This research investigates the exposure of plant species to extreme drought events in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest, employing an extensive dataset collected from 205 automatic weather stations across the region. Meteorological indicators derived from hourly data, encompassing precipitation and maximum and minimum air temperature, were utilized to quantify past, current, and future drought conditions. The dataset, comprising 10,299,236 data points, spans a substantial temporal window and exhibits a modest percentage of missing data. Missing data were excluded from analysis, aligning with the decision to refrain from using imputation methods due to potential bias. Drought quantification involved the computation of the aridity index, the analysis of consecutive hours without precipitation, and the classification of wet and dry days per month. Mann–Kendall trend analysis was applied to assess trends in evapotranspiration and maximum air temperature, considering their significance. The hazard assessment, incorporating environmental factors influencing tree growth dynamics, facilitated the ranking of meteorological indicators to identify regions most exposed to drought events. The results revealed consistent occurrences of extreme rainfall events, indicated by positive outliers in monthly precipitation values. However, significant trends were observed, including an increase in daily maximum temperature and consecutive hours without precipitation, coupled with a decrease in daily precipitation across the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. No significant correlation between vulnerability ranks and weather station latitudes and elevation were found, suggesting that geographical location and elevation do not strongly influence observed dryness trends.
{"title":"Assessing Drought Vulnerability in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest Using High-Frequency Data","authors":"Mahelvson Bazilio Chaves, Fábio Farias Pereira, Claudia Rivera Escorcia, Nathacha Cavalcante","doi":"10.3390/meteorology3030014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology3030014","url":null,"abstract":"This research investigates the exposure of plant species to extreme drought events in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest, employing an extensive dataset collected from 205 automatic weather stations across the region. Meteorological indicators derived from hourly data, encompassing precipitation and maximum and minimum air temperature, were utilized to quantify past, current, and future drought conditions. The dataset, comprising 10,299,236 data points, spans a substantial temporal window and exhibits a modest percentage of missing data. Missing data were excluded from analysis, aligning with the decision to refrain from using imputation methods due to potential bias. Drought quantification involved the computation of the aridity index, the analysis of consecutive hours without precipitation, and the classification of wet and dry days per month. Mann–Kendall trend analysis was applied to assess trends in evapotranspiration and maximum air temperature, considering their significance. The hazard assessment, incorporating environmental factors influencing tree growth dynamics, facilitated the ranking of meteorological indicators to identify regions most exposed to drought events. The results revealed consistent occurrences of extreme rainfall events, indicated by positive outliers in monthly precipitation values. However, significant trends were observed, including an increase in daily maximum temperature and consecutive hours without precipitation, coupled with a decrease in daily precipitation across the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. No significant correlation between vulnerability ranks and weather station latitudes and elevation were found, suggesting that geographical location and elevation do not strongly influence observed dryness trends.","PeriodicalId":506871,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141642254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-03-25DOI: 10.3390/meteorology3020007
André S. W. Teruya, V. Mayta, B. Raphaldini, P. S. Silva Dias, C. Sapucci
Instead of using the traditional space-time Fourier analysis of filtered specific atmospheric fields, a normal-mode decomposition method was used to analyze South American intraseasonal variability (ISV). Intraseasonal variability was examined separately in the 30–90-day band, 20–30-day band, and 10–20-day band. The most characteristic structure in the intraseasonal time-scale, in the three bands, was the dipole-like convection between the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ) and the central-east South America (CESA) region. In the 30–90-day band, the convective and circulation patterns were modulated by the large-scale Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO). In the 20–30-day and 10–20-day bands, the convection structures were primarily controlled by extratropical Rossby wave trains. The normal-mode decomposition of reanalysis data based on 30–90-day, 20–30-day, and 10–20-day ISV showed that the tropospheric circulation and CESA–SACZ convective structure observed over South America were dominated by rotational modes (i.e., Rossby waves, mixed Rossby-gravity waves). A considerable portion of the 30–90-day ISV was also associated with the inertio-gravity (IGW) modes (e.g., Kelvin waves), mainly prevailing during the austral rainy season. The proposed decomposition methodology demonstrated that a realistic circulation can be reproduced, giving a powerful tool for diagnosing and studying the dynamics of waves and the interactions between them in terms of their ability to provide causal accounts of the features seen in observations.
