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International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics最新文献

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Impacts on Profitability for the Mexican Strawberry Producers due to an Increase in Exports to USA 由于对美国出口增加,对墨西哥草莓生产商盈利能力的影响
Pub Date : 2021-01-05 DOI: 10.11648/J.IJAE.20210601.11
Daniel Hernández Soto, Alicia Alma Alejos Gallardo, Alicia C. Guerrero
USA is the main strawberry importer in the world, so in order to supply the demand in 2018 imported 161,889 t; of which 99.07% were originally from Mexico. This paper is intended to determine the economic viability of increase the exported quantity of Mexican strawberry to USA by representing the international strawberry market in a partial equilibrium model. According with the calculated price flexibility in 2018, an increase of 18% in the strawberry exported quantity to US market causes a decrease in the strawberry international price in 6.6%. With this calculated effects, in a simulated scenario it is estimated that the value of the increase in income due to increase in quantity is USD 98,334,125.89, while the value of the decrease in income due to decrease in price is USD 38,631,068.63. The difference between the two values is an increase of USD 59,703,057.26. With these estimations, it can be claimed that an 18% annual increase in the Mexican strawberry exports to USA is viable from an economic perspective. With this scenario, the Benefit-Cost Ratios (B/C R) for the producers of Baja California, Michoacan and Guanajuato are 1.98, 1.90 and 0.92 respectively. That is to say, with an annual increase of 18% in the exported quantity, to produce strawberry for export to USA in Baja California and Michoacan is profitable, while to produce strawberry for export to US market in Guanajuato is not profitable.
美国是世界上主要的草莓进口国,因此为了满足需求,2018年进口了161,889吨;其中99.07%来自墨西哥。本文旨在通过在部分均衡模型中代表国际草莓市场来确定增加墨西哥草莓出口到美国的经济可行性。根据2018年的价格弹性计算,草莓出口到美国市场的数量增加18%,导致草莓国际价格下降6.6%。根据这一计算效果,在模拟情景下,估计数量增加带来的收入增加价值为98,334,125.89美元,价格下降带来的收入减少价值为38,631,068.63美元。两者的差额增加了59,703,057.26美元。根据这些估计,从经济角度来看,墨西哥向美国出口的草莓每年增加18%是可行的。在这种情况下,下加利福尼亚州、米却肯州和瓜纳华托州的生产者的效益成本比(B/C R)分别为1.98、1.90和0.92。也就是说,下加利福尼亚州和米却肯州以每年18%的增长速度生产出口美国的草莓是有利可图的,而瓜纳华托州生产出口美国的草莓是无利可图的。
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期刊
International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
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