首页 > 最新文献

Revista Colombiana De Estadistica最新文献

英文 中文
Additive Outliers in Open-Loop Threshold Autoregressive Models: A Simulation Study 开环阈值自回归模型中的加性异常值的仿真研究
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.92965
Sergio Calderon, Daniel Ordoñez Callamad
The effect of additive outliers is studied on an adapted non-linearity test and a robust estimation method for autoregressive coefficients in open-loop TAR (threshold autoregressive) models. Through a Monte Carlo experiment, the power and size of the non-linearity test are studied. Regarding the estimation method, the bias and ratio of mean squared errors are compared between the robust estimator and least squares. Simulation exercises are carried out for different percentages of contamination and the proportion of observations on each model regime. Furthermore, the approximation of the univariate normal distribution to the empirical distribution of estimated coefficients is analyzed along with the coverage level of asymptotic confidence intervals for the parameters. Results show that the adapted non-linearity test does not have size distortions, and it has a superior power than its least-squares counterpart when additive outliers are present. On the other hand, the robust estimation method for the autoregressive coefficients has a better mean squared error than least-squares when this type of observations are present. Lastly, the use of the non-linearity test and the estimation method are illustrated through a real example.
研究了加性异常值对开环TAR(阈值自回归)模型自回归系数的自适应非线性检验和鲁棒估计方法的影响。通过蒙特卡罗实验,研究了非线性测试的功率和大小。对于估计方法,比较了鲁棒估计和最小二乘估计的偏差和均方误差比。对每种模式的不同污染百分比和观测比例进行了模拟练习。此外,还分析了单变量正态分布对估计系数经验分布的逼近以及参数渐近置信区间的覆盖水平。结果表明,适应的非线性检验没有尺寸畸变,并且在存在加性异常值时,它比最小二乘检验具有更高的功率。另一方面,当存在这种类型的观测值时,自回归系数的稳健估计方法比最小二乘具有更好的均方误差。最后,通过实例说明了非线性检验和估计方法的应用。
{"title":"Additive Outliers in Open-Loop Threshold Autoregressive Models: A Simulation Study","authors":"Sergio Calderon, Daniel Ordoñez Callamad","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.92965","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.92965","url":null,"abstract":"The effect of additive outliers is studied on an adapted non-linearity test and a robust estimation method for autoregressive coefficients in open-loop TAR (threshold autoregressive) models. Through a Monte Carlo experiment, the power and size of the non-linearity test are studied. Regarding the estimation method, the bias and ratio of mean squared errors are compared between the robust estimator and least squares. Simulation exercises are carried out for different percentages of contamination and the proportion of observations on each model regime. Furthermore, the approximation of the univariate normal distribution to the empirical distribution of estimated coefficients is analyzed along with the coverage level of asymptotic confidence intervals for the parameters. Results show that the adapted non-linearity test does not have size distortions, and it has a superior power than its least-squares counterpart when additive outliers are present. On the other hand, the robust estimation method for the autoregressive coefficients has a better mean squared error than least-squares when this type of observations are present. Lastly, the use of the non-linearity test and the estimation method are illustrated through a real example.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43222337","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Variable Selection in Switching Dynamic Regression Models 切换动态回归模型中的变量选择
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.85385
Dayna P. Saldaña-Zepeda, C. Velasco‐Cruz, V. H. Torres‐Preciado
Complex dynamic phenomena in which dynamics is related to events (modes) that cause structural changes over time, are well described by the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS). We extend the SLDS by allowing the measurement noise to be mode-specific, a flexible way to model non stationary data. Additionally, for models that are functions of explanatory variables, we adapt a variable selection method to identify which of them are significant in each mode. Our proposed model is a flexible Bayesian nonparametric model that allows to learn about the number of modes and their location, and within each mode, it identifies the significant variables and estimates the regression coefficients. The model performance is evaluated by simulation and two application examples from a dataset of meteorological time series of Barranquilla, Colombia are presented.