{"title":"Tropical and Subtropical South American Intraseasonal Variability: A Normal-Mode Approach","authors":"André S. W. Teruya, V. Mayta, B. Raphaldini, P. S. Silva Dias, C. Sapucci","doi":"10.3390/meteorology3020007","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology3020007","url":null,"abstract":"Instead of using the traditional space-time Fourier analysis of filtered specific atmospheric fields, a normal-mode decomposition method was used to analyze South American intraseasonal variability (ISV). Intraseasonal variability was examined separately in the 30–90-day band, 20–30-day band, and 10–20-day band. The most characteristic structure in the intraseasonal time-scale, in the three bands, was the dipole-like convection between the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ) and the central-east South America (CESA) region. In the 30–90-day band, the convective and circulation patterns were modulated by the large-scale Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO). In the 20–30-day and 10–20-day bands, the convection structures were primarily controlled by extratropical Rossby wave trains. The normal-mode decomposition of reanalysis data based on 30–90-day, 20–30-day, and 10–20-day ISV showed that the tropospheric circulation and CESA–SACZ convective structure observed over South America were dominated by rotational modes (i.e., Rossby waves, mixed Rossby-gravity waves). A considerable portion of the 30–90-day ISV was also associated with the inertio-gravity (IGW) modes (e.g., Kelvin waves), mainly prevailing during the austral rainy season. The proposed decomposition methodology demonstrated that a realistic circulation can be reproduced, giving a powerful tool for diagnosing and studying the dynamics of waves and the interactions between them in terms of their ability to provide causal accounts of the features seen in observations.","PeriodicalId":506871,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology","volume":" 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140383818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-02-06DOI: 10.3390/meteorology3010004
E. Kristóf, F. Ács, A. Zsákai
We characterized the thermal load of a person walking and/or standing in the fog by analyzing the thermal resistance of clothing, rcl, and operative temperature, To. The rcl–To model applies to individuals using weather data. The body mass index and basal metabolic flux density values of the person analyzed in this study are 25 kg m−2 and 40 W m−2, respectively. Weather data are taken from the nearest automatic weather station. We observed 146 fog events in the period 2017–2024 in Martonvásár (Hungary’s Great Plain region, Central Europe). The main results are as follows: (1) The rcl and To values were mostly between 2 and 0.5 clo and −4 and 16 °C during fog events, respectively. (2) The largest and smallest rcl and To values were around 2.5 and 0 clo and −7 and 22 °C, respectively. (3) The rcl differences resulting from interpersonal and wind speed variability are comparable, with a maximum value of around 0.5–0.7 clo. (4) Finally, rcl values are significantly different for standing and walking persons. At the very end, we can emphasize that the thermal load of the fog depends noticeably on the person’s activity and anthropometric characteristics.
{"title":"On the Human Thermal Load in Fog","authors":"E. Kristóf, F. Ács, A. Zsákai","doi":"10.3390/meteorology3010004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology3010004","url":null,"abstract":"We characterized the thermal load of a person walking and/or standing in the fog by analyzing the thermal resistance of clothing, rcl, and operative temperature, To. The rcl–To model applies to individuals using weather data. The body mass index and basal metabolic flux density values of the person analyzed in this study are 25 kg m−2 and 40 W m−2, respectively. Weather data are taken from the nearest automatic weather station. We observed 146 fog events in the period 2017–2024 in Martonvásár (Hungary’s Great Plain region, Central Europe). The main results are as follows: (1) The rcl and To values were mostly between 2 and 0.5 clo and −4 and 16 °C during fog events, respectively. (2) The largest and smallest rcl and To values were around 2.5 and 0 clo and −7 and 22 °C, respectively. (3) The rcl differences resulting from interpersonal and wind speed variability are comparable, with a maximum value of around 0.5–0.7 clo. (4) Finally, rcl values are significantly different for standing and walking persons. At the very end, we can emphasize that the thermal load of the fog depends noticeably on the person’s activity and anthropometric characteristics.","PeriodicalId":506871,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139858460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-02-06DOI: 10.3390/meteorology3010004
E. Kristóf, F. Ács, A. Zsákai
We characterized the thermal load of a person walking and/or standing in the fog by analyzing the thermal resistance of clothing, rcl, and operative temperature, To. The rcl–To model applies to individuals using weather data. The body mass index and basal metabolic flux density values of the person analyzed in this study are 25 kg m−2 and 40 W m−2, respectively. Weather data are taken from the nearest automatic weather station. We observed 146 fog events in the period 2017–2024 in Martonvásár (Hungary’s Great Plain region, Central Europe). The main results are as follows: (1) The rcl and To values were mostly between 2 and 0.5 clo and −4 and 16 °C during fog events, respectively. (2) The largest and smallest rcl and To values were around 2.5 and 0 clo and −7 and 22 °C, respectively. (3) The rcl differences resulting from interpersonal and wind speed variability are comparable, with a maximum value of around 0.5–0.7 clo. (4) Finally, rcl values are significantly different for standing and walking persons. At the very end, we can emphasize that the thermal load of the fog depends noticeably on the person’s activity and anthropometric characteristics.
