Much research has suggested that Republican candidates in U.S. presidential elections benefit from voter bias against non-White groups. The present study supplements this research by including in the analysis bias against Whites. Estimates from the American National Election Studies 2020 Time Series Study indicated that a nontrivial percentage of the U.S. population has a bias that disfavors Whites, with this bias more prevalent among Democrats than Republicans. Further analyses estimated the extent to which the type of voter racial bias that favors Republican presidential candidates offsets the type of voter racial bias that favors Democratic presidential candidates. Estimates for the 2020 U.S. presidential election indicated that the two-party vote share for Donald Trump was higher among voters who rated Whites, Blacks, Hispanics, and Asians/Asian-Americans equal to each other on 0-to-100 feeling thermometers than among the full population of two-party voters, suggesting that Donald Trump was disadvantaged on net by the electorate including racially biased voters. These results call into question research that has used an unrepresentative set of racial attitudes to suggest that, in recent U.S. presidential elections, only Republican candidates have benefitted from racial bias among the electorate.
许多研究表明，美国总统选举中的共和党候选人受益于选民对非白人群体的偏见。本研究在分析中加入了对白人的偏见，是对上述研究的补充。美国全国选举研究 2020 年时间序列研究》（American National Election Studies 2020 Time Series Study）的估算结果表明，美国人口中有相当比例的人存在不利于白人的偏见，这种偏见在民主党人中比在共和党人中更为普遍。进一步的分析估计了有利于共和党总统候选人的选民种族偏见在多大程度上抵消了有利于民主党总统候选人的选民种族偏见。对 2020 年美国总统大选的估计结果表明，在对白人、黑人、拉美裔和亚裔/亚裔美国人的感觉温度计从 0 到 100 的评分相同的选民中，唐纳德-特朗普的两党得票率高于所有两党选民，这表明唐纳德-特朗普在包括有种族偏见的选民在内的选民中处于不利地位。这些结果质疑了一些研究，这些研究使用了一组不具代表性的种族态度来表明，在最近的美国总统选举中，只有共和党候选人从选民的种族偏见中获益。
{"title":"Racial Bias and U.S. Presidential Candidate Preference","authors":"L. J. Zigerell","doi":"10.1515/for-2024-2001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/for-2024-2001","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Much research has suggested that Republican candidates in U.S. presidential elections benefit from voter bias against non-White groups. The present study supplements this research by including in the analysis bias against Whites. Estimates from the American National Election Studies 2020 Time Series Study indicated that a nontrivial percentage of the U.S. population has a bias that disfavors Whites, with this bias more prevalent among Democrats than Republicans. Further analyses estimated the extent to which the type of voter racial bias that favors Republican presidential candidates offsets the type of voter racial bias that favors Democratic presidential candidates. Estimates for the 2020 U.S. presidential election indicated that the two-party vote share for Donald Trump was higher among voters who rated Whites, Blacks, Hispanics, and Asians/Asian-Americans equal to each other on 0-to-100 feeling thermometers than among the full population of two-party voters, suggesting that Donald Trump was disadvantaged on net by the electorate including racially biased voters. These results call into question research that has used an unrepresentative set of racial attitudes to suggest that, in recent U.S. presidential elections, only Republican candidates have benefitted from racial bias among the electorate.","PeriodicalId":513080,"journal":{"name":"The Forum","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139801102","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Book reviewed: Alison W. Craig. 2023. The Collaborative Congress: Reaching Common Ground in a Polarized House. Cambridge University Press. $110 cloth. 225 pages.","authors":"S. Gaynor","doi":"10.1515/for-2024-2003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/for-2024-2003","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":513080,"journal":{"name":"The Forum","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139866066","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Book reviewed: Alison W. Craig. 2023. The Collaborative Congress: Reaching Common Ground in a Polarized House. Cambridge University Press. $110 cloth. 225 pages.","authors":"S. Gaynor","doi":"10.1515/for-2024-2003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/for-2024-2003","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":513080,"journal":{"name":"The Forum","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139806185","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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