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Synchronizing the Western Gotland Basin (Baltic Sea) and Lake Kälksjön (central Sweden) sediment records using common cosmogenic radionuclide production variations 利用共同的宇宙放射性核素产生变化同步化西哥特兰盆地(波罗的海)和凯尔克肖恩湖(瑞典中部)的沉积物记录
Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241247311
M. Czymzik, M. Christl, O. Dellwig, R. Muscheler, Daniela Müller, Jérôme Kaiser, M. Schwab, Carla K. M. Nantke, Achim Brauer, H. Arz
Multi-archive studies of climate events and archive-specific response times require synchronous time scales. Aligning common variations in the cosmogenic radionuclide production rate via curve fitting methods provides a tool for the continuous synchronization of natural environmental archives down to decadal precision. Based on this approach, we synchronize 10Be records from Western Gotland Basin (WGB, Baltic Sea) and Lake Kälksjön (KKJ, central Sweden) sediments to the 14C production time series from the IntCal20 calibration curve during the Mid-Holocene period ~6400 to 5200 a BP. Before the synchronization, we assess and reduce non-production variability in the 10Be records by using 10Be/9Be ratios and removing common variability with the TOC record from KKJ sediments based on regression analysis. The synchronizations to the IntCal20 14C production time scale suggest decadal to multi-decadal refinements of the WGB and KKJ chronologies. These refinements reduce the previously centennial chronological uncertainties of both archives to about ± 20 (WGB) and ±40 (KKJ) years. Combining proxy time series from the synchronized archives enables us to interpret a period of ventilation in the deep central Baltic Sea basins from ~6250 to 6000 a BP as possibly caused by inter-annual cooling reducing vertical water temperature gradients allowing deep water formation during exceptionally cold winters.
对气候事件和特定档案响应时间的多档案研究需要同步的时间尺度。通过曲线拟合方法调整宇宙放射性核素产生率的共同变化,为自然环境档案的持续同步化提供了一种工具,其精确度可达到十年级。基于这种方法,我们将来自西哥特兰盆地(WGB,波罗的海)和凯尔克肖恩湖(KKJ,瑞典中部)沉积物的 10Be 记录与来自 IntCal20 校准曲线的 14C 生成时间序列同步,时间跨度为公元前约 6400 年至公元前 5200 年的中新世时期。在同步之前,我们使用 10Be/9Be 比率评估并减少了 10Be 记录中的非生产变异性,并根据回归分析去除了 KKJ 沉积物中 TOC 记录的共同变异性。与 IntCal20 14C 生成时间尺度的同步表明,WGB 和 KKJ 的年代学经过了十年至数十年的改进。这些改进将这两个档案的年代学不确定性从以前的百年下降到大约±20(WGB)年和±40(KKJ)年。结合来自同步档案的代用时间序列,我们可以解释波罗的海中部深海盆地从公元前约 6250 年到公元前 6000 年的通风期,这可能是由于年际降温减少了垂直水温梯度,从而在异常寒冷的冬季形成了深水。
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引用次数: 0
Prehistoric subsistence strategy dynamics and their differences under a similar hyper-arid environment in the contiguous Turpan and Hami Basins of Xinjiang 新疆吐鲁番盆地和哈密盆地史前生存策略动态及其在相似超干旱环境下的差异
Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241247306
Lijing Wang, Guilin Zhang, Yongqiang Wang, Shaobo Sun, Hongen Jiang
Agropastoralism has prevailed in Inner Asia since the Bronze Age. It is an optimal subsistence strategy of inhabitants for adaptation to arid marginal environment. However, previous studies paid little attention to different development trajectories of this mixed economy within similar habitat. The Turpan and Hami Basins, located in eastern Tianshan Mountains of Xinjiang, are two typical desert oases with extremely dry climate, providing us with an appropriate region to investigate the issue. In present study, radiocarbon dates ( n = 154) of eight typical sites in these two basins were reviewed and used to reconstruct the prehistoric chronology sequence prior to Han Dynasty (2200 cal BP). Then the data of botanical and faunal remains and stable isotope analyses ( n = 159) of human diets from these sites were also reviewed for reliably revealing the subsistence economy pattern. Combining the time scale with multiple biological proxies, results show that, from the Bronze Age to early Iron Age, inhabitant subsistence in the Turpan Basin was dominated by livestock herding and supplemented by low-investment cereal crop cultivation, while the agriculture in Turpan Basin has developed significantly by the later period of Subeixi Culture. In contrast, agriculture-based economy was continuously developed in the Hami oases. Although the climate is very dry in both basins, temperature in warm seasons is much higher in the Turpan Basin. Besides thermal condition, size, range and convenient availability of highland pasture located at the southern flank of the Tianshan Mountains, are main driving factors leading to differentiated development trajectories of agropastoralism. Apart from that, cultural factors like economy, culture and technology communication along with population migration also impact local subsistence economy pattern.
