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Environmental Risks of Pesticide Residues in the Lake Tana Sub-basin, Ethiopia: A Review 埃塞俄比亚塔纳湖流域农药残留环境风险研究综述
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02399-z
Banchiamlak Getnet Admasu, Kaisheng Yao, Goraw Goshu Yemer, Paul J. Van den Brink

Lake Tana, Ethiopia’s largest natural lake and the headwater of the Blue Nile, provides critical ecosystem services and socio-economic benefits. However, rapid agricultural expansion in the Lake Tana sub-basin has led to increased pesticide use, which raises serious environmental concerns. This systematic review synthesi zes information on agricultural pesticide use, their residues in fish, water, and sediments, and the associated ecological and human health risks. A total of 66 active ingredients were identified across 13 districts, with the highest pesticide use reported in Libokemkem, Fogera, and Gondar Zuria. Pesticide use was dominated by insecticides, including several WHO-classified hazardous compounds. Risk Quotients derived from fish body residues identified imidacloprid, oxamyl, and flazasulfuron as priority pesticides posing high to very high risks to Labeobarbus spp. In Lake Tana, legacy organochlorine pesticides (endosulfan, lindane, endrin, DDT, and dieldrin) posed high to very high risks to Oreochromis niloticus. Human health risk assessment based on fish consumption indicated negligible non-carcinogenic risks from both current-use and legacy pesticides. Potentially Affected Fraction (PAF) and multi-substance Potentially Affected Fraction (msPAF) analyses indicated severe ecological risks posed by the measured water concentrations across the Lake Tana sub-basin. Sediment-bound pesticides also posed consistently high ecological risks, particularly for persistent organochlorines (lindane, endrin, and dieldrin). Overall, these findings advocate the urgent need for improved pesticide regulation, better management of legacy contaminants, and the promotion of sustainable agricultural practices to protect the Lake Tana sub-basin and its vital ecosystem services.

塔纳湖是埃塞俄比亚最大的天然湖泊,也是青尼罗河的源头,提供了重要的生态系统服务和社会经济效益。然而,塔纳湖子流域农业的迅速扩张导致农药使用量增加,这引起了严重的环境问题。本系统综述综合了有关农业农药使用、农药在鱼类、水中和沉积物中的残留以及相关生态和人类健康风险的信息。在13个地区共鉴定出66种有效成分,据报告,Libokemkem、Fogera和Gondar Zuria的农药使用量最高。农药使用主要是杀虫剂,包括世卫组织分类的几种有害化合物。从鱼体残留物中得出的风险商数表明,吡虫啉、恶氨酰和氟唑啉是对Labeobarbus spp具有高至极高风险的优先农药。在塔纳湖,遗留的有机氯农药(硫丹、林丹、endrin、滴滴涕和狄氏剂)对nilochromis构成了高至极高的风险。基于鱼类消费的人类健康风险评估表明,当前使用和遗留农药的非致癌风险可以忽略不计。潜在影响分数(PAF)和多物质潜在影响分数(msPAF)分析表明,整个塔纳湖子流域的实测水浓度存在严重的生态风险。与沉积物结合的农药也一直构成很高的生态风险,特别是持久性有机氯(林丹、苦德林和狄氏剂)。总的来说,这些发现表明迫切需要改善农药监管,更好地管理遗留污染物,并促进可持续农业实践,以保护塔纳湖子流域及其重要的生态系统服务。
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引用次数: 0
Historic Floodplain Meadows in the Landscape: Investigating Anthropogenic Habitats Important for Nature Conservation, Carbon Sequestration and Flood Attenuation 景观中的历史洪泛平原草甸:对自然保护、碳封存和洪水衰减重要的人为生境的调查。
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02396-2
Antony Firth, Emma Firth, Emma Rothero, David Gowing

