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Understanding the Emergence of Computational Institutional Science: A Review of Computational Modeling of Institutions and Institutional Dynamics 理解计算制度科学的兴起:制度和制度动态计算建模综述
Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.5334/ijc.1335
Nicholas Oesterling, Graham Ambrose, Jiho Kim
Computational Institutional Science (CIS) is an emerging stream of social science research performing institutional analysis with computational methods. While such scholarship is garnering increased attention, it draws on many different theories and engages disparate disciplinary backgrounds. Thus, this article provides an overview of CIS articles utilizing agent-based modeling, a computer simulation experiment method, to better understand critical theoretical lenses and topics. More specifically, this article clusters and analyzes 148 articles based on commonalities and differences empirically derived from their overlapping citations (i.e., citation cluster) and abstract content (i.e., topic cluster). Based on our analysis, we discuss the trends observed across cluster types and the overlap between them to better situate CIS inquiry.
计算制度科学(Computational Institutional Science,CIS)是一种新兴的社会科学研究流派,利用计算方法进行制度分析。虽然此类学术研究正赢得越来越多的关注,但它借鉴了许多不同的理论,并涉及不同的学科背景。因此,本文概述了利用基于代理的建模(一种计算机模拟实验方法)来更好地理解关键理论视角和主题的 CIS 文章。更具体地说,本文对 148 篇文章进行了聚类和分析,这些文章的共同点和不同点来自于它们的重叠引用(即引用聚类)和摘要内容(即主题聚类)。在分析的基础上,我们讨论了在不同聚类类型中观察到的趋势以及它们之间的重叠,以便更好地定位 CIS 研究。
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引用次数: 0
Designing NGO Interventions in Forest Commons of the Western Ghats, India: Is it Possible to Avoid Institutional Panaceas While Using Design Principles? 在印度西高止山脉的森林公地设计非政府组织干预措施:在使用设计原则的同时,是否有可能避免制度上的 "灵丹妙药"?
Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.5334/ijc.1314
Anushri Narayan Visweswaran, F. van Laerhoven
Scholarship shows that community forests can be sustainably self-governed through collective action. In the Western Ghats (India), many NGOs have risen to support communities with this task. Few scientific studies explore NGO interventions in CPR governance. As a result, we observe a risk of over-generalising scientific knowledge over many different contexts when designing interventions, resulting in prescriptive institutional panaceas. We ask: Can design principles be applied by practitioners, NGOs in particular, in designing forest CPR interventions while avoiding institutional panaceas? We identified 12 design principles for sustainable community CPR governance in literature. We compared these conditions against NGO interventions in the Western Ghats. Data was collected through semi-structured interviews and document analysis of 10 NGOs. We found that NGOs applied most design principles through a range of particular activities. By combining these activities in different ways based on local contexts and intervention stage, we show how the concern about over-generalisation of design principles could be avoided.
研究表明,社区森林可以通过集体行动实现可持续的自我管理。在西高止山脉(印度),许多非政府组织已经开始支持社区完成这项任务。很少有科学研究探讨非政府组织在 CPR 治理中的干预措施。因此,我们注意到,在设计干预措施时,有可能将科学知识过度泛化到许多不同的环境中,从而导致规定性的制度灵丹妙药。我们不禁要问:在设计森林 CPR 干预措施时,从业人员(尤其是非政府组织)能否应用设计原则,同时避免制度上的 "灵丹妙药"?我们在文献中确定了 12 项可持续社区 CPR 治理的设计原则。我们将这些条件与非政府组织在西高止山脉的干预措施进行了比较。我们通过对 10 个非政府组织进行半结构化访谈和文件分析来收集数据。我们发现,非政府组织通过一系列特定活动应用了大多数设计原则。通过根据当地情况和干预阶段以不同的方式将这些活动结合起来,我们展示了如何避免过度概括设计原则的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Policy Over Practice: A Review of Groundwater Governance Research in Sub-Saharan Africa 政策重于实践:撒哈拉以南非洲地下水治理研究综述
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.5334/ijc.1313
Chris de Bont, Lowe Börjeson
Groundwater is increasingly seen as crucial to both agricultural and domestic water supply in sub-Saharan Africa. Citing climate change and growing populations, there is especially a notable shift towards promoting groundwater for irrigation to ensure food security. Increased use of the resource will undoubtedly be accompanied with new questions of governance, with groundwater overexploitation in other parts of the world functioning as a strong cautionary tale. This article provides an overview of the current groundwater governance literature on sub-Saharan Africa. Using a critical water governance lens we analyse how groundwater governance is framed, what terms, categories, and measurements are used to describe and assess groundwater governance, and whose perspectives are considered. We also assess whether groundwater governance research has taken place across sub-Saharan African countries in a balanced way. We find that groundwater governance research in sub-Saharan Africa, even more so than elsewhere, ignores the voices and perspectives of those physically encountering the resource. Instead, it is dominated by the views of formal, technical groundwater experts focusing on the need for more hydrogeological data and formal policies. While the existing contributions to the literature are valuable, the current bias in perspectives calls for others to join the field of groundwater governance and to supplement current conceptualisations and approaches with those of users and others dealing with groundwater management on a daily basis. We argue that groundwater users’ practical governance experiences, locally adapted solutions and knowledges, can add important complementary perspectives and insights towards crafting effective, sustainable and equitable groundwater governance processes across the continent.