自青铜时代以来,农牧业一直在亚洲内部盛行。这是居民适应干旱边缘环境的最佳生存策略。然而,以往的研究很少关注这种混合经济在类似生境中的不同发展轨迹。吐鲁番盆地和哈密盆地位于新疆天山东部,是两个典型的沙漠绿洲,气候极为干旱,为我们提供了研究这一问题的合适区域。本研究对这两个盆地中 8 个典型遗址的放射性碳年代(n = 154)进行了回顾,并利用其重建了汉代(公元前 2200 年)以前的史前年代序列。此外,还对这些遗址的植物和动物遗骸以及人类饮食的稳定同位素分析数据(159 个)进行了审查,以可靠地揭示其生存经济模式。结果表明,从青铜时代到铁器时代早期,吐鲁番盆地居民的生存方式以畜牧业为主,低投入的谷物种植为辅,而到了苏北文化晚期,吐鲁番盆地的农业有了明显的发展。相比之下,哈密绿洲以农业为基础的经济持续发展。虽然两个盆地的气候都非常干燥,但吐鲁番盆地的暖季温度要高得多。除热量条件外,位于天山南麓的高原牧场的面积、范围和便利性也是导致农牧业发展轨迹不同的主要驱动因素。此外,经济、文化和技术交流等文化因素以及人口迁移也影响着当地的生计经济模式。
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引用次数: 0
Human-driven fire and vegetation dynamics on the Caribbean island of Barbuda from early indigenous to modern times 加勒比巴布达岛从土著早期到现代的人为火灾和植被动态
Pub Date : 2024-04-20 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241247298
Allison R LeBlanc, Lisa M Kennedy, Michael J Burn, Allison Bain, Sophia Perdikaris
We present a multiproxy analysis of a sediment core from Freshwater Pond, Barbuda, one of just a few inland paleoenvironmental records from the Lesser Antilles. Our results shed light on the relative contributions of climate variability and Pre- and Post-Columbian human activities to vegetation and fire dynamics on Barbuda. The presence of macroscopic charcoal and pollen of ethnobotanically-useful and disturbance-indicator plant taxa in the sediment record suggests that Pre-Columbian subsistence activities occurred within a few kilometers of the pond between ~150 BCE and ~1250 CE. Our record extends anthropogenic fires back into the early Ceramic (500 BCE–1500 CE) and possibly late Archaic Ages (3000–500 BCE) adding evidence to the timing of arrival of the island’s earliest inhabitants. The history of island-wide biomass burning inferred from microscopic charcoal fragments showed heightened fire activity between ~540 and ~1610 CE followed by a period of quiescence that reflected the transition from Pre- to Post-Columbian land-use practices associated with European colonization of the region. The British established a permanent settlement on Barbuda in the 1660s, but given Barbuda’s unsuitability for large-scale agriculture, timber harvesting, small-scale farming, and livestock rearing, activities that left no detectable charcoal footprints likely dominated post-colonial land use. The lack of any clear correspondence between the reconstructed histories of fire and effective moisture at Freshwater Pond supports the idea that Late-Holocene fire activity on Barbuda was driven primarily by human activity.
