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An Algorithmic Solution to the Blotto Game Using Multimarginal Couplings 使用多边际耦合的布洛托博弈算法解决方案
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2023.0049
Vianney Perchet, Philippe Rigollet, Thibaut Le Gouic

We describe an efficient algorithm to compute solutions for the general two-player Blotto game on n battlefields with heterogeneous values. Whereas explicit constructions for such solutions have been limited to specific, largely symmetric or homogeneous setups, this algorithmic resolution covers the most general situation to date: a value-asymmetric game with an asymmetric budget with sufficient symmetry and homogeneity. The proposed algorithm rests on recent theoretical advances regarding Sinkhorn iterations for matrix and tensor scaling. An important case that had been out of reach of previous attempts is that of heterogeneous but symmetric battlefield values with asymmetric budgets. In this case, the Blotto game is constant-sum, so optimal solutions exist, and our algorithm samples from an ε-optimal solution in time O˜(n2+ε4), independent of budgets and battlefield values, up to some natural normalization. In the case of asymmetric values where optimal solutions need not exist but Nash equilibria do, our algorithm samples from an ε-Nash equilibrium with similar complexity but where implicit constants depend on various parameters of the game such as battlefield values.

Funding: V. Perchet acknowledges support from the French National Research Agency (ANR) [Grant ANR-19-CE23-0026] as well as the support grant, and Investissements d’Avenir [Grant LabEx Ecodec/ANR-11-LABX-0047]. P. Rigollet is supported by the NSF [Grants IIS-1838071, DMS-2022448, and CCF-2106377].

Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2023.0049.

我们描述了一种计算 n 个战场上具有异质价值的一般双人布洛托博弈解的高效算法。这种解的显式构造仅限于特定的、基本对称或同质的设置,而这种算法解决了迄今为止最普遍的情况:具有非对称预算的价值不对称博弈,且具有足够的对称性和同质性。所提出的算法基于最近关于矩阵和张量缩放的辛克霍恩迭代的理论进展。以前的尝试无法解决的一个重要问题是预算不对称的异质但对称的战场价值。在这种情况下,布洛托博弈是常和博弈,因此存在最优解,我们的算法可以在 O˜(n2+ε-4)时间内从ε最优解中采样,不受预算和战场价值的影响,可以自然归一化。在不对称值的情况下,不一定存在最优解,但一定存在纳什均衡,我们的算法从ε-纳什均衡中采样,复杂度类似,但隐含常数取决于博弈的各种参数,如战场值:V.Perchet感谢法国国家研究署(ANR)[ANR-19-CE23-0026号资助]以及支持资助和Investissements d'Avenir[LabEx Ecodec/ANR-11-LABX-0047号资助]的支持。P. Rigollet 得到了国家自然科学基金[资助 IIS-1838071、DMS-2022448 和 CCF-2106377]的支持:在线附录见 https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2023.0049。
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引用次数: 0
An Unexpected Stochastic Dominance: Pareto Distributions, Dependence, and Diversification 意想不到的随机优势:帕累托分布、依赖性和多样化
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.0505
Yuyu Chen, Paul Embrechts, Ruodu Wang
Operations Research, Ahead of Print.
运筹学》,印刷版前。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Impact Portfolios with General Dependence and Marginals 具有一般依赖性和边际效应的最佳影响投资组合
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2023.0400
Andrew W. Lo, Lan Wu, Ruixun Zhang, Chaoyi Zhao
Operations Research, Ahead of Print.
运筹学》,印刷版前。
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引用次数: 0
Randomized Assortment Optimization 随机分类优化
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.0129
Zhengchao Wang, Heikki Peura, Wolfram Wiesemann

When a firm selects an assortment of products to offer to customers, it uses a choice model to anticipate their probability of purchasing each product. In practice, the estimation of these models is subject to statistical errors, which may lead to significantly suboptimal assortment decisions. Recent work has addressed this issue using robust optimization, where the true parameter values are assumed unknown and the firm chooses an assortment that maximizes its worst-case expected revenues over an uncertainty set of likely parameter values, thus mitigating estimation errors. In this paper, we introduce the concept of randomization into the robust assortment optimization literature. We show that the standard approach of deterministically selecting a single assortment to offer is not always optimal in the robust assortment optimization problem. Instead, the firm can improve its worst-case expected revenues by selecting an assortment randomly according to a prudently designed probability distribution. We demonstrate this potential benefit of randomization both theoretically in an abstract problem formulation as well as empirically across three popular choice models: the multinomial logit model, the Markov chain model, and the preference ranking model. We show how an optimal randomization strategy can be determined exactly and heuristically. Besides the superior in-sample performance of randomized assortments, we demonstrate improved out-of-sample performance in a data-driven setting that combines estimation with optimization. Our results suggest that more general versions of the assortment optimization problem—incorporating business constraints, more flexible choice models and/or more general uncertainty sets—tend to be more receptive to the benefits of randomization.