开关线性动力系统(SLDS)很好地描述了复杂的动力学现象,其中动力学与随时间引起结构变化的事件(模式)有关。我们通过允许测量噪声是模式特定的来扩展SLDS,这是一种对非平稳数据建模的灵活方式。此外,对于作为解释变量函数的模型,我们采用变量选择方法来确定其中哪些在每种模式中都是重要的。我们提出的模型是一个灵活的贝叶斯非参数模型,允许了解模式的数量及其位置,在每个模式中,它识别重要变量并估计回归系数。通过模拟评估了模型的性能,并给出了哥伦比亚巴兰基亚气象时间序列数据集的两个应用实例。
{"title":"Variable Selection in Switching Dynamic Regression Models","authors":"Dayna P. Saldaña-Zepeda, C. Velasco‐Cruz, V. H. Torres‐Preciado","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.85385","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.85385","url":null,"abstract":"Complex dynamic phenomena in which dynamics is related to events (modes) that cause structural changes over time, are well described by the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS). We extend the SLDS by allowing the measurement noise to be mode-specific, a flexible way to model non stationary data. Additionally, for models that are functions of explanatory variables, we adapt a variable selection method to identify which of them are significant in each mode. Our proposed model is a flexible Bayesian nonparametric model that allows to learn about the number of modes and their location, and within each mode, it identifies the significant variables and estimates the regression coefficients. The model performance is evaluated by simulation and two application examples from a dataset of meteorological time series of Barranquilla, Colombia are presented.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49615445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Wavelet Shrinkage Generalized Bayes Estimation for Multivariate Normal Distribution Mean Vectors with unknown Covariance Matrix under Balanced-LINEX Loss 平衡LINEX损失下协方差矩阵未知的多元正态分布均值向量的小波收缩广义Bayes估计
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.92037
M. Afshari, Hamid Karamikabira
In this paper, the generalized Bayes estimator of mean vector parameter for multivariate normal distribution with Unknown mean vector and covariance matrix is considered. This estimation is performed under the balanced-LINEX error loss function. The generalized Bayes estimator by using wavelet transformation is investigated. We also prove admissibility and minimaxity of shrinkage estimator and we present the simulation study and real data set for test validity of new estimator.
研究了具有未知均值向量和协方差矩阵的多元正态分布中均值向量参数的广义贝叶斯估计。该估计是在平衡linex误差损失函数下进行的。研究了基于小波变换的广义贝叶斯估计。我们还证明了收缩估计器的可容许性和极小性,并给出了新估计器有效性的仿真研究和实际数据集。
{"title":"Wavelet Shrinkage Generalized Bayes Estimation for Multivariate Normal Distribution Mean Vectors with unknown Covariance Matrix under Balanced-LINEX Loss","authors":"M. Afshari, Hamid Karamikabira","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.92037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.92037","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, the generalized Bayes estimator of mean vector parameter for multivariate normal distribution with Unknown mean vector and covariance matrix is considered. This estimation is performed under the balanced-LINEX error loss function. The generalized Bayes estimator by using wavelet transformation is investigated. We also prove admissibility and minimaxity of shrinkage estimator and we present the simulation study and real data set for test validity of new estimator.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43970799","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Some Inferential Problems from Log Student’s T-distribution and its Multivariate Extension 对数学生T分布及其多元扩展的若干推理问题
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.90672
A. Olosunde, Sylvester Olofintuade
Assumption of normality in statistical analysis had been a common practice in many literature, but in the event where small sample is obtainable, then normality assumption will lead to erroneous conclusion in the statistical analysis. Taking a large sample had been a serious concern in practice due to various factors. In this paper, we further derived some inferential properties for log student’s t-distribution (simply log-t distribution) which makes it more suitable as substitute to log-normal when carrying out analysis on right-skewed small sample data. Mathematical and Statistical properties such as the moments, cumulative distribution function, survival function, hazard function and log-concavity are derived. We further extend the results to case of multivariate log-t distribution; we obtained the marginal and conditional distributions. The parameters estimation was done via maximum likelihood estimation method, consequently its best critical region and information matrix were derived in order to obtain the asymptotic confidence interval. The applications of log-t distribution and goodness-of-fit test was carried out on two dataset from literature to show when the model is most appropriate.