我们对巴布达淡水池塘的沉积物岩芯进行了多代理分析,该岩芯是小安的列斯群岛为数不多的内陆古环境记录之一。我们的研究结果揭示了气候多变性以及哥伦布前后人类活动对巴布达岛植被和火灾动态的相对影响。沉积物记录中存在民族植物学上有用的植物类群和干扰指示植物类群的宏观木炭和花粉,这表明在公元前约 150 年至公元前约 1250 年期间,前哥伦布时期的生存活动发生在距池塘几公里的范围内。我们的记录将人为火灾延伸到了早期陶瓷时代(公元前 500 年至公元前 1500 年),也可能是晚期太古时代(公元前 3000 年至公元前 500 年),为岛上最早居民的到来时间提供了证据。从微观木炭碎片推断出的全岛生物质燃烧历史表明,在公元前 540 年至公元前 1610 年期间,火灾活动频繁,随后是一段沉寂期,这反映了与欧洲殖民该地区有关的前哥伦布时期向后哥伦布时期土地使用方式的过渡。英国人于 16 世纪 60 年代在巴布达建立了永久定居点,但由于巴布达不适合大规模农业、木材采伐、小规模耕作和牲畜饲养,因此没有留下可探测木炭足迹的活动很可能主导了后殖民时期的土地使用。淡水池塘重建的火灾历史与有效湿度之间缺乏明确的对应关系,这支持了巴布达晚全新世火灾活动主要由人类活动驱动的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Origins and evolution of oasis agriculture in the Sahara: Evidence from morphometric analyses of archaeological date palm seeds” 撒哈拉绿洲农业的起源和演变:来自考古枣椰树种子形态计量分析的证据"
Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241247446
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引用次数: 0
Alluvial-lacustrine record of Mid- to Late-Holocene moisture variations trend verified by multiple proxies in the middle and lower reaches of the Hutubi River, northwest China 中国西北呼图壁河中下游冲积-湖积记录的多个代用指标验证了全新世中晚期湿度变化趋势
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241236352
Dianjia Tan, Jianhui Jin, Zhizhong Li, Rui Liu, Yunqiang Ma, Xiaojun Zou, Junjie Wei
Alluvial-lacustrine deposits are important carriers for studying paleo-hydrological information and the evolution of paleo-environments. In this study, a total of 6 optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) samples from 2 profiles in the lower and middle reaches of the Hutubi River in the North Tianshan Mountains were dated, and a comprehensive analysis was conducted by integrating sedimentary structures, grain sizes, and magnetic susceptibility characteristics to explore the sedimentary environment patterns and regional evolution processes during the Mid to late Holocene. The results revealed the following findings: (1) The OSL signal of quartz samples indicates the predominance of fast components, allowing reliable dating of regional fluvial sediments using the appropriate condition-tested coarse-grained quartz single-aliquot regenerative dose (SAR) protocol within the 90–125 μm range. (2) Analysis of sedimentary structures, grain sizes, and magnetic susceptibility characteristics reveals lithofacies of heterotopic synchronous or homotopic asynchronous in exposed profiles, with predominantly poorly sorted fine and very fine sand. Magnetic susceptibility is primarily controlled by the content of magnetic minerals in the coarse particles, while also being influenced by the combined effects of provenance input and depositional environment, indicating a complex regional sedimentary environment influenced by variable hydrodynamic conditions driven by fluvial processes. (3) Based on OSL dating results and the analysis of various environmental proxy indicators, it is determined that the climatic environment in the Middle and Late-Holocene in the downstream areas of the northern piedmonts of the Tianshan Mountains demonstrates a fluctuating pattern of wet and dry alternations. The sedimentary environment shifted from a stable state in the Mid-Holocene to an unstable state in the Late-Holocene. The intermittent appearance of wet records may be associated with increased river activity caused presumably by the release of high-altitude ice due to rising temperatures and warming conditions.
