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A Minimal Probability Space for Conditionals 条件的最小概率空间
1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09710-x
Anna Wójtowicz, Krzysztof Wójtowicz
Abstract One of central problems in the theory of conditionals is the construction of a probability space, where conditionals can be interpreted as events and assigned probabilities. The problem has been given a technical formulation by van Fraassen (23), who also discussed in great detail the solution in the form of Stalnaker Bernoulli spaces. These spaces are very complex – they have the cardinality of the continuum, even if the language is finite. A natural question is, therefore, whether a technically simpler (in particular finite) partial construction can be given. In the paper we provide a new solution to the problem. We show how to construct a finite probability space $$mathrm {S}^#=left(mathrmOmega^#,mathrmSigma^#,mathrm P^#right)$$ S # = Ω # , Σ # , P # in which simple conditionals and their Boolean combinations can be interpreted. The structure is minimal in terms of cardinality within a certain, naturally defined class of models – an interesting side-effect is an estimate of the number of non-equivalent propositions in the conditional language. We demand that the structure satisfy certain natural assumptions concerning the logic and semantics of conditionals and also that it satisfy PCCP. The construction can be easily iterated, producing interpretations for conditionals of arbitrary complexity.
条件句理论的核心问题之一是概率空间的构造,在概率空间中,条件句可以被解释为事件和指定的概率。这个问题已经由van Fraassen(23)给出了一个技术公式,他也非常详细地讨论了以Stalnaker Bernoulli空间形式的解决方案。这些空间非常复杂——它们具有连续体的基数,即使语言是有限的。因此,一个自然的问题是,是否可以给出技术上更简单的(特别是有限的)部分结构。本文提出了一种新的解决方案。我们将展示如何构造一个有限概率空间$$mathrm {S}^#=left(mathrmOmega^#,mathrmSigma^#,mathrm P^#right)$$ s# = Ω #, Σ #, p#,在这个空间中可以解释简单的条件及其布尔组合。该结构在特定的、自然定义的模型类中的基数方面是最小的——一个有趣的副作用是对条件语言中非等价命题数量的估计。我们要求结构满足关于条件的逻辑和语义的某些自然假设,并满足PCCP。这种构造可以很容易地迭代,产生对任意复杂条件的解释。
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引用次数: 0
A Basis for AGM Revision in Bayesian Probability Revision 贝叶斯概率修正中AGM修正的基础
IF 1.5 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09716-5
S. Hansson
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引用次数: 0
A Logical Analysis of Instrumentality Judgments: Means-End Relations in the Context of Experience and Expectations 工具性判断的逻辑分析:经验与期望背景下的手段-目的关系
1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09714-7
Kees van Berkel, Tim S. Lyon, Matteo Pascucci
Abstract This article proposes the use of temporal logic for an analysis of instrumentality inspired by the work of G.H. von Wright. The first part of the article contains the philosophical foundations. We discuss von Wright’s general theory of agency and his account of instrumentality. Moreover, we propose several refinements to this framework via rigorous definitions of the core notions involved. In the second part, we develop a logical system called Temporal Logic of Action and Expectations ( $$textsf{TLAE}$$ TLAE ). The logic is inspired by a fragment of propositional dynamic logic based on indeterministic time. The system is proven to be weakly complete relative to its given semantics. We then employ $$textsf{TLAE}$$ TLAE to formalise and analyse the instrumentality relations defined in the first part of the paper. Last, we point out philosophical implications and possible extensions of our work.
摘要:受赖特(G.H. von Wright)的启发,本文提出用时间逻辑分析工具性。文章的第一部分包括哲学基础。我们讨论了赖特的代理的一般理论和他的工具性的说明。此外,通过对所涉及的核心概念的严格定义,我们提出了对该框架的若干改进。在第二部分,我们开发了一个逻辑系统,称为行动和期望的时间逻辑($$textsf{TLAE}$$ TLAE)。该逻辑的灵感来自于基于不确定时间的命题动态逻辑的片段。证明了系统相对于其给定语义是弱完备的。然后,我们使用$$textsf{TLAE}$$ TLAE来形式化和分析本文第一部分中定义的工具关系。最后,我们指出了我们工作的哲学意义和可能的扩展。
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引用次数: 0
The Value of the One Value: Exactly True Logic revisited 一个值的值:重新审视完全正确的逻辑
IF 1.5 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09711-w
Andreas Kapsner, U. Rivieccio
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引用次数: 1
Internal Categoricity, Truth and Determinacy 内在范畴性、真性与决定论
IF 1.5 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09707-6
Martin Fischer, Matteo Zicchetti
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引用次数: 0
On the Provable Contradictions of the Connexive Logics C and C3 论连接逻辑C与C3的可证明矛盾
IF 1.5 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09709-4
Satoru Niki, H. Wansing
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引用次数: 3
The Logic of Lexical Connectives 词汇连接词的逻辑
IF 1.5 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09708-5
Giorgio Sbardolini
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引用次数: 1
From Epistemic Norms to Logical Rules: Epistemic Models for Logical Expressivists 从认知规范到逻辑规则:逻辑表达主义者的认知模型
IF 1.5 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09712-9
Niklas Dahl
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引用次数: 0
Correction to: Depth Relevance and Hyperformalism 更正:深度相关性和超形式主义
IF 1.5 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09706-7
S. Logan
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引用次数: 0
Intuitionistic Mereology II: Overlap and Disjointness 直觉主义流变学II:重叠与断裂
IF 1.5 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10992-023-09703-w
P. Maffezioli, Achille C. Varzi
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引用次数: 0
期刊
JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHICAL LOGIC
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