In contemporary river valley floors, floodplain meadows are associated with rare grassland plant communities that are important for their conservation value. This article outlines a desk-based method to identify, map and record floodplain meadows as historic features in the landscape, based on physical forms embodying agricultural practices dating back to the medieval period. Mapping the former location, extent and distribution of floodplain meadows independently of the survival of habitat provides transparent, place-based evidence of the decline of floodplain meadow habitats. It also supports restoration of floodplain meadows based on former locations that date back many centuries. The article summarises catchment-based studies carried out across England and Wales between 2017 and 2024. The methodology is GIS-based and uses a variety of base layers, historic landscape sources such as maps and lidar, and non-mappable documentary and published sources, all of which are readily accessible to users. In total, 373 historic floodplain meadows in seven catchments were identified, recorded, and added to a freely available online map. The results show that floodplain meadows were present in the historic landscape in many parts of England and Wales and suggest that even where meadows were situated on the riverine peripheries of manors or parishes, they were central to the structure of agricultural societies and the landscapes to which they gave rise. The approach that has been developed is relevant throughout the geographic range of floodplain meadows, reflecting at least the extent of medieval open field agriculture in Europe. However, the methodology may also be relevant to the restoration of anthropogenic habitats across the globe that are of high importance for nature conservation, climate mitigation and adaptation, where traces interpretable from the historic landscape are more extensive than the survival of the habitat itself.

在当代的河谷底部,洪泛区草甸与稀有的草地植物群落有关,对它们的保护价值很重要。本文概述了一种基于桌面的方法,以体现中世纪农业实践的物理形式为基础,识别、绘制和记录洪泛区草甸作为景观中的历史特征。绘制洪泛区草甸以前的位置、范围和分布,独立于栖息地的生存,为洪泛区草甸栖息地的减少提供了透明的、基于地点的证据。它还支持在几个世纪前的原址上恢复洪泛区草甸。这篇文章总结了2017年至2024年间在英格兰和威尔士进行的基于流域的研究。该方法以gis为基础,并使用各种基础层,历史景观资源,如地图和激光雷达,以及不可测绘的文献和出版资源,所有这些都很容易被用户访问。总共鉴定、记录了七个集水区的373个历史洪泛区草甸,并将其添加到免费的在线地图中。研究结果表明,在英格兰和威尔士的许多地区,河漫滩草甸都存在于历史景观中,这表明,即使草甸位于庄园或教区的河边边缘,它们也是农业社会结构和景观的核心。已经开发的方法适用于整个洪泛区草甸的地理范围,至少反映了欧洲中世纪露天农业的范围。然而,该方法也可能与全球范围内对自然保护、气候缓解和适应具有高度重要性的人为生境的恢复有关,在这些生境中,从历史景观可解释的痕迹比生境本身的生存更为广泛。
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引用次数: 0
Fostering Pro-environmental Behavior Among National Park Visitors: Testing Communication Strategies for Campfire Management 培养国家公园游客的环保行为:营火管理的沟通策略测试。
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02392-6
Sofie Selvaag, Marianne Evju, Vegard Gundersen, Øystein Aas

Effective communication is a key instrument for managing visitor impacts in natural areas. This study examines how passive (pamphlets) and active (face-to-face) communication strategies influence campfire behavior, with a focus on reducing the use of ancient trees for firewood. While campfires are a cherished activity worldwide, they can cause severe ecological damage. Using a multi-methods approach that integrates social and natural sciences, we conducted a quasi-experimental field study combining visitor interviews, surveys, observations, and environmental assessments. Our main analysis used a multiple regression model that reflects how communication operates under real-world conditions by accounting for visitor volume, visitor characteristics, and weather. Based on registered tree damage incidents, our results show that both communication types effectively reduced the number of tree damage incidents by 57% compared to days without communication. During communication periods, visitors more often refrained from making campfires or relied on provided firewood. The two communication strategies were similarly effective, challenging the common assumption in the literature that direct interaction works best. This suggests that simple, low-cost approaches to influencing visitor behavior can be powerful tools for environmental management, particularly in settings where staff capacity is limited.