冲积-湖积沉积是研究古水文信息和古环境演变的重要载体。本研究对北天山呼图壁河中下游2个剖面共6个光激发发光(OSL)样品进行了年代测定,并结合沉积构造、粒度、磁感应强度等特征进行了综合分析,探讨了全新世中、晚期的沉积环境格局和区域演化过程。研究结果表明:(1)石英样品的 OSL 信号表明快速成分占主导地位,因此可采用适当的条件测试粗粒石英单次再生剂量(SAR)方案对 90-125 μm 范围内的区域河流沉积物进行可靠定年。(2) 对沉积结构、粒度和磁感应强度特征的分析表明,在暴露的剖面上存在异位同步或同位异步的岩相,主要是分选较差的细砂和极细砂。磁感应强度主要受控于粗颗粒中的磁性矿物含量,同时也受到来源输入和沉积环境的综合影响,这表明区域沉积环境复杂,受到河道过程驱动的多变水动力条件的影响。(3) 根据 OSL 测年结果和各种环境代用指标的分析,确定了天山北麓皮山下游地区全新世中、晚期的气候环境呈现出干湿交替的波动格局。沉积环境由全新世中期的稳定状态转变为全新世晚期的不稳定状态。湿润记录的间歇性出现可能与气温升高和气候变暖导致高海拔冰层释放而引起的河流活动增加有关。
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引用次数: 0
Natural and anthropogenic factors affecting intense slope processes in Eastern Europe during the Modern Period: Serteyka river valley, Russia 现代时期影响东欧强烈斜坡过程的自然和人为因素:俄罗斯塞尔泰卡河谷
Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241236316
Wiktor Piech, Anna Hrynowiecka, Renata Stachowicz-Rybka, Katarzyna Cywa, Agnieszka Mroczkowska, Michał Słowiński, Daniel Okupny, Marek Krąpiec, Artur Ginter, Andrey Mazurkevich, Piotr Kittel
Detailed palaeogeographical studies of the accumulative fan in the Serteyka River valley in W Russia and underlying biogenic deposits were carried out. The base of a representative core of biogenic sediments in the distal zone is dated to 1291 BC, while its top to 1631 AD. In this paper, palynological, plant macrofossils, Chironomide and Cladocera, geochemical, geochronological and sedimentological analysis were performed. Four phases of biogenic deposition were distinguished by pollen and geochemical analyses. Two of them coincide with the climatic fluctuation during Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age. During the formation of the fan, overbank deposits were accumulated also, indicating numerous and intense floods, which are in line with the trend observed for other sites in this region. The accumulative fan is formed by lower, middle and upper deluvia and agricultural diamicton in its top. All units have specific sedimentological and geochemical features as well as low admixture of plant macrofossils. The beginning of the formation of this relief form dates back to the second half of the 17th century AD, and the end of the accumulation falls on the second half of the 18th century AD. Our work suggests that natural conditions had an impact on the formation and development of studied accumulative fan, however, the decisive factor causing the intensification of the slope processes were related with deforestation resulted from strong human impact, which was marked in palynological and macrofossils analyses (e.g. increase in the contribution of plants macrofossils related to agriculture).
对俄罗斯西部塞尔泰卡河谷的堆积扇及其下的生物沉积物进行了详细的古地理研究。远端区域具有代表性的生物沉积岩芯的底部年代为公元前 1291 年,顶部年代为公元 1631 年。本文对古生物学、植物大化石、摇蚊和鳞翅目动物、地球化学、地质年代和沉积学进行了分析。花粉和地球化学分析将生物沉积分为四个阶段。其中两个阶段与中世纪气候异常和小冰河时期的气候波动相吻合。在堆积扇形成过程中,还堆积了过岸沉积物,表明洪水次数多且强度大,这与在该地区其他地点观察到的趋势一致。堆积扇由下部、中部和上部的三角洲及其顶部的农业二叠纪形成。所有单元都具有特定的沉积学和地球化学特征,植物大化石含量较低。这种地貌的形成可以追溯到公元 17 世纪下半叶,而堆积的结束则是在公元 18 世纪下半叶。我们的研究结果表明,自然条件对所研究的堆积扇的形成和发展有一定影响,但是,导致坡面过程加剧的决定性因素与人类的强烈影响导致的森林砍伐有关,这在古生物学和大型化石分析中都有明显体现(例如,与农业有关的植物大型化石含量增加)。
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引用次数: 0
The Stonehenge bluestones did not come from Waun Mawn in West Wales 巨石柱的巨石并非来自西威尔士的瓦恩-莫恩(Waun Mawn
Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241236318
Brian John
This paper examines the hypothesis that Waun Mawn in West Wales provided the bluestone monoliths that were used at Stonehenge. Some archaeologists believe that the site supports the last remains of a giant stone circle or ‘Proto Stonehenge’ which was dismantled and transported to Salisbury Plain around 5000 years ago. It was claimed, after three excavation seasons at Waun Mawn in 2017, 2018 and 2021, that there is firm evidence of some standing stones which were later removed or broken up, but it has still not been demonstrated that there ever was a small stone circle here, let alone a ‘giant’ one. Furthermore, there have been no control studies in the neighbourhood which might demonstrate that the speculative feature has any unique characteristics. There is nothing at Waun Mawn to link this site in any way to Stonehenge, and this is confirmed by recent cited research. No evidence has been brought forward in support of the claim that ‘this was one of the great religious and political centres of Neolithic Britain’. It is concluded that at Waun Mawn and elsewhere in West Wales there has been substantial ‘interpretative inflation’ driven by the desire to demonstrate a Stonehenge connection.