在许多文献中,统计分析中的正态性假设是一种常见的做法,但在可以获得小样本的情况下,正态性假定会导致统计分析中得出错误的结论。由于各种因素,在实践中采集大量样本一直是一个令人严重关切的问题。在本文中,我们进一步推导了对数学生t分布(简称log-t分布)的一些推论性质,这使得它在对右偏小样本数据进行分析时更适合作为对数正态的替代。推导了矩、累积分布函数、生存函数、危险函数和对数凹度等数学和统计性质。我们进一步将结果推广到多变量log-t分布的情况;我们得到了边际分布和条件分布。采用最大似然估计方法进行参数估计,从而得到其最佳临界区域和信息矩阵,从而得到渐近置信区间。在文献中的两个数据集上进行了log-t分布和拟合优度检验的应用,以显示模型何时最合适。
{"title":"Some Inferential Problems from Log Student’s T-distribution and its Multivariate Extension","authors":"A. Olosunde, Sylvester Olofintuade","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.90672","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.90672","url":null,"abstract":"Assumption of normality in statistical analysis had been a common practice in many literature, but in the event where small sample is obtainable, then normality assumption will lead to erroneous conclusion in the statistical analysis. Taking a large sample had been a serious concern in practice due to various factors. In this paper, we further derived some inferential properties for log student’s t-distribution (simply log-t distribution) which makes it more suitable as substitute to log-normal when carrying out analysis on right-skewed small sample data. Mathematical and Statistical properties such as the moments, cumulative distribution function, survival function, hazard function and log-concavity are derived. We further extend the results to case of multivariate log-t distribution; we obtained the marginal and conditional distributions. The parameters estimation was done via maximum likelihood estimation method, consequently its best critical region and information matrix were derived in order to obtain the asymptotic confidence interval. The applications of log-t distribution and goodness-of-fit test was carried out on two dataset from literature to show when the model is most appropriate.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45435602","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Finite Population Mixed Models for Pretest-Posttest Designs with Response Errors 具有响应误差的前测后测设计的有限总体混合模型
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.93196
L. M. González, J. Singer, Edward J. Stanek III
We consider a finite population mixed model that accommodates response errors and show how to obtain optimal estimators of the finite population parameters in a pretest-posttest context. We illustrate the method with the estimation of the difference in gain between two interventions and consider a simulation study to compare the empirical version of the proposed estimator (obtained by replacing variance components with estimates) with the estimator obtained via covariance analysis usually employed in such settings. The results indicate that in many instances, the proposed estimator has a smaller mean squared error than that obtained from the standard analysis of covariance model.