有效的沟通是管理游客对自然地区影响的关键手段。本研究探讨了被动(小册子)和主动(面对面)沟通策略如何影响篝火行为,重点是减少使用古树作为柴火。虽然营火在全世界都是一种珍贵的活动,但它们会造成严重的生态破坏。采用社会科学和自然科学相结合的多方法方法,我们进行了一项结合访客访谈、调查、观察和环境评估的准实验实地研究。我们的主要分析使用了一个多元回归模型,该模型通过考虑访客数量、访客特征和天气,反映了在现实世界条件下的沟通方式。基于记录的树木损坏事件,我们的结果表明,与没有通信的天数相比,两种通信类型有效地减少了57%的树木损坏事件。在交流期间,游客往往避免生火或依靠提供的柴火。这两种沟通策略同样有效,挑战了文献中直接互动效果最好的普遍假设。这表明,影响游客行为的简单、低成本方法可以成为环境管理的有力工具,特别是在工作人员能力有限的环境中。
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引用次数: 0
Coupling Remote Sensing and Artificial Intelligence: Mapping Hydrological Variables with GEE and Predicting Surface-water Extent with Neural Networks 耦合遥感和人工智能:用GEE绘制水文变量和用神经网络预测地表水范围。
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02404-5
Ahcene Bouach

Managing water resources in water-scarce regions requires rigorous monitoring and reliable forecasting. To address this, we developed RSAI (Remote-Sensing–Artificial-Intelligence), a reproducible computational workflow that couples Google Earth Engine (GEE) scripts with deep learning models. RSAI is designed to map the spatiotemporal trends of six hydrological variables and specifically predict monthly surface-water extent. The workflow was applied to the Coastal Algiers Basin (02 A) over the 2001–2022 period. Trend analysis using the Mann-Kendall test revealed a statistically significant decline in surface-water area (Sen’s slope = −1.03 km² year⁻¹, equivalent to a 36% loss), while climatic drivers (precipitation, temperature) showed non-significant trends, suggesting a decoupling driven by anthropogenic factors. For the predictive component, three neural network architectures (ANN, DNN, and LSTM) were trained on the GEE-derived time series using a 70/30% train-test split. The Deep Neural Network (DNN) achieved the most robust performance on the independent test set (R = 0.89, MAE = 0.36 km², RMSE = 46.31 km²), outperforming the LSTM and ANN models. Sensitivity analysis further confirmed the DNN’s robustness to sensor noise (Propagation Factor = 0.26). These results validate RSAI as a practical, transferable workflow for basin-scale hydrological monitoring and forecasting in data-limited Mediterranean regions.

在缺水地区管理水资源需要严格的监测和可靠的预测。为了解决这个问题,我们开发了RSAI(遥感-人工智能),这是一个可重复的计算工作流,将谷歌地球引擎(GEE)脚本与深度学习模型结合在一起。RSAI旨在绘制六个水文变量的时空趋势图,并具体预测每月的地表水范围。该工作流程在2001-2022年期间应用于阿尔及尔沿海盆地(02 A)。使用Mann-Kendall检验的趋势分析显示,地表水面积在统计上显著下降(Sen’s slope = -1.03 km²year -⁻¹,相当于损失36%),而气候驱动因素(降水、温度)显示出不显著的趋势,表明由人为因素驱动的脱钩。对于预测组件,使用70/30%的训练-测试分割在gee衍生的时间序列上训练三种神经网络架构(ANN, DNN和LSTM)。深度神经网络(Deep Neural Network, DNN)在独立测试集上的鲁棒性最强(R = 0.89, MAE = 0.36 km²,RMSE = 46.31 km²),优于LSTM和ANN模型。灵敏度分析进一步证实了DNN对传感器噪声的鲁棒性(传播因子= 0.26)。这些结果验证了RSAI是一种实用的、可转移的工作流,可用于数据有限的地中海地区的流域尺度水文监测和预报。
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引用次数: 0
Time-Series Niche Modelling Reveals Declining Tendencies of Habitat Suitability and Ecological Functions in a Mountainous Protected Area 时序生态位模型揭示山区保护区生境适宜性和生态功能下降趋势
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02393-5
Inês Freitas, João Alírio, Nuno Garcia, João C. Campos, Salvador Arenas-Castro, Isabel Pôças, Lia Duarte, Ana C. Teodoro, Neftalí Sillero

