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Modelling commuters’ travel time perception on an urban corridor using the fuzzy logic technique: A case study of Surat, India 利用模糊逻辑技术模拟乘客对城市走廊交通时间的感知:印度苏拉特案例研究
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.48295/et.2023.95.2
Krishna Saw
On the one hand, travel time is important in planning and managing urban roads; on the other hand, it is important in commuters' route and departure time decisions. Often, mode and route choices and a sense of departure time are mainly based on one’s perceived travel time (PTT). This study focuses on modelling travellers’ PTT considering socio-economic and trip attributes for an urban corridor, taking Surat as a case study. An ANOVA test has been conducted to identify factors governing PTT. Analysis shows that trip attributes (e.g., traffic conditions, traffic environment, and travel distance) influence PTT more than travellers' socio-economic characteristics (e.g., income, occupation, age, and vehicle ownership). Commuters overestimate PTT (min/km) nearly two-fold, and the overestimation decreases with increasing trip distance. A PTT Estimation Model has been developed using Fuzzy Logic, considering the epistemic uncertainty associated with attributes. The developed model can help inform necessary improvement measures to bring travel times to a reasonable level.
一方面,旅行时间对城市道路的规划和管理非常重要;另一方面,旅行时间对乘客的路线和出发时间决策也非常重要。通常情况下,出行方式和路线的选择以及对出发时间的感知主要基于个人的感知旅行时间(PTT)。本研究以苏拉特市为例,重点研究了考虑到社会经济和出行属性的城市走廊乘客感知旅行时间模型。通过方差分析测试来确定影响 PTT 的因素。分析表明,出行属性(如交通状况、交通环境和出行距离)对公共交通时间的影响大于乘客的社会经济特征(如收入、职业、年龄和车辆拥有量)。通勤者高估了近两倍的公共交通时间(分钟/公里),而且高估的程度随着旅行距离的增加而降低。考虑到与属性相关的认识不确定性,我们利用模糊逻辑建立了一个公共交通时间估算模型。所开发的模型有助于为必要的改进措施提供依据,从而将旅行时间控制在合理水平。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of electromobility development on tax revenues: A case study on Norway 电动汽车发展对税收的影响:挪威案例研究
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.48295/et.2023.95.5
B. Andrlík
The manuscript deals with the development of electromobility in Norway and its impact on tax revenues. The detailed focus of the paper is on registration and road taxes directly related to the acquisition and operation of a road motor vehicle. The paper aims to verify whether a growing share of electric cars in Norway's fleet impacts the decrease in tax collection, namely road and registration tax. Norway was chosen because it is the country with the highest share of electric cars in the vehicle fleet in the world. Impacts on road and registration tax are investigated, focusing on 1998–2021. Our results suggest that the introduction of electromobility has a negative effect on the collection of road and registration tax, with the addition that this impact is statistically significant only in the case of registration tax. In other words, our research assumption was only confirmed in the case of the registration tax.
手稿涉及挪威电动汽车的发展及其对税收的影响。本文的详细重点是与道路机动车辆的购置和运营直接相关的登记税和道路税。本文旨在验证电动汽车在挪威车队中所占比例的增长是否会影响税收(即道路税和登记税)的减少。之所以选择挪威,是因为挪威是世界上电动汽车在汽车保有量中所占比例最高的国家。我们以 1998-2021 年为重点,研究了对道路税和登记税的影响。研究结果表明,电动汽车的引入对道路税和登记税的征收产生了负面影响,而且这种影响仅在登记税方面具有统计意义。换句话说,我们的研究假设只在登记税方面得到了证实。
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引用次数: 0
Preliminary Assessment for a Sustainable and Integrated Solar-Powered Transport System in Asmara – Eritrea 厄立特里亚阿斯马拉可持续综合太阳能交通系统初步评估
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.48295/et.2023.95.1
Cristiano Colombo
As a result of the new political stability achieved among Eritrea and Ethiopia, even though not completely consolidated after one year from the peace signed on 8 July 2018, the role of Asmara, the Eritrean capital, is under investigation to understand its potential impact on the economic and technological development of the Horn of Africa. In a region such as the Sub-Saharan one, the main challenge in energy is to guarantee a reliable electric grid based on Renewable Energy Sources (RESs). This paper proposes the development of an integrated urban mobility plan in Asmara, monitored by a performance analysis, and then it was simulated to power the service exclusively by a microgrid provided by photovoltaic panels using the software Homer pro, to sustain the demographic and economic growth of the city. From the analysis carried out, the implementation of the service required 52 e-buses, 2 e-minibuses, 7 e-taxis and 50 e-bikes. Furthermore, to economically and environmentally maintain the Project, a PV (Photovoltaic) plant with a surface area of 94,972 m2, equipped with a rated capacity of 4,966 kW. Furthermore, energy will be available at 0.1547 $/kWh. The aim of this work is to propose a future scenario of electric mobility enhancement for developing countries, evaluating their evolution over time to offer an efficient and suitable service throughout the city of Asmara.