本文探讨了西威尔士的沃恩莫恩(Waun Mawn)提供巨石阵所用蓝石巨石的假设。一些考古学家认为,该遗址保存着巨石阵或 "原巨石阵 "的最后遗迹,巨石阵在大约 5000 年前被拆除并运往索尔兹伯里平原。据说,经过 2017 年、2018 年和 2021 年在 Waun Mawn 的三个挖掘季节,有确凿证据表明这里有一些后来被移走或拆散的立石,但仍无法证明这里曾有过一个小型石圈,更不用说一个 "巨型 "石圈了。此外,附近也没有任何对照研究可以证明这一推测的地貌有任何独特之处。瓦恩莫恩没有任何东西可以将该遗址与巨石阵联系在一起,最近引用的研究也证实了这一点。这里是英国新石器时代最重要的宗教和政治中心之一 "的说法没有任何证据支持。结论是,在威尔士西部的 Waun Mawn 和其他地方,为了证明与巨石阵的联系,出现了大量的 "解释性膨胀"。
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引用次数: 0
Vegetation diversity in response to monsoonal variability in the Eastern Himalaya, India over the past ~13 000 yrs 过去约 13 000 年间印度东喜马拉雅地区植被多样性对季风变化的响应
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241236355
Jyotsna Dubey, S Nawaz Ali, Mohammad Firoze Quamar, Priyanka Singh, P Morthekai, Ruby Ghosh, Anupam Sharma, Vaibhava Srivastava
Monsoon precipitation plays a crucial role in shaping the diversity of vegetation in the Himalayas, both in terms of temporal and spatial distribution. While palynology has traditionally been employed to reconstruct the past climate of the Himalaya, there has been limited understanding of how monsoon-related changes affect the structure and distribution of vegetation. To address this, we analysed pollen data from a 3 m deep sedimentary profile in the higher Sikkim Himalaya to reconstruct monsoon driven changes in vegetation diversity. Our results show a highly fluctuating trend of pollen and diversity parameters at late-Pleistocene-Holocene transition for which fluctuating hydroclimatic conditions and differential pollen preservation in coarser sediments is attributed. During the Early Holocene (10,438–7934 cal yrs BP) favourable hydroclimatic conditions led to a rapid expansion of mixed broad-leaved forests, marked by higher values of richness and alpha diversity. Between 7934 and 5481 cal yrs BP, the region experienced moderate hydroclimatic conditions that facilitated expansion and diversification of woody taxa, and correlated with the global Holocene Climate Optimum (HCO). Conversely, from 5481 to3949 cal yrs BP, declining total pollen count (TPC), species richness, and alpha diversity indicates significant shifts in vegetation composition under deteriorating climatic conditions, which corresponds with the 4.2 ka event worldwide. From 3949 to 2049 cal yrs BP, an increasing yet variable trend in TPC and diversity indices, suggests warm-humid conditions prevailed in the region. During the last 1086 cal yrs, an increasing trend is recorded in the palyno assemblage and diversity parameters suggesting ameliorating climate, matches well with the Mediaeval Climate Anomaly (MCA). Our inferences suggest that the palyno assemblage and diversity parameters are quiet sensitive to warm and humid conditions.