Funding: Z. Wang acknowledges funding from the Imperial College President’s PhD Scholarship programme. W. Wiesemann acknowledges funding from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council [Grants EP/R045518/1, EP/T024712/1, and EP/W003317/1].

Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2022.0129.

企业在选择向客户提供的产品种类时,会使用选择模型来预测客户购买每种产品的概率。在实践中,这些模型的估计会受到统计误差的影响,从而可能导致明显的次优分类决策。最近的研究利用稳健优化法解决了这一问题,即假定真实参数值未知,企业选择的产品组合应能在不确定的可能参数值集合上最大化最坏情况下的预期收益,从而减少估计误差。在本文中,我们将随机化概念引入稳健分类优化文献。我们表明,在稳健分类优化问题中,确定性地选择单一分类提供的标准方法并不总是最优的。相反,企业可以根据谨慎设计的概率分布随机选择一个品种,从而提高最坏情况下的预期收益。我们通过抽象问题的理论表述以及三种常用选择模型(多项式 logit 模型、马尔可夫链模型和偏好排序模型)的经验证明了随机化的潜在优势。我们展示了如何精确地和启发式地确定最优随机化策略。除了随机排列的样本内性能优越外,我们还展示了在数据驱动的情况下,将估计与优化相结合所提高的样本外性能。我们的研究结果表明,包含商业约束、更灵活的选择模型和/或更一般的不确定性集的更一般版本的分类优化问题,往往更容易接受随机化的好处:Z. Wang感谢帝国理工学院院长博士奖学金项目的资助。W. Wiesemann感谢工程与物理科学研究委员会的资助[资助EP/R045518/1、EP/T024712/1和EP/W003317/1]:在线附录见 https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2022.0129。
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引用次数: 0
A Mutual Catastrophe Insurance Framework for Horizontal Collaboration in Prepositioning Strategic Reserves 灾难互助保险框架促进横向合作,预先部署战略储备金
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.0141
Hani Zbib, Burcu Balcik, Marie-Ève Rancourt, Gilbert Laporte
Operations Research, Ahead of Print.
运筹学》,印刷版前。
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引用次数: 0
Shipping Emission Control Area Optimization Considering Carbon Emission Reduction 考虑碳减排的船舶排放控制区优化
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.0361
Dan Zhuge, Shuaian Wang, Lu Zhen
Operations Research, Ahead of Print.
运筹学》,印刷版前。
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引用次数: 0
Branch-and-Price for Prescriptive Contagion Analytics 预测性疫情分析的分支与价格
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2023.0308
Alexandre Jacquillat, Michael Lingzhi Li, Martin Ramé, Kai Wang
Operations Research, Ahead of Print.
运筹学》,印刷版前。
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引用次数: 0
Quantile Optimization via Multiple-Timescale Local Search for Black-Box Functions 通过对黑盒函数的多时间尺度局部搜索进行定量优化
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.0534
Jiaqiao Hu, Meichen Song, Michael C. Fu
Operations Research, Ahead of Print.
运筹学》,印刷版前。
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引用次数: 0
Designing Service Menus for Bipartite Queueing Systems 为双方队列系统设计服务菜单
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.0179
René Caldentey, Lisa Aoki Hillas, Varun Gupta
Operations Research, Ahead of Print.
运筹学》,印刷版前。
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引用次数: 0
Technical Note—On the Convergence Rate of Stochastic Approximation for Gradient-Based Stochastic Optimization 技术说明--基于梯度的随机优化的随机逼近收敛率
IF 2.7 3区 管理学 Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2023.0055
Jiaqiao Hu, Michael C. Fu
Operations Research, Ahead of Print.
运筹学》,印刷版前。
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引用次数: 0
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