我们考虑了一个容纳响应误差的有限总体混合模型,并展示了如何在前测后测环境中获得有限总体参数的最优估计量。我们用两种干预措施之间增益差异的估计来说明该方法,并考虑进行模拟研究,将所提出的估计器的经验版本(通过用估计替换方差分量获得)与通常在这种情况下使用的协方差分析获得的估计量进行比较。结果表明,在许多情况下,所提出的估计器的均方误差小于协方差模型的标准分析。
{"title":"Finite Population Mixed Models for Pretest-Posttest Designs with Response Errors","authors":"L. M. González, J. Singer, Edward J. Stanek III","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.93196","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.93196","url":null,"abstract":"We consider a finite population mixed model that accommodates response errors and show how to obtain optimal estimators of the finite population parameters in a pretest-posttest context. We illustrate the method with the estimation of the difference in gain between two interventions and consider a simulation study to compare the empirical version of the proposed estimator (obtained by replacing variance components with estimates) with the estimator obtained via covariance analysis usually employed in such settings. The results indicate that in many instances, the proposed estimator has a smaller mean squared error than that obtained from the standard analysis of covariance model.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43227161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Causal Mediation for Survival Data: A Unifying Approach via GLM 生存数据的因果中介:基于GLM的统一方法
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.94553
Marcelo M. Taddeo, L. Amorim
Mediation analysis has been receiving much attention from the scientific community in the last years, mainly due to its ability to disentangle causal pathways from exposures to outcomes. Particularly, causal mediation analysis for time-to-event outcomes has been widely discussed using accelerated failures times, Cox and Aalen models, with continuous or binary mediator. We derive general expressions for the Natural Direct Effect and Natural Indirect Effect for the time-to-event outcome when the mediator is modeled using generalized linear models, which includes existing procedures as particular cases. We also define a responsiveness measure to assess the variations in continuous exposures in the presence of  ediation. We consider a community-based prospective cohort study that investigates the mediation of hepatitis B in the relationship between hepatitis C and liver cancer. We fit different models as well as distinct distributions and link functions associated to the mediator. We also notice that estimation of NDE and NIE using different models leads to non-contradictory conclusions despite their effect scales. The survival models provide a compelling framework that is appropriate to answer many research questions involving causal mediation analysis. The extensions through GLMs for the mediator may encompassa broad field of medical research, allowing the often necessary control for confounding.
在过去的几年里,中介分析一直受到科学界的高度关注,主要是因为它能够将因果途径与结果的暴露区分开来。特别是,使用加速故障时间、Cox和Aalen模型,以及连续或二元中介,对事件时间结果的因果中介分析进行了广泛讨论。当使用广义线性模型对中介进行建模时,我们推导了自然直接效应和自然间接效应的一般表达式,其中包括作为特定情况的现有程序。我们还定义了一种反应性测量,以评估在存在中介的情况下连续暴露的变化。我们考虑了一项基于社区的前瞻性队列研究,该研究调查了乙型肝炎在丙型肝炎和癌症之间的中介作用。我们拟合不同的模型以及与中介相关的不同分布和链接函数。我们还注意到,使用不同模型对NDE和NIE的估计会得出不矛盾的结论,尽管它们的影响程度不同。生存模型提供了一个令人信服的框架,适用于回答许多涉及因果中介分析的研究问题。通过GLM对媒介的扩展可能涵盖广泛的医学研究领域,允许对混淆进行经常必要的控制。
{"title":"Causal Mediation for Survival Data: A Unifying Approach via GLM","authors":"Marcelo M. Taddeo, L. Amorim","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.94553","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.94553","url":null,"abstract":"Mediation analysis has been receiving much attention from the scientific community in the last years, mainly due to its ability to disentangle causal pathways from exposures to outcomes. Particularly, causal mediation analysis for time-to-event outcomes has been widely discussed using accelerated failures times, Cox and Aalen models, with continuous or binary mediator. We derive general expressions for the Natural Direct Effect and Natural Indirect Effect for the time-to-event outcome when the mediator is modeled using generalized linear models, which includes existing procedures as particular cases. We also define a responsiveness measure to assess the variations in continuous exposures in the presence of  ediation. We consider a community-based prospective cohort study that investigates the mediation of hepatitis B in the relationship between hepatitis C and liver cancer. We fit different models as well as distinct distributions and link functions associated to the mediator. We also notice that estimation of NDE and NIE using different models leads to non-contradictory conclusions despite their effect scales. The survival models provide a compelling framework that is appropriate to answer many research questions involving causal mediation analysis. The extensions through GLMs for the mediator may encompassa broad field of medical research, allowing the often necessary control for confounding.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46424674","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of the Mean Control Chart Under a Bayesian Approach 贝叶斯方法下均值控制图的评价
