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“What If?”: Counterfactual Modelling with SociaLab “如果什么?——SociaLab的反事实建模
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-04786-3_10
P. Davis, R. Lay-Yee
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引用次数: 0
Modelling Agricultural Strategies in the Dutch Roman Limes via Agent-Based Modelling (ROMFARMS) 基于主体模型(ROMFARMS)的荷兰罗马莱姆地区农业策略建模
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-04576-0_7
J. Joyce
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引用次数: 2
Footprints and Cartwheels on a Pixel Road: On the Applicability of GIS for the Modelling of Ancient (Roman) Routes 像素道路上的脚印和侧翻:试论GIS在古(罗马)道路建模中的适用性
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-04576-0_14
C. Parcero-Oubiña, Alejandro Güimil-Fariña, J. Fonte, José Manuel Costa-García
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引用次数: 11
The Role of Forts in the Local Market System in the Lower Rhine: Towards a Method of Multiple Hypothesis Testing Through Comparative Modelling 莱茵河下游地区工事在当地市场体系中的作用:基于比较模型的多重假设检验方法
Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-04576-0_9
Eli J. S. Weaverdyck
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引用次数: 9
Modelling the Dynamics of Demography in the Dutch Roman Limes Zone: A Revised Model 荷属罗马莱姆区人口动态建模:一个修正模型
Pub Date : 2016-10-31 DOI: 10.5463/LAC.2014.62
Philip Verhagen
In this paper we present the first results of a study that aims to better understand and model the size and development of population in the Dutch Roman limes zone, as part of a larger research project investigating the development of the cultural landscape in the area. Earlier estimates of population size have only used general assumptions based on settlement density and supposed Roman army recruitment requirements and have not considered in any detail the factors influencing population growth and decline. This paper first presents the existing evidence for estimating population size in the area and then discusses the evidence for mortality and fertility estimates in the Roman period, necessary to better understand the large-scale demographic processes involved. From this evidence, new estimates for population size in the Early and Middle Roman period are calculated, using agent-based modelling to better understand the dynamics of population growth and the effects of recruitment of soldiers by the Roman army. It is concluded that earlier calculations underestimated the potential for population growth as well as the effect of forced recruitment on demography.
在本文中,我们提出了一项研究的第一个结果,该研究旨在更好地理解和模拟荷兰罗马石灰地带人口的规模和发展,作为调查该地区文化景观发展的更大研究项目的一部分。早期对人口规模的估计只是基于定居点密度和假定的罗马军队招募需求的一般假设,而没有详细考虑影响人口增长和下降的因素。本文首先介绍了估计该地区人口规模的现有证据,然后讨论了罗马时期死亡率和生育率估计的证据,这对于更好地理解所涉及的大规模人口统计过程是必要的。根据这些证据,利用基于主体的模型来更好地理解人口增长的动态和罗马军队招募士兵的影响,对早期和中期罗马时期的人口规模进行了新的估计。结论是,早期的计算低估了人口增长的潜力以及强制征兵对人口的影响。
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引用次数: 11
Data Preparation 数据准备
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-04786-3_5
P. Davis, R. Lay-Yee
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引用次数: 0
Information Diffusion Backbone 信息扩散骨干
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-23495-9_11
Huijuan Wang, Xiu-Xiu Zhan
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引用次数: 0
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Computational Methods in Social Sciences
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