MSE and 1.2083 for MAE, significantly outperforming existing state-of-the-art IMTS models.
在不规则多元时间序列(IMTS)预测中,大多数方法都是通过插值和神经常微分方程等技术来处理序列内和序列间的不规则性。然而,他们往往忽略了IMTS的多粒度特性,限制了他们捕捉数据中存在的动态、多粒度空间和时间相互依赖关系的能力。为了克服这一点,我们提出了HiP-IMTS,这是一种新的分层预测模型,可以在分层框架内从粗到细跨粒度准确预测IMTS。HiP-IMTS首先提取不同粒度级别的分层补丁嵌入。然后,它采用基于有限差分的注意机制来有效地解决基线漂移,并使用频率卷积网络从频域进行全面的时间建模。其次,引入多粒度自适应图学习,对不同时间粒度的动态空间相关性进行建模。最后,设计了一种分层预测机制,集成了多个粒度级别的互补预测信号,实现了从粗到细的有效融合。我们使用四个真实的数据集进行了全面的评估,这些数据集涵盖了医疗保健、生物力学和气候科学等各个领域,并将HiP-IMTS与16个竞争性基线进行了比较。HiP-IMTS达到了最佳的平均临界差排名,MSE为1.1667,MAE为1.2083,显著优于现有最先进的IMTS模型。
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引用次数: 0
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