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.93588
Isabel Cristina Ramirez Guevara, Nelfi González-Álvarez
A previous study on the evaluation of control charts for the mean with a Bayesian approach, based on predictive limits, was performed in such a way that neither prior nor sample information was taken into account. This work was developed to make a more complete study to evaluate the influence of the combination of the prior distribution with the sample information. It is assumed that the quality characteristic to be controlled can be modeled by a Normal distribution and two cases are considered: known and unknown variance. A Bayesian conjugate model is established, therefore the prior distribution for the mean is Normal and, in the case where the variance is unknown, the prior distribution for the variance is defined as the Inverse-Gamma(ν, ν). The posterior predictive distribution, which is also Normal, is used to establish the control limits of the chart. Signal propability is used to measure the performance of the control chart in phase II, with the predictive limits calculated under different specifications of the prior distributions, and two different sizes of the calibration sample and the future sample. The simulation study evaluates three aspects: the effects of sample sizes, the distance of the prior mean to the mean of the calibration sample, and an indicator of how informative is the prior distribution of the population mean. In addition, in the case of unknown variance, we study what is the effect of changing values in the parameter ν. We found that the false alarm rate could be quite large if the prior distribution is very informative which in turn leads to an ARL (average run length) biased chart, that is, the maximum of the ARL is not given when the process is under control. Besides, we foundgreat influence of the prior distribution on the control chart power when the size of the calibration and future samples are small, particulary when the prior is very informative. Finally, regarding the effect of the parameter ν, we found that the smaller the value, which means having a less informative prior distribution, the lower the power of the control chart. 
以前的一项基于预测极限的贝叶斯方法评估平均值控制图的研究是以既不考虑先前信息也不考虑样本信息的方式进行的。开发这项工作是为了进行更完整的研究,以评估先验分布与样本信息相结合的影响。假设要控制的质量特性可以通过正态分布建模,并考虑两种情况:已知方差和未知方差。建立了贝叶斯共轭模型,因此均值的先验分布是正态的,并且在方差未知的情况下,方差的先验分布被定义为逆伽马(Γ,Γ)。后验预测分布也是正态分布,用于建立图表的控制极限。信号可传播性用于测量控制图在第二阶段的性能,在先前分布的不同规格以及校准样本和未来样本的两种不同尺寸下计算预测极限。模拟研究评估了三个方面:样本量的影响、先验平均值与校准样本平均值的距离,以及总体平均值的先验分布信息量的指标。此外,在方差未知的情况下,我们研究了参数Γ值变化的影响。我们发现,如果先前的分布信息量很大,那么误报率可能会很大,这反过来会导致ARL(平均运行长度)偏差图,也就是说,当过程受到控制时,没有给出ARL的最大值。此外,我们发现,当校准和未来样本的大小较小时,特别是当先验信息量很大时,先验分布对控制图功率的影响很大。最后,关于参数Γ的影响,我们发现该值越小,这意味着信息量较小的先验分布,控制图的幂就越低。
{"title":"Evaluation of the Mean Control Chart Under a Bayesian Approach","authors":"Isabel Cristina Ramirez Guevara, Nelfi González-Álvarez","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.93588","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.93588","url":null,"abstract":"A previous study on the evaluation of control charts for the mean with a Bayesian approach, based on predictive limits, was performed in such a way that neither prior nor sample information was taken into account. This work was developed to make a more complete study to evaluate the influence of the combination of the prior distribution with the sample information. It is assumed that the quality characteristic to be controlled can be modeled by a Normal distribution and two cases are considered: known and unknown variance. A Bayesian conjugate model is established, therefore the prior distribution for the mean is Normal and, in the case where the variance is unknown, the prior distribution for the variance is defined as the Inverse-Gamma(ν, ν). The posterior predictive distribution, which is also Normal, is used to establish the control limits of the chart. Signal propability is used to measure the performance of the control chart in phase II, with the predictive limits calculated under different specifications of the prior distributions, and two different sizes of the calibration sample and the future sample. The simulation study evaluates three aspects: the effects of sample sizes, the distance of the prior mean to the mean of the calibration sample, and an indicator of how informative is the prior distribution of the population mean. In addition, in the case of unknown variance, we study what is the effect of changing values in the parameter ν. We found that the false alarm rate could be quite large if the prior distribution is very informative which in turn leads to an ARL (average run length) biased chart, that is, the maximum of the ARL is not given when the process is under control. Besides, we foundgreat influence of the prior distribution on the control chart power when the size of the calibration and future samples are small, particulary when the prior is very informative. Finally, regarding the effect of the parameter ν, we found that the smaller the value, which means having a less informative prior distribution, the lower the power of the control chart. ","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42497578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bahadur’s Stochastic Comparison of Combining infinitely Independent Tests in Case of Extreme Value Distribution 极值分布下无限独立组合检验的Bahadur随机比较