由于厄立特里亚和埃塞俄比亚之间实现了新的政治稳定,尽管在 2018 年 7 月 8 日签署和平协议一年后仍未完全巩固,厄立特里亚首都阿斯马拉的作用正在接受调查,以了解其对非洲之角经济和技术发展的潜在影响。在撒哈拉以南这样的地区,能源方面的主要挑战是如何保证基于可再生能源(RES)的可靠电网。本文建议在阿斯马拉制定一项综合城市交通计划,并通过性能分析进行监测,然后利用 Homer pro 软件模拟完全由光伏电池板提供的微电网供电服务,以维持城市的人口和经济增长。根据分析结果,该服务的实施需要 52 辆电动公交车、2 辆电动小巴、7 辆电动出租车和 50 辆电动自行车。此外,为了经济、环保地维护该项目,还需要一个表面积为 94 972 平方米、额定功率为 4 966 千瓦的光伏发电站。此外,能源价格为 0.1547 美元/千瓦时。这项工作的目的是为发展中国家提出一个未来的电动交通增强方案,评估其随着时间的推移而发生的变化,以便在整个阿斯马拉市提供高效、合适的服务。
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引用次数: 0
Entry Count vs Occupancy Count to assess sector capacity with Fast Time Simulation 入场人数与占用人数对比,利用快速时间模拟评估区段容量
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.48295/et.2023.95.3
Paola Di Mascio
An air traffic controller should manage aircraft movements per hour to ensure the safety and efficiency of the traffic system. This study proposed an innovative methodology to estimate the air traffic controllers’ workload through sector occupancy. Starting with a model for the workload of sector controllers designed by Eurocontrol for tower controllers, the authors defined a taskload model from real audio that occurred in an examined Terminal Control Area (TMA). Moreover, trombones have been implemented to sequence arrival flows in the simulated TMA. Therefore, an airside model has been reproduced using Fast Time Simulation software, and its capacity has been calculated in terms of occupancy due to approaching movements. The results permit to evaluate the impact of infrastructural and operative modifications on the sector capacity in terms of hourly entry count and occupancy. Total and maximum occupancy values have been deepened to identify the best predictive factor of controllers’ workload and to manage the airspace configuration.
空中交通管制员应管理好每小时的飞机起降,以确保交通系统的安全和效率。本研究提出了一种创新方法,通过扇区占用来估算空中交通管制员的工作量。作者从 Eurocontrol 为塔台管制员设计的扇区管制员工作量模型入手,根据检查过的终端管制区(TMA)中发生的真实音频定义了任务量模型。此外,还在模拟的 TMA 中实施了长号,对到达流量进行排序。因此,使用快速时间模拟软件重现了一个空侧模型,并计算了该模型因接近活动而占用的空间。根据计算结果,可以评估基础设施和运营改造对每小时入境人数和占用率的影响。对总占用率和最大占用率值进行了深化,以确定管制员工作量的最佳预测因素,并对空域配置进行管理。
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引用次数: 0
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