{"title":"On the Human Thermal Load in Fog","authors":"E. Kristóf, F. Ács, A. Zsákai","doi":"10.3390/meteorology3010004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology3010004","url":null,"abstract":"We characterized the thermal load of a person walking and/or standing in the fog by analyzing the thermal resistance of clothing, rcl, and operative temperature, To. The rcl–To model applies to individuals using weather data. The body mass index and basal metabolic flux density values of the person analyzed in this study are 25 kg m−2 and 40 W m−2, respectively. Weather data are taken from the nearest automatic weather station. We observed 146 fog events in the period 2017–2024 in Martonvásár (Hungary’s Great Plain region, Central Europe). The main results are as follows: (1) The rcl and To values were mostly between 2 and 0.5 clo and −4 and 16 °C during fog events, respectively. (2) The largest and smallest rcl and To values were around 2.5 and 0 clo and −7 and 22 °C, respectively. (3) The rcl differences resulting from interpersonal and wind speed variability are comparable, with a maximum value of around 0.5–0.7 clo. (4) Finally, rcl values are significantly different for standing and walking persons. At the very end, we can emphasize that the thermal load of the fog depends noticeably on the person’s activity and anthropometric characteristics.","PeriodicalId":506871,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology","volume":"6 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139798694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-29DOI: 10.3390/meteorology3010003
E. Bucchignani
In the present work, a methodology for wind field reconstruction based on the Meteo Particle model (MPM) from numerical weather prediction (NWP) data is presented. The development of specific wind forecast services is a challenging research topic, in particular for what concerns the availability of accurate local weather forecasts in highly populated areas. Currently, even if NWP limited area models (LAMs) are run at a spatial resolution of about 1 km, this level of information is not sufficient for many applications; for example, to support drone operation in urban contexts. The coupling of the MPM with the NWP limited area model COSMO has been implemented in such a way that the MPM reads the NWP output over a selected area and provides wind values for the generic point considered for the investigation. The numerical results obtained reveal the good behavior of the method in reproducing the general trend of the wind speed, as also confirmed by the power spectra analysis. The MPM is able to step over the intrinsic limitations of the NWP model in terms of the spatial and temporal resolution, even if the MPM inherits the bias that inevitably affects the COSMO output.