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.97466
Abedel-Qader Al-Masri, Noor Al-Momani
For simple null hypothesis, given any non-parametric combination method which has a monotone increasing acceptance region, there exists a problem for which this method is most powerful against some alternative. Starting from this perspective and recasting each method of combining pvalues as a likelihood ratio test, we present theoretical results for some of the standard combiners which provide guidance about how a powerful combiner might be chosen in practice. In this paper we consider the problem of combining n independent tests as n → ∞ for testing a simple hypothesis in case of extreme value distribution (EV(θ,1)). We study the six free-distribution combination test producers namely; Fisher, logistic, sum of p-values, inverse normal, Tippett’s method and maximum of p-values. Moreover, we studying the behavior of these tests via the exact Bahadur slope. The limits of the ratios of every pair of these slopes are discussed as the parameter θ → 0 and θ → ∞. As θ → 0, the logistic procedure is better than all other methods, followed in decreasing order by the inverse normal, the sum of p-values, Fisher, maximum of p-values and Tippett’s procedure. Whereas, θ → ∞ the logistic and the sum of p-values procedures are equivalent and better than all other methods, followed in decreasing order by Fisher, the inverse normal, maximum of p-values and Tippett’s procedure.
对于简单零假设,给定任何具有单调递增接受域的非参数组合方法,存在该方法对某些替代方法最有效的问题。从这个角度出发,将组合值的每种方法重新定义为似然比检验,我们提出了一些标准组合器的理论结果,这些结果为在实践中如何选择强大的组合器提供了指导。在极值分布(EV(θ,1))的情况下,考虑n个独立检验组合为n→∞检验简单假设的问题。研究了6个自由分布组合试验生产者;Fisher, logistic, p值和,反正态,Tippett方法,p值最大值。此外,我们还通过精确的Bahadur斜率来研究这些试验的行为。以θ→0和θ→∞为参数,讨论了每对斜率比值的极限。当θ→0时,逻辑斯蒂法优于其他方法,依次为正态反法、p值和法、Fisher法、p值最大值法和Tippett法。而θ→∞时,逻辑过程与p值和过程是等价的,且优于其他所有方法,其次是Fisher法、反正态法、p值最大值法和Tippett法。
{"title":"Bahadur’s Stochastic Comparison of Combining infinitely Independent Tests in Case of Extreme Value Distribution","authors":"Abedel-Qader Al-Masri, Noor Al-Momani","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.97466","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.97466","url":null,"abstract":"For simple null hypothesis, given any non-parametric combination method which has a monotone increasing acceptance region, there exists a problem for which this method is most powerful against some alternative. Starting from this perspective and recasting each method of combining pvalues as a likelihood ratio test, we present theoretical results for some of the standard combiners which provide guidance about how a powerful combiner might be chosen in practice. In this paper we consider the problem of combining n independent tests as n → ∞ for testing a simple hypothesis in case of extreme value distribution (EV(θ,1)). We study the six free-distribution combination test producers namely; Fisher, logistic, sum of p-values, inverse normal, Tippett’s method and maximum of p-values. Moreover, we studying the behavior of these tests via the exact Bahadur slope. The limits of the ratios of every pair of these slopes are discussed as the parameter θ → 0 and θ → ∞. As θ → 0, the logistic procedure is better than all other methods, followed in decreasing order by the inverse normal, the sum of p-values, Fisher, maximum of p-values and Tippett’s procedure. Whereas, θ → ∞ the logistic and the sum of p-values procedures are equivalent and better than all other methods, followed in decreasing order by Fisher, the inverse normal, maximum of p-values and Tippett’s procedure.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42838773","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Some Characterizations of the Exponential Distribution by Generalized Order Statistics, with Applications to Statistical Prediction Problem 广义阶统计量对指数分布的一些刻画及其在统计预测问题中的应用
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.95602
H. M. Barakat, I. Shah
Some new characterization properties of the exponential distribution based on two non-adjacent m-generalized order statistics (consequently m dual generalized order statistics), m ̸= −1, coming from two independent exponential distributions are derived. The result of this paper provides a beneficial strategy to predict the failure time of some survived components in a lifetime experiment by using the result of another independent lifetime experiment.