季风降水在时间和空间分布上对喜马拉雅山脉植被多样性的形成起着至关重要的作用。虽然古植物学历来被用来重建喜马拉雅山过去的气候,但人们对季风相关变化如何影响植被结构和分布的了解却很有限。为了解决这个问题,我们分析了锡金喜马拉雅山上游 3 米深沉积剖面的花粉数据,以重建季风驱动的植被多样性变化。我们的研究结果表明,在晚始新世-全新世过渡时期,花粉和多样性参数呈高度波动趋势,水文气候条件的波动和花粉在较粗沉积物中的保存差异可归因于此。在全新世早期(公元前 10,438-7934 年),有利的水文气候条件导致阔叶混交林迅速扩张,其特征是丰富度和α多样性值较高。在公元前 7934 至 5481 年期间,该地区经历了适度的水文气候条件,促进了木本分类群的扩展和多样化,并与全球全新世最适宜气候(HCO)相关。相反,从公元前 5481 年到公元前 3949 年,花粉总量(TPC)、物种丰富度和α多样性不断下降,表明在气候条件不断恶化的情况下,植被组成发生了显著变化,这与全球范围内的 4.2 ka 事件相吻合。在公元前 3949 至 2049 年期间,TPC 和多样性指数呈上升趋势,但变化不定,这表明该地区当时处于温暖湿润的条件下。在公元前 1086 年,古动物群落和多样性参数呈上升趋势,表明气候有所改善,这与中世纪气候异常(MCA)非常吻合。我们的推论表明,古动物群落和多样性参数对温暖潮湿的条件非常敏感。
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引用次数: 0
A Historical Plankton Index: Zooplankton abundance in the North Sea since 800 CE 浮游生物历史指数:公元 800 年以来北海的浮游动物丰度
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241236332
Cordula Scherer, Francis Ludlow, Al Matthews, Patrick Hayes, Riina Klais, Poul Holm
The North Sea region boasted one of the world’s most important fisheries for many centuries. Climate directly and indirectly influences the development and survival of many important pelagic fish in the North Sea ecosystem. One indirect influence is the food availability in the form of phyto- and zooplankton abundance, which is strongly controlled by environmental factors. One of these environmental factors is local sea surface temperatures. A negative correlation between zooplankton abundance and sea surface temperature is well established for the epeiric sea on the European continental shelf. Continuous temporal observations of North Sea zooplankton production only exist since 1958. Therefore we developed a Historical Plankton Index (HPI) from 800 CE onwards to extend our record of temperature-driven zooplankton abundance in the North Sea over a multi-centennial time scale. For this we used the North Atlantic temperature reconstructions and associations between zooplankton abundance and contemporary sea surface temperatures established applying a General Additive Modelling (GAM) approach. We then examined the association between the HPI and historical landings from the Dutch commercial herring fishery in the 17th century to test the utility of our HPI. We examine the potential influence of food availability (in terms of zooplankton abundance) on the fishery, the evolution of which is often only considered in terms of human influences such as conflict, fishing gear and demand for fish as a commodity. We find that under certain conditions the HPI can explain 20% of the variability in Dutch herring landings. This highlights the importance of developing long-term and large-scale indices of natural marine ecosystem dynamics to understand the historical fortunes of the commercial fishing industry. The results are directly relevant to the United Nations’ sustainable development goal 14 – life below water.
几个世纪以来,北海地区一直是世界上最重要的渔场之一。气候直接或间接地影响着北海生态系统中许多重要中上层鱼类的发展和生存。其中一个间接影响因素是以浮游植物和浮游动物丰度为形式的食物供应量,这在很大程度上受环境因素的控制。其中一个环境因素是当地海面温度。浮游动物的丰度与海面温度之间的负相关关系在欧洲大陆架的太平洋海域已经得到证实。对北海浮游动物产量的连续时间观测仅始于 1958 年。因此,我们开发了从公元 800 年起的历史浮游生物指数(HPI),以将我们对温度驱动的北海浮游动物丰度的记录扩展到多世纪的时间尺度。为此,我们使用了北大西洋温度重建以及应用通用加法建模(GAM)方法建立的浮游动物丰度与当代海表温度之间的关联。然后,我们研究了 HPI 与 17 世纪荷兰商业鲱鱼捕捞历史上岸量之间的关联,以检验 HPI 的实用性。我们研究了食物供应(浮游动物丰度)对渔业的潜在影响,其演变通常只考虑人为影响,如冲突、渔具和对鱼类作为商品的需求。我们发现,在某些条件下,HPI 可以解释荷兰鲱鱼上岸量 20% 的变化。这凸显了开发长期、大规模的自然海洋生态系统动态指数对了解商业捕鱼业历史命运的重要性。这些结果与联合国可持续发展目标 14--水下生命直接相关。