Monitoring biodiversity in protected areas is essential to mitigate biodiversity loss and evaluate the effectiveness of conservation policies. Integrating satellite remote sensing technologies, ecological niche models, and time-series analyses of biodiversity trends offers a fast and robust approach for assessing habitat suitability changes and species vulnerability over time. In this study, we implemented a framework combining these tools to monitor biodiversity in the Montesinho/Nogueira Special Conservation Area (Northeast Portugal). Using the MaxEnt algorithm, we generated ecological niche models for 342 species based on a time series (2001–2023) of remote sensing data from the Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor. We analysed habitat suitability trends with the Mann-Kendall test to detect changes in habitat quality, as a metric of species vulnerability for individual species, five major taxonomic groups (vascular flora, amphibians, reptiles, birds, and mammals), functional groups (e.g. climate affinity, habitat type, diet, activity, reproduction), and conservation status (regional and European levels). Our study revealed a significant decline in habitat suitability over the past two decades, impacting all taxonomic groups and ecological functions. We observed a high variability in habitat suitability trends among species and taxonomic/functional groups, highlighting the complexity of biodiversity responses to environmental changes. Functional traits such as climatic affinity, trophic level or habitat specialisation were associated with variable rates of habitat decline, with species of Atlantic affinity, species associated with croplands and wetlands, and species specialised in insectivorous diets being at higher risk. Overall, these findings emphasise the need for comprehensive biodiversity monitoring programmes and demonstrate the utility of our approach to inform evidence-based conservation strategies in protected areas globally.

监测保护区的生物多样性对于减轻生物多样性丧失和评估保护政策的有效性至关重要。将卫星遥感技术、生态位模型和生物多样性趋势时间序列分析相结合,为评估生境适宜性变化和物种脆弱性提供了一种快速、可靠的方法。在这项研究中,我们实施了一个结合这些工具的框架来监测Montesinho/Nogueira特别保护区(葡萄牙东北部)的生物多样性。基于2001-2023年MODIS遥感数据,利用MaxEnt算法建立了342种植物的生态位模型。我们使用Mann-Kendall检验分析了生境适宜性趋势,以检测生境质量的变化,作为衡量物种脆弱性的指标,包括单个物种、五大分类类群(维管植物群、两栖动物、爬行动物、鸟类和哺乳动物)、功能类群(如气候亲和力、栖息地类型、饮食、活动、繁殖)和保护状况(区域和欧洲水平)。研究结果表明,近20年来,我国的生境适宜性显著下降,所有分类类群和生态功能均受到影响。生境适宜性的变化趋势在物种和分类/功能类群之间具有高度的差异性,凸显了生物多样性对环境变化响应的复杂性。气候亲和性、营养水平或栖息地专一化等功能特征与栖息地下降的可变速率有关,大西洋亲和物种、农田和湿地相关物种以及专门以食虫为食的物种面临更高的风险。总的来说,这些发现强调了全面的生物多样性监测计划的必要性,并证明了我们的方法在全球保护区为基于证据的保护战略提供信息的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Trap-and-Haul Facilities for Managing Anadromous Salmonids and Other Species: A Pacific Northwest Review 管理溯河鲑鱼和其他物种的捕集设备:太平洋西北评论。
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02401-8
V. P. Autier

