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Outlook on Agriculture最新文献

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Has process hijacked purpose? Outlook on food systems transformation in the global climate change processes 进程劫持了目的?全球气候变化进程中的粮食系统转型展望
Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1177/00307270241254550
D. Dinesh, Leanne Zeppenfeldt, Philip K. Thornton, Bruce Campbell
There has been growing interest in the Conference of Parties (COPs) meetings of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in food systems, which account for a third of global emissions and are heavily impacted by climate change. While there has been much rhetoric about the need for transformation at recent COPs, we examine whether this solely remains at the level of rhetoric and ambition or is likely to deliver the climate action that is needed. Based on literature, documentation of UNFCCC meetings, and our own participation, we observe that progress in the past on agriculture has been extremely slow and has led to limited action, while the recent verbiage on food systems has not been matched by significant progress in the negotiations. The urgent action needed is not realised through the UNFCCC processes. New and radically different ways to catalyse action are needed, and the UNFCCC process urgently needs reform as part of wider multilateral reforms. We propose that the scale of the COPs is reduced and that the focus shifts to the results delivered through rigorous evaluation, accountability and transparency, and a shift towards less consensus-based approaches to drive action and ambition.
联合国气候变化框架公约》(UNFCCCs)缔约方大会(COPs)对粮食系统的关注与日俱增,因为粮食系统占全球排放量的三分之一,并受到气候变化的严重影响。在最近的缔约方会议上,关于转型必要性的言论不绝于耳,但我们要研究的是,这是否仅仅停留在言论和雄心壮志的层面,还是有可能实现所需的气候行动。根据文献、《联合国气候变化框架公约》会议文件以及我们自身的参与情况,我们注意到,过去在农业方面的进展极其缓慢,所采取的行动也很有限,而最近关于粮食系统的言辞却没有在谈判中取得重大进展。联合国气候变化框架公约》进程无法实现所需的紧急行动。我们需要新的、截然不同的方式来推动行动,《联合国气候变化框架公约》进程迫切需要改革,作为更广泛的多边改革的一部分。我们建议缩小《公约》缔约方会议的规模,将重点转移到通过严格评估、问责制和透明度取得的成果上,并转向较少基于共识的方法,以推动行动和雄心。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the dynamics of hybrid seed adoption among smallholder chilli farmers in Indonesia 了解印度尼西亚辣椒小农采用杂交种子的动态变化
Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1177/00307270231222560
A. Sayekti, A. M. Hasibuan, Randy Stringer, Di Zeng
In the realm of agricultural research, considerable attention has been directed toward the adoption of hybrid seeds; however, the evolution of adoption behaviors over time remains an area of limited comprehension. This study contributes to the existing literature by elucidating the determinants that underlies the dynamic of hybrid seed adoption among smallholder chilli farmers in Indonesia. By categorizing adoption into four distinct phases—non-adoption, late-adoption, continual-adoption, and dis-adoption—a nuanced understanding of the phenomenon is sought. Leveraging a two-period panel dataset encompassing chilli farmers, we employ a multinomial logit model to explicate the dynamic adoption behaviors exhibited by these farmers. Our empirical findings bring to light a notable divergence in the variables associated with continual-adoption as opposed to those linked with late-adoption. This distinction underscores the heterogeneous nature of adopters and emphasizes the need for tailored strategies for each category. Specifically, we unearth a positive correlation between membership in a farmer's group and the propensity for continual-adoption, concurrently mitigating the likelihood of non-adoption. The implications drawn from our study underscore the intricate nature of adoption stages, thereby providing valuable insights to inform the design of targeted adoption policies that cater to the distinct strategies required for varying adoption categories.
在农业研究领域,人们对杂交种子的采用给予了相当大的关注;然而,对采用行为随时间推移而发生的演变的了解仍然有限。本研究阐明了印尼辣椒小农采用杂交种子动态的决定因素,为现有文献做出了贡献。通过将采用分为四个不同阶段--未采用、晚期采用、持续采用和不再采用--来寻求对这一现象的细致理解。利用涵盖辣椒种植农的两期面板数据集,我们采用多叉 logit 模型来解释这些种植农表现出的动态采用行为。我们的实证研究结果表明,与持续采用相关的变量和与后期采用相关的变量存在明显差异。这种差异凸显了采用者的异质性,并强调了为每一类采用者量身定制策略的必要性。具体而言,我们发现农民团体成员资格与持续采用倾向之间存在正相关关系,同时降低了不采用的可能性。我们的研究强调了采用阶段的复杂性,从而为制定有针对性的采用政策提供了有价值的见解,这些政策将满足不同采用类别所需的不同策略。
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引用次数: 0
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Outlook on Agriculture
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