在撒哈拉以南非洲,地下水日益被视为农业和家庭供水的关键。以气候变化和人口增长为由,为确保粮食安全,人们特别明显地转向推广地下水灌溉。资源使用量的增加无疑会带来新的管理问题,世界其他地区地下水的过度开采就是一个有力的警示。本文概述了当前有关撒哈拉以南非洲地下水治理的文献。我们采用批判性水治理视角,分析了地下水治理的框架,使用了哪些术语、类别和测量方法来描述和评估地下水治理,以及考虑了哪些人的观点。我们还评估了撒哈拉以南非洲国家是否以平衡的方式开展了地下水治理研究。我们发现,与其他地方相比,撒哈拉以南非洲的地下水治理研究更加忽视那些实际接触到地下水资源的人的声音和观点。取而代之的是正规的、技术性的地下水专家的观点,他们的重点是需要更多的水文地质数据和正规的政策。虽然现有文献的贡献很有价值,但目前观点上的偏差要求其他人加入地下水治理领域,用用户和其他日常处理地下水管理的人的观点和方法来补充目前的概念和方法。我们认为,地下水使用者的实际治理经验、因地制宜的解决方案和知识可以为整个非洲大陆制定有效、可持续和公平的地下水治理进程提供重要的补充观点和见解。
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引用次数: 0
Managing Groundwater from the Ground Up: An Ex Ante Assessment of the Potential for Collective Action 从头开始管理地下水:对集体行动潜力的事前评估
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.5334/ijc.1258
Adam Doneo, Elisabeth Conrad
Common pool groundwater resources may be susceptible to overexploitation but can potentially be managed collectively. However, few studies explore the potential for successful collective action ex-ante. We conduct an ex-ante assessment of the potential for collective action by users of a groundwater body, to identify whether necessary conditions are in place, using a mixed methods approach based on literature, expert consultation, and Q methodology. While some aspects were conducive to collective action, under current conditions it appears unlikely that users will self-organize. Four user sub-groups were identified, differing in terms of resource perceptions and prosocial behavior, with potential for tapping into the skills of potential leaders and capitalizing on the prosocial intent of team players, while building bridges for cooperation with sceptics and non-users. Such ex-ante assessment can serve to identify which conditions need to be cultivated to foster cooperation and to identify strategies for engaging with different user sub-groups.
共用地下水资源可能容易被过度开采,但有可能进行集体管理。然而,很少有研究探讨事前成功采取集体行动的可能性。我们采用基于文献、专家咨询和 Q 方法的混合方法,对地下水体用户采取集体行动的潜力进行了事前评估,以确定是否具备必要条件。虽然某些方面有利于集体行动,但在当前条件下,用户似乎不太可能自发组织起来。我们确定了四个用户子群体,它们在资源认知和亲社会行为方面各不相同,有潜力挖掘潜在领导者的技能,利用团队成员的亲社会意图,同时与怀疑论者和非用户建立合作桥梁。这种事前评估有助于确定需要培养哪些条件来促进合作,并确定与不同用户子群体接触的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Policy Over Practice: A Review of Groundwater Governance Research in Sub-Saharan Africa 政策重于实践:撒哈拉以南非洲地下水治理研究综述
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.5334/ijc.1313
Chris de Bont, Lowe Börjeson
Groundwater is increasingly seen as crucial to both agricultural and domestic water supply in sub-Saharan Africa. Citing climate change and growing populations, there is especially a notable shift towards promoting groundwater for irrigation to ensure food security. Increased use of the resource will undoubtedly be accompanied with new questions of governance, with groundwater overexploitation in other parts of the world functioning as a strong cautionary tale. This article provides an overview of the current groundwater governance literature on sub-Saharan Africa. Using a critical water governance lens we analyse how groundwater governance is framed, what terms, categories, and measurements are used to describe and assess groundwater governance, and whose perspectives are considered. We also assess whether groundwater governance research has taken place across sub-Saharan African countries in a balanced way. We find that groundwater governance research in sub-Saharan Africa, even more so than elsewhere, ignores the voices and perspectives of those physically encountering the resource. Instead, it is dominated by the views of formal, technical groundwater experts focusing on the need for more hydrogeological data and formal policies. While the existing contributions to the literature are valuable, the current bias in perspectives calls for others to join the field of groundwater governance and to supplement current conceptualisations and approaches with those of users and others dealing with groundwater management on a daily basis. We argue that groundwater users’ practical governance experiences, locally adapted solutions and knowledges, can add important complementary perspectives and insights towards crafting effective, sustainable and equitable groundwater governance processes across the continent.