Anadromous salmonid recovery faces major challenges at high-head dams where volitional passage is limited. For obsolete structures, dam removal may be the only sustainable long-term solution, but at active hydroelectric dams, trap-and-haul facilities remain one of the few viable options for restoring fish passage connectivity. These facilities provide an assisted migration strategy, enabling juvenile transport downstream and adult transport upstream, and thus serve as a two-way conservation tool. Despite their increasing use, there remains considerable uncertainty about what “trap-and-haul” entails. Facilities range from simple, seasonal barriers and traps used to estimate run size, migration rates, behavioral patterns, and restoration effects, to highly engineered systems incorporating technical fishways, sorting facilities, and water-to-water transfer. The latter allows programmatic review, population-specific management, and adaptive strategies. We reviewed 37 trap-and-haul facilities in the Pacific Northwest (North America) to summarize key design and operational elements, including: (1) facility information; (2) species transported and numbers; (3) attraction and fishway flow rates and water sources; (4) trapping system types; (5) hydraulic drop per pool and energy dissipation factors; (6) attraction water diffuser type and source; (7) intake screen and cleaner types; and (8) presence of water-to-water transfer. Because existing data can guide development of new facilities, this review offers valuable insights not only for the Pacific Northwest but also for European hydropower operators facing similar challenges under the European Union Restoration Law, Habitat Directive, Water Framework Directive, and Eel Regulations.

在高水头水坝中,洄游鲑鱼的恢复面临着重大挑战,因为它们的自主通行受到限制。对于过时的结构,拆除大坝可能是唯一可持续的长期解决方案,但在活跃的水电站大坝,陷阱-拖运设施仍然是恢复鱼类通道连通性的少数可行选择之一。这些设施提供了一种辅助迁徙策略,使幼鱼能够向下游运输,成年鱼能够向上游运输,从而成为一种双向保护工具。尽管它们的使用越来越多,但对于“捕获和运输”的含义仍然存在相当大的不确定性。设施范围从简单的季节性屏障和陷阱,用于估计鱼群规模、迁移率、行为模式和恢复效果,到高度工程化的系统,包括技术鱼道、分类设施和水到水的转移。后者允许方案审查、针对特定人群的管理和适应性战略。我们回顾了太平洋西北地区(北美)的37个捕集和拖运设施,总结了关键的设计和操作要素,包括:(1)设施信息;(2)运输种类和数量;(三)吸引力、鱼道流速和水源;(4)捕集系统类型;(5)单池水力落差及消能系数;(6)吸引水扩散器类型和来源;(7)进气筛和清洁器种类;(8)存在水-水转移。由于现有数据可以指导新设施的开发,本综述不仅为太平洋西北地区提供了宝贵的见解,也为在欧盟恢复法、栖息地指令、水框架指令和鳗鱼法规下面临类似挑战的欧洲水电运营商提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Managing Ecosystem Transitions Using a RAD Framework Incorporating Ecological, Social, and Economic Contexts 使用结合生态、社会和经济背景的快速发展框架管理生态系统转型。
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02390-8
Sebastian Theis, Lyndsay Cartwright, Marie-Josée Fortin, Jonathan L. W. Ruppert, Andrew Gonzalez

Recently, the resist–accept–direct (RAD) framework has emerged as a conceptualized tool for managing ecosystem change. Yet, its application remains limited and uneven across ecological, social, and economic dimensions. To assess how RAD has been implemented to date, we conducted a systematic literature review using a structured PI(E)CO-based search and screening process. Of 473 documents identified, 19 contained case studies and met our inclusion criteria, highlighting the still-early use of RAD in practice. Most case studies focused on resist approaches along the ecological axis, with fewer fully incorporating social or economic considerations. Climate change and biodiversity loss were the most frequently addressed stressors. From our findings and assessed case studies, we developed a RAD strategy advice checklist, designed to guide practitioners in assessing potential trade-offs and implementation constraints, illustrated by a case study from southern Ontario, Canada. Our synthesis assesses the current state of RAD application, laying the groundwork for future knowledge sharing, real-time learning, and the development of broader decision-support networks.