基于两个不相邻的m广义阶统计量(因此是m对偶广义阶统计量),m̸=−1,从两个独立的指数分布中导出了指数分布的一些新的特征性质。本文的结果为利用另一个独立的寿命实验结果预测寿命实验中一些幸存部件的失效时间提供了一种有益的策略。
{"title":"Some Characterizations of the Exponential Distribution by Generalized Order Statistics, with Applications to Statistical Prediction Problem","authors":"H. M. Barakat, I. Shah","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.95602","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.95602","url":null,"abstract":"Some new characterization properties of the exponential distribution based on two non-adjacent m-generalized order statistics (consequently m dual generalized order statistics), m ̸= −1, coming from two independent exponential distributions are derived. The result of this paper provides a beneficial strategy to predict the failure time of some survived components in a lifetime experiment by using the result of another independent lifetime experiment.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41780532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Asymmetric Prior in Wavelet Shrinkage 小波收缩中的不对称先验
Q3 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15446/rce.v45n1.92567
Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa
In bayesian wavelet shrinkage, the already proposed priors to wavelet coefficients are assumed to be symmetric around zero. Although this assumption is reasonable in many applications, it is not general. The present paper proposes the use of an asymmetric shrinkage rule based on the discrete mixture of a point mass function at zero and an asymmetric beta distribution as prior to the wavelet coefficients in a non-parametric regression model. Statistical properties such as bias, variance, classical and bayesian risks of the associated asymmetric rule are provided and performances of the proposed rule are obtained in simulation studies involving artificial asymmetric distributed coefficients and the Donoho-Johnstone test functions. Application in a seismic real dataset is also analyzed.
在贝叶斯小波收缩中,已经提出的小波系数先验假设是围绕零对称的。尽管这个假设在许多应用中是合理的,但它并不普遍。本文提出使用非参数回归模型中基于零点质量函数的离散混合和小波系数之前的非对称beta分布的非对称收缩规则。给出了相关非对称规则的偏差、方差、经典风险和贝叶斯风险等统计特性,并利用人工非对称分布系数和Donoho-Johnstone检验函数进行了仿真研究,得到了所提出规则的性能。并分析了该方法在实际地震数据集中的应用。
{"title":"Asymmetric Prior in Wavelet Shrinkage","authors":"Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa","doi":"10.15446/rce.v45n1.92567","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15446/rce.v45n1.92567","url":null,"abstract":"In bayesian wavelet shrinkage, the already proposed priors to wavelet coefficients are assumed to be symmetric around zero. Although this assumption is reasonable in many applications, it is not general. The present paper proposes the use of an asymmetric shrinkage rule based on the discrete mixture of a point mass function at zero and an asymmetric beta distribution as prior to the wavelet coefficients in a non-parametric regression model. Statistical properties such as bias, variance, classical and bayesian risks of the associated asymmetric rule are provided and performances of the proposed rule are obtained in simulation studies involving artificial asymmetric distributed coefficients and the Donoho-Johnstone test functions. Application in a seismic real dataset is also analyzed.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"67051000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Revista Colombiana De Estadistica
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1