在撒哈拉以南非洲,地下水日益被视为农业和家庭供水的关键。以气候变化和人口增长为由,为确保粮食安全,人们特别明显地转向推广地下水灌溉。资源使用量的增加无疑会带来新的管理问题,世界其他地区地下水的过度开采就是一个有力的警示。本文概述了当前有关撒哈拉以南非洲地下水治理的文献。我们采用批判性水治理视角,分析了地下水治理的框架,使用了哪些术语、类别和测量方法来描述和评估地下水治理,以及考虑了哪些人的观点。我们还评估了撒哈拉以南非洲国家是否以平衡的方式开展了地下水治理研究。我们发现,与其他地方相比,撒哈拉以南非洲的地下水治理研究更加忽视那些实际接触到地下水资源的人的声音和观点。取而代之的是正规的、技术性的地下水专家的观点,他们的重点是需要更多的水文地质数据和正规的政策。虽然现有文献的贡献很有价值,但目前观点上的偏差要求其他人加入地下水治理领域,用用户和其他日常处理地下水管理的人的观点和方法来补充目前的概念和方法。我们认为,地下水使用者的实际治理经验、因地制宜的解决方案和知识可以为整个非洲大陆制定有效、可持续和公平的地下水治理进程提供重要的补充观点和见解。
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引用次数: 0
Managing Groundwater from the Ground Up: An Ex Ante Assessment of the Potential for Collective Action 从头开始管理地下水:对集体行动潜力的事前评估
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.5334/ijc.1258
Adam Doneo, Elisabeth Conrad
Common pool groundwater resources may be susceptible to overexploitation but can potentially be managed collectively. However, few studies explore the potential for successful collective action ex-ante. We conduct an ex-ante assessment of the potential for collective action by users of a groundwater body, to identify whether necessary conditions are in place, using a mixed methods approach based on literature, expert consultation, and Q methodology. While some aspects were conducive to collective action, under current conditions it appears unlikely that users will self-organize. Four user sub-groups were identified, differing in terms of resource perceptions and prosocial behavior, with potential for tapping into the skills of potential leaders and capitalizing on the prosocial intent of team players, while building bridges for cooperation with sceptics and non-users. Such ex-ante assessment can serve to identify which conditions need to be cultivated to foster cooperation and to identify strategies for engaging with different user sub-groups.
共用地下水资源可能容易被过度开采,但有可能进行集体管理。然而,很少有研究探讨事前成功采取集体行动的可能性。我们采用基于文献、专家咨询和 Q 方法的混合方法,对地下水体用户采取集体行动的潜力进行了事前评估,以确定是否具备必要条件。虽然某些方面有利于集体行动,但在当前条件下,用户似乎不太可能自发组织起来。我们确定了四个用户子群体,它们在资源认知和亲社会行为方面各不相同,有潜力挖掘潜在领导者的技能,利用团队成员的亲社会意图,同时与怀疑论者和非用户建立合作桥梁。这种事前评估有助于确定需要培养哪些条件来促进合作,并确定与不同用户子群体接触的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Tipping Points of Space Debris in Low Earth Orbit 低地球轨道空间碎片的临界点
Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.5334/ijc.1275
Keiko Nomura, Simon Rella, Haily Merritt, Mathieu G. Baltussen, Darcy Bird, Annika Tjuka, Dan Falk
Global services like navigation, communication, and Earth observation have increased dramatically in the 21st century due to advances in outer space industries. But as orbits become increasingly crowded with both satellites and inevitable space debris pollution, continued operations become endangered by the heightened risks of debris collisions in orbit. Kessler Syndrome is the term for when a critical threshold of orbiting debris triggers a runaway positive feedback loop of debris collisions, creating debris congestion that can render orbits unusable. As this potential tipping point becomes more widely recognized, there have been renewed calls for debris mitigation and removal. Here, we combine complex systems and social-ecological systems approaches to study how these efforts may affect space debris accumulation and the likelihood of reaching Kessler Syndrome. Specifically, we model how debris levels are affected by future launch rates, cleanup activities, and collisions between extant debris. We contextualize and interpret our dynamic model within a discussion of existing space debris governance and other social, economic, and geopolitical factors that may influence effective collective management of the orbital commons. In line with previous studies, our model finds that debris congestion may be reached in less than 200 years, though a holistic management strategy combining removal and mitigation actions can avoid such outcomes while continuing space activities. Moreover, although active debris removal may be particularly effective, the current lack of market and governance support may impede its implementation. Research into these critical dynamics and the multi-faceted variables that influence debris outcomes can support policymakers in curating impactful governance strategies and realistic transition pathways to sustaining debris-free orbits. Overall, our study is useful for communicating about space debris sustainability in policy and education settings by providing an exploration of policy portfolio options supported by a simple and clear social-ecological modeling approach.