{"title":"A Wind Field Reconstruction from Numerical Weather Prediction Data Based on a Meteo Particle Model","authors":"E. Bucchignani","doi":"10.3390/meteorology3010003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology3010003","url":null,"abstract":"In the present work, a methodology for wind field reconstruction based on the Meteo Particle model (MPM) from numerical weather prediction (NWP) data is presented. The development of specific wind forecast services is a challenging research topic, in particular for what concerns the availability of accurate local weather forecasts in highly populated areas. Currently, even if NWP limited area models (LAMs) are run at a spatial resolution of about 1 km, this level of information is not sufficient for many applications; for example, to support drone operation in urban contexts. The coupling of the MPM with the NWP limited area model COSMO has been implemented in such a way that the MPM reads the NWP output over a selected area and provides wind values for the generic point considered for the investigation. The numerical results obtained reveal the good behavior of the method in reproducing the general trend of the wind speed, as also confirmed by the power spectra analysis. The MPM is able to step over the intrinsic limitations of the NWP model in terms of the spatial and temporal resolution, even if the MPM inherits the bias that inevitably affects the COSMO output.","PeriodicalId":506871,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology","volume":"45 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140485751","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-01-22DOI: 10.3390/meteorology3010002
Andrew R. Jakovlev, S. Smyshlyaev
Tropical sea surface temperature (SST) variability, mainly driven by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), influences the atmospheric circulation and hence the transport of heat and chemical species in both the troposphere and stratosphere. This paper uses Met Office, ERA5 and MERRA2 reanalysis data to examine the impact of SST variability on the dynamics of the polar stratosphere and ozone layer over the period from 1980 to 2020. Particular attention is paid to studying the differences in the influence of different types of ENSO (East Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP)) for the El Niño and La Niña phases. It is shown that during the CP El Niño, the zonal wind weakens more strongly and changes direction more often than during the EP El Niño, and the CP El Niño leads to a more rapid decay of the polar vortex (PV), an increase in stratospheric air temperature and an increase in the concentration and total column ozone than during EP El Niño. For the CP La Niña, the PV is more stable, which often leads to a significant decrease in Arctic ozone. During EP La Niña, powerful sudden stratospheric warming events are often observed, which lead to the destruction of PV and an increase in column ozone.
主要由厄尔尼诺-南方涛动（ENSO）驱动的热带海洋表面温度（SST）变率影响着大气环流，进而影响对流层和平流层中热量和化学物质的传输。本文利用气象局、ERA5 和 MERRA2 再分析数据，研究了 1980-2020 年期间 SST 变率对极地平流层和臭氧层动态的影响。本文特别关注研究不同类型厄尔尼诺/南方涛动（东太平洋厄尔尼诺/南方涛动和中太平洋厄尔尼诺/南方涛动）对厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜阶段的影响差异。研究表明，在 CP 厄尔尼诺期间，带状风比 EP 厄尔尼诺期间减弱得更强，方向改变得更频繁，CP 厄尔尼诺比 EP 厄尔尼诺期间导致极地涡旋（PV）衰减得更快，平流层气温上升，臭氧浓度和臭氧柱总量增加。在 CP 拉尼娜现象中，极地涡旋更加稳定，往往导致北极臭氧显著减少。在 EP 拉尼娜期间，经常观测到强大的平流层突然变暖事件，导致 PV 破坏和臭氧柱增加。
{"title":"The Impact of the Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Variability on the Dynamical Processes and Ozone Layer in the Arctic Atmosphere","authors":"Andrew R. Jakovlev, S. Smyshlyaev","doi":"10.3390/meteorology3010002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology3010002","url":null,"abstract":"Tropical sea surface temperature (SST) variability, mainly driven by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), influences the atmospheric circulation and hence the transport of heat and chemical species in both the troposphere and stratosphere. This paper uses Met Office, ERA5 and MERRA2 reanalysis data to examine the impact of SST variability on the dynamics of the polar stratosphere and ozone layer over the period from 1980 to 2020. Particular attention is paid to studying the differences in the influence of different types of ENSO (East Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP)) for the El Niño and La Niña phases. It is shown that during the CP El Niño, the zonal wind weakens more strongly and changes direction more often than during the EP El Niño, and the CP El Niño leads to a more rapid decay of the polar vortex (PV), an increase in stratospheric air temperature and an increase in the concentration and total column ozone than during EP El Niño. For the CP La Niña, the PV is more stable, which often leads to a significant decrease in Arctic ozone. During EP La Niña, powerful sudden stratospheric warming events are often observed, which lead to the destruction of PV and an increase in column ozone.","PeriodicalId":506871,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology","volume":"11 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139609528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-19DOI: 10.3390/meteorology3010001
Julie Sherman, Christian Sampson, Emmanuel Fleurantin, Zhimin Wu, Christopher K. R. T. Jones
Stratospheric dynamics are strongly affected by the absorption/emission of radiation in the Earth’s atmosphere and Rossby waves that propagate upward from the troposphere, perturbing the zonal flow. Reduced order models of stratospheric wave–zonal interactions, which parameterize these effects, have been used to study interannual variability in stratospheric zonal winds and sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events. These models are most sensitive to two main parameters: Λ, forcing the mean radiative zonal wind gradient, and h, a perturbation parameter representing the effect of Rossby waves. We take one such reduced order model with 20 years of ECMWF atmospheric reanalysis data and estimate Λ and h using both a particle filter and an ensemble smoother to investigate if the highly-simplified model can accurately reproduce the averaged reanalysis data and which parameter properties may be required to do so. We find that by allowing additional complexity via an unparameterized Λ(t), the model output can closely match the reanalysis data while maintaining behavior consistent with the dynamical properties of the reduced-order model. Furthermore, our analysis shows physical signatures in the parameter estimates around known SSW events. This work provides a data-driven examination of these important parameters representing fundamental stratospheric processes through the lens and tractability of a reduced order model, shown to be physically representative of the relevant atmospheric dynamics.