最近,抵制-接受-直接(RAD)框架已经成为管理生态系统变化的概念化工具。然而,它在生态、社会和经济方面的应用仍然有限且不平衡。为了评估RAD迄今为止的实施情况,我们使用结构化的基于PI(E) co的搜索和筛选过程进行了系统的文献综述。在确定的473份文件中,19份包含案例研究并符合我们的纳入标准,突出了在实践中仍然早期使用RAD。大多数案例研究集中在沿着生态轴的抵抗方法上,很少充分考虑到社会或经济因素。气候变化和生物多样性丧失是最常被处理的压力源。根据我们的发现和评估的案例研究,我们开发了一个RAD策略建议清单,旨在指导从业者评估潜在的权衡和实现约束,由加拿大安大略省南部的一个案例研究说明。我们的综合评估了RAD应用的现状,为未来的知识共享、实时学习和更广泛的决策支持网络的发展奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Can Green Scenarios Improve Water Ecosystem Services and Mitigate the Effects of Climate Change? A Case Study in a River Basin in Southeastern Brazil 绿色情景能改善水生态系统服务并减轻气候变化的影响吗?以巴西东南部某河流域为例。
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02395-3
Phelipe da Silva Anjinho, Angeliki Peponi, Gonçalo Duarte, Paulo Branco, Maria Teresa Ferreira, Frederico Fabio Mauad

Ecological restoration is increasingly recognized as a key strategy to enhance ecosystem services and mitigate climate change impacts. However, there is limited understanding of whether spatially prioritized restoration areas remain effective under future climate and land-use changes. This study evaluates the combined effects of climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for 2040–2069 and 2070–2099) and land-use and land-cover (LULC) scenarios (economic, trend, and green) on water ecosystem services (WES) in a river basin in southeastern Brazil. Climate and biophysical models from the InVEST suite were used to simulate sediment export and retention (erosion control), total nitrogen and phosphorus export and retention (water purification), and quickflow and baseflow (water supply). The green scenario assumes the restoration of areas previously identified as spatial priorities in a published study based on a multicriteria analysis of WES, in addition to legally protected areas such as riparian buffers and legal reserves established by the Brazilian Forest Code. Results indicate that climate change primarily affected water supply services, whereas LULC changes exerted stronger effects on erosion control and water purification. Targeted restoration of priority and legally protected areas reduced sediment and nutrient exports and partially buffered climate change impacts on water supply. The novelty of this study lies in testing the robustness of restoration areas prioritized under current conditions by evaluating their effectiveness across future climate and land-use scenarios, rather than defining restoration areas directly within the scenario modeling process.

生态恢复日益被认为是增强生态系统服务和缓解气候变化影响的关键战略。然而,对于在未来气候和土地利用变化的情况下,空间优先恢复区域是否仍然有效,人们的理解有限。本研究评估了气候情景(2040-2069年和2070-2099年的RCP 4.5和RCP 8.5)和土地利用和土地覆盖情景(经济、趋势和绿色)对巴西东南部流域水生态系统服务(WES)的综合影响。使用InVEST套件的气候和生物物理模型来模拟泥沙输出和滞留(侵蚀控制),总氮和磷输出和滞留(水净化),快流和基流(水供应)。绿色情景假定恢复先前在一项基于WES多标准分析的已发表研究中确定的空间优先区域,以及诸如河岸缓冲区和巴西森林法典建立的法定保护区等法律保护区域。结果表明,气候变化主要影响供水服务,而LULC变化对侵蚀控制和水净化的影响更大。重点保护区和法定保护区的定向恢复减少了沉积物和营养物的出口,部分缓冲了气候变化对供水的影响。本研究的新颖之处在于,通过评估未来气候和土地利用情景下恢复区域的有效性来测试当前条件下优先恢复区域的稳健性,而不是在情景建模过程中直接定义恢复区域。
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引用次数: 0
Ecosystem Services and Disaster Risk Reduction under Climate Change and Wildfire Threats 气候变化和野火威胁下的生态系统服务与减少灾害风险。
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02405-4
Azam Khosravi Mashizi