由于外层空间工业的进步,导航、通信和地球观测等全球服务在 21 世纪急剧增加。但是,随着卫星和不可避免的空间碎片污染使轨道变得越来越拥挤,轨道碎片碰撞风险的增加危及持续运行。凯斯勒综合症是指轨道碎片达到临界点时,会引发碎片碰撞的失控正反馈循环,造成碎片拥挤,导致轨道无法使用。随着这一潜在临界点被越来越多的人认识到,人们再次呼吁减少和清除碎片。在这里,我们结合复杂系统和社会生态系统方法,研究这些努力如何影响太空碎片的积累以及达到凯斯勒综合症的可能性。具体来说,我们将模拟碎片水平如何受到未来发射速度、清理活动以及现存碎片之间碰撞的影响。我们在讨论现有空间碎片治理以及可能影响轨道公域有效集体管理的其他社会、经济和地缘政治因素时,对我们的动态模型进行了背景分析和解释。与之前的研究一致,我们的模型发现,碎片拥堵可能会在不到 200 年的时间内达到,不过,结合清除和减缓行动的整体管理策略可以在继续开展空间活动的同时避免这种结果。此外,虽然主动清除碎片可能特别有效,但目前缺乏市场和治理支持可能会阻碍其实施。对这些关键动态和影响碎片结果的多方面变量进行研究,可以帮助决策者制定有影响力的治理战略和现实的过渡途径,以维持无碎片轨道。总之,我们的研究通过简单明了的社会生态建模方法对政策组合选项进行了探讨,有助于在政策和教育环境中宣传空间碎片的可持续性。
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引用次数: 1
The Problem of Institutional Fit: Uncovering Patterns with Boosted Decision Trees 机构匹配问题:利用提升决策树发现模式
Pub Date : 2024-01-10 DOI: 10.5334/ijc.1226
Graham Epstein, C. I. Apetrei, Jacopo A Baggio, S. Chawla, Graeme Cumming, Georgina Gurney, Tiffany Morrison, Hita Unnikrishnan, Sergio Villamayor Tomas
Complex social-ecological contexts play an important role in shaping the types of institutions that groups use to manage resources, and the effectiveness of those institutions in achieving social and environmental objectives. However, despite widespread acknowledgment that “context matters”, progress in generalising how complex contexts shape institutions and outcomes has been slow. This is partly because large numbers of potentially influential variables and non-linearities confound traditional statistical methods. Here we use boosted decision trees – one of a growing portfolio of machine learning tools – to examine relationships between contexts, institutions, and their performance. More specifically we draw upon data from the International Forest Resources and Institutions (IFRI) program to analyze (i) the contexts in which groups successfully self-organize to develop rules for the use of forest resources (local rulemaking), and (ii) the contexts in which local rulemaking is associated with successful ecological outcomes. The results reveal an unfortunate divergence between the contexts in which local rulemaking tends to be found and the contexts in which it contributes to successful outcomes. These findings and our overall approach present a potentially fruitful opportunity to further advance theories of institutional fit and inform the development of policies and practices tailored to different contexts and desired outcomes.
复杂的社会生态环境在形成群体用来管理资源的机构类型以及这些机构在实现社会和环境目标方面的有效性方面发挥着重要作用。然而,尽管人们普遍承认 "环境很重要",但在归纳复杂环境如何塑造制度和结果方面却进展缓慢。部分原因是大量潜在的影响变量和非线性因素对传统的统计方法造成了困扰。在这里,我们使用助推决策树--一种不断发展的机器学习工具--来研究背景、机构及其绩效之间的关系。更具体地说,我们利用国际森林资源与机构(IFRI)项目的数据来分析 (i) 在什么情况下,群体可以成功地自我组织起来,为森林资源的使用制定规则(地方规则制定),以及 (ii) 在什么情况下,地方规则制定与成功的生态结果相关联。结果表明,在地方规则制定倾向于出现的环境与地方规则制定有助于取得成功结果的环境之间存在着令人遗憾的分歧。这些发现和我们的整体方法为进一步推进制度契合理论提供了一个潜在的富有成效的机会,并为制定适合不同环境和预期结果的政策和实践提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of the Commons
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