{"title":"A Data-Driven Study of the Drivers of Stratospheric Circulation via Reduced Order Modeling and Data Assimilation","authors":"Julie Sherman, Christian Sampson, Emmanuel Fleurantin, Zhimin Wu, Christopher K. R. T. Jones","doi":"10.3390/meteorology3010001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology3010001","url":null,"abstract":"Stratospheric dynamics are strongly affected by the absorption/emission of radiation in the Earth’s atmosphere and Rossby waves that propagate upward from the troposphere, perturbing the zonal flow. Reduced order models of stratospheric wave–zonal interactions, which parameterize these effects, have been used to study interannual variability in stratospheric zonal winds and sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events. These models are most sensitive to two main parameters: Λ, forcing the mean radiative zonal wind gradient, and h, a perturbation parameter representing the effect of Rossby waves. We take one such reduced order model with 20 years of ECMWF atmospheric reanalysis data and estimate Λ and h using both a particle filter and an ensemble smoother to investigate if the highly-simplified model can accurately reproduce the averaged reanalysis data and which parameter properties may be required to do so. We find that by allowing additional complexity via an unparameterized Λ(t), the model output can closely match the reanalysis data while maintaining behavior consistent with the dynamical properties of the reduced-order model. Furthermore, our analysis shows physical signatures in the parameter estimates around known SSW events. This work provides a data-driven examination of these important parameters representing fundamental stratospheric processes through the lens and tractability of a reduced order model, shown to be physically representative of the relevant atmospheric dynamics.","PeriodicalId":506871,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139171090","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-12-13DOI: 10.3390/meteorology2040030
C. A. Sánchez P., A. Calheiros, Sâmia R. Garcia, E. N. Macau
The Amazon Basin is the largest rainforest in the world, and studying the rainfall in this region is crucial for understanding the functioning of the entire rainforest ecosystem and its role in regulating the regional and global climate. This work is part of the application of complex networks, which refer to a network modeled by graphs and are characterized by their high versatility, as well as the extraction of key information from the system under study. The main objective of this article is to examine the precipitation system in the Amazon basin during the austral summer. The networks are defined by nodes and connections, where each node represents a precipitation time series, while the connections can be represented by different similarity functions. For this study, three rainfall networks were created, which differ based on the correlation function used (Pearson, Spearman, and Kendall). By comparing these networks, we can identify the most effective method for analyzing the data and gain a better understanding of rainfall’s spatial structure, thereby enhancing our knowledge of its impact on different Amazon basin regions. The results reveal the presence of three important regions in the Amazon basin. Two areas were identified in the northeast and northwest, showing incursions of warm and humid winds from the oceans and favoring the occurrence of large mesoscale systems, such as squall lines. Additionally, the eastern part of the central Andes may indicate an outflow region from the basin with winds directed toward subtropical latitudes. The networks showed a high level of activity and participation in the center of the Amazon basin and east of the Andes. Regarding information transmission, the betweenness centrality identified the main pathways within a basin, and some of these are directly related to certain rivers, such as the Amazon, Purus, and Madeira. Indicating the relationship between rainfall and the presence of water bodies. Finally, it suggests that the Spearman and Kendall correlation produced the most promising results. Although they showed similar spatial patterns, the major difference was found in the identification of communities, this is due to the meridional differences in the network’s response. Overall, these findings highlight the importance of carefully selecting appropriate techniques and methods when analyzing complex networks.