Wildfires are natural components of arid and semi-arid ecosystems, yet climate change is amplifying their intensity and frequency, posing serious threats to ecosystem services essential for human well-being. This study presents a novel approach to reduce risk and protect ecosystem services under threat from flammability and climate change. In this regard, ten ecosystem services (carbon sequestration, heritage, food crops, livestock rates, shelter function, recreation, water production, soil formation, soil conservation, and beekeeping) were mapped using field data, the InVEST model, and GIS-based spatial analysis. Flammability and climate change risk were quantified using plant functional traits and environmental indicators. The results showed that the degree of climate change risk, flammability, and vulnerability of ecosystem services differed significantly between different land covers (p < 0.05). Water production and beekeeping were most threatened by climate change, while carbon sequestration, food, and livestock rates were most affected by fire. Through simplified causal-path analysis, we identified key drivers influencing the resilience of ecosystem services, and correlation analysis revealed that local environmental conditions can enhance service stability under disturbance. Overall, our findings provide a practical and transferable framework for forecasting vulnerabilities, reducing risk, and informing preventive and adaptive strategies that support both human well-being and long-term ecosystem sustainability.

野火是干旱和半干旱生态系统的自然组成部分,但气候变化正在放大其强度和频率,对人类福祉至关重要的生态系统服务构成严重威胁。本研究提出了一种新的方法来降低风险和保护生态系统服务受到可燃性和气候变化的威胁。在这方面,利用野外数据、InVEST模型和基于gis的空间分析,绘制了10种生态系统服务(碳封存、遗产、粮食作物、牲畜率、庇护功能、娱乐、水生产、土壤形成、土壤保持和养蜂)。利用植物功能性状和环境指标对易燃性和气候变化风险进行量化。结果表明,不同土地覆被的气候变化风险程度、可燃性和生态系统服务脆弱性存在显著差异(p
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引用次数: 0
A Systematic Review of the Impacts of Climate Change on Critical Infrastructure in Canada 气候变化对加拿大关键基础设施影响的系统评价。
IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-026-02406-3
Dilruba Fatima Sharmin, Daniel Henstra, Jason Thistlethwaite

Critical infrastructure (CI)—the essential systems and facilities that support various societal functions and economic activities—is increasingly at risk from climate change. In Canada, evidence on these risks remains fragmented and uneven. This study presents a systematic review of peer-reviewed research on climate change impacts on CI in Canada, following PRISMA guidelines and a PICO-informed search strategy. Existing research is concentrated geographically in Ontario and British Columbia and focused primarily on transportation, water, wastewater, and energy systems. Flooding, extreme precipitation, temperature variability, and permafrost thaw dominate the hazards examined, while wildfires and compound climate risks receive comparatively little attention. Across sectors, studies consistently document physical damage, service disruptions, economic losses, and cascading failures arising from infrastructure interdependencies. Non-climatic factors, including asset age, geographic location, governance arrangements, and investment levels, emerge as critical determinants of vulnerability and recovery. Methodologically, the literature is dominated by engineering and hydrological modeling, with limited integration of social, institutional, and equity considerations. This review synthesizes current knowledge, identifies persistent gaps, and outlines priorities for advancing climate-resilient CI research and policy in Canada.

关键基础设施(CI)——支持各种社会功能和经济活动的重要系统和设施——正日益受到气候变化的威胁。在加拿大,关于这些风险的证据仍然零散且不均衡。本研究对加拿大气候变化对CI影响的同行评议研究进行了系统回顾,遵循PRISMA指南和pico信息检索策略。现有的研究主要集中在安大略省和不列颠哥伦比亚省,主要集中在交通、水、废水和能源系统上。洪水、极端降水、温度变化和永久冻土融化是研究的主要危害,而野火和复合气候风险相对较少受到关注。在各个部门,研究一致地记录了基础设施相互依赖引起的物理损害、服务中断、经济损失和级联故障。非气候因素,包括资产年龄、地理位置、治理安排和投资水平,成为脆弱性和复苏的关键决定因素。在方法上,文献以工程和水文建模为主,对社会、制度和公平考虑的整合有限。本综述综合了当前的知识,确定了持续存在的差距,并概述了推进加拿大气候适应型CI研究和政策的优先事项。
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Environmental Management
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