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引用次数: 0
Two chironomid-inferred mean July air temperature reconstructions in the South Carpathian Mountains over the last 2000 years 两个摇蚊推断的南喀尔巴阡山脉过去 2000 年 7 月平均气温重建图
Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI: 10.1177/09596836241236353
Zoltán Szabó, Krisztina Buczkó, János L Korponai, Tomi Luoto, Róbert-Csaba Begy, Artitina Haliuc, Daniel Veres, Ladislav Hamerlík, Réka Csorba, Andreea Rebeka Zsigmond, Gabriella Darabos, Nikoletta Méhes, Csilla Kövér, Enikő Katalin Magyari
We present chironomid-based reconstructions of mean July air temperature changes over the last 2000 years from Lake Latoriței (1530 m a.s.l.) in the Southern Carpathians. A multi-proxy analysis was performed along a 58 cm long sediment core and two training sets were used for quantitative July air temperature reconstructions: the Eastern-European (EE, 212 lakes) and the Finnish-Polish-Carpathian (FPC, 273 lakes). The transfer functions had a coefficient of determination ( r2) 0.88 and 0.91 with a root mean squared error of prediction (RMSEP) 0.88°C and 1.02°C. Despite possible biases resulting from methodological problems and the ecological complexity of the chironomid response to both climatic and environmental changes, the agreement of the temperature reconstruction of Lake Latoriței with other alpine records suggests that the transfer function successfully reconstructed past summer temperatures between 750 and 1830 CE. Biases in the temperature reconstruction in the period before 750 and after 1830 CE were likely caused by increased abundance of rheophilic and semi-terrestrial chironomid species related to increased inflow activity before 750 CE and local land use changes after 1830 CE, which was also indicated by increasing deforestation and increasing lake productivity in the pollen and diatom records. Our results suggest that the region experienced a warm period between 750 and 1360 CE, and a cold period between 1360 and 1600 CE followed by fluctuating summer temperatures until 1830 CE. These events were associated with the so-called ‘Mediaeval Warm Period’ (MWP) and the ‘Little Ice Age’ (LIA), respectively. The inference models reconstructed a decrease in July air temperatures by 0.7°C–1.1°C during the LIA relative to the warmer MWP. We also demonstrated that the FPC training set gives better results, supporting that local/continental training sets are efficient to detect weak amplitude summer temperature changes in the Late-Holocene.
我们以摇蚊为基础,重建了南喀尔巴阡山脉拉托里贝湖(海拔 1530 米)过去 2000 年 7 月平均气温的变化。对 58 厘米长的沉积物岩芯进行了多代理分析,并使用两个训练集对七月气温进行定量重建:东欧湖泊(EE,212 个湖泊)和芬兰-波兰-喀尔巴阡山脉湖泊(FPC,273 个湖泊)。转移函数的判定系数(r2)分别为 0.88 和 0.91,预测的均方根误差(RMSEP)分别为 0.88°C 和 1.02°C。尽管方法问题和摇蚊对气候和环境变化的生态复杂性可能会导致偏差,但拉托里贝湖温度重建与其他高山记录的一致性表明,转移函数成功地重建了公元750年至1830年间的夏季温度。公元前 750 年和公元后 1830 年期间温度重建的偏差很可能是由于嗜流水和半陆栖摇蚊物种数量的增加造成的,这与公元前 750 年前流入活动的增加以及公元后 1830 年当地土地利用的变化有关,花粉和硅藻记录中不断增加的森林砍伐和不断提高的湖泊生产力也表明了这一点。我们的研究结果表明,该地区在公元 750 年至 1360 年间经历了一个温暖时期,在公元 1360 年至 1600 年间经历了一个寒冷时期,随后在公元 1830 年之前经历了夏季气温波动。这些事件分别与所谓的 "中世纪温暖期"(MWP)和 "小冰河时期"(LIA)有关。推断模型重建了相对于较暖的中世纪暖期,小冰河时期七月气温下降了 0.7°C 至 1.1°C。我们还证明了 FPC 训练集能提供更好的结果,从而证明地方/大陆训练集能有效地探测晚全新世夏季气温的微幅变化。
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The Holocene
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