{"title":"Comparison Link Function from Summer Rainfall Network in Amazon Basin","authors":"C. A. Sánchez P., A. Calheiros, Sâmia R. Garcia, E. N. Macau","doi":"10.3390/meteorology2040030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/meteorology2040030","url":null,"abstract":"The Amazon Basin is the largest rainforest in the world, and studying the rainfall in this region is crucial for understanding the functioning of the entire rainforest ecosystem and its role in regulating the regional and global climate. This work is part of the application of complex networks, which refer to a network modeled by graphs and are characterized by their high versatility, as well as the extraction of key information from the system under study. The main objective of this article is to examine the precipitation system in the Amazon basin during the austral summer. The networks are defined by nodes and connections, where each node represents a precipitation time series, while the connections can be represented by different similarity functions. For this study, three rainfall networks were created, which differ based on the correlation function used (Pearson, Spearman, and Kendall). By comparing these networks, we can identify the most effective method for analyzing the data and gain a better understanding of rainfall’s spatial structure, thereby enhancing our knowledge of its impact on different Amazon basin regions. The results reveal the presence of three important regions in the Amazon basin. Two areas were identified in the northeast and northwest, showing incursions of warm and humid winds from the oceans and favoring the occurrence of large mesoscale systems, such as squall lines. Additionally, the eastern part of the central Andes may indicate an outflow region from the basin with winds directed toward subtropical latitudes. The networks showed a high level of activity and participation in the center of the Amazon basin and east of the Andes. Regarding information transmission, the betweenness centrality identified the main pathways within a basin, and some of these are directly related to certain rivers, such as the Amazon, Purus, and Madeira. Indicating the relationship between rainfall and the presence of water bodies. Finally, it suggests that the Spearman and Kendall correlation produced the most promising results. Although they showed similar spatial patterns, the major difference was found in the identification of communities, this is due to the meridional differences in the network’s response. Overall, these findings highlight the importance of carefully selecting appropriate techniques and methods when analyzing complex networks.","PeriodicalId":506871,"journal":{"name":"Meteorology","volume":"197 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139181283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-11-19DOI: 10.3390/meteorology2040028
Ayman Elyoussoufi, Curtis L. Walker, Alan W. Black, Gregory J. DeGirolamo
Adverse weather conditions impact mobility, safety, and the behavior of drivers on roads. In an average year, approximately 21% of U.S. highway crashes are weather-related. Collectively, these crashes result in over 5300 fatalities each year. As a proof-of-concept, analyzing weather information in the context of traffic mobility data can provide unique insights into driver behavior and actions transportation agencies can pursue to promote safety and efficiency. Using 2019 weather and traffic data along Colorado Highway 119 between Boulder and Longmont, this research analyzed the relationship between adverse weather and traffic conditions. The data were classified into distinct weather types, day of the week, and the direction of travel to capture commuter traffic flows. Novel traffic information crowdsourced from smartphones provided metrics such as volume, speed, trip length, trip duration, and the purpose of travel. The data showed that snow days had a smaller traffic volume than clear and rainy days, with an All Times volume of approximately 18,000 vehicles for each direction of travel, as opposed to 21,000 vehicles for both clear and wet conditions. From a trip purpose perspective, the data showed that the percentage of travel between home and work locations was 21.4% during a snow day compared to 20.6% for rain and 19.6% for clear days. The overall traffic volume reduction during snow days is likely due to drivers deciding to avoid commuting; however, the relative increase in the home–work travel percentage is likely attributable to less discretionary travel in lieu of essential work travel. In comparison, the increase in traffic volume during rainy days may be due to commuters being less likely to walk, bike, or take public transit during inclement weather. This study demonstrates the insight into human behavior by analyzing impact on traffic parameters during adverse weather travel.
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